LilleLe Havre

Lille v Le Havre result

Full-time · Lille 1–1 Le Havre

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lille 1–1 Le Havre — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Lille and Le Havre drew 1–1 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 3 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Lille out-shot Le Havre 22 to 2 and created the better chances, 1.55 xG to 0.14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Hákon Haraldsson (29’, assisted by Romain Perraud); Le Havre: Issa Soumaré (33’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Issa Soumaré’s goal on 33 minutes.

Discipline

G. Paradis showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lille: Thomas Meunier (43’) and Aïssa Mandi (59’); Le Havre: Lucas Gourna-Douath (5’), Ayumu Seko (35’) and Issa Soumaré (73’).

What it changes

Lille stay third after this result (32 league matches played).

Le Havre stay 14th after this result (32 league matches played).

Lille are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Le Havre are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Le Havre have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Hákon Haraldsson (Lille) 8.7, Benjamin André (Lille) 7.1 and Gautier Lloris (Le Havre) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lille or Le Havre (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Lille next travel to Rennes on 8 November 2026.

Le Havre next host Lorient on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lille: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Le Havre: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lille 1–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1
  • Referee: G. Paradis
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 5): Lille 4 · draws 0 · Le Havre 1 · 2.4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lille 4W 1D 0L · Le Havre 0W 4D 1L

Lille 1–1 Le Havre (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.13
Goals
against 0.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 3.63
Corners
against 4.38 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 2 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.09 yellows
Referee · G. Paradis
23.73 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLille for / againstLineLe Havre for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
10.13 for · 8.63 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.38 for · 2 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 14.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: G. Paradis — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 23.73 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Özer40893557 min872.2 /90431.1 /9040.1 /90
A. Bodart581406 min112.4 /9061.3 /9000 /90
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Özer n 884.3
1.32/1
A. Bodart n 581.2
2.43/2

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Mandi34852880 min421.3 /90551.7 /90190.6 /901243.9 /90220.7 /9080.3 /90
N. Ngoy33852805 min411.3 /90431.4 /90170.5 /90933 /90220.7 /90100.3 /90
R. Perraud33812661 min561.9 /90280.9 /9050.2 /901384.7 /90291 /9050.2 /90
T. Meunier32742371 min381.4 /90230.9 /9060.2 /90813.1 /90361.4 /9020.1 /90
Tiago Santos20611222 min171.3 /90100.7 /9000 /90685 /90151.1 /9000 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Félix Correia n 866.9
15/1
1.77/3
I. Soumaré
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
0.32/0
—
H. Haraldsson n 877
0.62/1
1.65/3
I. Soumaré
A. Bouaddi n 877.9
1.36/3
14/2
—
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873
0.53/0
1.45/3
—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Félix Correia n 866.9
1.76/3
H. Haraldsson n 877
0.73/1
A. Bouaddi n 877.9
1.47/3
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873
0.94/2
O. Giroud n 846.3
1.54/2
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Fernandez-Pardo36752706 min80.3 /9060.2 /90471.6 /90351.2 /90421.4 /90381.3 /90
O. Giroud35632198 min70.3 /9010 /90461.9 /90210.9 /90251 /9020.1 /90
H. Igamane1450699 min81 /9010.1 /90303.9 /90172.2 /9070.9 /90182.3 /90
M. Broholm1043430 min10.2 /9000 /9051 /9030.6 /90102.1 /9061.3 /90
G. Perrin850396 min10.2 /9000 /9051.1 /9030.7 /90102.3 /9071.6 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Félix Correia n 866.9
0.51/1
0.31/1
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 877
1.66/4
15/2
A. Bouaddi n 877.9
0.32/0
00/0
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873
27/3
1.57/2
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Félix Correia n 866.9
0.21/0
00/0
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 877
0.32/0
0.11/0
A. Bouaddi n 877.9
00/0
00/0
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 873
0.64/0
0.32/0
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Le Havre

Le Havre Goalkeeper

Le Havre — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Diaw27882385 min692.6 /90381.4 /9010 /90
L. Mpasi479315 min154.3 /9020.6 /9000 /90
Paul Argney290180 min42 /9031.5 /9000 /90
Le Havre — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Diaw n 890
2.95/4
L. Mpasi n 478.8
4.34/2

