Gimnasia L.P. v Lanus result

Full-time · Gimnasia L.P. 1–2 Lanus

Liga Profesional Argentina · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 18:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Gimnasia L.P. · Lanus · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Gimnasia L.P. 1–2 Lanus — Lanus won this Liga Profesional Argentina match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Lanus won 2–1 at Gimnasia L.P. in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday 17 August. It is Lanus’s first win over Gimnasia L.P. since 25 August 2021, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Lanus came from behind: Gimnasia L.P. led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Gimnasia L.P.: Marcelo Torres (42’, assisted by Jeremias Merlo); Lanus: José Canale (55’, assisted by Sasha Marcich) and Franco Watson (62’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Franco Watson’s goal on 62 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Gimnasia L.P. 0.48, Lanus 0.99, from 8 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina showed six yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Gimnasia L.P.: Manuel Panaro (54’), Gastón Suso (77’), Juan Pérez (89’) and Maximiliano Zalazar (90+1’); Lanus: Luciano Romero (45’) and Bruno Cabrera (45+5’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Juan Ramírez (Lanus) 6.7, Marcelo Torres (Gimnasia L.P.) 5.7 and José Canale (Lanus) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Lanus, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Gimnasia L.P. next host Sarmiento Junin on 23 October 2026.

Lanus next travel to Banfield on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Gimnasia L.P.: Gimnasia L.P. v Sarmiento Junin, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Lanus: Banfield v Lanus, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Gimnasia L.P. 1–2 Lanus · Liga Profesional Argentina
Referee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Gimnasia L.P. 2 · draws 2 · Lanus 2 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Gimnasia L.P. 2W 2D 1L · Lanus 3W 0D 2L

Gimnasia L.P. 1–2 Lanus (Liga Profesional Argentina): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.63 / 1.13

Goals

against 0.88 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.14 / 5.67

Corners

against 5.29 / 4 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3 / 4.33

Shots on target

against 4 / 3.83 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

3.86 / 2.33

Cards

against 3 / 2.83 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

4.64 yellows

Referee · Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina

2 home / 2.64 away

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Gimnasia L.P. for / against	Line	Lanus for / against
Goals scored	0.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 5.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.67 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	10.14 for · 13.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 8.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	4.33 for · 3.83 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.57 for · 10.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.33 for · 12.83 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	3.86 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.33 for · 2.83 against n 6 Last 5

Referee: Facundo Raul Tello Figueroa, Argentina — 4.64 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 26.5 fouls over 14 matches (2 to the home side, 2.64 to the away side).

Home 2Away 2.64

Gimnasia L.P.

Gimnasia L.P. — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Garayalde n 8	45.4	3.5 6/4	0.5 2/0	Agustín Cardozo
Norberto Briasco n 8	32	2.8 5/3	2.1 3/1	Franco Watson
Jan Hurtado n 8	54	2.5 6/4	2.7 5/4	—
Lucas Castro n 8	60.1	2.2 7/5	1.3 5/2	—
F. Di Biasi n 8	76.5	2.1 6/5	0.7 5/0	—

Gimnasia L.P. — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Maximiliano Zalazar n 8	46.1	2.4 7/3	0.7 2/1
Lucas Castro n 8	60.1	1.9 6/3	1.1 5/1
R. Castillo n 8	70.6	1.6 5/3	0.8 3/2
A. Sosa n 8	41.6	1.6 5/1	0.8 2/1
Jan Hurtado n 8	54	1.5 3/3	0.2 1/0

Gimnasia L.P. — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Castillo n 8	70.6	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
J. Pintado n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0.2 2/0
P. De Blasis n 8	62.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Lucas Castro n 8	60.1	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
N. Garayalde n 8	45.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0

Gimnasia L.P. — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Garayalde n 8	45.4	5.2 6/4
L. Mamut n 8	32.8	3.8 6/3
J. Pintado n 8	90.6	3.2 8/6
Renzo Giampaoli n 8	61	3.1 5/4
Pedro Silva n 8	83.4	3 8/5

Gimnasia L.P. — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nelson Insfrán n 8	90.6	3.6 7/6

