This Matchweek

Lille v Lens result

Full-time · Lille 1–0 Lens

Ligue 1 · · Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lille · Lens · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lille 1–0 Lens — Lille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.07 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 578 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 528 of 821 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lille: 2.13 to 0.40 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 17th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lille have conceded six goals, the fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Lille beat Lens 1–0 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Ligue 1 on Friday 30 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lille: Olivier Giroud (86’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Olivier Giroud’s goal on 86 minutes.

Discipline

Jerome Brisard showed one yellow card — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Lille move down from first to second (nine league matches played). Lille have scored 12 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game).

Lens move down from sixth to eighth (nine league matches played). Lens have scored 16 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Lens have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nabil Bentaleb (Lille) 6.0, R. Risser (Lens) 5.5 and Olivier Giroud (Lille) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Lille next travel to Bodo/Glimt on 3 November 2026.

Lens next host Como on 4 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lille: Bodo/Glimt v Lille, Tuesday 3 November — the preview. Next for Lens: Lens v Como, Wednesday 4 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lille 1–0 Lens · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Pierre-Mauroy · Lille
  • Referee: Jerome Brisard
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lille 4 · draws 1 · Lens 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lille 1W 2D 2L · Lens 3W 0D 2L

Lille 1–0 Lens (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 1 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.38 / 6.75
Corners
against 4.5 / 3.25 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 5.5
Shots on target
against 4 / 4.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLille for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
2.5our book
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.75 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
10.63 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
16.38 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.63 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
5.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 15.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Jerome Brisard.

Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Özer1090900 min323.2 /9070.7 /9000 /90
Orlando Gill19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Özer n 890
3.56/4

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Alexsandro Ribeiro1090900 min161.6 /90141.4 /90101 /90474.7 /9050.5 /9000 /90
N. Ngoy1090900 min90.9 /90121.2 /9040.4 /90353.5 /9070.7 /9000 /90
R. Perraud1077774 min192.2 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90384.4 /9060.7 /9030.3 /90
Tiago Santos780562 min132.1 /9050.8 /9000 /90386.1 /9071.1 /9000 /90
M. Goffi566332 min92.4 /9071.9 /9000 /90174.6 /9041.1 /9020.5 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Haraldsson n 874.8
0.95/1
2.47/5
F. Thauvin
N. Bentaleb n 869.3
1.86/2
0.52/1
M. Udol
N. Ngoy n 890
0.53/1
0.95/2
R. Aguilar
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 890
0.43/0
15/3
R. Aguilar
B. Özer n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 874.8
0.63/1
N. Bentaleb n 869.3
1.55/3
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 890
1.66/5
N. Ngoy n 890
0.84/1
R. Perraud n 876
2.47/6
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Bakwa959529 min20.3 /9010.2 /90111.9 /9040.7 /90101.7 /9050.9 /90
O. Giroud854429 min20.4 /9020.4 /9061.3 /9040.8 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
A. Ueda664382 min30.7 /9000 /90112.6 /9081.9 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
G. Perrin635208 min00 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9000 /9010.4 /9020.9 /90
O. Sahraoui527133 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9042.7 /9032 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 874.8
0.31/1
00/0
N. Bentaleb n 869.3
16/0
0.32/0
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 890
0.83/2
0.11/0
N. Ngoy n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Özer n 890
00/0
00/0
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Haraldsson n 874.8
00/0
0.21/0
N. Bentaleb n 869.3
00/0
00/0
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
B. Özer n 890
00/0
00/0
N. Ngoy n 890
00/0
00/0
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Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Risser12901080 min393.3 /90110.9 /9000 /90
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
37/6

