TranmereGrimsby

Tranmere v Grimsby result

Full-time · Tranmere 1–1 Grimsby

League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Tranmere · Grimsby · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Tranmere 1–1 Grimsby — this League Two match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Tranmere and Grimsby drew 1–1 in League Two on Saturday 2 May. Grimsby have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Grimsby led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Grimsby: J. Amaluzor (43’, assisted by Kieran Green); Tranmere: Nathan Smith (64’, assisted by Charlie Jay Whitaker).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Nathan Smith’s goal on 64 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Tranmere 0.99, Grimsby 1.15, from 8 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

M. Coy showed one yellow card — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Grimsby: James Walker (90+2’).

What it changes

Tranmere stay 20th after this result (46 league matches played). Tranmere have scored 54 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 46 games, ranked per game). Tranmere have conceded 79 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby move down from fifth to seventh (46 league matches played). Grimsby have scored 77 goals, the second-most of the 24 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 48 games, ranked per game). Grimsby have conceded 54 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Grimsby are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Charlie Jay Whitaker (Tranmere) 6.6, Nathan Smith (Tranmere) 5.3 and Justin Amaluzor (Grimsby) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Tranmere or Grimsby (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Tranmere next travel to Barnet on 7 November 2026.

Grimsby next travel to Stafford Rangers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Tranmere: Barnet v Tranmere, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Grimsby: Stafford Rangers v Grimsby, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Tranmere 1–1 Grimsby · League Two
  • Referee: M. Coy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Tranmere 3 · draws 2 · Grimsby 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Tranmere 1W 1D 3L · Grimsby 4W 0D 1L

Tranmere 1–1 Grimsby (League Two): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.63 / 2.75
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.63 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 2.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 1.13
Cards
against 1 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.67 yellows
Referee · M. Coy
24.17 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameTranmere for / againstLineGrimsby for / against
Goals scored
0.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.75our book
2.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.5 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.25 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 10.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 2.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 10.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: M. Coy — 2.67 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.17 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Tranmere

Tranmere Defensive

Tranmere — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Smith n 890
0.85/1
1.16/3
C. McJannet
P. Brough n 883.6
28/4
0.32/0
—
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 858.6
14/1
2.57/4
C. Vernam
C. Norman n 844.1
2.55/3
1.55/1
—
O. Patrick n 865.3
0.93/1
0.21/0
—
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Tranmere — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.84/2
P. Brough n 883.6
1.77/3
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 858.6
2.96/4
C. Norman n 844.1
2.35/3
O. Patrick n 865.3
0.73/1
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Tranmere Attacking

Tranmere — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
P. Brough n 883.6
0.75/0
0.43/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 858.6
0.63/0
0.21/0
C. Norman n 844.1
0.31/0
00/0
O. Patrick n 865.3
2.15/4
1.25/2
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Tranmere — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tranmere before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Smith n 890
0.11/0
00/0
P. Brough n 883.6
00/0
0.11/0
Charlie Jay Whitaker n 858.6
00/0
00/0
C. Norman n 844.1
00/0
00/0
O. Patrick n 865.3
0.21/0
00/0
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Grimsby

Grimsby Goalkeeper

Grimsby — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Smith26902348 min512 /90240.9 /9020.1 /90
Grimsby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Smith n 891
1.23/1

Grimsby Defensive

Grimsby — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. McJannet49904397 min641.3 /90450.9 /90280.6 /903747.7 /90300.6 /9070.1 /90
H. Rodgers49864212 min561.2 /90320.7 /90170.4 /902846.1 /90210.4 /9070.1 /90
R. Staunton33762522 min562 /90291 /9070.2 /901796.4 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
J. Sweeney23791821 min351.7 /90211 /90100.5 /90984.8 /90211 /9030.1 /90
T. Warren22781713 min361.9 /90311.6 /90150.8 /901306.8 /90201.1 /9020.1 /90
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Grimsby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. McJannet n 891
0.43/0
1.16/3
N. Smith
H. Rodgers n 880
0.74/1
0.62/1
—
K. Green n 883.1
0.53/1
0.43/0
—
Jaze Kabia n 884
0.95/2
2.18/6
—
C. Vernam n 855
0.62/1
0.83/1
Charlie Jay Whitaker
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Grimsby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
16/2
H. Rodgers n 880
1.16/2
K. Green n 883.1
1.25/2
Jaze Kabia n 884
2.17/6
C. Vernam n 855
0.21/0
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Grimsby Attacking

