Notts CountyNewport County

Notts County v Newport County result

Full-time · Notts County 3–1 Newport County

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Notts County · Newport County · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Notts County 3–1 Newport County — Notts County won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Notts County beat Newport County 3–1 in League Two on Monday 6 April. Notts County are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Newport County.

The goals

Notts County led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Notts County: Lucas Ness (19’, 23’) and Jayden Luker (86’); Newport County: Harrison Biggins (65’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Lucas Ness’s goal on 19 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Notts County 0.64, Newport County 0.83, from 15 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

E. Duckworth showed five yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Notts County: Conor Grant (64’) and Tom Iorpenda (90+5’); Newport County: Harrison Biggins (60’), Sven Sprangler (76’) and J. Crole (90+6’).

What it changes

Notts County move up from fourth to third (42 league matches played). Notts County have scored 74 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Notts County have conceded 52 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Newport County stay 22nd after this result (42 league matches played). Newport County have scored 48 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games). Newport County have conceded 77 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Lucas Ness (Notts County) 13.0, K. Bennetts (Notts County) 6.3 and N. Opoku (Newport County) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Notts County or Newport County (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Notts County next travel to Altrincham on 7 November 2026.

Newport County next host Walsall on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Notts County: Altrincham v Notts County, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Newport County: Newport County v Walsall, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Notts County 3–1 Newport County · League Two
  • Referee: E. Duckworth
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Notts County 3 · draws 2 · Newport County 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Notts County 3W 0D 2L · Newport County 2W 0D 3L

Notts County 3–1 Newport County (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.88 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 3.13
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.88 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.13 yellows
Referee · E. Duckworth
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNotts County for / againstLineNewport County for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10 against n 8
Cards shown
2.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: E. Duckworth — 5.13 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 23 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Notts County

Notts County Defensive

Notts County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Bedeau n 888.4
1.46/3
0.53/1
—
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.95/2
2.88/5
—
M. Dennis n 862.1
26/3
0.74/0
—
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.56/2
1.96/4
—
C. Grant n 861
0.73/1
1.77/2
—
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Notts County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
1.86/4
Tom Iorpenda n 890
2.57/7
M. Dennis n 862.1
0.92/1
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
1.55/3
C. Grant n 861
1.76/3
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Notts County Attacking

Notts County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
0.11/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.94/2
0.53/1
M. Dennis n 862.1
1.14/2
0.94/1
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
0.53/0
0.32/0
C. Grant n 861
1.14/2
0.93/2
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Notts County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Notts County before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Bedeau n 888.4
00/0
00/0
Tom Iorpenda n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Dennis n 862.1
0.21/0
00/0
Nicholas Tsaroulla n 872.6
00/0
00/0
C. Grant n 861
0.21/0
0.42/0
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Newport County

Newport County Goalkeeper

Newport County — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
N. Tzanev12901080 min302.5 /90242 /9010.1 /90

Newport County Defensive

Newport County — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Davies27782093 min502.2 /90261.1 /9030.1 /901375.9 /90220.9 /9020.1 /90
Joe Thomas22571264 min392.8 /90211.5 /9030.2 /90896.3 /9060.4 /9000 /90
H. Ogunneye17811381 min221.4 /9090.6 /9070.5 /90684.4 /90201.3 /9030.2 /90
C. Brennan17611036 min211.8 /90131.1 /90151.3 /90625.4 /90131.1 /9010.1 /90
J. Clarke1468958 min40.4 /9050.5 /9060.6 /90535 /9050.5 /9000 /90
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Newport County — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Baker n 890
0.43/0
0.43/0
—
B. Kamwa n 886.6
0.65/0
14/3
—
J. Wright n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
L. Jenkins n 873
0.64/0
0.84/1
—
C. Evans n 884.9
1.77/3
1.26/1
—
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Newport County — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
1.47/3
B. Kamwa n 886.6
0.53/1
J. Wright n 890
0.11/0
L. Jenkins n 873
1.86/5
C. Evans n 884.9
2.18/5
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Newport County Attacking

Newport County — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Spellman29561624 min40.2 /9010.1 /90291.6 /90130.7 /90120.7 /90271.5 /90
N. Opoku25531319 min50.3 /9020.1 /90241.6 /90120.8 /90181.2 /90201.4 /90
G. Garner22571245 min20.1 /9010.1 /90141 /9080.6 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90
M. Reindorf1756949 min00 /9010.1 /90131.2 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90161.5 /90
B. Kamwa33782562 min20.1 /9030.1 /90411.4 /90160.6 /90401.4 /90491.7 /90
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Newport County — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
0.43/0
00/0
B. Kamwa n 886.6
1.85/5
0.95/2
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Jenkins n 873
0.96/0
0.53/0
C. Evans n 884.9
0.52/1
0.11/0
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Newport County — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newport County before kick-off, to 3 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Baker n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Kamwa n 886.6
0.32/0
0.31/1
J. Wright n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Jenkins n 873
0.21/0
0.21/0
C. Evans n 884.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Notts CountyNewport County
65%Possession35%
0.64Expected goals (xG)0.83
15Shots4
8Shots on target2
5Shots off target0
2Blocked shots2
11Shots inside the box2
8Corners4
0Offsides2
7Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves5
545Passes291
83%Pass accuracy66%

Notts County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Belshaw9000000006.7
L. Macari9000001106.9
L. Ness9020330109.2
J. Bedeau9000001206.6
O. Norburn9000000207.3
M. Palmer9001102006.9
K. Bennetts9001104007.7
Tom Iorpenda90011121Y7.2
Maziar Kouhyar8400001307.2
L. Ndlovu7700210106.7
C. Grant68002102Y6.9
M. Dennis sub2200002006.3
J. Luker sub1310320007.3
L. Browne sub1300000206.9

Newport County Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Wright9000000007.3
Joe Thomas9000000406.3
M. Baker9000000006.3
L. Jenkins9000000105.3
H. Biggins90101102Y7.2
N. Opoku9001001206.9
S. Sprangler88000003Y6.2
B. Kamwa7700110106.7
T. Davies4500000105.9
G. Garner4500000006
M. Smith3600000006.2
C. Evans sub5400000507.2
B. Lloyd sub4500000407.3
J. Crole sub45000000Y5.6
M. Spellman sub1300000006.7
C. Brennan sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Notts County v Newport County — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Notts CountyWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Newport CountyWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Notts County 3 · 2 draws · Newport County 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-08-02 Newport County 1–1 Notts County
  • 2025-03-29 Newport County 0–2 Notts County
  • 2024-11-23 Notts County 0–0 Newport County
  • 2024-02-13 Newport County 1–3 Notts County
  • 2023-10-24 Notts County 3–0 Newport County
  • 2019-02-19 Notts County 1–4 Newport County
League standing · 2025/26
Notts County#5 pos80 pts46 pl+22 GD
Newport County#20 pos43 pts46 pl-29 GD
Goals per game
Notts County scored1.61
Newport County scored1.04
Notts County conceded1.13
Newport County conceded1.67

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Notts County v Newport County?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Notts County v Newport County was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Notts County and Newport County?
In their last 6 meetings, Notts County won 3, Newport County won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Notts County and Newport County?
Recent form — Notts County 3W 0D 2L; Newport County 2W 0D 3L.

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