This Matchweek

MonacoLens

Monaco v Lens result

Full-time · Monaco 2–1 Lens

Ligue 1 · · Stade Louis II

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monaco · Lens · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Monaco 2–1 Lens — Monaco won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.60 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 547 of 851 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Monaco 1.71, Lens 1.46 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Monaco beat Lens 2–1 at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 on Friday 18 September. Monaco have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Monaco led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Monaco: Paris Josua Brunner (32’, assisted by Matthis Abline); Lens: Matthieu Udol (57’, assisted by Florian Thauvin) and an own goal by Jonathan Gradit (84’).

Discipline

Clement Turpin, France showed two yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Monaco: Lamine Camara (71’); Lens: Florian Thauvin (53’).

What it changes

Monaco stay first after this result (five league matches played). Monaco have scored eight goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Monaco have conceded three goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Lens move down from ninth to 10th (five league matches played). Lens have scored nine goals, the third-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Lens have conceded nine goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs.

Monaco are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matthieu Udol (Lens) 8.3, Vanderson (Monaco) 7.0 and Paris Josua Brunner (Monaco) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.

Lens next host Marseille on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lens: Lens v Marseille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Monaco 2–1 Lens · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Louis II · Monaco
  • Referee: Clement Turpin, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Monaco 2 · draws 2 · Lens 2 · 4.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Monaco 4W 1D 0L · Lens 2W 1D 2L

Monaco 2–1 Lens (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 2.38
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6.88
Corners
against 4.63 / 6.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 13 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMonaco for / againstLineLens for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
2.38 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.88 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 13.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.75 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 10.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Clement Turpin, France.

Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Hrádecký690540 min244 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
3.58/4

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Dier690540 min91.5 /9030.5 /9030.5 /90284.7 /9040.7 /9000 /90
Sadibou Sané690540 min91.5 /9020.3 /9050.8 /90172.8 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Vanderson675452 min122.4 /9071.4 /9051 /90214.2 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90
Flávio Nazinho588440 min132.7 /9081.6 /9020.4 /90204.1 /90102 /9010.2 /90
J. Teze23773 min33.7 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9044.9 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Camara n 890
1.57/4
27/5
—
Sadibou Sané n 690
0.85/0
0.52/1
M. Udol
E. Dier n 874.6
0.85/0
0.21/0
M. Udol
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Zakaria n 886.9
1.37/2
0.52/1
—
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Camara n 890
3.97/6
E. Dier n 874.6
1.75/5
Sadibou Sané n 690
1.55/2
D. Zakaria n 886.9
1.24/3
Paris Josua Brunner n 867.9
1.35/2
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Paris Josua Brunner680481 min50.9 /9000 /90173.2 /9091.7 /9050.9 /9040.7 /90
M. Biereth350149 min21.2 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
M. Detourbet336108 min00 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9043.3 /90
M. Abline24385 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033.2 /9033.2 /90
L. Camara690540 min10.2 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9020.3 /9071.2 /9050.8 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Camara n 890
0.94/2
0.53/1
E. Dier n 874.6
0.94/2
0.32/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 690
00/0
00/0
D. Zakaria n 886.9
0.85/1
0.32/0
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Camara n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
E. Dier n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 690
00/0
00/0
D. Zakaria n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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Lens

Lens Goalkeeper

Lens — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Risser690540 min213.5 /9050.8 /9000 /90
Lens — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Risser n 890
3.47/5

Lens Defensive

Lens — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Ganiou588439 min102.1 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90183.7 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
R. Aguilar552261 min103.4 /9082.8 /9000 /90134.5 /9072.4 /9010.3 /90
S. Sagnan478310 min113.2 /9051.5 /9000 /90195.5 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
K. Antonio477309 min72 /9072 /9030.9 /90195.5 /9020.6 /9000 /90
M. Nawrocki381242 min20.7 /9031.1 /9051.9 /9041.5 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Lens — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Risser n 890
00/0
0.32/0
—
F. Thauvin n 882.9
0.54/0
1.24/3
—
A. Sima n 866.3
1.45/2
1.77/2
—
M. Udol n 876.1
0.74/1
0.63/1
E. Dier
M. Skóraś n 654.8
1.65/1
2.76/2
—
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Lens — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Thauvin n 882.9
0.84/1
A. Sima n 866.3
15/1
M. Udol n 876.1
1.86/4
M. Skóraś n 654.8
1.43/2
I. Ganiou n 883.8
2.18/5
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Lens Attacking

