Nantes v Paris Saint-Germain result

Full-time · Nantes 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain

Ligue 1 · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 19:45 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nantes · Paris Saint-Germain · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nantes 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain — Paris Saint-Germain won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris Saint-Germain: 1.36 to 0.12 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the fourth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–0 at Nantes in Ligue 1 on Sunday 17 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris Saint-Germain: Vitinha (67’, assisted by Nuno Mendes).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Vitinha’s goal on 67 minutes.

Discipline

B. Bastien showed two yellow cards — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 12 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nantes: K. Amian (45+1’); Paris Saint-Germain: A. Hakimi (79’).

What it changes

Nantes are 11th (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Paris Saint-Germain are second (shared) after this result (one league match played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Vitinha (Paris Saint-Germain) 7.8, Bahereba Guirassy (Nantes) 4.9 and Louis Leroux (Nantes) 4.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 52.3% of the time in the last 90 days (92 of 176).

Next up

Nantes next travel to Saint Etienne on 24 October 2026.

Paris Saint-Germain next host Barcelona on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nantes: Saint Etienne v Nantes, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain v Barcelona, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Nantes 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1
Referee: B. Bastien
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nantes 0 · draws 2 · Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: Nantes 1W 3D 1L · Paris Saint-Germain 3W 1D 1L

Nantes 0–1 Paris Saint-Germain (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.25

Goals

against 1.13 / 0.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.63 / 5.57

Corners

against 6 / 3.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

2.88 / 5.57

Shots on target

against 4 / 3.43 · 0 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.38 / 1.57

Cards

against 2 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.17 yellows

Referee · B. Bastien

1.75 home / 1.42 away

over 12 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nantes for / against	Line	Paris Saint-Germain for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 0.75 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.57 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	8.88 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	2.88 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.57 for · 3.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.57 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.38 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.57 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: B. Bastien — 3.17 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.42 fouls over 12 matches (1.75 to the home side, 1.42 to the away side).

Home 1.75Away 1.42

Nantes

Nantes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Elia n 8	22.6	3.5 3/1	1 2/0	—
F. Coquelin n 8	40.3	2.8 5/3	0.8 3/0	—
J. Lepenant n 8	47.6	2.6 5/3	1.7 4/2	—
M. Coco n 8	40.6	2.2 5/2	1.4 3/2	—
M. Abline n 8	86.5	1.6 7/4	1 6/2	—

Nantes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Elia n 8	22.6	2 4/0	0.5 1/0
Bahereba Guirassy n 8	12.3	1.8 1/1	0.9 1/0
D. Assoumani n 8	12.3	1.8 2/0	0.9 1/0
Mostafa Mohamed n 8	46	1.7 5/1	0.7 3/0
T. Kadewere n 8	33.4	1.7 3/1	1.3 3/1

Nantes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
S. Thomas n 8	73	0.3 2/0	0.8 4/1
F. Coquelin n 8	40.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
Mostafa Mohamed n 8	46	0.5 2/0	0 0/0
M. Elia n 8	22.6	0.5 1/0	0 0/0
M. Abline n 8	86.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0

Nantes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bahereba Guirassy n 8	12.3	4.6 4/1
F. Coquelin n 8	40.3	3.9 5/5
M. Elia n 8	22.6	3.5 6/1
N. Cozza n 8	73.1	3.2 7/5
F. Centonze n 8	44.6	3 4/3

Nantes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Carlgren n 8	85.8	3.4 6/4
Anthony Lopes n 8	83	2.7 6/2

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	73.6	2 6/2	1.5 8/1	—
L. Hernández n 8	41.6	1.9 5/2	1.1 2/1	—
D. Doué n 8	71.1	1.7 6/4	1.3 6/2	—
Senny Mayulu n 8	39.9	1.7 3/2	1.4 3/2	—
A. Hakimi n 8	86.3	1.4 6/3	0.8 5/1	—

Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Kvaratskhelia n 8	73.6	3.2 8/6	1.2 6/2
O. Dembélé n 8	68.8	2.6 7/5	1.3 6/2
I. Mbaye n 8	39.5	2.6 4/3	1.4 3/2
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	24.1	2.3 4/1	1.9 4/0
D. Doué n 8	71.1	1.9 7/4	1.3 6/1

