This Matchweek

Paris Saint GermainMonaco

Paris Saint-Germain v Monaco result

Full-time · Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Monaco

Ligue 1 · · Parc des Princes

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Paris Saint-Germain · Monaco · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Monaco — Monaco won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.37 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Paris Saint-Germain: 2.54 to 0.60 in expected goals, from 23 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the seventh minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Monaco won 2–1 at Parc des Princes in Ligue 1 on Friday 4 September.

The goals

Monaco came from behind: Paris Saint-Germain led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Paris Saint-Germain: Marquinhos (31’, assisted by Khvicha Kvaratskhelia); Monaco: Flávio Nazinho (58’, assisted by Jordan Teze) and Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo (72’, assisted by Aleksandr Golovin).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo’s goal on 72 minutes.

Discipline

Jérôme Brisard, France showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Paris Saint-Germain: Lucas Hernández (68’); Monaco: Jordan Teze (68’).

What it changes

Paris Saint-Germain move down from sixth to 12th (three league matches played). Paris Saint-Germain have scored 21 goals, the most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Paris Saint-Germain have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Monaco stay first after this result (three league matches played). Monaco have scored 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Monaco have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Paris Saint-Germain are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Monaco have won their last five matches in all competitions. Monaco have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Flávio Nazinho (Monaco) 7.6, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (Paris Saint-Germain) 7.4 and Lamine Camara (Monaco) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Paris Saint-Germain next host Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026.

Monaco next travel to Le Mans on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Paris Saint-Germain: Paris Saint-Germain v Estac Troyes, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Monaco: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Monaco · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Parc des Princes · Paris
  • Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Paris Saint-Germain 3 · draws 1 · Monaco 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Paris Saint-Germain 1W 3D 1L · Monaco 4W 0D 1L

Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 Monaco (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.71 / 5
Corners
against 2.14 / 4.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.57 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.86 / 4 · 1 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.14 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.57 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.6 yellows
Referee · Jérôme Brisard, France
24 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameParis Saint-Germain for / againstLineMonaco for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5our book
2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.71 for · 2.14 against n 7
9.5standard
5 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
16.14 for · 12.29 against n 7
19.5standard
13.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.57 for · 4.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.38 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.29 for · 9.86 against n 7
21.5standard
12.13 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.14 for · 1.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Jérôme Brisard, France — 3.6 yellow cards a game, 0.4 red cards, 24 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain Goalkeeper

Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Safonov492366 min61.5 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Paris Saint-Germain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Safonov n 890.8
3.56/4

Paris Saint-Germain Defensive

Paris Saint-Germain — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Hakimi492366 min71.7 /9030.7 /9000 /90235.7 /9010.2 /9020.5 /90
W. Pacho492366 min41 /9041 /9041 /90143.4 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Marquinhos392276 min20.7 /9020.7 /9010.3 /9082.6 /9031 /9010.3 /90
L. Hernández256111 min00 /9000 /9000 /9010.8 /9000 /9000 /90
Nuno Mendes251101 min10.9 /9043.6 /9000 /90108.9 /9010.9 /9000 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Hakimi n 881.4
0.73/1
15/2
E. Dier
W. Pacho n 890.8
0.63/1
0.53/1
E. Dier
M. Safonov n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
Vitinha n 879.8
0.42/1
0.42/1
D. Zakaria
W. Zaïre-Emery n 871.1
0.93/2
0.63/1
Sadibou Sané
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Paris Saint-Germain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Hakimi n 881.4
1.88/4
W. Pacho n 890.8
1.24/2
Vitinha n 879.8
17/0
W. Zaïre-Emery n 871.1
1.76/4
D. Doué n 873.8
2.67/6
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Paris Saint-Germain Attacking

Paris Saint-Germain — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Doué478312 min10.3 /9010.3 /9092.6 /9051.4 /9092.6 /90154.3 /90
K. Kvaratskhelia462248 min10.4 /9000 /9082.9 /9031.1 /9020.7 /9062.2 /90
M. Akliouche453213 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9000 /9052.1 /9010.4 /90
O. Dembélé342126 min00 /9010.7 /9064.3 /9021.4 /9053.6 /9021.4 /90
Ferran Torres259117 min21.5 /9000 /9053.8 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Paris Saint-Germain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Hakimi n 881.4
1.15/2
0.31/1
M. Safonov n 890.8
00/0
00/0
W. Pacho n 890.8
00/0
00/0
Vitinha n 879.8
1.34/2
0.31/1
W. Zaïre-Emery n 871.1
0.84/1
0.53/0
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Paris Saint-Germain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Paris Saint-Germain before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Hakimi n 881.4
00/0
0.32/0
M. Safonov n 890.8
00/0
00/0
W. Pacho n 890.8
00/0
00/0
Vitinha n 879.8
0.11/0
0.11/0
W. Zaïre-Emery n 871.1
0.21/0
00/0
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Monaco

Monaco Goalkeeper

Monaco — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
L. Hrádecký490360 min133.3 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Monaco — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
L. Hrádecký n 890
2.57/4

Monaco Defensive

Monaco — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Dier490360 min41 /9010.3 /9030.8 /90194.8 /9020.5 /9000 /90
Sadibou Sané490360 min41 /9010.3 /9010.3 /90102.5 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Vanderson478310 min102.9 /9041.2 /9051.5 /90144.1 /9072 /9010.3 /90
Flávio Nazinho387260 min82.8 /9062.1 /9020.7 /90124.2 /9082.8 /9010.3 /90
C. Mawissa Elebi18080 min11.1 /9033.4 /9000 /9066.8 /9011.1 /9000 /90
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Monaco — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Camara n 886
1.46/4
1.77/4
—
Sadibou Sané n 490
0.83/0
0.31/0
W. Zaïre-Emery
E. Dier n 874.6
0.84/1
0.32/0
W. Pacho
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Zakaria n 886.9
1.87/4
0.93/2
Vitinha
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Monaco — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Camara n 886
3.17/5
Sadibou Sané n 490
13/1
E. Dier n 874.6
0.93/3
D. Zakaria n 886.9
1.95/4
Paris Josua Brunner n 758.1
1.34/1
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Monaco Attacking

