MarseilleMetz

Marseille v Metz result

Full-time · Marseille 3–1 Metz

Ligue 1 · · Orange Vélodrome

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Marseille · Metz · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Marseille 3–1 Metz — Marseille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Marseille: 3.32 to 0.54 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Marseille beat Metz 3–1 at Orange Vélodrome in Ligue 1 on Friday 10 April. Metz are winless in their last 14 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Marseille led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Marseille: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (13’, assisted by Mason Greenwood), Igor Paixão (48’, assisted by Mason Greenwood) and Hamed Traorè (90’, assisted by Amine Gouiri); Metz: Giorgi Tsitaishvili (49’, assisted by Gauthier Hein).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s goal on 13 minutes.

Discipline

S. Frappart showed three yellow cards — against 3.7 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Marseille: Facundo Medina (45+2’); Metz: M. Colin (56’) and K. Kouao (84’).

What it changes

Marseille move up from fourth to third (29 league matches played). Marseille have scored 59 goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Marseille have conceded 44 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Metz stay 18th after this result (29 league matches played). Metz have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). Metz have conceded 72 goals, the most of the 18 clubs.

Marseille have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mason Greenwood (Marseille) 8.4, Giorgi Tsitaishvili (Metz) 6.6 and Benjamin Pavard (Marseille) 6.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

Marseille are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Metz, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Marseille or Metz (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.

Metz next travel to Kellermann on 14 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Metz: Kellermann v Metz, Saturday 14 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Marseille 3–1 Metz · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Orange Vélodrome · Marseille
  • Referee: S. Frappart
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Marseille 2 · draws 4 · Metz 0 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Marseille 2W 1D 2L · Metz 0W 2D 3L

Marseille 3–1 Metz (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 0.5
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.71 / 4.25
Corners
against 2.71 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 3.71 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3 / 1.88
Cards
against 2 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.71 yellows
Referee · S. Frappart
22.14 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMarseille for / againstLineMetz for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
0.5 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.71 for · 2.71 against n 7
9.5standard
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
14.86 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
11.75 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3.71 against n 7
8.5standard
3.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.43 for · 11.43 against n 7
21.5standard
13.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: S. Frappart — 3.71 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.14 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Marseille

Marseille Goalkeeper

Marseille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Rulli32902880 min1013.2 /90411.3 /9010 /90
J. de Lange790630 min172.4 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Rulli n 890
2.37/2
J. de Lange n 890
2.45/3

Marseille Defensive

Marseille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Emerson29792293 min512 /90351.4 /90100.4 /901074.2 /90230.9 /9040.2 /90
B. Pavard29782275 min321.3 /90301.2 /90140.6 /90953.8 /90281.1 /9060.2 /90
L. Balerdi26812108 min522.2 /90331.4 /90160.7 /901144.9 /90291.2 /9060.3 /90
N. Aguerd21881849 min321.6 /90361.8 /90110.5 /90874.2 /90271.3 /9060.3 /90
A. Murillo19741413 min271.7 /9090.6 /9020.1 /90785 /90261.7 /9040.3 /90
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Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Greenwood n 876.5
1.56/3
15/1
G. Tsitaishvili
P. Højbjerg n 889.5
15/3
1.16/3
J. Deminguet
T. Weah n 889.1
1.46/3
0.84/2
J. Deminguet
Igor Paixão n 867.4
0.74/0
1.85/4
J. Deminguet
G. Rulli n 890
0.11/0
0.31/1
—
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Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.5
0.94/2
P. Højbjerg n 889.5
1.86/4
T. Weah n 889.1
26/5
Igor Paixão n 867.4
1.36/2
P. Aubameyang n 878.1
0.62/1
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Marseille Attacking

Marseille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Aubameyang32702252 min110.4 /9090.4 /90542.2 /90331.3 /90311.2 /90150.6 /90
A. Gouiri21601270 min100.7 /9040.3 /90322.3 /90211.5 /90241.7 /90171.2 /90
R. Vaz1038380 min40.9 /9020.5 /9071.7 /9051.2 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90
J. Rowe16363 min00 /9000 /9045.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Greenwood37792929 min230.7 /9080.2 /901003.1 /90621.9 /90702.2 /90631.9 /90
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Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.5
3.47/5
1.66/3
P. Højbjerg n 889.5
0.84/2
0.43/0
T. Weah n 889.1
0.65/0
0.11/0
Igor Paixão n 867.4
2.27/2
1.25/1
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
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Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
P. Højbjerg n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
T. Weah n 889.1
00/0
00/0
Igor Paixão n 867.4
0.21/0
0.53/0
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
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Metz

Metz Goalkeeper

Metz — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Fischer25902250 min883.5 /90532.1 /9010 /90
P. Sy386257 min144.9 /9041.4 /9000 /90
Metz — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Fischer n 890
3.17/4
P. Sy n 486.8
3.63/2

Metz Defensive

Metz — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
K. Kouao26842177 min723 /90251 /90130.5 /901435.9 /90301.2 /9070.3 /90
J. Gbamin24872090 min472 /90210.9 /90120.5 /901044.5 /90180.8 /9020.1 /90
M. Colin21781635 min372 /90241.3 /90100.6 /90563.1 /90100.6 /9010.1 /90
T. Yegbe18841518 min140.8 /90160.9 /90130.8 /90372.2 /90160.9 /9020.1 /90
Sadibou Sané18831493 min392.4 /90291.7 /90150.9 /90835 /90161 /9040.2 /90
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Metz — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Tsitaishvili n 880
14/3
1.34/2
M. Greenwood
K. Kouao n 880.8
1.33/3
1.35/4
—
J. Fischer n 890
00/0
00/0
—
G. Hein n 867.9
1.24/2
0.52/1
—
J. Deminguet n 856.6
1.46/1
1.86/3
Igor Paixão
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Metz — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880
0.86/0
K. Kouao n 880.8
3.58/7
G. Hein n 867.9
0.53/0
J. Deminguet n 856.6
2.66/3
J. Gbamin n 889.9
2.37/5
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Metz Attacking

