Port Vale v Chesterfield result

Full-time · Port Vale 1–0 Chesterfield

League Two · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 15:00 BST · Vale Park

Updated 7 Nov 2026, 12:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Port Vale · Chesterfield

The model’s pre-match pick

Port Vale 1–0 Chesterfield — Port Vale won this League Two match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.33 at Betvictor

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Port Vale beat Chesterfield 1–0 at Vale Park in League Two on Saturday 17 October.

The goals

Port Vale led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Port Vale: O. Hernández (45’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with O. Hernández’s goal on 45 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Port Vale 0.41, Chesterfield 0.49, from 5 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

H. Blair showed five yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Port Vale move up from 22nd to 20th (nine league matches played). Port Vale have scored five goals, the third-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Port Vale have conceded nine goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Chesterfield move down from fourth to seventh (11 league matches played). Chesterfield have scored 17 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 11 games, ranked per game). Chesterfield have conceded 15 goals, the 11th-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, O. Hernández (Port Vale) 6.1, Marko Maroši (Port Vale) 4.6 and Jasper Moon (Port Vale) 4.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Port Vale are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Chesterfield.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Port Vale or Chesterfield (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Port Vale next host Scunthorpe on 7 November 2026.

Chesterfield next host Yeovil Town on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Scunthorpe, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Chesterfield: Chesterfield v Yeovil Town, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Port Vale 1–0 Chesterfield · League Two
Venue: Vale Park · Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
Referee: H. Blair
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Port Vale 2 · draws 1 · Chesterfield 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Port Vale 2W 0D 3L · Chesterfield 3W 1D 1L

Port Vale 1–0 Chesterfield (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.5 / 2

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.13 / 6.63

Corners

against 4.5 / 2.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 7.38

Shots on target

against 3.13 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.33 yellows

Referee · H. Blair

22.89 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 10 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Port Vale for / against	Line	Chesterfield for / against
Goals scored	0.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.13 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.38 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	19.5 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.38 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.25 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: H. Blair — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 22.89 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Port Vale

Port Vale Goalkeeper

Port Vale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Smith	7	90630 min	142 /90	91.3 /90	00 /90
M. Maroši	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Port Vale — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Smith n 7	90	2 4/3
M. Maroši n 8	90	1.9 5/2

Port Vale Defensive

Port Vale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Lawrence-Gabriel	9	88791 min	182 /90	111.3 /90	40.5 /90	576.5 /90	101.1 /90	30.3 /90
C. Hall	8	72578 min	30.5 /90	40.6 /90	71.1 /90	365.6 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
L. Montsma	7	80557 min	101.6 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90	406.5 /90	61 /90	10.2 /90
C. Humphreys	6	90540 min	40.7 /90	71.2 /90	20.3 /90	254.2 /90	101.7 /90	10.2 /90
L. Gordon	5	88441 min	20.4 /90	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	163.3 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90
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Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8	90	1.3 5/2	2.3 8/4	R. Stirk
K. Dempsey n 8	85.6	1.4 7/3	0.4 3/0	R. Stirk
O. Lynch n 8	69.4	0.8 4/1	0.8 4/1	—
C. Hall n 8	72.3	0.9 3/1	0.6 4/0	J. Simpson
O. Hernández n 8	52.8	0.6 3/0	1.7 4/2	D. Markanday
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Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8	90	2 8/5
K. Dempsey n 8	85.6	2 7/3
O. Lynch n 8	69.4	0.3 2/0
C. Hall n 8	72.3	0.5 2/1
O. Hernández n 8	52.8	1.7 5/2
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Port Vale Attacking

Port Vale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Lynch	9	64574 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	111.7 /90	60.9 /90	20.3 /90	50.8 /90
O. Hernández	8	53422 min	00 /90	00 /90	40.9 /90	30.6 /90	112.3 /90	81.7 /90
B. Waine	5	54272 min	00 /90	00 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
M. Faal	3	59176 min	00 /90	00 /90	73.6 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90
T. Simpson	3	2780 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90
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Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8	90	1.1 6/3	0.1 1/0
K. Dempsey n 8	85.6	1.1 4/3	0.4 2/1
O. Lynch n 8	69.4	1.5 6/3	0.8 4/1
C. Hall n 8	72.3	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
O. Hernández n 8	52.8	0.9 3/1	0.6 2/1
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Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Dempsey n 8	85.6	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
O. Lynch n 8	69.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
C. Hall n 8	72.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Hernández n 8	52.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Chesterfield

Chesterfield Goalkeeper

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Boot	11	90990 min	242.2 /90	100.9 /90	10.1 /90

Chesterfield — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Boot n 8	90	1.9 4/3

