Port ValeTranmere

Port Vale v Tranmere result

Full-time · Port Vale 1–1 Tranmere

League Two · · Vale Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Port Vale 1–1 Tranmere — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 2.00 at Betvictor
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 277 landed (95% range 73.9–83.4%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Port Vale and Tranmere drew 1–1 at Vale Park in League Two on Saturday 22 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Port Vale out-shot Tranmere 9 to 6 and created the better chances, 2.00 xG to 0.86 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Port Vale led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Port Vale: George Byers (18’ pen); Tranmere: Thomas Ince (72’, assisted by Zane Okoro).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thomas Ince’s goal on 72 minutes.

Discipline

D. Brown showed five yellow cards — against 4.3 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Port Vale: Kyle Dempsey (5’) and Benjamin Garrity (86’); Tranmere: Nathan Smith (68’), Joe Ironside (79’) and Samuel Finley (90+10’).

What it changes

Port Vale move up from 23rd to 18th (two league matches played).

Tranmere move up from fourth to third (two league matches played).

Port Vale are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Tranmere are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Thomas Ince (Tranmere) 6.1, George Byers (Port Vale) 5.5 and Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel (Port Vale) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Port Vale are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Tranmere.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Port Vale to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Port Vale next host Accrington ST on 14 November 2026.

Tranmere next travel to Fleetwood Town on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Port Vale: Port Vale v Accrington ST, Saturday 14 November — the preview. Next for Tranmere: Fleetwood Town v Tranmere, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Port Vale 1–1 Tranmere · League Two
  • Venue: Vale Park · Stoke on Trent
  • Referee: D. Brown
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Port Vale 0 · draws 4 · Tranmere 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Port Vale 1W 0D 4L · Tranmere 2W 2D 1L

Port Vale 1–1 Tranmere (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 7 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.43
Corners
against 5.75 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.13 / 3.71
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1 / 2
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.25 yellows
Referee · D. Brown
23.63 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 8 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePort Vale for / againstLineTranmere for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.43 for · 5 against n 7
Shots
11.5 for · 13.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.43 for · 12.86 against n 7
Shots on target
3.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.71 for · 4 against n 7
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
12.29 for · 10 against n 7
Cards shown
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: D. Brown — 4.25 yellow cards a game, 0.13 red cards, 23.63 fouls over 8 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Port Vale

Port Vale Goalkeeper

Port Vale — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith290180 min52.5 /9052.5 /9000 /90

Port Vale Defensive

Port Vale — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Humphreys290180 min10.5 /9031.5 /9000 /9073.5 /9063 /9000 /90
L. Gordon290180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9010.5 /90
L. Montsma282163 min31.7 /9010.6 /9000 /9084.4 /9021.1 /9000 /90
J. Lawrence-Gabriel281161 min31.7 /9021.1 /9010.6 /9084.5 /9010.6 /9021.1 /90
K. John11919 min00 /9014.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Port Vale — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Humphreys n 881.1
13/1
00/0
P. Brough
R. Walters n 879.5
0.73/1
26/6
—
L. Gordon n 869.3
0.63/1
0.62/1
N. Smith
G. Hall n 870.3
1.16/1
0.53/0
—
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 876.9
15/2
2.26/3
P. Brough
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Port Vale — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Gordon n 869.3
1.56/2
C. Humphreys n 881.1
15/1
R. Walters n 879.5
0.74/1
G. Hall n 870.3
1.86/3
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 876.9
0.74/1
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Port Vale Attacking

Port Vale — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Lynch255109 min00 /9000 /9043.3 /9010.8 /9000 /9021.7 /90
M. Faal24793 min00 /9000 /9032.9 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
O. Hernández22652 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /90
K. Dempsey290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9052.5 /9010.5 /90
R. Walters290180 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /9031.5 /90
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Port Vale — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Gordon n 869.3
0.63/1
0.21/0
C. Humphreys n 881.1
0.42/1
0.11/0
R. Walters n 879.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
G. Hall n 870.3
0.64/0
0.32/0
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 876.9
14/2
0.11/0
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Port Vale — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Port Vale before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Humphreys n 881.1
00/0
00/0
R. Walters n 879.5
00/0
00/0
L. Gordon n 869.3
00/0
00/0
G. Hall n 870.3
00/0
0.21/0
J. Lawrence-Gabriel n 876.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Tranmere

