MonacoToulouse

Monaco v Toulouse result

Full-time · Monaco 2–2 Toulouse

Ligue 1 · · Stade Louis II

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Monaco · Toulouse · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Monaco 2–2 Toulouse — this Ligue 1 match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.22 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Monaco: 1.24 to 1.41 in expected goals, 0.76 of Toulouse’s from a penalty, from 16 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the sixth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Monaco and Toulouse drew 2–2 at Stade Louis II in Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 October. Monaco have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Monaco led 2–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Monaco: Edan Diop (29’, assisted by Aleksandr Golovin) and Matthis Abline (38’, assisted by Edan Diop); Toulouse: Casper Tengstedt (48’ pen) and Sion Oppong (59’, assisted by Casper Tengstedt).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Sion Oppong’s goal on 59 minutes.

Discipline

Ruddy Buquet, France showed four yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Monaco: Flávio Nazinho (47’) and Aleksandr Golovin (54’); Toulouse: C. Cásseres (70’) and Sion Oppong (90+3’).

What it changes

Monaco stay first after this result (six league matches played). Monaco have scored 10 goals, the sixth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Monaco have conceded five goals, the fourth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Toulouse move down from 12th to 13th (six league matches played). Toulouse have scored nine goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Toulouse have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-most of the 18 clubs.

Monaco are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Toulouse are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Edan Diop (Monaco) 9.8, Casper Tengstedt (Toulouse) 9.4 and Matthis Abline (Monaco) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Monaco are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Toulouse.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Monaco or Toulouse (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.

Toulouse next travel to Lens on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Toulouse: Lens v Toulouse, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Monaco 2–2 Toulouse · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade Louis II · Monaco
  • Referee: Ruddy Buquet, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Monaco 3 · draws 2 · Toulouse 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Monaco 4W 1D 0L · Toulouse 1W 2D 2L

Monaco 2–2 Toulouse (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
4.13 / 4.63
Corners
against 5.38 / 5.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.38 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.8 yellows
Referee · Ruddy Buquet, France
26 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMonaco for / againstLineToulouse for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.38 against n 8
3our book
1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 13.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
17 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Ruddy Buquet, France — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Hrádecký790630 min273.9 /9060.9 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
3.68/5

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Dier790630 min91.3 /9040.6 /9050.7 /90314.4 /9060.9 /9000 /90
Sadibou Sané790630 min101.4 /9020.3 /9060.9 /90202.9 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Vanderson777542 min193.2 /90111.8 /9050.8 /90305 /90122 /9010.2 /90
Flávio Nazinho688530 min132.2 /90101.7 /9020.3 /90213.6 /90111.9 /9010.2 /90
J. Teze23773 min33.7 /9011.2 /9011.2 /9044.9 /9011.2 /9011.2 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Camara n 890
1.47/3
1.97/4
C. Cásseres
E. Dier n 880.6
0.85/1
0.11/0
M. McKenzie
Sadibou Sané n 790
0.75/0
0.63/1
C. Tape
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Zakaria n 885.1
1.27/1
0.41/1
C. Cásseres
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Camara n 890
3.67/6
Sadibou Sané n 790
1.46/2
E. Dier n 880.6
1.34/4
D. Zakaria n 885.1
1.14/3
Paris Josua Brunner n 873.4
1.25/2
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Paris Josua Brunner781570 min60.9 /9000 /90203.2 /90121.9 /9071.1 /9040.6 /90
M. Detourbet434136 min00 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9010.7 /9021.3 /9042.6 /90
M. Abline354161 min00 /9010.6 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9042.2 /9042.2 /90
M. Biereth350149 min21.2 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
L. Camara790630 min10.1 /9010.1 /9040.6 /9020.3 /9071 /9060.9 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Camara n 890
0.94/2
0.53/1
E. Dier n 880.6
0.84/2
0.32/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 790
00/0
00/0
D. Zakaria n 885.1
0.96/1
0.43/0
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Camara n 890
0.42/1
0.11/0
E. Dier n 880.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 790
00/0
00/0
D. Zakaria n 885.1
00/0
00/0
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Toulouse

Toulouse Goalkeeper

Toulouse — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guillaume Restes485341 min143.7 /9061.6 /9000 /90
M. Niflore255109 min32.5 /9032.5 /9000 /90
Toulouse — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guillaume Restes n 887.6
4.17/6

Toulouse Defensive

Toulouse — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. McKenzie590450 min61.2 /9051 /9040.8 /90224.4 /9071.4 /9000 /90
C. Tape589444 min20.4 /9040.8 /9030.6 /90163.2 /9081.6 /9010.2 /90
R. Messali549247 min72.6 /9072.6 /9000 /90207.3 /9072.6 /9000 /90
R. Nicolaisen390270 min20.7 /9041.3 /9051.7 /90186 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
I. Diallo347140 min31.9 /9000 /9010.6 /9085.1 /9010.6 /9000 /90
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Toulouse — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Cásseres n 890
1.97/5
1.56/3
D. Zakaria
M. McKenzie n 890
1.66/5
0.86/0
E. Dier
C. Tape n 588.8
1.64/2
0.63/0
Sadibou Sané
T. Jørgensen n 587.6
13/2
12/1
—
J. Russell-Rowe n 867.5
1.36/2
0.21/0
—
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Toulouse — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Cásseres n 890
3.88/7
M. McKenzie n 890
1.47/2
C. Tape n 588.8
0.41/1
T. Jørgensen n 587.6
1.63/3
J. Russell-Rowe n 867.5
0.32/0
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Toulouse Attacking