Lanus

Lanus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Méndez n 8	71.1	2.4 6/4	0.8 5/0	—
Agustín Medina n 8	74.3	1.7 6/4	1.1 5/2	—
Ronaldo De Jesus n 8	92.4	1.5 7/3	0.4 3/0	—
Franco Watson n 8	57.4	1.4 4/2	2.4 4/3	Norberto Briasco
Agustín Cardozo n 8	86.5	1.2 5/2	1.4 5/3	N. Garayalde

Lanus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Walter Bou n 8	58.6	2.1 6/5	1 4/1
Juan Ramírez n 8	24.1	1.9 4/0	0 0/0
Alexis Segovia n 8	33.1	1.7 3/1	0.7 2/0
Eduardo Salvio n 8	84.8	1.6 5/4	0.5 3/1
R. Castillo n 8	70.6	1.6 5/3	0.8 3/2

Lanus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Castillo n 8	70.6	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
Marcelino Moreno n 8	79.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Franco Watson n 8	57.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Felipe Peña Biafore n 8	40.4	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
Eduardo Salvio n 8	84.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0

Lanus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Agustín Medina n 8	74.3	3.3 8/7
Lautaro Acosta n 8	26.6	3 3/2
A. Méndez n 8	71.1	2.8 6/6
Alexis Segovia n 8	33.1	2.7 5/3
Dylan Aquino n 8	34	2.6 5/1

Lanus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 15 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Nahuel Losada n 8	90.6	2.5 5/4

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Gimnasia L.P.		Lanus
42%	Possession	58%
0.48	Expected goals (xG)	0.99
8	Shots	10
4	Shots on target	5
3	Shots off target	3
1	Blocked shots	2
5	Shots inside the box	5
4	Corners	3
1	Offsides	0
18	Fouls	8
4	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
316	Passes	455
76%	Pass accuracy	82%

Gimnasia L.P. player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Nelson Insfrán	95	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Pintado	95	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.9
Renzo Giampaoli	95	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
Gastón Suso	95	0	0	1	1	0	0	Y	6
Juan Villalba	95	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	6.3
Manuel Panaro	95	0	0	1	0	0	4	Y	6.5
N. Garayalde	88	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Jeremias Merlo	70	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Mateo Seoane	70	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Marcelo Torres	70	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.6
Norberto Briasco	59	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Juan Pérez sub	36	0	0	2	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Bautista Merlini sub	25	0	0	2	2	1	2	0	6.9
Lucas Castro sub	25	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
S. Lomonaco sub	25	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7
Maximiliano Zalazar sub	7	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	–

Lanus player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Nahuel Losada	95	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Nicolás Morgantini	95	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.2
Carlos Izquierdoz	95	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7
José Canale	95	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.9
Alexis Segovia	95	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.2
A. Canelo	95	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
Juan Ramírez	91	0	0	1	0	1	4	0	7.2
Agustín Cardozo	85	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
Franco Watson	83	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.9
Luciano Romero	45	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	6.7
Bruno Cabrera	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	Y	6.3
Sasha Marcich sub	50	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	7.2
R. Castillo sub	50	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Agustín Medina sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Gonzalo Perez sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
E. Muñoz sub	4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Gimnasia L.P. v Lanus — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Gimnasia L.P.DLDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

LanusLWWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Gimnasia L.P. 2 · 2 draws · Lanus 2 · 1.67 goals/game

2025-02-13 Lanus 0–0 Gimnasia L.P.
2024-10-01 Lanus 0–0 Gimnasia L.P.
2023-05-15 Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Lanus
2022-07-24 Gimnasia L.P. 1–0 Lanus
2021-08-25 Lanus 2–0 Gimnasia L.P.
2021-04-03 Gimnasia L.P. 2–4 Lanus

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Gimnasia L.P.#7 pos22 pts16 pl-2 GD

Lanus#2 pos30 pts16 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Gimnasia L.P. scored0.88

Lanus scored1.25

Gimnasia L.P. conceded1

Lanus conceded0.81

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Gimnasia L.P. vs Lanus?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Gimnasia L.P. v Lanus was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Gimnasia L.P. and Lanus?: In their last 6 meetings, Gimnasia L.P. won 2, Lanus won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Gimnasia L.P. and Lanus?: Recent form — Gimnasia L.P. 2W 2D 1L; Lanus 3W 0D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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