MonacoLille

Monaco v Lille result

Full-time · Monaco 0–1 Lille

Ligue 1 · · Stade Louis II

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Monaco 0–1 Lille — Lille won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 547 of 851 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Monaco 0.31, Lille 0.40 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Lille won 1–0 at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 on Sunday 10 May. Lille are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Monaco: an own goal by D. Zakaria (72’).

Discipline

C. Turpin showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Monaco: Mamadou Coulibaly (79’); Lille: Ayyoub Bouaddi (23’), Matias Fernandez-Pardo (54’) and Gaëtan Perrin (75’).

What it changes

Monaco move down from sixth to seventh (33 league matches played). Monaco have scored 56 goals, the fifth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Monaco have conceded 49 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Lille stay third after this result (33 league matches played). Lille have scored 52 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 33 games, ranked per game). Lille have conceded 35 goals, the third-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Thomas Meunier (Lille) 5.0, Lamine Camara (Monaco) 4.6 and D. Zakaria (Monaco) 4.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Lille are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Monaco.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.

Lille next travel to Rennes on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Lille: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Monaco 0–1 Lille · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Louis II · Monaco
  • Referee: C. Turpin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Monaco 1 · draws 2 · Lille 3 · 1.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Monaco 2W 2D 1L · Lille 3W 2D 0L

Monaco 0–1 Lille (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.63 / 4.75
Corners
against 4.75 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.5
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.33 yellows
Referee · C. Turpin
23.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 12 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMonaco for / againstLineLille for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 4.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 7.75 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.25 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.5 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: C. Turpin — 3.33 yellow cards a game, 0.08 red cards, 23.75 fouls over 12 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
P. Köhn28902508 min873.1 /90481.7 /9010 /90
L. Hrádecký17891519 min513 /90241.4 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Köhn n 890
3.97/6
L. Hrádecký n 890
3.16/4

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Kehrer37873202 min812.3 /90431.2 /90330.9 /902065.8 /90310.9 /90100.3 /90
Caio Henrique33762521 min451.6 /90260.9 /90110.4 /90993.5 /90160.6 /9030.1 /90
Vanderson22581278 min453.2 /90322.3 /9040.3 /90835.8 /90282 /9050.4 /90
K. Ouattara19701330 min372.5 /90201.4 /9020.1 /90815.5 /90271.8 /9040.3 /90
C. Mawissa Elebi19621183 min332.5 /90191.4 /9090.7 /90826.2 /90110.8 /9050.4 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Akliouche n 874.5
1.55/4
1.56/2
Félix Correia
J. Teze n 880
0.63/1
0.32/0
A. Bouaddi
F. Balogun n 884
1.96/4
1.14/3
M. Fernandez-Pardo
T. Kehrer n 887.4
0.64/1
0.84/2
—
Caio Henrique n 862.4
0.21/0
0.41/1
—
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 874.5
0.94/2
J. Teze n 880
2.15/4
F. Balogun n 884
00/0
T. Kehrer n 887.4
2.88/7
Caio Henrique n 862.4
1.66/1
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
F. Balogun41753085 min190.6 /9040.1 /90882.6 /90481.4 /90290.8 /90170.5 /90
M. Biereth26501310 min50.3 /9020.1 /90171.2 /90110.8 /90171.2 /9030.2 /90
Ansu Fati26451178 min110.8 /9000 /90322.4 /90231.8 /90191.5 /90151.1 /90
G. Ilenikhena1134372 min10.2 /9000 /90122.9 /9051.2 /9020.5 /9010.2 /90
Paris Josua Brunner33089 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 874.5
1.87/4
1.16/1
J. Teze n 880
0.42/1
0.32/0
F. Balogun n 884
2.47/5
1.37/2
T. Kehrer n 887.4
0.11/0
00/0
Caio Henrique n 862.4
00/0
00/0
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Akliouche n 874.5
0.32/0
0.64/0
J. Teze n 880
0.11/0
0.32/0
F. Balogun n 884
0.97/0
0.11/0
T. Kehrer n 887.4
00/0
00/0
Caio Henrique n 862.4
00/0
0.42/0
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Lille

Lille Goalkeeper

Lille — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Özer41893647 min882.2 /90441.1 /9040.1 /90
A. Bodart581406 min112.4 /9061.3 /9000 /90
Lille — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Özer n 884.3
1.52/1
A. Bodart n 581.2
2.43/2

Lille Defensive

Lille — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Mandi35852970 min421.3 /90561.7 /90190.6 /901263.8 /90230.7 /9090.3 /90
N. Ngoy34852895 min421.3 /90431.3 /90170.5 /90973 /90250.8 /90100.3 /90
R. Perraud34802735 min561.8 /90291 /9050.2 /901414.6 /90291 /9050.2 /90
T. Meunier33742456 min391.4 /90230.8 /9060.2 /90823 /90371.4 /9030.1 /90
Tiago Santos20611222 min171.3 /90100.7 /9000 /90685 /90151.1 /9000 /90
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Lille — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Félix Correia n 873.1
0.95/1
1.46/3
M. Akliouche
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
0.43/0
—
H. Haraldsson n 877.9
0.62/1
1.45/2
—
A. Bouaddi n 879.1
1.16/2
1.35/3
J. Teze
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 879.5
0.32/0
1.46/3
F. Balogun
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Lille — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Félix Correia n 873.1
1.56/3
H. Haraldsson n 877.9
14/2
A. Bouaddi n 879.1
1.78/4
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 879.5
0.84/2
O. Giroud n 846.3
1.54/2
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Lille Attacking

