LyonLorient

Lyon v Lorient result

Full-time · Lyon 2–0 Lorient

Ligue 1 ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Lyon 2–0 Lorient — Lyon won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 55% of 140 landed (95% range 46.7–63%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Lyon: 1.98 to 1.58 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 48th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lyon beat Lorient 2–0 in Ligue 1 on Sunday 12 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Lyon: Roman Yaremchuk (49’, assisted by Endrick) and Corentin Tolisso (56’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Roman Yaremchuk’s goal on 49 minutes.

Discipline

B. Bastien showed five yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Lyon: Ainsley Maitland-Niles (45+1’), Tyler Morton (81’), Endrick (81’) and Afonso Moreira (90+1’); Lorient: B. Meité (88’).

What it changes

Lyon stay fifth after this result (29 league matches played). Lyon have scored 52 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Lyon have conceded 34 goals, the second-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Lorient stay ninth after this result (29 league matches played). Lorient have scored 44 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Lorient have conceded 49 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Lorient are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Corentin Tolisso (Lyon) 6.0, Dominik Greif (Lyon) 5.4 and Pablo Pagis (Lorient) 4.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Lyon next travel to Stade Brestois 29 on 8 November 2026.

Lorient next travel to Le Havre on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Lyon: Stade Brestois 29 v Lyon, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lorient: Le Havre v Lorient, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Lyon 2–0 Lorient · Ligue 1
  • Referee: B. Bastien
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lyon 2 · draws 2 · Lorient 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lyon 0W 3D 2L · Lorient 1W 3D 1L

Lyon 2–0 Lorient (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.43
Corners
against 3.86 / 4.86 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 3.57
Shots on target
against 4.86 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 1.57
Cards
against 3.14 / 2.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.17 yellows
Referee · B. Bastien
23.42 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLyon for / againstLineLorient for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.86 against n 7
9.5standard
3.43 for · 4.86 against n 7
Shots
12.71 for · 13 against n 7
19.5standard
10.29 for · 11.29 against n 7
Shots on target
3.86 for · 4.86 against n 7
8.5standard
3.57 for · 3.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.43 for · 13.71 against n 7
21.5standard
8.43 for · 10.43 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 3.14 against n 7
3.5standard
1.57 for · 2.14 against n 7

Referee: B. Bastien — 3.17 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.42 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Lyon

Lyon Goalkeeper

Lyon — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Greif29902610 min842.9 /90311.1 /9020.1 /90
R. Descamps12901080 min252.1 /9070.6 /9000 /90
Lyon — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Greif n 890
3.67/6
R. Descamps n 890
1.94/2

Lyon Defensive

Lyon — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Clinton Mata36893196 min471.3 /90361 /90310.9 /901484.2 /90411.2 /9070.2 /90
M. Niakhaté35873034 min361.1 /90401.2 /90190.6 /901675 /90371.1 /9020.1 /90
A. Maitland-Niles34802713 min762.5 /90391.3 /9040.1 /901254.1 /90401.3 /9060.2 /90
N. Tagliafico28701956 min502.3 /90301.4 /9050.2 /901316 /90472.2 /90100.5 /90
Abner27812175 min311.3 /9070.3 /9030.1 /90652.7 /90291.2 /9050.2 /90
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Lyon — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Morton n 888.4
0.64/1
17/1
K. Kouassi
Clinton Mata n 890
1.16/2
1.46/3
—
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
0.85/1
1.86/4
—
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
1.35/3
0.53/1
J. Makengo
T. Tessmann n 875.1
1.35/3
0.64/0
—
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Lyon — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Morton n 888.4
1.37/2
Clinton Mata n 890
15/2
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
0.42/1
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
2.98/6
T. Tessmann n 875.1
14/3
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Lyon Attacking

Lyon — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Šulc31672082 min140.6 /9060.3 /90381.6 /90221 /90281.2 /90200.9 /90
Afonso Moreira26651699 min40.2 /9090.5 /90372 /90221.2 /90382 /90221.2 /90
M. Satriano15831251 min30.2 /9010.1 /90231.7 /90100.7 /90130.9 /90100.7 /90
Endrick14781095 min60.5 /9040.3 /90393.2 /90262.1 /90242 /90352.9 /90
R. Yaremchuk747326 min00 /9010.3 /9051.4 /9020.6 /9051.4 /9010.3 /90
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Lyon — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Morton n 888.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Clinton Mata n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
00/0
00/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Tessmann n 875.1
15/1
0.32/0
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Lyon — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lyon before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Morton n 888.4
00/0
00/0
Clinton Mata n 890
00/0
0.11/0
M. Niakhaté n 881.1
00/0
00/0
A. Maitland-Niles n 887.8
00/0
00/0
T. Tessmann n 875.1
00/0
00/0
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Lorient

Lorient Goalkeeper

Lorient — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Mvogo25902250 min582.3 /90301.2 /9000 /90
B. Kamara690540 min152.5 /9091.5 /9000 /90
Lorient — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Mvogo n 890
2.45/4
B. Kamara n 690
2.54/2

