Paris Saint-Germain v Le Mans result

Full-time · Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans

Ligue 1 · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 19:45 BST · Parc des Princes

Updated 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris Saint-Germain · Le Mans

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans — Paris Saint-Germain won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.15 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 79.1% of 273 landed (95% range 73.9–83.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris Saint-Germain: 4.24 to 2.27 in expected goals, 1.52 of it from penalties, from 22 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 42nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Paris Saint-Germain beat Le Mans 3–1 at Parc des Princes in Ligue 1 on Saturday 10 October. Paris Saint-Germain have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Le Mans have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Paris Saint-Germain led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris Saint-Germain: Beraldo (19’ pen), Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (61’) and Maghnes Akliouche (68’, assisted by Warren Zaïre-Emery); Le Mans: Louis Mafouta (54’, assisted by Lucas Calodat).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Khvicha Kvaratskhelia’s goal on 61 minutes.

Discipline

Mathieu Vernice, France showed four yellow cards — against 4.0 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Le Mans: Dame Guèye (47’), Louis Mafouta (65’), Rayan Bamba (90+2’) and Billal Brahimi (90+2’).

What it changes

Paris Saint-Germain move up from sixth to fifth (six league matches played). Paris Saint-Germain have scored 11 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded eight goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Le Mans move down from eighth to 12th (six league matches played). Le Mans have scored 10 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Le Mans have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Beraldo (Paris Saint-Germain) 7.0, Maghnes Akliouche (Paris Saint-Germain) 6.1 and Lucas Calodat (Le Mans) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Paris Saint-Germain to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Paris Saint-Germain next host Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026.

Le Mans next host Monaco on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain v Estac Troyes, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Le Mans: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans · Ligue 1
Venue: Parc des Princes · Paris
Referee: Mathieu Vernice, France
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 1): Paris Saint-Germain 1 · draws 0 · Le Mans 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 3W 1D 1L · Le Mans 1W 3D 1L

Paris Saint-Germain 3–1 Le Mans (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

5.38 / 2.88

Corners

against 1.5 / 5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7.75 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 3.5 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4 yellows

Referee · Mathieu Vernice, France

24.6 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Paris Saint-Germain for / against	Line	Le Mans for / against
Goals scored	2 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	2.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	21.88 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	10.63 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7.75 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	7.63 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	15.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Mathieu Vernice, France — 4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 24.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
M. Safonov	8	91726 min	172.1 /90	81 /90	00 /90

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	2.1 5/4

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
W. Pacho	8	88700 min	131.7 /90	60.8 /90	40.5 /90	293.7 /90	20.3 /90	00 /90
A. Hakimi	7	80559 min	71.1 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	284.5 /90	10.2 /90	20.3 /90
Marquinhos	6	91546 min	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	172.8 /90	40.7 /90	10.2 /90
Nuno Mendes	5	69345 min	41 /90	61.6 /90	10.3 /90	256.5 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
L. Hernández	4	41163 min	31.7 /90	10.6 /90	00 /90	42.2 /90	10.6 /90	10.6 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0.2 2/0	—
Vitinha n 8	88.1	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	—
W. Pacho n 8	87.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0	—
Fabián Ruiz n 8	54.4	1.2 4/2	0.4 2/0	—
M. Akliouche n 8	52.6	1.1 4/1	1.3 4/2	R. Bamba
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Vitinha n 8	88.1	1 7/1
W. Pacho n 8	87.5	1.7 5/3
Fabián Ruiz n 8	54.4	1.7 5/2
M. Akliouche n 8	52.6	3 6/4
W. Zaïre-Emery n 8	77.1	1.9 7/5
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
D. Doué	7	68478 min	10.2 /90	20.4 /90	163 /90	81.5 /90	173.2 /90	203.8 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia	7	63441 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	173.5 /90	81.6 /90	102 /90	122.4 /90
O. Dembélé	7	51356 min	20.5 /90	41 /90	297.3 /90	92.3 /90	184.6 /90	112.8 /90
Ferran Torres	6	54325 min	71.9 /90	00 /90	154.2 /90	82.2 /90	61.7 /90	00 /90
Mika Godts	4	30120 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	43 /90	10.8 /90	75.3 /90	43 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Vitinha n 8	88.1	1.4 5/2	0.4 2/1
W. Pacho n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Fabián Ruiz n 8	54.4	1.7 4/2	0.6 3/0
M. Akliouche n 8	52.6	1.9 5/3	0.2 1/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Safonov n 8	90.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Vitinha n 8	88.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
W. Pacho n 8	87.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Fabián Ruiz n 8	54.4	0.2 1/0	0.4 1/1
M. Akliouche n 8	52.6	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Le Mans

Le Mans Goalkeeper

Le Mans — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
N. Kocik	3	87261 min	103.4 /90	51.7 /90	00 /90
E. Hatfout	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

Le Mans — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
N. Kocik n 8	88.9	2.2 4/2
E. Hatfout n 7	90.7	2.4 5/3

