MarseilleNice

Marseille v Nice result

Full-time · Marseille 1–1 Nice

Ligue 1 · · Orange Vélodrome

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Marseille · Nice · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Marseille 1–1 Nice — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Marseille: 2.86 to 1.41 in expected goals, 0.76 of Nice’s from a penalty, from 24 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Marseille and Nice drew 1–1 at Orange Vélodrome in Ligue 1 on Sunday 26 April.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Marseille: Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (66’, assisted by Tochukwu Nnadi); Nice: E. Wahi (88’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with E. Wahi’s goal on 88 minutes.

Discipline

W. Delajod showed five yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Marseille: Emerson (29’), Facundo Medina (44’), Timothy Weah (86’) and Gerónimo Rulli (87’); Nice: E. Wahi (44’).

What it changes

Marseille move down from fourth to sixth (31 league matches played). Marseille have scored 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Marseille have conceded 45 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 21 clubs.

Nice stay 15th after this result (31 league matches played). Nice have scored 41 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 21 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 36 games, ranked per game). Nice have conceded 61 goals, the third-most of the 21 clubs.

Nice are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (Marseille) 9.1, Abdulay Bah (Nice) 6.4 and L. Balerdi (Marseille) 5.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Marseille to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Marseille next travel to Lens on 8 November 2026.

Nice next travel to Angers on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Marseille: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nice: Angers v Nice, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Marseille 1–1 Nice · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Orange Vélodrome · Marseille
  • Referee: W. Delajod
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Marseille 2 · draws 1 · Nice 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Marseille 2W 0D 3L · Nice 1W 2D 2L

Marseille 1–1 Nice (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 0.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.71 / 6
Corners
against 2.29 / 3.71 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.14 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 3.43 / 4.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.44 yellows
Referee · W. Delajod
26 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 22 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameMarseille for / againstLineNice for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.71 for · 2.29 against n 7
9.5standard
6 for · 3.71 against n 7
Shots
15.86 for · 9.57 against n 7
19.5standard
9.14 for · 13.14 against n 7
Shots on target
5.14 for · 3.43 against n 7
8.5standard
3.29 for · 4.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.57 for · 10.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12.29 for · 8.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.43 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2 for · 1.29 against n 7

Referee: W. Delajod — 3.44 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 26 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Marseille

Marseille Goalkeeper

Marseille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Rulli34903060 min1053.1 /90441.3 /9010 /90
J. de Lange790630 min172.4 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Marseille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Rulli n 890
2.36/3
J. de Lange n 890
2.45/3

Marseille Defensive

Marseille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Pavard31792455 min371.4 /90351.3 /90150.5 /901104 /90301.1 /9070.3 /90
Emerson30792383 min511.9 /90361.4 /90100.4 /901084.1 /90230.9 /9040.2 /90
L. Balerdi28822288 min542.1 /90351.4 /90160.6 /901234.8 /90291.1 /9060.2 /90
N. Aguerd21881849 min321.6 /90361.8 /90110.5 /90874.2 /90271.3 /9060.3 /90
F. Medina20741485 min231.4 /90150.9 /9060.4 /90533.2 /90221.3 /9060.4 /90
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Marseille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Greenwood n 876.8
1.65/4
15/1
—
P. Højbjerg n 887.8
1.57/4
16/2
—
T. Weah n 883.5
1.37/2
0.95/2
—
Igor Paixão n 876.1
0.74/1
1.66/3
—
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Marseille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.8
0.94/2
P. Højbjerg n 887.8
1.56/3
T. Weah n 883.5
2.37/5
Igor Paixão n 876.1
1.36/3
P. Aubameyang n 879.4
0.11/0
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Marseille Attacking

Marseille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Aubameyang34712400 min120.5 /9090.3 /90612.3 /90361.4 /90331.2 /90160.6 /90
A. Gouiri23621419 min100.6 /9050.3 /90342.2 /90211.3 /90322 /90181.1 /90
R. Vaz1038380 min40.9 /9020.5 /9071.7 /9051.2 /9061.4 /9010.2 /90
J. Rowe16363 min00 /9000 /9045.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Greenwood39803101 min230.7 /90100.3 /901073.1 /90661.9 /90752.2 /90641.9 /90
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Marseille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.8
4.38/7
2.17/4
P. Højbjerg n 887.8
15/3
0.43/0
T. Weah n 883.5
0.75/0
0.32/0
Igor Paixão n 876.1
1.96/3
0.94/1
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
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Marseille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Marseille before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Greenwood n 876.8
0.32/0
0.31/1
P. Højbjerg n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
T. Weah n 883.5
00/0
00/0
Igor Paixão n 876.1
0.32/0
0.43/0
G. Rulli n 890
00/0
00/0
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Nice

Nice Goalkeeper

Nice — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Y. Diouf31902790 min1083.5 /90601.9 /9020.1 /90
M. Dupé12901080 min312.6 /90181.5 /9000 /90
Nice — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Y. Diouf n 890
3.27/5
M. Dupé n 890
2.35/3

Nice Defensive

Nice — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Bard36853056 min722.1 /90501.5 /90210.6 /901725.1 /90361.1 /9040.1 /90
K. Peprah Oppong34822778 min501.6 /90411.3 /90220.7 /901605.2 /90301 /9040.1 /90
Abdulay Bah33802654 min481.6 /90301 /90381.3 /901324.5 /90341.2 /9070.2 /90
A. Mendy29862482 min612.2 /90240.9 /90281 /901635.9 /90341.2 /9080.3 /90
A. Abdi25571430 min312 /90161 /9050.3 /901046.5 /90201.3 /9040.3 /90
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Nice — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Clauss n 889.1
0.95/2
0.43/0
—
M. Bard n 890
1.15/4
0.86/0
—
S. Diop n 855.4
0.83/1
0.21/0
—
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
0.43/0
0.73/1
—
Abdulay Bah n 875
0.94/1
0.52/1
—
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Nice — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Clauss n 889.1
2.98/7
M. Bard n 890
3.58/5
S. Diop n 855.4
26/2
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
1.75/3
Abdulay Bah n 875
1.56/3
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Nice Attacking

