Le MansLorient

Le Mans v Lorient result

Full-time · Le Mans 2–1 Lorient

Ligue 1 · · Stade Marie-Marvingt

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Le Mans · Lorient

The model’s pre-match pick

Le Mans 2–1 Lorient — Le Mans won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.36 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Le Mans 0.96, Lorient 1.07 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Le Mans beat Lorient 2–1 at Stade Marie-Marvingt in Ligue 1 on Saturday 19 September. Le Mans have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Le Mans led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Le Mans: A. Bourabaa (3’, assisted by Rayan Bamba) and H. Diallo (57’, assisted by Lucas Bretelle); Lorient: Isak Jensen (79’, assisted by Kan Kouassi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Bourabaa’s goal on 3 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Le Mans: H. Diallo (51’), Djibril Sidibé (74’) and A. Bourabaa (78’); Lorient: Jean-Victor Makengo (11’), Kan Kouassi (19’) and Arthur Avom (61’).

What it changes

Le Mans move up from 13th to eighth (five league matches played). Le Mans have scored nine goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Le Mans have conceded nine goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lorient move down from eighth to 11th (five league matches played). Lorient have scored five goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Lorient have conceded six goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Le Mans are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rayan Bamba (Le Mans) 5.9, H. Diallo (Le Mans) 5.1 and Lucas Bretelle (Le Mans) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Le Mans or Lorient (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Le Mans next host Monaco on 8 November 2026.

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Le Mans: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Le Mans 2–1 Lorient · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Marie-Marvingt · Le Mans
  • Referee: Geoffrey Kubler, French Guiana
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Le Mans 0 · draws 0 · Lorient 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Le Mans 1W 3D 1L · Lorient 1W 2D 2L

Le Mans 2–1 Lorient (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 3.63
Corners
against 5.13 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 1
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLe Mans for / againstLineLorient for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
3.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
10.88 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
16.5 for · 10.5 against n 8
21.5standard
8.25 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Geoffrey Kubler, French Guiana.

Le Mans

Le Mans Goalkeeper

Le Mans — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Hatfout290180 min52.5 /9031.5 /9000 /90
N. Kocik286171 min94.7 /9042.1 /9000 /90
Le Mans — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Hatfout n 790.7
2.45/3
N. Kocik n 888.9
2.35/2

Le Mans Defensive

Le Mans — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Boissé479315 min92.6 /9030.9 /9010.3 /90164.6 /9061.7 /9020.6 /90
H. Voyer390270 min41.3 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90113.7 /9031 /9010.3 /90
T. Eyoum290180 min21 /9021 /9021 /9042 /9021 /9000 /90
S. Yohou253106 min32.5 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9032.5 /9010.8 /9000 /90
Théo Eyoum19090 min00 /9011 /9022 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
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Le Mans — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Mafouta n 483.3
1.42/2
0.83/0
—
N. Boissé n 884.3
1.98/4
0.11/0
—
A. Bourabaa n 865.5
1.24/3
14/1
—
A. Lauray n 864.1
2.56/4
1.15/1
—
D. Guèye n 860.4
1.75/4
0.63/0
—
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Le Mans — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 483.3
0.31/0
N. Boissé n 884.3
2.78/5
A. Bourabaa n 865.5
1.45/3
A. Lauray n 864.1
2.87/4
D. Guèye n 860.4
1.15/1
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Le Mans Attacking

Le Mans — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Mafouta483333 min30.8 /9010.3 /9082.2 /9061.6 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
D. Guèye467266 min10.3 /9000 /9062 /9020.7 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Rabillard347141 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9021.3 /9021.3 /90
H. Diallo22754 min00 /9000 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Brahimi21938 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9012.4 /90
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Le Mans — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 483.3
2.24/3
1.63/2
N. Boissé n 884.3
0.42/1
00/0
A. Bourabaa n 865.5
1.57/2
0.94/1
A. Lauray n 864.1
0.72/2
0.42/0
D. Guèye n 860.4
2.27/5
1.35/2
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Le Mans — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 483.3
0.82/1
0.31/0
N. Boissé n 884.3
00/0
00/0
A. Bourabaa n 865.5
0.32/0
0.53/0
A. Lauray n 864.1
00/0
0.21/0
D. Guèye n 860.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Mvogo490360 min92.3 /9041 /9000 /90
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
2.66/4

