This Matchweek

LorientEstac Troyes

Lorient v Estac Troyes result

Full-time · Lorient 1–2 Estac Troyes

Ligue 1 · · Stade du Moustoir

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lorient · Estac Troyes · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lorient 1–2 Estac Troyes — Estac Troyes won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home offsides under 2.5.

Free pick
Home offsides under 2.5
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Estac Troyes: 1.68 to 1.02 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG, from 11 shots to 15 (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Estac Troyes won 2–1 at Stade du Moustoir in Ligue 1 on Saturday 29 August. It is Estac Troyes’s first win over Lorient since 1 December 2021, after five meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Estac Troyes led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Estac Troyes: Renaud Ripart (29’ pen) and Lucas Maronnier (38’, assisted by Antoine Mille); Lorient: Jean-Victor Makengo (51’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Renaud Ripart’s goal on 29 minutes.

What it changes

Lorient move down from fifth to 15th (two league matches played).

Estac Troyes move up from sixth to second (two league matches played).

Lorient are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Renaud Ripart (Estac Troyes) 8.4, Antoine Mille (Estac Troyes) 7.3 and Lucas Maronnier (Estac Troyes) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Lorient are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Estac Troyes.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Lorient offsides under 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Estac Troyes next host Le Havre on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Estac Troyes: Estac Troyes v Le Havre, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lorient 1–2 Estac Troyes · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade du Moustoir · Lorient
  • Referee: Azzedine Souifi
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lorient 3 · draws 2 · Estac Troyes 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lorient 1W 2D 2L · Estac Troyes 3W 1D 1L

Lorient 1–2 Estac Troyes (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 12 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.38 / 6.13
Corners
against 6.63 / 3.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLorient for / againstLineEstac Troyes for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5our book
2 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.38 for · 6.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
11 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
13.63 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 3 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Azzedine Souifi.

Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Mvogo19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
2.87/5

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Talbi19090 min00 /9000 /9022 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Adjei19090 min22 /9011 /9000 /9077 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Sylla17272 min11.3 /9033.8 /9011.3 /9022.5 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Georgen11818 min00 /9015 /9015 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Avom19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Avom n 861.6
1.65/3
1.16/0
M. Diop
N. Cadiou n 890
1.35/3
0.53/1
M. Diop
J. Makengo n 868
0.73/1
1.56/3
M. Ifnaoui
N. Adjei n 887.9
0.63/2
0.94/3
M. Diaz
K. Kouassi n 887.9
0.54/0
1.57/4
M. Diop
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Avom n 861.6
2.25/4
J. Makengo n 868
1.25/2
N. Adjei n 887.9
15/3
M. Talbi n 890
0.95/2
K. Kouassi n 887.9
0.84/2
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Makengo19090 min00 /9000 /9033 /9011 /9000 /9022 /90
M. Kone17070 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9000 /90
G. Bernardeau16969 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
A. Tosin12020 min00 /9000 /9014.5 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Avom19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /9000 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Makengo n 868
1.55/2
0.73/1
N. Cadiou n 890
16/2
0.43/0
N. Adjei n 887.9
0.52/1
0.31/1
K. Kouassi n 887.9
0.54/0
0.43/0
A. Avom n 861.6
0.52/1
0.52/1
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Cadiou n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Makengo n 868
0.21/0
00/0
A. Avom n 861.6
0.21/0
00/0
K. Kouassi n 887.9
00/0
0.11/0
Y. Mvogo n 890
00/0
00/0
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Estac Troyes

Estac Troyes Goalkeeper

Estac Troyes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Beach19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90

Estac Troyes Defensive

Estac Troyes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Monfray19090 min11 /9022 /9011 /9033 /9000 /9000 /90
A. Ouzenadji19090 min22 /9022 /9011 /9055 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Diaz19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /9044 /9033 /9011 /90
Y. Titi15555 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9023.3 /9000 /9000 /90
Noah Donkor13535 min00 /9012.6 /9000 /9012.6 /9012.6 /9000 /90
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Estac Troyes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Diop n 887.6
1.26/2
2.27/5
K. Kouassi
M. Diaz n 890
15/2
0.96/1
N. Adjei
A. Ouzenadji n 856.8
14/1
2.26/4
—
A. Monfray n 890
0.93/2
0.32/0
—
M. Ifnaoui n 879.6
0.11/0
1.66/5
J. Makengo
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Estac Troyes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Ouzenadji n 856.8
35/4
M. Ifnaoui n 879.6
1.85/5
A. Monfray n 890
1.56/3
M. Diop n 887.6
1.27/2
M. Diaz n 890
0.94/3
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Estac Troyes Attacking

