Lille v Le Havre result
Team pages: Lille · Le Havre · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Lille 1–1 Le Havre — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Lille and Le Havre drew 1–1 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 3 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Lille out-shot Le Havre 22 to 2 and created the better chances, 1.55 xG to 0.14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Hákon Haraldsson (29’, assisted by Romain Perraud); Le Havre: Issa Soumaré (33’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Issa Soumaré’s goal on 33 minutes.
Discipline
G. Paradis showed five yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lille: Thomas Meunier (43’) and Aïssa Mandi (59’); Le Havre: Lucas Gourna-Douath (5’), Ayumu Seko (35’) and Issa Soumaré (73’).
What it changes
Lille stay third after this result (32 league matches played).
Le Havre stay 14th after this result (32 league matches played).
Lille are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Le Havre are winless in their last 10 matches in all competitions. Le Havre have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Hákon Haraldsson (Lille) 8.7, Benjamin André (Lille) 7.1 and Gautier Lloris (Le Havre) 6.2 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Lille or Le Havre (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Lille next travel to Rennes on 8 November 2026.
Le Havre next host Lorient on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Lille: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Le Havre: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Lille 1–1 Le Havre · Ligue 1
- Referee: G. Paradis
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Lille 4 · draws 0 · Le Havre 1 · 2.4 goals/game
- Recent form: Lille 4W 1D 0L · Le Havre 0W 4D 1L
Lille 1–1 Le Havre (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Lille for / against | Line | Le Havre for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.5 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 3.38 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.63 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10.13 for · 8.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13.38 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.25 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 9.25 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.88 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: G. Paradis — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 23.73 fouls over 11 matches.
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Lille
Lille Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | 40 | 893557 min | 872.2 /90 | 431.1 /90 | 40.1 /90 |
| A. Bodart | 5 | 81406 min | 112.4 /90 | 61.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Özer n 8 | 84.3 | 1.3 |
| A. Bodart n 5 | 81.2 | 2.4 |
Lille Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mandi | 34 | 852880 min | 421.3 /90 | 551.7 /90 | 190.6 /90 | 1243.9 /90 | 220.7 /90 | 80.3 /90 |
| N. Ngoy | 33 | 852805 min | 411.3 /90 | 431.4 /90 | 170.5 /90 | 933 /90 | 220.7 /90 | 100.3 /90 |
| R. Perraud | 33 | 812661 min | 561.9 /90 | 280.9 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 1384.7 /90 | 291 /90 | 50.2 /90 |
| T. Meunier | 32 | 742371 min | 381.4 /90 | 230.9 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 813.1 /90 | 361.4 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| Tiago Santos | 20 | 611222 min | 171.3 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 685 /90 | 151.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Félix Correia n 8 | 66.9 | 1 | 1.7 | I. Soumaré |
| B. Özer n 8 | 84.3 | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| H. Haraldsson n 8 | 77 | 0.6 | 1.6 | I. Soumaré |
| A. Bouaddi n 8 | 77.9 | 1.3 | 1 | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 73 | 0.5 | 1.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Félix Correia n 8 | 66.9 | 1.7 |
| H. Haraldsson n 8 | 77 | 0.7 |
| A. Bouaddi n 8 | 77.9 | 1.4 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 73 | 0.9 |
| O. Giroud n 8 | 46.3 | 1.5 |
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Lille Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | 36 | 752706 min | 80.3 /90 | 60.2 /90 | 471.6 /90 | 351.2 /90 | 421.4 /90 | 381.3 /90 |
| O. Giroud | 35 | 632198 min | 70.3 /90 | 10 /90 | 461.9 /90 | 210.9 /90 | 251 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| H. Igamane | 14 | 50699 min | 81 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 303.9 /90 | 172.2 /90 | 70.9 /90 | 182.3 /90 |
| M. Broholm | 10 | 43430 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 51 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 102.1 /90 | 61.3 /90 |
| G. Perrin | 8 | 50396 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 51.1 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 102.3 /90 | 71.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Félix Correia n 8 | 66.9 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| B. Özer n 8 | 84.3 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Haraldsson n 8 | 77 | 1.6 | 1 |
| A. Bouaddi n 8 | 77.9 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 73 | 2 | 1.5 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Félix Correia n 8 | 66.9 | 0.2 | 0 |
| B. Özer n 8 | 84.3 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Haraldsson n 8 | 77 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| A. Bouaddi n 8 | 77.9 | 0 | 0 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo n 8 | 73 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
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Le Havre
Le Havre Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diaw | 27 | 882385 min | 692.6 /90 | 381.4 /90 | 10 /90 |
| L. Mpasi | 4 | 79315 min | 154.3 /90 | 20.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Paul Argney | 2 | 90180 min | 42 /90 | 31.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Diaw n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
| L. Mpasi n 4 | 78.8 | 4.3 |
