Lens v Le Havre prediction

Ligue 1 · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lens · Le Havre · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens v Le Havre, Ligue 1 on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lens host Le Havre in Ligue 1 on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Le Havre are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Lens have five wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.88 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 2.13. Lens have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Lens have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Six of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in 10 of Le Havre’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Le Havre have one win, four draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.88 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.50. Le Havre have scored nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Le Havre have conceded 20 goals, the second-most of the 18 clubs.

Lens (ninth) and Le Havre (18th) are 11 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Lens the stronger side, 372 rating points above Le Havre (Lens 1728, Le Havre 1356, after at least 111 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 30 January 2026, finished Lens 1–0 Le Havre.

Team news

Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, S. Baidoo, R. Aguilar, K. Antonio, M. Cuisance, A. Haidara, M. Udol, S. Abdulhamid, M. Skóraś, F. Sotoca, F. Thauvin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (6.5 per match over 14 appearances, six goals and eight assists) and Ruben Aguilar (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1144 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ruben Aguilar averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 897 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Le Havre XI (3-4-2-1): G. Gallon, A. Touba, A. Seko, J. Mwanga, S. Ebonog, A. Richardson, R. Ndiaye, D. Ouziad, E. Jelert, J. Maja, M. Samatta — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Simon Ebonog (3.9 per match over nine appearances) and A. Richardson (3.7 per match over nine appearances) have been Le Havre’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Le Havre (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Simon Ebonog averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 787 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. A. Richardson averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 756 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT · Ligue 1 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Head-to-head (last 6): Lens 3 · draws 2 · Le Havre 1 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Lens 2W 0D 3L · Le Havre 0W 0D 5L

Lens v Le Havre (Ligue 1): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.13

Goals

against 2.5 / 2.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 5.13

Corners

against 4 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.5 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 5.75 / 5.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.88 / 1.63

Cards

against 1.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Lens for / against	Line	Le Havre for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.38 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.5 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.25 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Risser	14	901260 min	473.4 /90	201.4 /90	00 /90

Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Risser n 8	90	3.2 7/5

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Aguilar	13	69897 min	313.1 /90	131.3 /90	00 /90	474.7 /90	161.6 /90	10.1 /90
K. Antonio	11	74816 min	192.1 /90	161.8 /90	50.6 /90	434.7 /90	91 /90	00 /90
I. Ganiou	8	88703 min	172.2 /90	70.9 /90	50.6 /90	364.6 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Baidoo	7	63440 min	81.6 /90	61.2 /90	10.2 /90	142.9 /90	20.4 /90	30.6 /90
J. Todibo	6	51308 min	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	123.5 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Thauvin n 8	77.4	1.3 7/2	1.7 5/3	—
M. Udol n 8	89.3	0.6 5/0	1 6/2	—
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	1.3 6/2	0.4 3/0	—
M. Cuisance n 8	80.9	1.8 6/4	0.6 4/0	—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 8	77.4	0.9 4/1
M. Udol n 8	89.3	2.3 6/5
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	3 7/6
M. Cuisance n 8	80.9	1.8 6/4
A. Haidara n 8	62.8	3 6/4
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Thauvin	14	821144 min	60.5 /90	80.6 /90	332.6 /90	201.6 /90	483.8 /90	171.3 /90
F. Ivanović	12	48573 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	111.7 /90	50.8 /90	40.6 /90	193 /90
O. Édouard	9	38344 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	112.9 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90
A. Sima	7	76534 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90
J. Kadile	7	44311 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.7 /90	30.9 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Thauvin n 8	77.4	1.7 7/4	1 5/2
M. Udol n 8	89.3	1.3 5/4	0.5 3/1
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0
M. Cuisance n 8	80.9	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Thauvin n 8	77.4	0.1 1/0	1 5/2
M. Udol n 8	89.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
M. Cuisance n 8	80.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Le Havre

Le Havre Goalkeeper

Le Havre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
G. Gallon	5	90450 min	71.4 /90	30.6 /90
L. Mpasi	3	90269 min	196.4 /90	41.3 /90
A. Bodart	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90

Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Gallon n 5	90	1.4 2/1
L. Mpasi n 7	83.4	5.2 7/5

Le Havre Defensive

Le Havre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Touba	8	90720 min	141.8 /90	182.3 /90	20.3 /90	324 /90	60.8 /90	10.1 /90
A. Seko	8	86691 min	81 /90	202.6 /90	40.5 /90	222.9 /90	81 /90	20.3 /90
J. Mwanga	8	67538 min	162.7 /90	101.7 /90	10.2 /90	213.5 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
V. Sasso	2	80160 min	63.4 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	105.6 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
F. Doucouré	2	4895 min	10.9 /90	43.8 /90	00 /90	21.9 /90	32.8 /90	21.9 /90
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Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
S. Ebonog n 8	87.4	1.9 7/5	2.4 7/6	—
A. Richardson n 8	83.3	2.6 7/6	2 6/4	—
M. Samatta n 8	78	0.7 3/1	0.4 2/1	—
J. Maja n 8	62.4	1.4 6/2	0.9 3/2	—
A. Touba n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0.4 2/1	—
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Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
S. Ebonog n 8	87.4	2.1 8/4
A. Richardson n 8	83.3	2.8 8/6
M. Samatta n 8	78	1.6 7/3
J. Maja n 8	62.4	0.2 1/0
A. Touba n 8	90	1.8 6/5
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Le Havre Attacking

Le Havre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Samatta	9	77694 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	293.8 /90	141.8 /90	40.5 /90	20.3 /90
J. Maja	9	58519 min	40.7 /90	00 /90	142.4 /90	81.4 /90	81.4 /90	40.7 /90
S. Nakamura	8	47374 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	71.7 /90	41 /90	92.2 /90	41 /90
R. Fofana	7	48336 min	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	123.2 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90	61.6 /90
E. Koffi Vinette	6	38229 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.2 /90	10.4 /90	52 /90	10.4 /90
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Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
S. Ebonog n 8	87.4	0.9 5/2	0.4 3/0
A. Richardson n 8	83.3	1.4 7/3	0.3 2/0
M. Samatta n 8	78	4 8/6	1.9 6/5
J. Maja n 8	62.4	2.5 7/4	1.4 5/2
A. Touba n 8	90	0.3 1/1	0.1 1/0
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Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Ebonog n 8	87.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Richardson n 8	83.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Samatta n 8	78	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
J. Maja n 8	62.4	0.7 3/1	0 0/0
A. Touba n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lens v Le Havre — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LensWLWLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 3 conceded per game

Le HavreLLLLL

Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 1.4 scored / 3.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lens 3 · 2 draws · Le Havre 1 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-01-30 Lens 1–0 Le Havre
2025-08-24 Le Havre 1–2 Lens
2025-03-01 Lens 3–4 Le Havre
2025-01-12 Le Havre 1–2 Lens
2024-04-06 Lens 1–1 Le Havre
2023-10-20 Le Havre 0–0 Lens

League standing · 2026/27

Lens#9 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD

Le Havre#18 pos2 pts9 pl-11 GD

Goals per game

Lens scored1.78

Le Havre scored1

Lens conceded1.44

Le Havre conceded2.22

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lens and Le Havre?: In their last 6 meetings, Lens won 3, Le Havre won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lens and Le Havre?: Recent form — Lens 2W 0D 3L; Le Havre 0W 0D 5L.

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