Nice — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Cho26681773 min50.3 /9040.2 /90221.1 /90140.7 /90231.2 /90271.4 /90
Kevin Carlos25561399 min20.1 /9000 /90281.8 /90140.9 /9050.3 /9070.5 /90
I. Jansson2047945 min10.1 /9000 /90151.4 /90111 /90111 /90111 /90
Tiago Gouveia1948904 min20.2 /9000 /90171.7 /9080.8 /9040.4 /90111.1 /90
J. Boga1655885 min20.2 /9020.2 /90111.1 /9040.4 /90181.8 /90202 /90
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Nice — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Clauss n 889.1
1.16/3
0.54/0
M. Bard n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Diop n 855.4
0.42/0
0.42/0
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
0.11/0
0.11/0
Abdulay Bah n 875
0.21/0
00/0
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Nice — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nice before kick-off, to 22 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Clauss n 889.1
00/0
0.32/0
M. Bard n 890
0.11/0
00/0
S. Diop n 855.4
00/0
00/0
K. Peprah Oppong n 881
00/0
00/0
Abdulay Bah n 875
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MarseilleNice
68%Possession32%
2.32Expected goals (xG)1.46
24Shots5
6Shots on target2
12Shots off target2
6Blocked shots1
18Shots inside the box4
7Corners1
0Offsides2
14Fouls7
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves5
655Passes302
87%Pass accuracy73%

Marseille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Rulli90001010Y6.2
B. Pavard9000002106.6
L. Balerdi9000611407.5
F. Medina90000000Y7.2
T. Weah90001032Y7.9
P. Højbjerg9010213308.2
P. Aubameyang9000211106.7
Q. Timber8100001106.6
T. Nnadi8001102107.2
A. Vermeeren6300111206.3
Emerson62000030Y6.6
T. Mmadi sub2800100005.9
M. Greenwood sub2700223006.7
Nouhoum Kamissoko sub1000101006.5
H. Abdelli sub900000006.5

Nice Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Y. Diouf9000000006.5
J. Clauss9000000006.9
A. Mendy9000000106.2
Abdulay Bah9000000407.2
K. Peprah Oppong9000000106.9
H. Boudaoui9000001307.7
E. Wahi89102210Y6.7
M. Bard8100001107
S. Abdul Samed8100000006.2
M. Cho6700000006.5
M. Sanson4500100006.2
S. Diop sub4500001107.5
K. Boudache sub2300100206.7
A. Abdi sub900000106.9
Kevin Carlos sub900000006.3
C. Vanhoutte sub800000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Marseille v Nice — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MarseilleWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
NiceLLDDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Marseille 2 · 1 draw · Nice 3 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-21 Nice 1–5 Marseille
  • 2025-01-26 Nice 2–0 Marseille
  • 2024-09-14 Marseille 2–0 Nice
  • 2024-04-24 Marseille 2–2 Nice
  • 2023-10-21 Nice 1–0 Marseille
  • 2023-02-05 Marseille 1–3 Nice
League standing · 2025/26
Marseille#5 pos59 pts34 pl+18 GD
Nice#16 pos32 pts34 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Marseille scored1.85
Nice scored1.09
Marseille conceded1.32
Nice conceded1.76

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Marseille 2.86 xG from 24 shots, Nice 1.41 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Leonardo Balerdi 89' · 0.55 xGLeonardo Balerdi 26' · 0.35 xGArthur Vermeeren 4' · 0.33 xGKail Boudache 69' · 0.33 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 47' · 0.33 xGSepe Elye Wahi 67' · 0.23 xGLeonardo Balerdi 50' · 0.12 xGLeonardo Balerdi 12' · 0.11 xGTochukwu Nnadi 49' · 0.10 xGPierre-Emile Højbjerg 97' · 0.10 xGPierre-Emile Højbjerg 61' · 0.09 xGGerónimo Rulli 97' · 0.07 xGTadjidine Mmadi 96' · 0.07 xGNouhoum Kamissoko 89' · 0.06 xGSepe Elye Wahi 55' · 0.05 xGLeonardo Balerdi 97' · 0.05 xGLeonardo Balerdi 36' · 0.05 xGPierre-Emerick Aubameyang 27' · 0.05 xGTadjidine Mmadi 63' · 0.04 xGMorgan Sanson 45' · 0.04 xGPierre-Emile Højbjerg 7' · 0.04 xGTochukwu Nnadi 32' · 0.03 xGTimothy Weah 70' · 0.02 xGMason Greenwood 93' · 0.02 xGTimothy Weah 31' · 0.02 xGLeonardo Balerdi 17' · 0.02 xGMason Greenwood 94' · 0.02 xGSepe Elye Wahi 87' · 0.76 xG · goalPierre-Emile Højbjerg 65' · 0.24 xG · goal
Marseille (attacking right)Nice (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Marseille2412.86
Nice511.41

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Marseille led on xG, 0.99 to 0.04. At full time, Marseille led on xG, 2.86 to 1.41, 0.76 of Nice’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.82 xG to Marseille, in the 65th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.91.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Marseille 65 minGoal - Nice 87 min
Marseille 2.86 xGNice 1.41 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Marseille v Nice?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Marseille v Nice was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Marseille and Nice?
In their last 6 meetings, Marseille won 2, Nice won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Marseille and Nice?
Recent form — Marseille 2W 0D 3L; Nice 1W 2D 2L.

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