Le Havre Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Négo | 28 | 832318 min | 481.9 /90 | 321.2 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 963.7 /90 | 180.7 /90 | 30.1 /90 |
| Y. Zouaoui | 28 | 782193 min | 431.8 /90 | 241 /90 | 100.4 /90 | 1054.3 /90 | 200.8 /90 | 60.2 /90 |
| A. Sangante | 26 | 862242 min | 371.5 /90 | 361.4 /90 | 150.6 /90 | 1375.5 /90 | 401.6 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| G. Lloris | 26 | 832164 min | 371.5 /90 | 391.6 /90 | 170.7 /90 | 1255.2 /90 | 271.1 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Stephan Zagadou | 7 | 71494 min | 112 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 71.3 /90 | 213.8 /90 | 71.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 1.9 | H. Haraldsson |
| R. Ndiaye n 8 | 84.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | — |
| A. Seko n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.1 | — |
| L. Négo n 8 | 81.4 | 0.7 | 0.4 | — |
| Y. Zouaoui n 8 | 69.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| R. Ndiaye n 8 | 84.3 | 2.3 |
| A. Seko n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| L. Négo n 8 | 81.4 | 2.5 |
| Y. Zouaoui n 8 | 69.1 | 2.6 |
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Le Havre Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Soumaré | 32 | 872769 min | 60.2 /90 | 50.2 /90 | 662.1 /90 | 250.8 /90 | 311 /90 | 230.7 /90 |
| M. Samatta | 23 | 551270 min | 20.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 312.2 /90 | 141 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 90.6 /90 |
| S. Boufal | 12 | 65784 min | 10.1 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 70.8 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 232.6 /90 | 151.7 /90 |
| F. Mambimbi | 9 | 54484 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 71.3 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| E. Koffi Vinette | 9 | 39348 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 41 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 92.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 90 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| R. Ndiaye n 8 | 84.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| A. Seko n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| L. Négo n 8 | 81.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Y. Zouaoui n 8 | 69.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| I. Soumaré n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 |
| R. Ndiaye n 8 | 84.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| A. Seko n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Négo n 8 | 81.4 | 0 | 0 |
| Y. Zouaoui n 8 | 69.1 | 0.2 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Lille | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| 67% | Possession | 33% |
| 1.55 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.14 |
| 22 | Shots | 2 |
| 10 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 1 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 0 |
| 16 | Shots inside the box | 2 |
| 14 | Corners | 5 |
| 1 | Offsides | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 9 |
| 489 | Passes | 249 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 71% |
Lille Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Özer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| N. Ngoy | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Mandi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.6 |
| B. André | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| H. Haraldsson | 90 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8.3 |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Meunier | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.6 |
| A. Bouaddi | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Perraud | 74 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Félix Correia | 74 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Mukau | 66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| E. Mbappé sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| C. Verdonk sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| O. Giroud sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| G. Perrin sub | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Tiago Santos sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
Le Havre Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Diaw | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.5 |
| L. Négo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| A. Seko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6 |
| G. Lloris | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7.7 |
| S. Ebonog | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| L. Gourna-Douath | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | Y | 6.9 |
| I. Soumaré | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | Y | 7 |
| M. Samatta | 88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Y. Zouaoui | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Boufal | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| F. Doucouré | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| T. Pembélé sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Y. Kechta sub | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| E. Koffi Vinette sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.5 |
| É. Youté sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Lille v Le Havre — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-11-30 Le Havre 0–1 Lille
- 2025-02-08 Lille 1–2 Le Havre
- 2024-09-28 Le Havre 0–3 Lille
- 2024-02-17 Lille 3–0 Le Havre
- 2023-10-01 Le Havre 0–2 Lille
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Lille v Le Havre?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Le Havre was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Le Havre?
- In their last 5 meetings, Lille won 4, Le Havre won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Lille and Le Havre?
- Recent form — Lille 4W 1D 0L; Le Havre 0W 4D 1L.
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