Estac Troyes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Ifnaoui19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033 /9011 /90
R. Ripart18686 min00 /9000 /9033.1 /9022.1 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Diawara17575 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
Hugo Picard19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9000 /90
I. Gomis17676 min00 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /9011.2 /9000 /90
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Estac Troyes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Ifnaoui n 879.6
0.83/2
0.32/0
M. Diaz n 890
0.53/1
0.11/0
M. Diop n 887.6
0.54/0
0.11/0
A. Ouzenadji n 856.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Monfray n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Estac Troyes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Estac Troyes before kick-off, to 22 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Ouzenadji n 856.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Ifnaoui n 879.6
0.11/0
00/0
A. Monfray n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Diaz n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Diop n 887.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LorientEstac Troyes
67%Possession33%
1.15Expected goals (xG)2.12
15Shots11
6Shots on target2
6Shots off target5
3Blocked shots4
9Shots inside the box10
2Corners5
0Offsides3
9Fouls11
0Saves4
677Passes318
88%Pass accuracy75%

Lorient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Adjei9000000207.2
Y. Mvogo9000000005.9
M. Talbi9000110207.3
D. Sylla9000000006.9
K. Kouassi9000003106.7
A. Avom9000201407.6
N. Cadiou8400100407.3
J. Makengo7310110007.6
T. Le Bris7300110206.7
G. Bernardeau6600102206.7
M. Kone6600432307
A. Tosin sub2400000006.7
I. Jensen sub2400000006.9
P. Katseris sub1700001106.9
S. Faye sub1700101006.3
N. Mbamba sub900000006.3

Estac Troyes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Ouzenadji9000000206.9
A. Monfray9000000507.3
M. Ifnaoui9000004106.6
M. Diop9000000206.3
M. Diaz9000000106.7
P. Beach9000000008.5
R. Ripart8610410307.3
L. Maronnier8610110307.5
I. Gomis8500200106.7
A. Mille7801002406.9
Hugo Picard6700004006.5
K. Diawara sub2300000006.7
D. Karim sub1200000006.3
A. Phliponeau sub800000006.7
Noah Donkor sub40000000–
Yacouba Kone sub40000010–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lorient v Estac Troyes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LorientLDWLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Estac TroyesWWWLD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lorient 3 · 2 draws · Estac Troyes 1 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2025-02-14 Estac Troyes 0–1 Lorient
  • 2024-12-06 Lorient 2–0 Estac Troyes
  • 2023-03-12 Lorient 2–0 Estac Troyes
  • 2022-10-23 Estac Troyes 2–2 Lorient
  • 2022-05-21 Lorient 1–1 Estac Troyes
  • 2021-12-01 Estac Troyes 2–0 Lorient
League standing · 2026/27
Lorient#12 pos12 pts9 pl-1 GD
Estac Troyes#16 pos8 pts9 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Lorient scored0.78
Estac Troyes scored0.78
Lorient conceded0.89
Estac Troyes conceded1.78

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lorient 1.02 xG from 15 shots, Estac Troyes 1.68 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Mamadou Koné 9' · 0.37 xGRenaud Ripart 5' · 0.09 xGRenaud Ripart 11' · 0.09 xGMontassar Talbi 92' · 0.09 xGMamadou Koné 54' · 0.09 xGIron Gomis 61' · 0.08 xGSouleymane Faye 78' · 0.07 xGGabin Bernardeau 20' · 0.06 xGAntoine Mille 25' · 0.06 xGMamadou Koné 50' · 0.06 xGGabin Bernardeau 2' · 0.06 xGArthur Avom 76' · 0.05 xGRenaud Ripart 73' · 0.05 xGNoah Cadiou 80' · 0.05 xGMamadou Koné 51' · 0.04 xGIron Gomis 34' · 0.04 xGThéo Le Bris 15' · 0.03 xGNoah Cadiou 45' · 0.02 xGRenaud Ripart 35' · 0.02 xGArthur Avom 67' · 0.02 xGMichel Diaz 61' · 0.01 xGAdrien Monfray 61' · 0.01 xGArthur Avom 49' · 0.01 xGRenaud Ripart 28' · 0.76 xG · goalLucas Maronnier 37' · 0.47 xG · goalJean-Victor Makengo 50' · 0.03 xG · goal
Lorient (attacking right)Estac Troyes (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lorient1511.02
Estac Troyes1121.68

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Estac Troyes led on xG, 1.53 to 0.53, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Estac Troyes led on xG, 1.68 to 1.02, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. The widest gap was 1.02 xG to Estac Troyes, in the 37th minute (level on open-play xG).

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Estac Troyes 28 minGoal - Estac Troyes 37 minGoal - Lorient 50 min
Lorient 1.02 xGEstac Troyes 1.68 xGdots = goals · 26 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lorient v Estac Troyes?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lorient v Estac Troyes was Home offsides under 2.5.
What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Estac Troyes?
In their last 6 meetings, Lorient won 3, Estac Troyes won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lorient and Estac Troyes?
Recent form — Lorient 1W 2D 2L; Estac Troyes 3W 1D 1L.

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