Lorient Defensive

Lorient — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Talbi27902430 min210.8 /90230.9 /90200.7 /901134.2 /9080.3 /9040.1 /90
B. Meité22841839 min241.2 /90130.6 /90140.7 /901145.6 /90321.6 /9040.2 /90
D. Yongwa17721228 min292.1 /90110.8 /9010.1 /90795.8 /90120.9 /9030.2 /90
Igor Silva16861378 min231.5 /90161 /9080.5 /90644.2 /9090.6 /9010.1 /90
A. Faye1280963 min212 /90222.1 /9050.5 /90625.8 /90212 /9070.7 /90
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Lorient — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Karim n 846.4
14/0
2.95/3
—
M. Talbi n 890
0.64/1
0.42/1
—
K. Kouassi n 876.4
0.32/0
1.96/4
T. Morton
T. Le Bris n 876.8
00/0
0.32/0
—
J. Makengo n 866.8
0.32/0
14/2
A. Maitland-Niles
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Lorient — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Karim n 846.4
13/1
M. Talbi n 890
15/3
K. Kouassi n 876.4
0.73/2
T. Le Bris n 876.8
1.56/2
J. Makengo n 866.8
1.25/1
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Lorient Attacking

Lorient — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Makengo27591596 min30.2 /9020.1 /90261.5 /90120.7 /90191.1 /90231.3 /90
P. Pagis24621478 min80.5 /9020.1 /90372.3 /90171 /90382.3 /90191.2 /90
S. Soumano2440951 min40.4 /9020.2 /90191.8 /90100.9 /90100.9 /9060.6 /90
A. Tosin2046911 min40.4 /9000 /90232.3 /90121.2 /90101 /9090.9 /90
B. Dieng1658934 min131.3 /9010.1 /90343.3 /90201.9 /90131.3 /9050.5 /90
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Lorient — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
D. Karim n 846.4
0.72/1
00/0
M. Talbi n 890
0.31/1
0.31/1
K. Kouassi n 876.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
T. Le Bris n 876.8
0.64/0
0.32/0
J. Makengo n 866.8
14/2
0.32/0
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Lorient — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lorient before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Karim n 846.4
00/0
00/0
M. Talbi n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Kouassi n 876.4
00/0
0.32/0
T. Le Bris n 876.8
00/0
00/0
J. Makengo n 866.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LyonLorient
53%Possession47%
1.16Expected goals (xG)1.87
11Shots12
5Shots on target6
4Shots off target6
2Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box8
4Corners6
0Offsides2
17Fouls14
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves3
476Passes425
86%Pass accuracy87%

Lyon Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Greif9000000009.5
Clinton Mata9000000007
M. Niakhaté9000001107.6
Abner9000001208.7
A. Maitland-Niles90000001Y6.3
Afonso Moreira90002122Y6.9
R. Yaremchuk8610310006.3
T. Morton82000002Y7.5
Steeve Kango4500000006.3
R. Ghezzal4500000106.3
N. Nartey4500000106.9
Endrick sub45011120Y7.2
O. Mangala sub4500101106.9
C. Tolisso sub4510220107.6
R. Kluivert sub1100000006.6
T. Tessmann sub800000006.3

Lorient Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Mvogo9000000006.7
B. Meité90001001Y6.2
N. Adjei9000100106.6
A. Faye9000001206.9
A. Avom9000220407.2
N. Cadiou9000000106.3
P. Pagis9000305207.2
B. Dieng8000210006.3
K. Kouassi7300111006.7
J. Makengo7300111007.2
T. Le Bris2300000106.3
P. Katseris sub6700111106.3
D. Yongwa sub1700001106.9
A. Tosin sub1700000106.6
S. Soumano sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Lyon v Lorient — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LyonDDLLD
Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 0.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
LorientDDWLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lyon 2 · 2 draws · Lorient 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-12-07 Lorient 1–0 Lyon
  • 2024-03-09 Lorient 0–2 Lyon
  • 2023-10-08 Lyon 3–3 Lorient
  • 2023-03-05 Lyon 0–0 Lorient
  • 2022-09-07 Lorient 3–1 Lyon
  • 2022-03-04 Lorient 1–4 Lyon
League standing · 2025/26
Lyon#4 pos60 pts34 pl+13 GD
Lorient#9 pos45 pts34 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Lyon scored1.56
Lorient scored1.41
Lyon conceded1.18
Lorient conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Lyon 1.98 xG from 11 shots, Lorient 1.58 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Ahmadou Bamba Dieng 46' · 0.50 xGRoman Yaremchuk 9' · 0.43 xGNathaniel Adjei 82' · 0.38 xGEndrick 55' · 0.31 xGAhmadou Bamba Dieng 57' · 0.26 xGCorentin Tolisso 45' · 0.13 xGJean-Victor Makengo 30' · 0.09 xGArthur Avom 80' · 0.07 xGRoman Yaremchuk 53' · 0.07 xGRoman Yaremchuk 40' · 0.07 xGPablo Pagis 17' · 0.06 xGPablo Pagis 78' · 0.06 xGArthur Avom 46' · 0.05 xGOrel Mangala 46' · 0.05 xGPanos Katseris 89' · 0.04 xGArsène Kouassi 52' · 0.03 xGAfonso Moreira 83' · 0.03 xGRoman Yaremchuk 2' · 0.03 xGPablo Pagis 17' · 0.02 xGAfonso Moreira 15' · 0.02 xGBamo Meïté 86' · 0.01 xGRoman Yaremchuk 48' · 0.44 xG · goalCorentin Tolisso 55' · 0.41 xG · goal
Lyon (attacking right)Lorient (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Lyon1121.98
Lorient1201.58

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Lyon led on xG, 0.67 to 0.18. At full time, Lyon led on xG, 1.98 to 1.58. The widest gap was 1.20 xG to Lyon, in the 55th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Lyon 48 minGoal - Lyon 55 min
Lyon 1.98 xGLorient 1.58 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Lyon v Lorient?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Lyon v Lorient was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Lyon and Lorient?
In their last 6 meetings, Lyon won 2, Lorient won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lyon and Lorient?
Recent form — Lyon 0W 3D 2L; Lorient 1W 3D 1L.

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