Lorient v Paris FC result

Full-time · Lorient 1–0 Paris FC

Ligue 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · Stade du Moustoir

Updated 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Lorient · Paris FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Lorient 1–0 Paris FC — Lorient won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

Best price: 1.32 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.1% of 1431 landed (95% range 65.7–70.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 853 of 1,316 times (64.8%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris FC: 0.90 to 0.49 in expected goals, from 16 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 61st minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Lorient beat Paris FC 1–0 at Stade du Moustoir in Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lorient: Gabin Bernardeau (68’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Gabin Bernardeau’s goal on 68 minutes.

Discipline

Jérôme Brisard, France showed six yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lorient: Montassar Talbi (70’); Paris FC: Lassine Sinayoko (52’), Hamari Traoré (58’), Samir Chergui (58’), E. Zabi (74’) and Maxime Lopez (90+2’).

What it changes

Lorient move up from 11th to eighth (six league matches played). Lorient have scored six goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Lorient have conceded six goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris FC move down from second to fourth (six league matches played). Paris FC have scored eight goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Paris FC have conceded four goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lorient have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Gabin Bernardeau (Lorient) 5.5, Jean-Victor Makengo (Lorient) 4.8 and Y. Mvogo (Lorient) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Paris FC, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.1% of the time in the last 90 days (975 of 1431).

Next up

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Paris FC next host Angers on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Paris FC: Paris FC v Angers, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Lorient 1–0 Paris FC · Ligue 1
Venue: Stade du Moustoir · Lorient
Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Lorient 3 · draws 1 · Paris FC 2 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Lorient 1W 2D 2L · Paris FC 3W 2D 0L

Lorient 1–0 Paris FC (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 3.38

Corners

against 5.75 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.5 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 4 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.25 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.63 / 0.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.6 yellows

Referee · Jérôme Brisard, France

24 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Lorient for / against	Line	Paris FC for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5our book	1.88 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.88 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.38 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	10.38 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.5 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 10 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 24 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Y. Mvogo	5	90450 min	142.8 /90	61.2 /90	00 /90

Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	2.9 6/4

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Talbi	5	90450 min	61.2 /90	51 /90	40.8 /90	244.8 /90	10.2 /90	00 /90
N. Adjei	5	87435 min	81.7 /90	122.5 /90	30.6 /90	275.6 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
D. Sylla	5	86432 min	91.9 /90	132.7 /90	20.4 /90	296 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90
A. Georgen	1	1818 min	00 /90	15 /90	15 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
N. Obaretin	1	1515 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	16 /90	16 /90	00 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Kouassi n 8	90	0.6 5/0	1.3 7/3	P. Lees-Melou
M. Talbi n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	Diego Coppola
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Cadiou n 8	89.3	0.9 4/2	0.8 5/1	P. Lees-Melou
N. Adjei n 8	86	1 5/3	0.8 4/2	Diego Coppola
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Talbi n 8	90	1 6/2
K. Kouassi n 8	90	0.9 6/1
N. Cadiou n 8	89.3	0.9 4/1
N. Adjei n 8	86	1.6 7/5
D. Sylla n 6	79.5	1.9 5/2
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
J. Makengo	5	84418 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90	30.6 /90	40.9 /90
G. Bernardeau	5	67333 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	30.8 /90
M. Kone	5	50249 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	72.5 /90	62.2 /90	41.4 /90	10.4 /90
I. Jensen	4	2286 min	11 /90	00 /90	22.1 /90	11 /90	11 /90	22.1 /90
I. Baldé	3	52157 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Talbi n 8	90	0.6 3/2	0.3 2/0
K. Kouassi n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Cadiou n 8	89.3	1.1 7/2	0.1 1/0
N. Adjei n 8	86	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Kouassi n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Y. Mvogo n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Talbi n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Cadiou n 8	89.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
N. Adjei n 8	86	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Paris FC

Paris FC Goalkeeper

Paris FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Trapp	5	90450 min	102 /90	30.6 /90	00 /90