Le Havre Defensive

Le Havre — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Négo28832318 min481.9 /90321.2 /9070.3 /90963.7 /90180.7 /9030.1 /90
Y. Zouaoui28782193 min431.8 /90241 /90100.4 /901054.3 /90200.8 /9060.2 /90
A. Sangante26862242 min371.5 /90361.4 /90150.6 /901375.5 /90401.6 /9040.2 /90
G. Lloris26832164 min371.5 /90391.6 /90170.7 /901255.2 /90271.1 /9010 /90
Stephan Zagadou771494 min112 /9020.4 /9071.3 /90213.8 /9071.3 /9000 /90
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Le Havre — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Soumaré n 890
1.47/3
1.97/5
H. Haraldsson
R. Ndiaye n 884.3
1.14/2
1.36/3
—
A. Seko n 890
0.86/0
0.11/0
—
L. Négo n 881.4
0.72/2
0.43/0
—
Y. Zouaoui n 869.1
1.14/3
1.65/2
—
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Le Havre — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 890
1.14/3
R. Ndiaye n 884.3
2.37/4
A. Seko n 890
1.17/2
L. Négo n 881.4
2.56/6
Y. Zouaoui n 869.1
2.67/3
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Le Havre Attacking

Le Havre — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
I. Soumaré32872769 min60.2 /9050.2 /90662.1 /90250.8 /90311 /90230.7 /90
M. Samatta23551270 min20.1 /9010.1 /90312.2 /90141 /90181.3 /9090.6 /90
S. Boufal1265784 min10.1 /9030.3 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90232.6 /90151.7 /90
F. Mambimbi954484 min10.2 /9000 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9071.3 /9010.2 /90
E. Koffi Vinette939348 min00 /9000 /9041 /9020.5 /9051.3 /9092.3 /90
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Le Havre — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 890
2.58/7
0.84/2
R. Ndiaye n 884.3
0.83/3
0.42/1
A. Seko n 890
0.42/1
0.31/1
L. Négo n 881.4
0.72/2
0.11/0
Y. Zouaoui n 869.1
0.52/1
0.31/1
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Le Havre — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Havre before kick-off, to 26 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
I. Soumaré n 890
00/0
0.43/0
R. Ndiaye n 884.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Seko n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Négo n 881.4
00/0
00/0
Y. Zouaoui n 869.1
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LilleLe Havre
67%Possession33%
1.55Expected goals (xG)0.14
22Shots2
10Shots on target2
6Shots off target1
6Blocked shots0
16Shots inside the box2
14Corners5
1Offsides3
9Fouls15
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves9
489Passes249
88%Pass accuracy71%

Lille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Özer9000000006.5
N. Ngoy9000210106.9
A. Mandi90003210Y7.6
B. André9000000407.3
H. Haraldsson9010434208.3
M. Fernandez-Pardo9000102006.7
T. Meunier85000011Y6.6
A. Bouaddi8400000206.9
R. Perraud7401003007
Félix Correia7400312106.2
N. Mukau6600112007.3
E. Mbappé sub2400003006.9
C. Verdonk sub1600110006.7
O. Giroud sub1600000006.5
G. Perrin sub1300110106.9
Tiago Santos sub1200000106.6

Le Havre Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Diaw9000000008.5
L. Négo9000000407.2
A. Seko90000000Y6
G. Lloris9000000507.7
S. Ebonog9000000206.7
L. Gourna-Douath90000004Y6.9
I. Soumaré90101102Y7
M. Samatta8800110006.9
Y. Zouaoui7500000407.2
S. Boufal6500000407
F. Doucouré6400000106.7
T. Pembélé sub2600000106.7
Y. Kechta sub2500000006.7
E. Koffi Vinette sub1500000206.5
É. Youté sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lille v Le Havre — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LilleWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Le HavreLDDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 5
Lille 4 · 0 draws · Le Havre 1 · 2.4 goals/game
  • 2025-11-30 Le Havre 0–1 Lille
  • 2025-02-08 Lille 1–2 Le Havre
  • 2024-09-28 Le Havre 0–3 Lille
  • 2024-02-17 Lille 3–0 Le Havre
  • 2023-10-01 Le Havre 0–2 Lille
League standing · 2025/26
Lille#3 pos61 pts34 pl+15 GD
Le Havre#14 pos35 pts34 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Lille scored1.53
Le Havre scored0.94
Lille conceded1.09
Le Havre conceded1.29

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lille v Le Havre?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Le Havre was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Le Havre?
In their last 5 meetings, Lille won 4, Le Havre won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lille and Le Havre?
Recent form — Lille 4W 1D 0L; Le Havre 0W 4D 1L.

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