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Talbi490360 min51.3 /9020.5 /9041 /90164 /9010.3 /9000 /90
N. Adjei490360 min71.8 /90112.8 /9030.8 /90225.5 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90
D. Sylla486342 min61.6 /90123.2 /9020.5 /90215.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
A. Georgen11818 min00 /9015 /9015 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Kouassi490360 min30.8 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90143.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Adjei n 887.9
0.84/2
0.94/3
—
K. Kouassi n 890
0.65/0
1.37/3
—
M. Talbi n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
—
Y. Mvogo n 890
00/0
00/0
—
N. Cadiou n 889.3
0.94/2
0.85/1
—
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Adjei n 887.9
1.57/5
M. Talbi n 890
0.95/2
K. Kouassi n 890
0.85/1
N. Cadiou n 889.3
1.15/2
J. Makengo n 872.9
1.45/3
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Makengo486343 min10.3 /9000 /9061.6 /9020.5 /9030.8 /9041 /90
G. Bernardeau467268 min00 /9000 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9031 /9031 /90
M. Kone456224 min10.4 /9000 /9062.4 /9052 /9041.6 /9010.4 /90
I. Jensen32471 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /9000 /9022.5 /90
I. Baldé24692 min11 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9000 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Talbi n 890
0.63/2
0.32/0
K. Kouassi n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
N. Adjei n 887.9
0.41/1
0.31/1
Y. Mvogo n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Cadiou n 889.3
1.17/2
0.32/0
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Kouassi n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Y. Mvogo n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Talbi n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Adjei n 887.9
00/0
00/0
N. Cadiou n 889.3
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Le MansLorient
51%Possession49%
0.92Expected goals (xG)0.97
11Shots9
7Shots on target2
3Shots off target6
1Blocked shots1
6Shots inside the box6
1Corners3
0Offsides1
15Fouls15
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves5
475Passes450
81%Pass accuracy82%

Le Mans Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Kocik9000000006.7
S. Yohou9000000206.6
H. Voyer9000000107
D. Sidibé90000003Y7.3
L. Mafouta9000320006.6
R. Bamba9001001306.9
A. Bourabaa85101121Y7.2
J. Vercruysse7200110006.7
Lucas Bretelle7201002007.3
H. Diallo59102201Y7.5
Y. Larouci5800210006.9
L. Calodat sub3200000006.2
D. Guèye sub3100000106.5
A. Rabillard sub1800100006.7
A. Lauray sub1800000206.3
B. Brahimi sub1300001006.3

Lorient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Mvogo9000000006.5
M. Talbi9000001106.6
D. Sylla9000000307.2
K. Kouassi90010011Y6.6
N. Cadiou9000201006.3
A. Avom90000011Y6.9
J. Makengo75000000Y6.7
N. Adjei7500001106.3
G. Bernardeau6500100006.3
I. Baldé6500100005.9
P. Katseris1700001006.7
T. Le Bris sub7300100106.2
M. Kone sub2500110006.5
S. Faye sub2500101006.9
N. Obaretin sub1500000006.3
I. Jensen sub1510111007.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Le Mans v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Le MansWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
LorientLDLWD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Le Mans 0 · 0 draws · Lorient 2 · 4.5 goals/game
  • 2020-02-04 Lorient 4–2 Le Mans
  • 2019-08-23 Le Mans 1–2 Lorient
League standing · 2026/27
Le Mans#17 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD
Lorient#12 pos12 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Le Mans scored1.22
Lorient scored0.78
Le Mans conceded2
Lorient conceded0.89

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Le Mans 0.96 xG from 11 shots, Lorient 1.07 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ibrahima Baldé 4' · 0.43 xGNoah Cadiou 90' · 0.34 xGAntoine Rabillard 96' · 0.14 xGLouis Mafouta 91' · 0.14 xGLouis Mafouta 95' · 0.13 xGYasser Larouci 18' · 0.09 xGGabin Bernardeau 26' · 0.07 xGSouleymane Faye 86' · 0.06 xGJean Vercruysse 18' · 0.05 xGLouis Mafouta 5' · 0.05 xGYasser Larouci 23' · 0.04 xGGabin Bernardeau 54' · 0.03 xGHabib Diallo 0' · 0.02 xGMamadou Koné 75' · 0.02 xGThéo Le Bris 71' · 0.02 xGNoah Cadiou 93' · 0.01 xGAlexandre Lauray 80' · 0.01 xGHabib Diallo 56' · 0.28 xG · goalIsak Jensen 78' · 0.10 xG · goalAdil Bourabaa 2' · 0.02 xG · goal
Le Mans (attacking right)Lorient (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Le Mans1120.96
Lorient911.07

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Le Mans 0.27, Lorient 0.50. At full time, xG was level: Le Mans 0.96, Lorient 1.07. The widest gap was 0.50 xG to Lorient, in the 90th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Le Mans 2 minGoal - Le Mans 56 minGoal - Lorient 78 min
Le Mans 0.96 xGLorient 1.07 xGdots = goals · 20 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Le Mans v Lorient?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Le Mans v Lorient was Home or Away (best price 1.36 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Le Mans and Lorient?
In their last 2 meetings, Le Mans won 0, Lorient won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Le Mans and Lorient?
Recent form — Le Mans 1W 3D 1L; Lorient 1W 2D 2L.

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