Le Mans Defensive

Le Mans — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
H. Voyer	4	90360 min	51.3 /90	61.5 /90	20.5 /90	133.3 /90	41 /90	10.3 /90
N. Boissé	4	79315 min	92.6 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	164.6 /90	61.7 /90	20.6 /90
S. Yohou	3	65196 min	52.3 /90	20.9 /90	20.9 /90	62.8 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90
T. Eyoum	2	90180 min	21 /90	21 /90	21 /90	42 /90	21 /90	00 /90
D. Sidibé	2	68135 min	42.7 /90	00 /90	00 /90	106.7 /90	32 /90	10.7 /90
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Le Mans — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
L. Mafouta n 5	84.6	1.1 2/2	1.1 4/1	—
A. Bourabaa n 8	67.6	1 4/2	1 4/1	—
D. Guèye n 8	55.8	1.6 5/3	0.4 2/0	—
A. Lauray n 8	58	2.9 7/4	1.2 5/1	—
R. Bamba n 4	90	1.5 3/2	0.3 1/0	M. Akliouche
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Le Mans — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 5	84.6	0.2 1/0
A. Bourabaa n 8	67.6	1.3 5/3
D. Guèye n 8	55.8	1.4 6/1
A. Lauray n 8	58	3.1 7/4
R. Bamba n 4	90	2.8 3/3
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Le Mans Attacking

Le Mans — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
L. Mafouta	5	85423 min	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	112.3 /90	81.7 /90	30.6 /90	10.2 /90
D. Guèye	5	59297 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	20.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
A. Rabillard	4	40159 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	00 /90	21.1 /90	31.7 /90
H. Diallo	3	38113 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	32.4 /90	21.6 /90	00 /90	00 /90
B. Brahimi	2	1938 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	12.4 /90
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Le Mans — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 5	84.6	2.3 5/4	1.7 4/3
A. Bourabaa n 8	67.6	1.5 7/2	1 5/1
D. Guèye n 8	55.8	2 6/4	1 4/1
A. Lauray n 8	58	0.8 2/2	0.4 2/0
H. Voyer n 8	86.6	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Le Mans — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Le Mans before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
L. Mafouta n 5	84.6	0.6 2/1	0.2 1/0
A. Bourabaa n 8	67.6	0.5 3/0	0.3 2/0
D. Guèye n 8	55.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Lauray n 8	58	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
R. Bamba n 4	90	0 0/0	0.3 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris Saint-Germain		Le Mans
73%	Possession	27%
4.25	Expected goals (xG)	1.43
22	Shots	11
8	Shots on target	3
8	Shots off target	7
6	Blocked shots	1
13	Shots inside the box	7
4	Corners	4
1	Offsides	5
3	Fouls	17
0	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
709	Passes	256
88%	Pass accuracy	71%

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
M. Safonov	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
I. Zabarnyi	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
L. Hernández	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.9
L. Digne	90	0	0	0	0	3	1	7.2
M. Akliouche	90	1	0	2	2	2	0	8.9
Ferran Torres	90	0	0	2	0	0	1	6.3
A. Hakimi	72	0	0	3	1	1	0	6.9
Beraldo	59	1	0	1	1	0	3	7.2
Mika Godts	59	0	0	1	1	0	1	7.2
João Neves	58	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.5
Pedro Fernández	58	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
W. Zaïre-Emery sub	32	0	1	0	0	3	0	6.9
Fabián Ruiz sub	32	0	0	1	1	0	1	6.7
K. Kvaratskhelia sub	31	1	0	2	1	1	1	7.2
Vitinha sub	31	0	0	1	0	0	0	7.2
D. Doué sub	18	0	0	2	1	0	1	6.9

Le Mans Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
N. Kocik	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
N. Boissé	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	6.3
S. Yohou	90	0	0	2	1	0	0	5.9
H. Voyer	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.5
R. Bamba	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	6
Lucas Bretelle	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.3
L. Calodat	77	0	1	0	0	1	2	7.2
A. Lauray	72	0	0	0	0	2	1	6.2
L. Mafouta	72	1	0	2	2	0	0	7.3
J. Vercruysse	66	0	0	2	0	0	2	6.2
H. Diallo	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
D. Guèye sub	45	0	0	2	0	0	0	6.5
B. Brahimi sub	24	0	0	0	0	1	1	6.9
A. Rabillard sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
W. Harhouz sub	18	0	0	1	0	1	0	6.5
Y. Larouci sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Le Mans — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Paris Saint-GermainDLWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Le MansDLDDW

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 1

Paris Saint-Germain 1 · 0 draws · Le Mans 0 · 2 goals/game

2025-02-04 Le Mans 0–2 Paris Saint-Germain

League standing · 2026/27

Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos20 pts9 pl+11 GD

Le Mans#17 pos7 pts9 pl-7 GD

Goals per game

Paris Saint-Germain scored2.33

Le Mans scored1.22

Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.11

Le Mans conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Paris Saint-Germain 4.24 xG from 22 shots, Le Mans 2.27 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Paris Saint-Germain (attacking right)Le Mans (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Paris Saint-Germain	22	3	4.24
Le Mans	11	1	2.27

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 1.77 to 0.69, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 4.24 to 2.27, 1.52 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 2.10 xG to Paris Saint-Germain, in the 70th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Paris Saint-Germain 4.24 xGLe Mans 2.27 xGdots = goals · 33 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Le Mans?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Le Mans was Home win (best price 1.15 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Le Mans?: In their last 1 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 1, Le Mans won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Le Mans?: Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 3W 1D 1L; Le Mans 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.