Lille v Paris Saint-Germain result

Full-time · Lille 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain

Ligue 1 · Fri, 28 Aug 2026 19:45 BST · Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy

Updated 11 Sep 2026, 04:32 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lille · Paris Saint-Germain · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lille 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.26 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris Saint-Germain: 1.78 to 1.16 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 87th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Lille and Paris Saint-Germain drew 2–2 at Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy in Ligue 1 on Friday 28 August.

The goals

Lille led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Lille: Hákon Haraldsson (21’, assisted by Olivier Giroud) and Dilane Bakwa (84’, assisted by Olivier Giroud); Paris Saint-Germain: Vitinha (90’, assisted by Mika Godts) and Marquinhos (90’, assisted by Vitinha).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marquinhos’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Eric Wattellier, France showed three yellow cards — against 3.0 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lille: Benjamin André (52’) and Romain Perraud (90+4’); Paris Saint-Germain: Fabián Ruiz (39’).

What it changes

Lille move up from third to first (two league matches played).

Paris Saint-Germain stay sixth after this result (two league matches played).

Paris Saint-Germain are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vitinha (Paris Saint-Germain) 10.4, Olivier Giroud (Lille) 6.9 and Hákon Haraldsson (Lille) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Paris Saint-Germain are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Lille, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lille or Paris Saint-Germain (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Lille next travel to Rennes on 8 November 2026.

Paris Saint-Germain next host Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lille: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain v Estac Troyes, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Lille 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1
Venue: Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre Mauroy · Lille
Referee: Eric Wattellier, France
Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lille 0 · draws 2 · Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: Lille 3W 1D 1L · Paris Saint-Germain 1W 2D 2L

Lille 2–2 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.38 / 1 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.75

over 8 matches

4.5 / 6.14

Corners

against 4.63 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.63 / 5

Shots on target

against 2 / 5.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.38 / 1.43

Cards

against 2.63 / 1.71 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3 yellows

Referee · Eric Wattellier, France

19.33 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 6 matches

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Lille for / against	Line	Paris Saint-Germain for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 0.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.75our book	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.14 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.38 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.71 for · 13.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 5.14 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.13 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8 for · 9.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.43 for · 1.71 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Eric Wattellier, France — 3 yellow cards a game, 0.33 red cards, 19.33 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Özer	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Özer n 8	90	1.6 4/1

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Alexsandro Ribeiro	1	9090 min	33 /90	11 /90	33 /90	66 /90	11 /90	00 /90
N. Ngoy	1	9090 min	22 /90	22 /90	11 /90	44 /90	22 /90	00 /90
Tiago Santos	1	9090 min	33 /90	33 /90	00 /90	66 /90	11 /90	00 /90
R. Perraud	1	7676 min	11.2 /90	00 /90	22.4 /90	44.7 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90
N. Bentaleb	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90	33 /90	00 /90	00 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Tiago Santos n 8	74.3	1.4 6/2	1.8 7/4	W. Pacho
N. Mukau n 8	70	1.4 6/3	1.6 6/3	—
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 8	76.5	1.2 5/2	1.2 5/2	A. Hakimi
N. Bentaleb n 8	78.8	1 4/3	0.7 4/1	Vitinha
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.9 4/2	0.8 5/1	W. Pacho
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 8	76.5	2.2 7/6
N. Mukau n 8	70	1.9 6/5
Tiago Santos n 8	74.3	1.8 6/3
N. Bentaleb n 8	78.8	1.6 6/3
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.9 5/2
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
O. Giroud	1	6363 min	11.4 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90	00 /90	00 /90
G. Perrin	1	2727 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.3 /90
N. Bentaleb	1	9090 min	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90
H. Haraldsson	1	7676 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.6 /90	33.6 /90	22.4 /90	11.2 /90
E. Mbappé	1	6363 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90	11.4 /90	22.9 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 8	76.5	1.2 5/2	0.3 2/0
Tiago Santos n 8	74.3	1.2 4/3	0.3 1/1
N. Bentaleb n 8	78.8	0.7 4/1	0.6 3/1
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
N. Mukau n 8	70	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Tiago Santos n 8	74.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
N. Bentaleb n 8	78.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
B. Özer n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Ngoy n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alexsandro Ribeiro n 8	76.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Safonov	3	92276 min	41.3 /90	41.3 /90	00 /90