Lens — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Thauvin688525 min50.9 /9010.2 /90213.6 /90132.2 /90172.9 /9091.5 /90
A. Sima679476 min20.4 /9010.2 /9061.1 /9030.6 /9081.5 /9040.8 /90
F. Ivanović557286 min20.6 /9000 /9051.6 /9041.3 /9010.3 /9092.8 /90
O. Édouard428112 min00 /9000 /9043.2 /9021.6 /9032.4 /9021.6 /90
F. Sotoca21835 min00 /9000 /9012.6 /9000 /9025.1 /9000 /90
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Lens — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Thauvin n 882.9
3.18/5
28/4
A. Sima n 866.3
1.46/2
0.74/0
M. Udol n 876.1
1.23/3
0.11/0
M. Skóraś n 654.8
0.52/0
00/0
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Lens — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lens before kick-off, to 13 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Risser n 890
00/0
00/0
F. Thauvin n 882.9
16/1
0.43/0
A. Sima n 866.3
0.53/0
0.21/0
M. Udol n 876.1
00/0
0.32/0
M. Skóraś n 654.8
00/0
0.31/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MonacoLens
50%Possession50%
1.75Expected goals (xG)1.19
9Shots12
6Shots on target4
2Shots off target4
1Blocked shots4
6Shots inside the box10
2Corners8
3Offsides1
13Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves5
531Passes528
87%Pass accuracy86%

Monaco Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hrádecký9000000006.9
L. Camara90000002Y6.9
E. Dier9000000006.9
A. Golovin9000003307
Flávio Nazinho9000001006.3
Sadibou Sané9000000107.5
Vanderson9000000707.2
Paris Josua Brunner8910332107.7
M. Abline7601311007.2
D. Zakaria7600110206.7
Edan Diop6200000206.9
M. Detourbet sub2800001206.9
Pape Cabral sub1400000207.2
F. Balogun sub1400110006.7
M. Salisu sub10000000–

Lens Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Udol9010222307.3
F. Thauvin90012020Y6.7
M. Cuisance9000001005.9
K. Antonio9000000506.9
R. Aguilar9000001206.6
R. Risser9000000007.9
A. Haidara7200001006.7
J. Kadile6900001006.9
Mezian Mesloub5800000006.5
A. Sima5800210106.3
J. Todibo4500000306.5
J. Gradit sub4500001106.3
O. Édouard sub3200001006.5
T. Hazard sub3200210006.2
M. Skóraś sub2100000006.7
A. Bulatović sub1800001106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monaco v Lens — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MonacoWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
LensWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Monaco 2 · 2 draws · Lens 2 · 4.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 Lens 2–3 Monaco
  • 2025-11-08 Monaco 1–4 Lens
  • 2025-05-17 Lens 4–0 Monaco
  • 2024-09-01 Monaco 1–1 Lens
  • 2024-02-25 Lens 2–3 Monaco
  • 2024-01-07 Lens 2–2 Monaco
League standing · 2026/27
Monaco#7 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD
Lens#9 pos13 pts9 pl+3 GD
Goals per game
Monaco scored1.33
Lens scored1.78
Monaco conceded1.11
Lens conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Monaco 1.71 xG from 9 shots, Lens 1.46 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Thorgan Hazard 59' · 0.54 xGMatthis Abline 42' · 0.46 xGParis Brunner 41' · 0.38 xGFolarin Balogun 92' · 0.12 xGFlorian Thauvin 64' · 0.10 xGAbdallah Sima 46' · 0.08 xGDenis Zakaria 42' · 0.07 xGMatthis Abline 47' · 0.07 xGMichaël Cuisance 17' · 0.07 xGMatthieu Udol 95' · 0.06 xGMichaël Cuisance 74' · 0.06 xGMatthis Abline 6' · 0.06 xGThorgan Hazard 73' · 0.05 xGAbdallah Sima 2' · 0.05 xGParis Brunner 89' · 0.03 xGOdsonne Edouard 91' · 0.03 xGAleksandr Golovin 38' · 0.03 xGKyllian Antonio 86' · 0.03 xGFlorian Thauvin 48' · 0.01 xGJonathan Gradit 83' · 0.00 xGParis Brunner 31' · 0.50 xG · goalMatthieu Udol 56' · 0.38 xG · goal
Monaco (attacking right)Lens (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Monaco911.71
Lens1311.46

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Monaco led on xG, 1.49 to 0.11. At full time, xG was level: Monaco 1.71, Lens 1.46. The widest gap was 1.38 xG to Monaco, in the 42nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Monaco 31 minGoal - Lens 56 min
Monaco 1.71 xGLens 1.46 xGdots = goals · 22 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Monaco v Lens?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v Lens was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.60 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Lens?
In their last 6 meetings, Monaco won 2, Lens won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monaco and Lens?
Recent form — Monaco 4W 1D 0L; Lens 2W 1D 2L.

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