Monaco — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Paris Josua Brunner480318 min41.1 /9000 /90133.7 /9072 /9020.6 /9030.8 /90
M. Biereth350149 min21.2 /9000 /9031.8 /9021.2 /9010.6 /9000 /90
M. Detourbet24590 min00 /9011 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9033 /90
L. Camara490360 min10.3 /9000 /9030.8 /9020.5 /9061.5 /9030.8 /90
D. Zakaria484335 min00 /9000 /9030.8 /9010.3 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
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Monaco — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Camara n 886
14/3
0.74/1
E. Dier n 874.6
0.84/1
0.32/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 490
00/0
00/0
D. Zakaria n 886.9
0.86/0
0.32/0
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Monaco — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Monaco before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Camara n 886
0.53/1
00/0
E. Dier n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
L. Hrádecký n 890
00/0
00/0
Sadibou Sané n 490
00/0
00/0
D. Zakaria n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Paris Saint-GermainMonaco
68%Possession32%
2.32Expected goals (xG)0.51
23Shots4
10Shots on target2
6Shots off target2
7Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box2
6Corners0
5Offsides2
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves9
757Passes355
91%Pass accuracy83%

Paris Saint-Germain Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Safonov9000000006
A. Hakimi9000211005.2
Marquinhos9010111007.9
W. Pacho9000000506.3
João Neves9000201106.9
Vitinha9000113107.9
Fabián Ruiz7600112107.2
M. Akliouche6900112306.6
K. Kvaratskhelia6801324207.9
W. Zaïre-Emery6400000306.9
D. Doué6300223307.3
Ferran Torres sub2700000006.3
L. Hernández sub26000013Y6.9
Mika Godts sub2200102106.9
O. Dembélé sub2100211007.2
Pedro Fernández sub1400000206.6

Monaco Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Zakaria9000000007.2
Sadibou Sané9000000106.9
Flávio Nazinho9010111207.6
E. Dier9000000307
L. Camara9000000707.3
L. Hrádecký90000000010
S. Idumbo-Muzambo8710210207.9
A. Golovin8701001006.3
M. Coulibaly7300000106.2
Paris Josua Brunner7300101206.9
Vanderson5200000006.3
J. Teze sub38010012Y7.5
M. Abline sub1700000106.3
A. Soubeir sub1700000106.7
Safouane Benzahra sub900000006.6
C. Mawissa Elebi sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Paris Saint-Germain v Monaco — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Paris Saint-GermainDWLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
MonacoLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Paris Saint-Germain 3 · 1 draw · Monaco 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-06 Paris Saint-Germain 1–3 Monaco
  • 2026-02-25 Paris Saint-Germain 2–2 Monaco
  • 2026-02-17 Monaco 2–3 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2025-11-29 Monaco 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain
  • 2025-02-07 Paris Saint-Germain 4–1 Monaco
  • 2025-01-05 Paris Saint-Germain 1–0 Monaco
League standing · 2026/27
Paris Saint-Germain#1 pos20 pts9 pl+11 GD
Monaco#7 pos15 pts9 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Paris Saint-Germain scored2.33
Monaco scored1.33
Paris Saint-Germain conceded1.11
Monaco conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Paris Saint-Germain 2.54 xG from 23 shots, Monaco 0.60 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Maghnes Akliouche 54' · 0.50 xGDésiré Doué 11' · 0.15 xGJoão Neves 11' · 0.14 xGAchraf Hakimi 11' · 0.10 xGKhvicha Kvaratskhelia 11' · 0.10 xGVitinha 61' · 0.10 xGMika Godts 89' · 0.09 xGDésiré Doué 30' · 0.09 xGAchraf Hakimi 38' · 0.06 xGParis Brunner 45' · 0.05 xGAchraf Hakimi 86' · 0.05 xGOusmane Dembélé 93' · 0.04 xGAchraf Hakimi 63' · 0.03 xGDésiré Doué 7' · 0.03 xGKhvicha Kvaratskhelia 35' · 0.03 xGVitinha 94' · 0.03 xGOusmane Dembélé 94' · 0.02 xGVitinha 54' · 0.02 xGMika Godts 91' · 0.02 xGFabián 35' · 0.02 xGKhvicha Kvaratskhelia 63' · 0.02 xGStanis Idumbo Muzambo 64' · 0.02 xGMika Godts 74' · 0.02 xGJoão Neves 22' · 0.01 xGMarquinhos 30' · 0.87 xG · goalFlávio Nazinho 57' · 0.45 xG · goalStanis Idumbo Muzambo 71' · 0.08 xG · goal
Paris Saint-Germain (attacking right)Monaco (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Paris Saint-Germain2312.54
Monaco420.60

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 1.59 to 0.05. At full time, Paris Saint-Germain led on xG, 2.54 to 0.60. The widest gap was 2.06 xG to Paris Saint-Germain, in the 54th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.51.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Paris Saint Germain 30 minGoal - Monaco 57 minGoal - Monaco 71 min
Paris Saint-Germain 2.54 xGMonaco 0.60 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Monaco?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Paris Saint-Germain v Monaco was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.37 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco?
In their last 6 meetings, Paris Saint-Germain won 3, Monaco won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Paris Saint-Germain and Monaco?
Recent form — Paris Saint-Germain 1W 3D 1L; Monaco 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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