Paris FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Trapp n 8	90	1.9 4/3

Paris FC Defensive

Paris FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Camara	5	90450 min	142.8 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90	214.2 /90	51 /90	00 /90
Diego Coppola	5	90450 min	51 /90	61.2 /90	20.4 /90	132.6 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
S. Chergui	3	90270 min	20.7 /90	72.3 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90	62 /90	00 /90
H. Traoré	3	78234 min	51.9 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	93.5 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90
M. Mbow	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	63 /90	21 /90	00 /90
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Paris FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	1 6/2	1.4 6/4	N. Cadiou
A. Camara n 8	86.8	1 4/2	0.5 4/0	—
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0	N. Adjei
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
L. Sinayoko n 5	87	1.2 4/2	1.9 4/4	—
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Paris FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	3.6 7/7
A. Camara n 8	86.8	3.1 7/5
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.6 2/2
L. Sinayoko n 5	87	1.9 5/2
I. Kebbal n 8	67.3	1.3 4/3
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Paris FC Attacking

Paris FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Sinayoko	5	87435 min	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	122.5 /90	91.9 /90	91.9 /90	51 /90
P. Lees-Melou	5	90450 min	00 /90	00 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90	20.4 /90	30.6 /90
I. Kebbal	5	81405 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	71.6 /90	40.9 /90	102.2 /90	61.3 /90
M. Lopez	5	76382 min	00 /90	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
P. Pagis	5	73364 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	61.5 /90	10.2 /90	82 /90	20.5 /90
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Paris FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0.8 5/1	0 0/0
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
A. Camara n 8	86.8	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Sinayoko n 5	87	2.5 5/4	1.9 4/3
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Paris FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris FC before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Lees-Melou n 8	88.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Trapp n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Diego Coppola n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Camara n 8	86.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Sinayoko n 5	87	0.8 2/1	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Lorient		Paris FC
40%	Possession	60%
0.55	Expected goals (xG)	0.97
8	Shots	17
5	Shots on target	3
3	Shots off target	5
0	Blocked shots	9
6	Shots inside the box	10
3	Corners	9
0	Offsides	3
9	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
470	Passes	699
85%	Pass accuracy	90%

Lorient Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Y. Mvogo	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
D. Sylla	90	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.5
M. Talbi	90	0	1	1	0	0	Y	7.3
N. Adjei	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.7
N. Cadiou	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
K. Kouassi	90	0	1	0	1	2	0	6.9
J. Makengo	90	0	2	2	0	1	0	7.9
Souleymane Isaak Touré	87	0	1	0	0	2	0	7.3
A. Georgen	78	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
I. Jensen	66	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
M. Kone	66	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.7
G. Bernardeau sub	24	1	1	1	0	1	0	7.9
I. Baldé sub	24	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
A. Avom sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
N. Obaretin sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9

Paris FC Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
K. Trapp	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Diego Coppola	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
H. Traoré	90	0	0	2	2	Y	6.9
M. Lopez	90	1	0	1	2	Y	8.3
P. Pagis	90	2	0	0	3	0	6.6
L. Koleosho	90	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
L. Sinayoko	86	1	1	2	0	Y	6
P. Lees-Melou	78	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
S. Chergui	66	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
A. Camara	65	2	1	1	0	0	6.3
I. Kebbal	65	1	1	1	0	0	6.6
E. Zabi sub	25	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
R. Matondo sub	25	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Otávio sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
O. Sissoko sub	12	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Krasso sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lorient v Paris FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

LorientDLWDL

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Paris FCDWWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Lorient 3 · 1 draw · Paris FC 2 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-04-05 Lorient 1–1 Paris FC
2026-02-04 Lorient 2–0 Paris FC
2025-10-03 Paris FC 2–0 Lorient
2025-03-08 Paris FC 3–2 Lorient
2024-12-14 Lorient 2–0 Paris FC
2021-02-09 Lorient 2–1 Paris FC

League standing · 2026/27

Lorient#12 pos12 pts9 pl-1 GD

Paris FC#2 pos20 pts10 pl+7 GD

Goals per game

Lorient scored0.78

Paris FC scored1.7

Lorient conceded0.89

Paris FC conceded1

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lorient 0.49 xG from 8 shots, Paris FC 0.90 from 16. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lorient (attacking right)Paris FC (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Lorient	8	1	0.49
Paris FC	16	0	0.90

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Lorient 0.19, Paris FC 0.26. At full time, Paris FC led on xG, 0.90 to 0.49. The widest gap was 0.41 xG to Paris FC, in the 95th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Lorient 0.49 xGParis FC 0.90 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lorient v Paris FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Lorient v Paris FC was Draw or Away (best price 1.32 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Lorient and Paris FC?: In their last 6 meetings, Lorient won 3, Paris FC won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lorient and Paris FC?: Recent form — Lorient 1W 2D 2L; Paris FC 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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