Rennes v Le Mans result
The model’s pre-match pick
Rennes 3–2 Le Mans — Rennes won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home shots on over 2.5.
What xG said
xG said Rennes: 3.66 to 2.72 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of Le Mans’s from a penalty, from 22 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 88th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Rennes beat Le Mans 3–2 at Roazhon Park in Ligue 1 on Sunday 30 August. Rennes have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions. Le Mans have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.
The goals
Rennes led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Rennes: Esteban Lepaul (5’, assisted by Adrien Thomasson; 90’ pen) and Valentin Rongier (26’, assisted by Issa Soumaré); Le Mans: Louis Mafouta (30’, assisted by Lucas Calodat; 54’ pen). Djibril Sidibé (68’) was sent off.
Discipline
The bookings — Rennes: Issa Soumaré (48’), Esteban Lepaul (90+6’) and Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal (90+12’); Le Mans: Alexandre Lauray (66’) and Harold Voyer (90+12’).
What it changes
Rennes move up from sixth to fourth (two league matches played).
Le Mans move down from third to 13th (two league matches played).
With five goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 2, across nine matches.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Esteban Lepaul (Rennes) 10.1, Louis Mafouta (Le Mans) 10.0 and Adrien Thomasson (Rennes) 6.3 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Rennes shots on over 2.5, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.
Next up
Rennes next host Lille on 8 November 2026.
Le Mans next host Monaco on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Rennes: Rennes v Lille, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Le Mans: Le Mans v Monaco, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Rennes 3–2 Le Mans · Ligue 1
- Venue: Roazhon Park · Rennes
- Referee: Romain Lissorgue
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Recent form: Rennes 2W 1D 2L · Le Mans 2W 3D 0L
Rennes 3–2 Le Mans (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 13 September 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Rennes for / against | Line | Le Mans for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.13 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.63 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16 for · 15.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.63 for · 9.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.88 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.38 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 18 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.13 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Romain Lissorgue.
Rennes
Rennes Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Samba | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Samba n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
Rennes Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ait Boudlal | 1 | 9090 min | 66 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 77 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| C. Cresswell | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 33 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Przemysław Frankowski | 1 | 8888 min | 11 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Nagida | 1 | 7878 min | 44.6 /90 | 22.3 /90 | 11.2 /90 | 66.9 /90 | 22.3 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Thomasson | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 55 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Rongier n 8 | 90 | 1.3 | 0.9 | — |
| A. Ait Boudlal n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.9 | T. Eyoum |
| B. Samba n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 | — |
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 89.3 | 0.1 | 0.6 | L. Buadés |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 60.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | T. Eyoum |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Rongier n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| A. Ait Boudlal n 8 | 90 | 1.4 |
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 89.3 | 0.1 |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 60.8 | 2.2 |
| S. Szymański n 8 | 56.5 | 3 |
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Rennes Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Lepaul | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Blas | 1 | 1818 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 210 /90 | 15 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Thomasson | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
| V. Rongier | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 |
| I. Soumaré | 1 | 8888 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 89.3 | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| A. Ait Boudlal n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| V. Rongier n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| B. Samba n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 60.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Lepaul n 8 | 89.3 | 1 | 0.3 |
| V. Rongier n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| B. Samba n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| A. Ait Boudlal n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Przemysław Frankowski n 8 | 60.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
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Le Mans
Le Mans Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Kocik | 1 | 9090 min | 44 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Kocik n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
Le Mans Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Boissé | 1 | 9090 min | 55 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 1010 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| R. Bamba | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| T. Eyoum | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 44 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Rabillard | 1 | 9090 min | 33 /90 | 22 /90 | 11 /90 | 77 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Buadés | 1 | 9090 min | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 77 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rabillard n 8 | 57.6 | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| N. Boissé n 8 | 89.9 | 1.8 | 0.6 | — |
| L. Buadés n 8 | 90.6 | 1.5 | 2 | Esteban Lepaul |
| T. Eyoum n 8 | 90 | 1 | 0.4 | Przemysław Frankowski |
| N. Kocik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Boissé n 8 | 89.9 | 3 |
| T. Eyoum n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
| L. Buadés n 8 | 90.6 | 1.7 |
| A. Rabillard n 8 | 57.6 | 1.2 |
| A. Bourabaa n 8 | 48.1 | 2.1 |
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Le Mans Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Guèye | 1 | 7272 min | 11.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 11.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Mafouta | 1 | 6363 min | 11.4 /90 | 11.4 /90 | 22.9 /90 | 22.9 /90 | 11.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| A. Rabillard | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| L. Buadés | 1 | 9090 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 | 11 /90 | 00 /90 | 11 /90 |
| Y. Larouci | 1 | 8181 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 22.2 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rabillard n 8 | 57.6 | 2 | 1.2 |
| L. Buadés n 8 | 90.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| N. Boissé n 8 | 89.9 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Eyoum n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| N. Kocik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rabillard n 8 | 57.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| L. Buadés n 8 | 90.6 | 0 | 0.1 |
| T. Eyoum n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| N. Kocik n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| N. Boissé n 8 | 89.9 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Rennes | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| 64% | Possession | 36% |
| 3.12 | Expected goals (xG) | 3.06 |
| 22 | Shots | 12 |
| 8 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 8 | Shots off target | 4 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 3 |
| 17 | Shots inside the box | 8 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 3 | Saves | 5 |
| 501 | Passes | 282 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 69% |
Rennes Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Lemaitre | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Przemysław Frankowski | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Cresswell | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| A. Ait Boudlal | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7.3 |
| A. Thomasson | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| Esteban Lepaul | 90 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | Y | 8.2 |
| Q. Merlin | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| V. Rongier | 74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Mousa Tamari | 74 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| S. Szymański | 60 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| I. Soumaré | 60 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| M. Camara sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Nordin sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Blas sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Eliezer Mayenda sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Nagida sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
Le Mans Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Boissé | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5.9 |
| T. Eyoum | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| H. Voyer | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | Y | 6.3 |
| A. Lauray | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6.7 |
| L. Buadés | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| L. Mafouta | 90 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Théo Eyoum | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| N. Kocik | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 |
| A. Bourabaa | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| L. Calodat | 68 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| D. Guèye | 68 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Lucas Bretelle | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| J. Vercruysse sub | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Rabillard sub | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Hatfout sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Robin sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Rennes v Le Mans — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Rennes 3.66 xG from 22 shots, Le Mans 2.72 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 22 | 3 | 3.66 |
| Le Mans | 12 | 2 | 2.72 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Le Mans led on xG, 1.74 to 1.20. At full time, Rennes led on xG, 3.66 to 2.72, 0.76 of it from a penalty and 0.76 of Le Mans’s from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.49 xG to Le Mans, in the 32nd minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Rennes v Le Mans?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Rennes v Le Mans was Home shots on over 2.5.
- What is the recent form of Rennes and Le Mans?
- Recent form — Rennes 2W 1D 2L; Le Mans 2W 3D 0L.
Today’s Boards
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