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	3.3 5/4

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Hakimi	3	92276 min	62 /90	31 /90	00 /90	206.5 /90	10.3 /90	20.7 /90
W. Pacho	3	92276 min	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	41.3 /90	123.9 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
Marquinhos	2	93186 min	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	41.9 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
L. Hernández	2	56111 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Nuno Mendes	2	51101 min	10.9 /90	43.6 /90	00 /90	108.9 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Hakimi n 8	81.4	0.7 3/1	0.8 5/1	Alexsandro Ribeiro
W. Pacho n 8	90.8	0.6 3/1	0.6 4/1	N. Ngoy
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
D. Doué n 8	76.9	0.9 5/1	1.6 5/2	—
Vitinha n 8	73.4	0.5 2/1	0.5 2/1	N. Bentaleb
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Hakimi n 8	81.4	2.1 8/5
W. Pacho n 8	90.8	1.2 4/2
D. Doué n 8	76.9	2.6 7/7
Vitinha n 8	73.4	0.9 6/0
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	65.5	1.5 5/3
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Doué	3	89267 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	82.7 /90	51.7 /90	82.7 /90	155.1 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia	3	68203 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.7 /90	31.3 /90	20.9 /90	41.8 /90
M. Akliouche	3	45135 min	00 /90	00 /90	32 /90	00 /90	21.3 /90	10.7 /90
O. Dembélé	3	42126 min	00 /90	10.7 /90	64.3 /90	21.4 /90	53.6 /90	21.4 /90
Ferran Torres	1	4545 min	24 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Hakimi n 8	81.4	0.8 4/1	0.3 1/1
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
W. Pacho n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Doué n 8	76.9	2.3 6/5	1.3 6/3
Vitinha n 8	73.4	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Hakimi n 8	81.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
W. Pacho n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Doué n 8	76.9	0.3 2/0	0.7 4/1
Vitinha n 8	73.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lille		Paris Saint-Germain
27%	Possession	73%
1.27	Expected goals (xG)	1.44
9	Shots	18
4	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	13
1	Blocked shots	1
6	Shots inside the box	7
0	Corners	5
5	Offsides	0
11	Fouls	7
2	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	2
298	Passes	808
84%	Pass accuracy	91%

Lille Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
B. Özer	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Tiago Santos	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
N. Ngoy	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Alexsandro Ribeiro	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
R. Perraud	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6.2
N. Bentaleb	90	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
O. Giroud	90	0	2	2	1	2	0	0	6.9
H. Haraldsson	80	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.7
E. Mbappé	68	0	0	1	1	3	0	0	7.3
B. André	61	0	0	0	0	1	4	Y	6.6
Félix Correia	61	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
N. Mukau sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
G. Perrin sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
D. Bakwa sub	22	1	0	1	1	0	1	0	7.3
C. Verdonk sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Safonov	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
A. Hakimi	90	0	0	2	0	1	1	0	6.3
Marquinhos	90	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.9
W. Pacho	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
W. Zaïre-Emery	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	6.2
Vitinha	90	1	1	5	2	2	1	0	8.6
M. Akliouche	78	0	0	0	0	3	1	0	6.2
Fabián Ruiz	72	0	0	1	1	2	3	Y	6.9
Ferran Torres	72	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	6.7
Beraldo	63	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Doué	45	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
K. Kvaratskhelia sub	45	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	6.5
Mika Godts sub	27	0	1	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
L. Digne sub	18	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Senny Mayulu sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Pedro Fernández sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lille v Paris Saint-Germain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LilleWDWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Paris Saint-GermainLDWLD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lille 0 · 2 draws · Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-01-16 Paris Saint-Germain 3–0 Lille
2025-10-05 Lille 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain
2025-03-01 Paris Saint-Germain 4–1 Lille
2024-09-01 Lille 1–3 Paris Saint-Germain
2024-02-10 Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Lille
2023-12-17 Lille 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain

League standing · 2026/27

Lille#2 pos18 pts9 pl+6 GD

Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos20 pts9 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Lille scored1.33

Paris Saint-Germain scored2.33

Lille conceded0.67

Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lille 1.16 xG from 9 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 1.78 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lille (attacking right)Paris Saint-Germain (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Lille	9	2	1.16
Paris Saint-Germain	18	2	1.78

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Lille 0.68, Paris Saint-Germain 0.55. At full time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 1.78 to 1.16. The widest gap was 0.62 xG to Paris Saint-Germain, in the 94th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Lille 1.16 xGParis Saint-Germain 1.78 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lille v Paris Saint-Germain?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lille v Paris Saint-Germain was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lille and Paris Saint-Germain?: In their last 6 meetings, Lille won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lille and Paris Saint-Germain?: Recent form — Lille 3W 1D 1L; Paris Saint-Germain 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Sep 2026, 04:32 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.