Lens v Como prediction

UEFA Champions League · Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 04:18 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lens · Como

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Lens v Como, UEFA Champions League on Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 66.8% of 578 landed (95% range 62.8–70.5%); it had given them 76.2% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lens host Como in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday 4 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Como have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Como have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Lens’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Lens have five wins, no draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.14 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.14.

Nine of Como’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Como’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Como have six wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 2.11 points per game, scoring 2.22 and conceding 1.22.

Lens (27th) and Como (ninth) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Team news

Predicted Lens XI (3-4-2-1): R. Risser, S. Baidoo, R. Aguilar, K. Antonio, M. Cuisance, A. Haidara, S. Abdulhamid, M. Udol, F. Thauvin, F. Sotoca, F. Ivanović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Florian Thauvin (6.7 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and seven assists) and Matthieu Udol (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lens’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lens (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Florian Thauvin averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 1074 minutes, with a shot in nine of the last 10 appearances. Matthieu Udol averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1008 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Como XI (4-2-3-1): J. Butez, J. Naveros, M. Kempf, Y. Couto, Á. Valle, L. Da Cunha, M. Perrone, L. Milla, N. Paz, M. Caqueret, T. Douvikas — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, N. Paz (8.3 per match over 11 appearances, five goals and six assists) and Assane Diao (5.7 per match over eight appearances, four goals and one assist) have been Como’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Como (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), N. Paz averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1196 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Assane Diao averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 602 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · UEFA Champions League · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Lens 2W 0D 3L · Como 4W 0D 1L

Lens v Como (UEFA Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 31 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.88 / 5.5

Corners

against 3.75 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 6.38

Shots on target

against 4.88 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.38 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Lens for / against	Line	Como for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	2 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 3.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.75 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.88 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.25 for · 12 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5

Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Risser	13	901170 min	453.5 /90	110.8 /90	00 /90

Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Risser n 8	90	3.4 7/6

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Aguilar	12	67807 min	283.1 /90	121.3 /90	00 /90	394.3 /90	151.7 /90	10.1 /90
K. Antonio	10	73726 min	172.1 /90	131.6 /90	40.5 /90	394.8 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
I. Ganiou	8	88703 min	172.2 /90	70.9 /90	50.6 /90	364.6 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Baidoo	6	58350 min	71.8 /90	61.5 /90	10.3 /90	123.1 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90
J. Todibo	6	51308 min	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	123.5 /90	51.5 /90	00 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
F. Thauvin n 8	79.9	1.3 7/2	2 6/4	—
M. Udol n 8	89.3	0.6 5/0	0.9 5/2	—
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	1.3 6/2	0.4 3/0	—
M. Cuisance n 8	73.3	1.5 5/3	0.5 3/0	—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 8	79.9	0.8 4/1
M. Udol n 8	89.3	2.3 6/5
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	2.8 7/6
M. Cuisance n 8	73.3	1.4 5/3
A. Haidara n 8	59.6	2.6 6/3
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
F. Thauvin	13	831074 min	60.5 /90	70.6 /90	322.7 /90	191.6 /90	463.9 /90	171.4 /90
F. Ivanović	11	48528 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	101.7 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90	193.2 /90
O. Édouard	9	38344 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	112.9 /90	61.6 /90	51.3 /90	30.8 /90
A. Sima	7	76534 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90	81.3 /90	40.7 /90
F. Sotoca	6	57341 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	82.1 /90	20.5 /90	41.1 /90	20.5 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Thauvin n 8	79.9	2.1 7/5	1.3 5/3
M. Udol n 8	89.3	1.4 5/4	0.6 4/1
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
M. Cuisance n 8	73.3	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
R. Risser n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
F. Thauvin n 8	79.9	0.1 1/0	0.8 4/2
M. Udol n 8	89.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
R. Aguilar n 8	79.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
M. Cuisance n 8	73.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Como

Como Goalkeeper

Como — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Jean Butez	9	90810 min	212.3 /90	60.7 /90	00 /90
Robert Sánchez	3	90270 min	103.3 /90	10.3 /90	00 /90

Como — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Jean Butez n 8	90	2.4 5/4
Robert Sánchez n 3	90	3.3 3/3

Como Defensive

Como — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jacobo Ramón Naveros	12	851021 min	282.5 /90	90.8 /90	40.4 /90	706.2 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
Yan Couto	11	77846 min	121.3 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90	252.7 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90
Álex Valle	9	81728 min	162 /90	111.4 /90	50.6 /90	303.7 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
Kaiki	8	54433 min	132.7 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	387.9 /90	91.9 /90	00 /90
T. Chalobah	7	90630 min	91.3 /90	81.1 /90	20.3 /90	253.6 /90	10.1 /90	00 /90
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Como — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 8	82.6	1.1 4/2	0.1 1/0	—
T. Douvikas n 8	68.9	0.3 2/0	1.1 4/2	—
Lucas Da Cunha n 8	70.5	0.6 3/1	0.6 3/1	—
M. Perrone n 8	67.8	1.3 5/3	0.8 3/2	—
N. Paz n 8	83.9	1.7 6/5	1.2 5/3	—
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Como — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 8	82.6	2.7 6/4
T. Douvikas n 8	68.9	0 0/0
Lucas Da Cunha n 8	70.5	1.1 4/3
M. Perrone n 8	67.8	2 6/4
N. Paz n 8	83.9	3 7/7
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Como Attacking

Como — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
T. Douvikas	12	72862 min	80.8 /90	00 /90	262.7 /90	171.8 /90	70.7 /90	20.2 /90
Jesús Rodríguez	5	48242 min	00 /90	00 /90	62.2 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	93.3 /90
M. Kean	4	40158 min	00 /90	10.6 /90	42.3 /90	31.7 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90
J. Addai	2	3365 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90
Lucas Da Cunha	12	68820 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	131.4 /90	40.4 /90	161.8 /90	80.9 /90
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Como — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 8	82.6	1.2 5/3	0.5 3/1
T. Douvikas n 8	68.9	2.9 8/7	1.8 6/4
Lucas Da Cunha n 8	70.5	1.3 6/2	0.3 2/0
M. Perrone n 8	67.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
N. Paz n 8	83.9	4.4 8/8	1.7 5/4
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Como — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Como before kick-off, to 30 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jacobo Ramón Naveros n 8	82.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
T. Douvikas n 8	68.9	0.8 4/1	0 0/0
Lucas Da Cunha n 8	70.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
M. Perrone n 8	67.8	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
N. Paz n 8	83.9	0.5 3/1	0.8 5/1
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lens v Como — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LensLWLWL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

ComoLWWWW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Lens#27 pos3 pts3 pl-4 GD

Como#9 pos6 pts3 pl+5 GD

Goals per game

Lens scored1

Como scored3.33

Lens conceded2.33

Como conceded1.67

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Lens v Como?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lens v Como is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Lens and Como?: Recent form — Lens 2W 0D 3L; Como 4W 0D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 31 Oct 2026, 04:18 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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