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
O. Dembélé n 8	68.8	0.3 2/0	0.7 3/1
Gonçalo Ramos n 8	24.1	0.9 2/0	0 0/0
Senny Mayulu n 8	39.9	0.6 2/0	0.3 1/0
A. Hakimi n 8	86.3	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
Fabián Ruiz n 8	62.6	0.4 1/1	0.2 1/0

Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 13 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
João Neves n 8	69.3	3.4 6/4
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	31.5	3.2 5/4
Nuno Mendes n 8	83.8	3 8/6
Fabián Ruiz n 8	62.6	2.3 7/5
L. Hernández n 8	41.6	2.2 4/2

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nantes		Paris Saint-Germain
29%	Possession	71%
0.14	Expected goals (xG)	1.43
5	Shots	18
0	Shots on target	4
5	Shots off target	7
0	Blocked shots	7
2	Shots inside the box	12
2	Corners	7
0	Offsides	1
6	Fouls	6
1	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	0
304	Passes	744
74%	Pass accuracy	91%

Nantes player stats

Player	Min	Sh	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Anthony Lopes	90	0	0	0	0	6.6
K. Amian	90	0	0	2	Y	6.9
C. Awaziem	90	0	0	2	0	6.9
T. Tati	90	0	1	0	0	6.5
N. Cozza	90	0	0	2	0	6.5
J. Lepenant	90	1	2	1	0	6.6
Louis Leroux	86	0	1	4	0	6.9
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu	79	0	0	3	0	7.3
Mostafa Mohamed	79	0	0	0	0	6.3
Y. Benhattab	59	1	0	0	0	6.3
Bahereba Guirassy	59	1	0	6	0	7.2
Hong Hyun-Seok sub	31	1	0	1	0	6.3
M. Abline sub	31	0	1	1	0	6.5
A. Camara sub	11	0	0	0	0	6.3
F. Coquelin sub	11	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Assoumani sub	9	1	0	0	0	6.3

Paris Saint-Germain player stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
L. Chevalier	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
W. Zaïre-Emery	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.3
I. Zabarnyi	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
Beraldo	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.9
Vitinha	90	1	0	2	1	1	3	0	8.9
B. Barcola	90	0	0	3	1	1	0	0	6.2
Gonçalo Ramos	78	0	0	3	0	0	1	0	6.7
L. Hernández	61	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.9
Lee Kang-In	61	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7.5
Fabián Ruiz	61	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.9
I. Mbaye	61	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	5.6
A. Hakimi sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
Nuno Mendes sub	29	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
D. Doué sub	29	0	0	0	0	4	2	0	6.9
O. Dembélé sub	29	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	6.6
K. Kvaratskhelia sub	12	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Nantes v Paris Saint-Germain — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NantesDDLDW

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Paris Saint-GermainWWWLD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nantes 0 · 2 draws · Paris Saint-Germain 4 · 3 goals/game

2025-04-22 Nantes 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain
2024-11-30 Paris Saint-Germain 1–1 Nantes
2024-02-17 Nantes 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain
2023-12-09 Paris Saint-Germain 2–1 Nantes
2023-03-04 Paris Saint-Germain 4–2 Nantes
2022-09-03 Nantes 0–3 Paris Saint-Germain

League standing · 2025/26

Nantes#17 pos23 pts33 pl-23 GD

Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos76 pts34 pl+45 GD

Goals per game

Nantes scored0.88

Paris Saint-Germain scored2.18

Nantes conceded1.58

Paris Saint-Germain conceded0.85

Shot map and expected goals

Nantes 0.12 xG from 5 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 1.36 from 18. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nantes (attacking right)Paris Saint-Germain (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Nantes	5	0	0.12
Paris Saint-Germain	18	1	1.36

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Nantes v Paris Saint-Germain?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nantes v Paris Saint-Germain was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Nantes and Paris Saint-Germain?: In their last 6 meetings, Nantes won 0, Paris Saint-Germain won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nantes and Paris Saint-Germain?: Recent form — Nantes 1W 3D 1L; Paris Saint-Germain 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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