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Aguilar1165717 min243 /90101.3 /9000 /90344.3 /90121.5 /9010.1 /90
K. Antonio978698 min162.1 /90131.7 /9040.5 /90364.6 /9070.9 /9000 /90
I. Ganiou888703 min172.2 /9070.9 /9050.6 /90364.6 /9050.6 /9010.1 /90
S. Baidoo552260 min62.1 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90113.8 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90
J. Todibo549246 min72.6 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90114 /9051.8 /9000 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Risser n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
F. Thauvin n 879.9
16/1
1.85/4
H. Haraldsson
M. Udol n 881
0.64/0
0.74/1
N. Bentaleb
R. Aguilar n 871.8
0.95/1
0.53/0
Alexsandro Ribeiro
M. Cuisance n 873.6
1.55/3
0.53/0
—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 879.9
0.73/1
M. Udol n 881
1.95/4
R. Aguilar n 871.8
2.56/5
M. Cuisance n 873.6
1.45/3
A. Haidara n 859
2.36/2
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Thauvin1282984 min60.5 /9070.6 /90312.8 /90191.7 /90433.9 /90161.5 /90
F. Ivanović1051507 min20.4 /9000 /90101.8 /9040.7 /9040.7 /90183.2 /90
O. Édouard938344 min10.3 /9000 /90112.9 /9061.6 /9051.3 /9030.8 /90
A. Sima776534 min20.3 /9010.2 /9081.3 /9040.7 /9081.3 /9040.7 /90
F. Sotoca556279 min10.3 /9000 /9082.6 /9020.6 /9041.3 /9020.6 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Thauvin n 879.9
3.17/6
1.76/4
M. Udol n 881
1.55/4
0.74/1
R. Aguilar n 871.8
1.14/3
0.32/0
M. Cuisance n 873.6
0.85/0
0.32/0
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Thauvin n 879.9
0.32/0
0.84/2
M. Udol n 881
0.32/0
00/0
R. Aguilar n 871.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Cuisance n 873.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LilleLens
62%Possession38%
1.71Expected goals (xG)0.26
16Shots5
7Shots on target3
4Shots off target1
5Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box4
10Corners2
1Offsides0
7Fouls14
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves6
586Passes358

Lille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Özer9000000107.1
N. Ngoy9000000006.9
M. Goffi9000111207.1
Alexsandro Ribeiro9000001206.8
N. Bentaleb9000213107.2
B. André9000001006.5
S. Diaoune9000410106.4
H. Haraldsson8900111006.3
R. Perraud7800101007
N. Mukau7300001006.7
E. Mbappé7300321006.3
D. Bakwa1700100006.6
O. Giroud1710310107.7
C. Verdonk1200000006.5
G. Perrin100000106.6

Lens Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Risser9000000007.9
R. Aguilar9000000406.7
S. Baidoo9000110106.4
Saud Abdulhamid90001114Y5.7
M. Udol9000000405.8
F. Thauvin9000103106.1
A. Haidara8000000306.5
M. Cuisance6900000206.2
T. Hazard6900110106
J. Todibo6200000006.7
F. Sotoca6200000105.7
K. Antonio2800000106.4
J. Kadile2800000106.6
Yassine Titraoui2100000006.3
F. Ivanović2100000006.2
A. Bulatović1000100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lille v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LilleWLDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
LensWLWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lille 4 · 1 draw · Lens 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-04 Lille 3–0 Lens
  • 2025-09-20 Lens 3–0 Lille
  • 2025-03-30 Lille 1–0 Lens
  • 2024-10-26 Lens 0–2 Lille
  • 2024-03-29 Lille 2–1 Lens
  • 2023-10-08 Lens 1–1 Lille
League standing · 2026/27
Lille#2 pos18 pts9 pl+6 GD
Lens#8 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Lille scored1.33
Lens scored1.78
Lille conceded0.67
Lens conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lille 2.13 xG from 16 shots, Lens 0.40 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Olivier Giroud 79' · 0.45 xGEthan Mbappé 52' · 0.43 xGHákon Haraldsson 65' · 0.24 xGSaud Abdulhamid 38' · 0.23 xGSoriba Diaoune 56' · 0.09 xGSoriba Diaoune 19' · 0.09 xGOlivier Giroud 72' · 0.07 xGSoriba Diaoune 32' · 0.06 xGSoriba Diaoune 31' · 0.06 xGNabil Bentaleb 37' · 0.06 xGEthan Mbappé 17' · 0.06 xGFlorian Thauvin 43' · 0.06 xGEthan Mbappé 47' · 0.05 xGThorgan Hazard 10' · 0.05 xGAndrija Bulatovic 82' · 0.05 xGDilane Bakwa 80' · 0.05 xGMaxima Goffi 72' · 0.05 xGRomain Perraud 28' · 0.03 xGNabil Bentaleb 85' · 0.02 xGSamson Baidoo 70' · 0.02 xGOlivier Giroud 85' · 0.34 xG · goal
Lille (attacking right)Lens (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lille1612.13
Lens500.40

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Lille 0.35, Lens 0.34. At full time, Lille led on xG, 2.13 to 0.40. The widest gap was 1.73 xG to Lille, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′Match minuteCumulative xGGoal - Lille 85 min
Lille 2.13 xGLens 0.40 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lille v Lens?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Lens was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.07 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Lille won 4, Lens won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lille and Lens?
Recent form — Lille 1W 2D 2L; Lens 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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