Chesterfield Defensive

Chesterfield — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Simpson	11	90990 min	100.9 /90	232.1 /90	20.2 /90	585.3 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90
R. Hutton	11	88963 min	171.6 /90	60.6 /90	10.1 /90	524.9 /90	161.5 /90	20.2 /90
L. Gordon	11	87953 min	181.7 /90	50.5 /90	00 /90	393.7 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
K. McFadzean	10	90900 min	151.5 /90	141.4 /90	60.6 /90	505 /90	80.8 /90	50.5 /90
A. Pond	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90	33 /90	22 /90	11 /90
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Chesterfield — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Simpson n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0	C. Hall
R. Boot n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	—
D. Markanday n 8	88.4	0.8 4/1	1.8 7/3	O. Hernández
R. Hutton n 8	88.3	1.4 8/3	0.9 5/2	—
R. Stirk n 8	86.4	1 5/3	0.7 4/1	K. Dempsey
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Chesterfield — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Simpson n 8	90	0.8 3/2
D. Markanday n 8	88.4	2.2 7/6
R. Hutton n 8	88.3	1.3 7/3
R. Stirk n 8	86.4	1.4 7/3
L. Gordon n 8	86.4	0.9 5/2
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Chesterfield Attacking

Chesterfield — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Bonis	11	75821 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	273 /90	101.1 /90	121.3 /90	30.3 /90
F. Bryden	5	30151 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.8 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	00 /90
D. Markanday	11	88964 min	30.3 /90	10.1 /90	262.4 /90	131.2 /90	191.8 /90	191.8 /90
R. Stirk	11	87961 min	00 /90	00 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90	181.7 /90	80.7 /90
G. McEachran	11	81888 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	101 /90	70.7 /90
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Chesterfield — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Simpson n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
R. Boot n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Markanday n 8	88.4	2.8 8/6	1.7 7/4
R. Hutton n 8	88.3	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
R. Stirk n 8	86.4	0.7 5/0	0 0/0
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Chesterfield — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chesterfield before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Boot n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Simpson n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Markanday n 8	88.4	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
R. Hutton n 8	88.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
R. Stirk n 8	86.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Port Vale		Chesterfield
36%	Possession	64%
0.41	Expected goals (xG)	0.49
5	Shots	8
3	Shots on target	4
2	Shots off target	3
0	Blocked shots	1
1	Shots inside the box	2
0	Corners	10
3	Offsides	5
14	Fouls	6
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	2
308	Passes	561

Port Vale Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Maroši	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
J. Lawrence-Gabriel	90	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.1
C. Humphreys	90	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6
C. Hall	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
B. Garrity	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.2
J. Moon	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.6
K. Dempsey	79	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
J. Headley	73	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.3
G. Hall	73	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.4
O. Hernández	66	1	2	2	0	2	0	7.9
M. Watters	65	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
O. Lynch	25	0	0	0	2	1	0	7
K. Figueroa	24	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.8
K. John	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
G. Byers	17	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.7
R. Walters	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Chesterfield Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Simpson	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.8
K. McFadzean	90	1	0	0	2	0	6.8
G. McEachran	90	1	0	0	3	0	6.7
R. Hutton	90	1	0	0	2	0	6.4
L. Bonis	90	1	1	0	0	0	5.9
R. Boot	90	0	0	0	0	0	5.8
D. Markanday	84	0	0	3	2	0	6.5
R. Stirk	79	1	1	0	3	Y	6.6
L. Marsh	79	2	1	0	4	0	6.1
L. Gordon	79	0	0	0	1	Y	6
J. Koroma	57	1	1	0	0	0	6.4
J. Randall	33	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
K. Dyer	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
L. Mandeville	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
T. Pearce	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
W. Grigg	6	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Port Vale v Chesterfield — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Port ValeLLWLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

ChesterfieldWWLWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Port Vale 2 · 1 draw · Chesterfield 1 · 2 goals/game

2025-01-25 Chesterfield 1–1 Port Vale
2024-09-14 Port Vale 1–0 Chesterfield
2018-03-30 Port Vale 2–1 Chesterfield
2017-08-19 Chesterfield 2–0 Port Vale

League standing · 2026/27

Port Vale#19 pos15 pts12 pl-4 GD

Chesterfield#10 pos19 pts14 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Port Vale scored0.83

Chesterfield scored1.71

Port Vale conceded1.17

Chesterfield conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Port Vale v Chesterfield?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Port Vale v Chesterfield was Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Chesterfield?: In their last 4 meetings, Port Vale won 2, Chesterfield won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Port Vale and Chesterfield?: Recent form — Port Vale 2W 0D 3L; Chesterfield 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 7 Nov 2026, 12:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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