Tranmere Goalkeeper

Tranmere — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
H. Male19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Faulkner19090 min00 /9011 /9033 /901212 /9011 /9000 /90
N. Smith19090 min22 /9000 /9011 /901111 /9011 /9000 /90
P. Brough19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /9066 /9011 /9000 /90
J. Senior19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /90
W. Vaulks19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /9055 /9022 /9000 /90
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Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Brough n 883.6
28/4
0.11/0
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 866.6
1.25/2
2.57/5
—
N. Smith n 890
0.64/1
16/2
L. Gordon
J. Ironside n 874.1
0.95/1
1.25/3
—
S. Finley n 876
1.25/2
0.42/1
—
Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 866.6
2.97/4
P. Brough n 883.6
1.77/3
N. Smith n 890
0.94/3
J. Ironside n 874.1
0.52/1
S. Finley n 876
1.96/5

Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Charlie Jay Whitaker19090 min11 /9000 /9033 /9022 /9011 /9033 /90
J. Ironside18989 min00 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
T. Ince18989 min00 /9000 /9011 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
W. Vaulks19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9000 /90
J. Davies17373 min11.2 /9000 /9022.5 /9022.5 /9000 /9011.2 /90
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Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 866.6
1.45/2
0.52/1
N. Smith n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
P. Brough n 883.6
0.54/0
0.43/0
J. Ironside n 874.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
S. Finley n 876
0.73/1
0.42/1
Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 15 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 866.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
N. Smith n 890
0.32/0
00/0
P. Brough n 883.6
00/0
0.11/0
J. Ironside n 874.1
00/0
0.21/0
S. Finley n 876
0.11/0
00/0

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Port ValeTranmere
52%Possession48%
2.00Expected goals (xG)0.86
9Shots6
4Shots on target4
4Shots off target1
1Blocked shots1
8Shots inside the box4
4Corners3
0Offsides5
19Fouls17
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves3
333Passes317
70%Pass accuracy63%

Port Vale Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000006.9
J. Lawrence-Gabriel9000000107.3
C. Humphreys9000000106.9
L. Gordon9000001006.7
K. Dempsey90000021Y6.2
O. Hernández9000003007
G. Hall8400000106.9
L. Montsma8300110106.6
M. Faal8300410006.2
O. Lynch7500100106.2
G. Byers2710111007.2
R. Walters sub6300000307
C. Hall sub2100000006.7
B. Garrity sub21000010Y6.7
B. Waine sub2000110106.5
T. Simpson sub1500000006.2

Tranmere Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Senior9000000106.3
B. Faulkner9000000206.7
N. Smith90000003Y7
W. Vaulks9000101207.2
J. Davies9000222306.3
T. Ince9010220207.5
J. Ironside90000010Y6
Z. Okoro8400000006.2
P. Brough5900000506.2
T. Conlon5900000406.5
H. Male5300001006.9
J. Turnbull sub3700000107
J. Slater sub3100000306.9
S. Finley sub31000002Y6.9
Charlie Veevers sub2000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Port Vale v Tranmere — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Port ValeLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
TranmereWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Port Vale 0 · 4 draws · Tranmere 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-03-01 Tranmere 1–1 Port Vale
  • 2024-08-17 Port Vale 0–0 Tranmere
  • 2022-02-19 Tranmere 1–1 Port Vale
  • 2021-08-14 Port Vale 0–0 Tranmere
  • 2021-02-06 Tranmere 3–1 Port Vale
  • 2020-11-14 Port Vale 3–4 Tranmere
League standing · 2026/27
Port Vale#19 pos15 pts12 pl-4 GD
Tranmere#11 pos19 pts14 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Port Vale scored0.83
Tranmere scored1.36
Port Vale conceded1.17
Tranmere conceded1.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Port Vale v Tranmere?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Port Vale v Tranmere was Home win (best price 2.00 at Betvictor).
What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Tranmere?
In their last 6 meetings, Port Vale won 0, Tranmere won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Port Vale and Tranmere?
Recent form — Port Vale 1W 0D 4L; Tranmere 2W 2D 1L.

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