Toulouse — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Russell-Rowe568342 min10.3 /9000 /9082.1 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9030.8 /90
S. Hidalgo448191 min00 /9000 /9062.8 /9052.4 /9010.5 /9020.9 /90
C. Tengstedt347142 min31.9 /9000 /9074.4 /9031.9 /9021.3 /9000 /90
S. Oppong32164 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9045.6 /90
C. Cásseres590450 min00 /9040.8 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90183.6 /9071.4 /90
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Toulouse — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
C. Cásseres n 890
0.83/2
0.11/0
M. McKenzie n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Tape n 588.8
13/2
0.42/0
T. Jørgensen n 587.6
1.64/1
0.82/1
J. Russell-Rowe n 867.5
2.26/4
1.35/2
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Toulouse — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toulouse before kick-off, to 19 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Cásseres n 890
00/0
0.84/2
M. McKenzie n 890
00/0
00/0
C. Tape n 588.8
0.21/0
00/0
T. Jørgensen n 587.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
J. Russell-Rowe n 867.5
0.32/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
MonacoToulouse
58%Possession42%
1.17Expected goals (xG)1.43
16Shots8
4Shots on target4
8Shots off target3
4Blocked shots1
10Shots inside the box4
4Corners4
0Offsides1
10Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves2
646Passes463
89%Pass accuracy87%

Monaco Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
L. Hrádecký9000000006.6
A. Golovin90011112Y7.2
L. Camara9000100307.9
Flávio Nazinho90000020Y5.9
E. Dier9000001006.9
Sadibou Sané9000001007.2
Vanderson7500003306.9
M. Abline7510310107.7
M. Detourbet5800200206.7
Edan Diop5811211407.9
D. Zakaria5100000306.6
Safouane Benzahra sub3900000106.3
S. Idumbo-Muzambo sub3200201106.9
F. Balogun sub3200000006.3
J. Teze sub1500000106.9
Ansu Fati sub1500111006.2

Toulouse Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Jørgensen9000220206.2
C. Cásseres90000014Y7.2
C. Tape9000002207.2
M. McKenzie9000000206.9
S. Koumbassa9000000006.7
Guillaume Restes9000000006.3
C. Tengstedt8411311107.6
A. Vossah8400000306.5
R. Messali7700000206.7
Y. Azizi7100002106.2
J. Russell-Rowe4500100006.5
S. Oppong sub45101100Y7.3
N. Sigur sub1900000007.2
I. Diallo sub1300000107.2
A. Dønnum sub1200001006.7
S. Hidalgo sub1200000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Monaco v Toulouse — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
MonacoWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ToulouseLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Monaco 3 · 2 draws · Toulouse 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Toulouse 2–2 Monaco
  • 2025-10-25 Monaco 1–0 Toulouse
  • 2025-03-07 Toulouse 1–1 Monaco
  • 2024-12-07 Monaco 2–0 Toulouse
  • 2024-02-18 Monaco 1–2 Toulouse
  • 2023-12-20 Toulouse 1–2 Monaco
League standing · 2026/27
Monaco#7 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD
Toulouse#10 pos13 pts10 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Monaco scored1.33
Toulouse scored1.5
Monaco conceded1.11
Toulouse conceded1.4

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Monaco 1.24 xG from 16 shots, Toulouse 1.41 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Matthis Abline 6' · 0.30 xGMathys Detourbet 17' · 0.12 xGMathys Detourbet 14' · 0.10 xGAnssumane Fati 82' · 0.09 xGAleksandr Golovin 65' · 0.08 xGLamine Camara 16' · 0.07 xGIlyas Azizi 56' · 0.07 xGStanis Idumbo Muzambo 73' · 0.07 xGThomas Jørgensen 90' · 0.06 xGAleksandr Golovin 15' · 0.06 xGCasper Tengstedt 53' · 0.06 xGCristian Cásseres Jr. 45' · 0.06 xGStanis Idumbo Muzambo 91' · 0.05 xGEdan Diop 17' · 0.04 xGAnssumane Fati 80' · 0.03 xGThomas Jørgensen 24' · 0.03 xGMatthis Abline 10' · 0.02 xGFolarin Balogun 63' · 0.02 xGJacen Russell-Rowe 33' · 0.02 xGLamine Camara 68' · 0.01 xGCasper Tengstedt 27' · 0.01 xGCasper Tengstedt 47' · 0.76 xG · goalSion Oppong 58' · 0.34 xG · goalEdan Diop 28' · 0.13 xG · goalMatthis Abline 37' · 0.03 xG · goal
Monaco (attacking right)Toulouse (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Monaco1621.24
Toulouse921.41

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Monaco led on xG, 0.89 to 0.11. At full time, xG was level: Monaco 1.24, Toulouse 1.41, including 0.76 from a penalty. The widest gap was 0.83 xG to Monaco, in the 37th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.40.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Monaco 28 minGoal - Monaco 37 minGoal - Toulouse 47 minGoal - Toulouse 58 min
Monaco 1.24 xGToulouse 1.41 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Monaco v Toulouse?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Monaco v Toulouse was Home or Away (best price 1.22 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Monaco and Toulouse?
In their last 6 meetings, Monaco won 3, Toulouse won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Monaco and Toulouse?
Recent form — Monaco 4W 1D 0L; Toulouse 1W 2D 2L.

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