Metz — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Diallo21841755 min40.2 /9010.1 /90271.4 /90120.6 /90120.6 /90130.7 /90
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly1374964 min00 /9020.2 /9070.7 /9040.4 /90100.9 /90141.3 /90
Giorgi Abuashvili1339505 min10.2 /9000 /90101.8 /9040.7 /9040.7 /9040.7 /90
Ibou Sané1158638 min10.1 /9010.1 /9091.3 /9060.8 /9040.6 /9040.6 /90
M. Bokele Mputu733234 min00 /9000 /9020.8 /9020.8 /9051.9 /9020.8 /90
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Metz — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880
0.43/0
0.11/0
K. Kouao n 880.8
1.17/1
0.64/0
J. Fischer n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Hein n 867.9
0.83/2
0.53/0
J. Deminguet n 856.6
0.83/1
0.42/0
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Metz — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Metz before kick-off, to 5 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Tsitaishvili n 880
00/0
0.11/0
K. Kouao n 880.8
0.11/0
00/0
J. Fischer n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Hein n 867.9
0.21/0
00/0
J. Deminguet n 856.6
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MarseilleMetz
54%Possession46%
3.55Expected goals (xG)0.48
18Shots6
9Shots on target2
9Shots off target3
0Blocked shots1
12Shots inside the box4
7Corners4
3Offsides0
12Fouls8
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves6
488Passes426
86%Pass accuracy84%

Marseille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Rulli9000000006.2
B. Pavard9000101407.2
L. Balerdi9000110107.3
F. Medina90000021Y7
T. Weah9000000206.3
P. Højbjerg9000001107
A. Gouiri9001206007.6
Igor Paixão8910210008
Q. Timber8200100206.7
M. Greenwood8202533008.2
P. Aubameyang7210432007.3
A. Vermeeren sub1800001107
H. Traorè sub810210007.3
T. Nnadi sub800001106.6
H. Abdelli sub10000000–

Metz Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Sy9000000007.6
K. Kouao90000002Y5.9
Sadibou Sané9000000206.7
J. Gbamin9000000105.3
B. Sarr9000002107
G. Hein9001202106.2
G. Tsitaishvili9010111107.3
H. Diallo9000000006.3
A. Touré8700000106.9
M. Colin82000001Y6.3
J. Deminguet8100110206.7
N. Mbala sub900100006.2
F. Ballo-Touré sub800000006.2
L. Michal sub30000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Marseille v Metz — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MarseilleDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
MetzLLLDD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Marseille 2 · 4 draws · Metz 0 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-04 Metz 0–3 Marseille
  • 2024-02-09 Marseille 1–1 Metz
  • 2023-08-18 Metz 2–2 Marseille
  • 2022-02-13 Metz 1–2 Marseille
  • 2021-11-07 Marseille 0–0 Metz
  • 2021-05-23 Metz 1–1 Marseille
League standing · 2025/26
Marseille#5 pos59 pts34 pl+18 GD
Metz#18 pos17 pts34 pl-44 GD
Goals per game
Marseille scored1.85
Metz scored0.94
Marseille conceded1.32
Metz conceded2.24

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Marseille 3.32 xG from 18 shots, Metz 0.54 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 18' · 0.41 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 7' · 0.36 xGJessy Deminguet 61' · 0.33 xGIgor Paixão 39' · 0.24 xGAmine Gouiri 20' · 0.13 xGMason Greenwood 29' · 0.12 xGMason Greenwood 38' · 0.12 xGQuinten Timber 68' · 0.11 xGMason Greenwood 64' · 0.09 xGBenjamin Pavard 79' · 0.08 xGAmine Gouiri 82' · 0.08 xGLeonardo Balerdi 58' · 0.06 xGNathan Mbala 86' · 0.05 xGHamed Junior Traore 83' · 0.05 xGMason Greenwood 58' · 0.04 xGGauthier Hein 43' · 0.04 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 63' · 0.04 xGBouna Sarr 61' · 0.04 xGGauthier Hein 47' · 0.03 xGMason Greenwood 30' · 0.02 xGHamed Junior Traore 92' · 0.56 xG · goalIgor Paixão 47' · 0.48 xG · goalPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 12' · 0.34 xG · goalGiorgi Tsitaishvili 48' · 0.04 xG · goal
Marseille (attacking right)Metz (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Marseille1833.32
Metz610.54

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Marseille led on xG, 1.74 to 0.04. At full time, Marseille led on xG, 3.32 to 0.54. The widest gap was 2.78 xG to Marseille, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.31.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Marseille 12 minGoal - Marseille 47 minGoal - Metz 48 minGoal - Marseille 92 min
Marseille 3.32 xGMetz 0.54 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Marseille v Metz?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Metz was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Metz?
In their last 6 meetings, Marseille won 2, Metz won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Marseille and Metz?
Recent form — Marseille 2W 1D 2L; Metz 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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