Grimsby — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jaze Kabia45713187 min190.5 /9020.1 /90621.8 /90391.1 /90210.6 /90180.5 /90
A. Cook22681493 min80.5 /9020.1 /90402.4 /90201.2 /90161 /90130.8 /90
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell1543643 min10.1 /9010.1 /90162.2 /9071 /9030.4 /90131.8 /90
T. Sellars-Fleming545227 min10.4 /9000 /9052 /9031.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
K. Green45793569 min140.4 /9040.1 /90611.5 /90310.8 /90561.4 /90270.7 /90
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Grimsby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
0.54/0
0.43/0
H. Rodgers n 880
0.31/1
0.11/0
K. Green n 883.1
1.97/5
1.26/3
Jaze Kabia n 884
2.18/4
1.55/4
C. Vernam n 855
27/3
1.45/2
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Grimsby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Grimsby before kick-off, to 25 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. McJannet n 891
0.11/0
0.11/0
H. Rodgers n 880
0.11/0
0.11/0
K. Green n 883.1
0.85/1
0.31/1
Jaze Kabia n 884
1.15/2
0.11/0
C. Vernam n 855
0.63/0
0.42/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
TranmereGrimsby
40%Possession60%
0.99Expected goals (xG)1.15
8Shots13
2Shots on target3
4Shots off target5
2Blocked shots5
5Shots inside the box8
4Corners4
1Offsides3
10Fouls10
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Saves1
274Passes409
55%Pass accuracy70%

Tranmere Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Maroši9000000006.6
W. Tamen9000000206.9
N. Smith9010110007.9
S. Negru9000000007
Jayden Joseph9000101206.2
E. Bristow9000000206.3
R. Watson9000000006.9
Charlie Jay Whitaker9001201407.3
S. Finley8900001207.9
N. Kenneh5300000106.7
K. Woolery5300100006.2
K. Dennis sub3700110006.2
J. Ironside sub3700001207
J. Plant sub10000000–

Grimsby Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Smith9000000006.3
T. Warren9000000106.3
M. Kacurri9000000207.2
C. McJannet9000000206.6
J. Walker90002134Y7.2
C. Vernam9000001206.3
J. Sweeney8400101306.3
Justin Amaluzor8410320007
G. Turi7700001206.6
K. Green6501002006.7
A. Cook6500101006.7
C. Oduor sub2500100106.9
Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell sub2500000006.3
Jaze Kabia sub1300001106.3
R. Staunton sub1200000006.3
D. Burns sub1200000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Tranmere v Grimsby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
TranmereLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
GrimsbyWLWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Tranmere 3 · 2 draws · Grimsby 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2025-11-27 Grimsby 1–2 Tranmere
  • 2025-03-04 Grimsby 1–1 Tranmere
  • 2024-10-22 Tranmere 0–1 Grimsby
  • 2024-01-27 Grimsby 1–2 Tranmere
  • 2023-10-07 Tranmere 2–2 Grimsby
  • 2023-04-22 Tranmere 2–0 Grimsby
League standing · 2025/26
Tranmere#21 pos41 pts46 pl-25 GD
Grimsby#7 pos78 pts46 pl+24 GD
Goals per game
Tranmere scored1.17
Grimsby scored1.61
Tranmere conceded1.72
Grimsby conceded1.09

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Tranmere v Grimsby?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Tranmere v Grimsby was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Tranmere and Grimsby?
In their last 6 meetings, Tranmere won 3, Grimsby won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Tranmere and Grimsby?
Recent form — Tranmere 1W 1D 3L; Grimsby 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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