Lille — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Fernandez-Pardo37762796 min80.3 /9060.2 /90481.5 /90351.1 /90441.4 /90401.3 /90
O. Giroud36622214 min70.3 /9010 /90461.9 /90210.9 /90251 /9020.1 /90
H. Igamane1450699 min81 /9010.1 /90303.9 /90172.2 /9070.9 /90182.3 /90
M. Broholm1043430 min10.2 /9000 /9051 /9030.6 /90102.1 /9061.3 /90
G. Perrin850396 min10.2 /9000 /9051.1 /9030.7 /90102.3 /9071.6 /90
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Lille — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Félix Correia n 873.1
0.92/2
0.52/1
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 877.9
2.27/5
1.46/3
A. Bouaddi n 879.1
0.32/0
00/0
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 879.5
1.87/3
1.36/2
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Lille — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Lille before kick-off, to 3 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Félix Correia n 873.1
0.21/0
00/0
B. Özer n 884.3
00/0
00/0
H. Haraldsson n 877.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Bouaddi n 879.1
00/0
00/0
M. Fernandez-Pardo n 879.5
0.64/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MonacoLille
55%Possession45%
0.37Expected goals (xG)0.39
7Shots7
3Shots on target2
3Shots off target4
1Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box5
5Corners2
2Offsides2
13Fouls10
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
463Passes381
82%Pass accuracy79%

Monaco Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hrádecký9000000006.5
D. Zakaria9000000306.2
C. Mawissa Elebi9000000106.9
L. Camara9000001407
M. Akliouche9000210106.6
F. Balogun9000001006.2
T. Kehrer8000000406.7
J. Teze8000111006.6
A. Golovin5900000206.9
A. Bamba5800000006.7
S. Adingra5800200206.5
Wout Felix Lina Faes sub3200000206.9
M. Coulibaly sub32001100Y6.3
Ansu Fati sub3100001006.6
I. Toure sub1000000006.3
M. Biereth sub1000000006.3

Lille Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Özer9000000007.3
T. Meunier9000111207.6
N. Ngoy9000000007
A. Mandi9000000107.2
B. André9000100206.9
M. Fernandez-Pardo90001011Y5.3
R. Perraud8900100207.5
H. Haraldsson8900001007.2
Félix Correia7100101106.7
N. Mukau6200000106.3
A. Bouaddi45001101Y6.9
N. Bentaleb sub4500000207.2
E. Mbappé sub2800001306.9
G. Perrin sub19000002Y6.2
Alexsandro Ribeiro sub10000010–
C. Verdonk sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monaco v Lille — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MonacoWLDDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
LilleWWDWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Monaco 1 · 2 draws · Lille 3 · 1.17 goals/game
  • 2025-08-24 Lille 1–0 Monaco
  • 2025-02-22 Lille 2–1 Monaco
  • 2024-10-18 Monaco 0–0 Lille
  • 2024-04-24 Monaco 1–0 Lille
  • 2023-10-29 Lille 2–0 Monaco
  • 2023-05-14 Monaco 0–0 Lille
League standing · 2025/26
Monaco#7 pos54 pts34 pl+6 GD
Lille#3 pos61 pts34 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
Monaco scored1.76
Lille scored1.53
Monaco conceded1.59
Lille conceded1.09

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Monaco 0.31 xG from 8 shots, Lille 0.40 from 7. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Matias Fernandez-Pardo 82' · 0.11 xGBenjamin André 70' · 0.07 xGMaghnes Akliouche 38' · 0.07 xGThomas Meunier 93' · 0.06 xGSimon Adingra 38' · 0.06 xGMaghnes Akliouche 26' · 0.06 xGAyyoub Bouaddi 14' · 0.06 xGFelix Correia 47' · 0.05 xGJordan Teze 8' · 0.04 xGRomain Perraud 49' · 0.04 xGFolarin Balogun 8' · 0.04 xGMamadou Coulibaly 64' · 0.03 xGSimon Adingra 43' · 0.02 xGThomas Meunier 58' · 0.01 xGDenis Zakaria 71' · 0.00 xG
Monaco (attacking right)Lille (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Monaco800.31
Lille700.40

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Monaco 0.28, Lille 0.06. At full time, xG was level: Monaco 0.31, Lille 0.40.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.50.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xG
Monaco 0.31 xGLille 0.40 xGdots = goals · 15 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Monaco v Lille?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v Lille was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Lille?
In their last 6 meetings, Monaco won 1, Lille won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monaco and Lille?
Recent form — Monaco 2W 2D 1L; Lille 3W 2D 0L.

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