Strasbourg v Nantes result
Team pages: Strasbourg · Nantes · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Strasbourg 1–0 Nantes — Strasbourg won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.
What xG said
xG said Strasbourg: 1.83 to 0.43 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 79th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Strasbourg beat Nantes 1–0 at Stade de la Meinau in Ligue 1 on Sunday 24 August.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Strasbourg: Emanuel Emegha (81’, assisted by Dilane Bakwa).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Emanuel Emegha’s goal on 81 minutes.
Discipline
B. Dechepy showed four yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Strasbourg: Ismaël Doukouré (66’) and J. Panichelli (90+5’); Nantes: C. Awaziem (22’) and F. Coquelin (54’).
What it changes
Strasbourg stay second (shared) after this result (two league matches played).
Nantes move down from 11th to 15th (two league matches played).
Strasbourg are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Strasbourg have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mamadou Sarr (Strasbourg) 5.4, J. Lepenant (Nantes) 5.2 and T. Tati (Nantes) 5.1 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Strasbourg or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).
Next up
Strasbourg next travel to Rennes on 25 October 2026.
Nantes next travel to Saint Etienne on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Strasbourg: Rennes v Strasbourg, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Nantes: Saint Etienne v Nantes, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Strasbourg 1–0 Nantes · Ligue 1
- Venue: Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg
- Referee: B. Dechepy
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Strasbourg 4 · draws 1 · Nantes 1 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Strasbourg 2W 1D 2L · Nantes 1W 2D 2L
Strasbourg 1–0 Nantes (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Strasbourg for / against | Line | Nantes for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 3.38 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.63 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 8.63 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.25 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 2.63 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.13 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.63 for · 12.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: B. Dechepy — 5.11 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 24.78 fouls over 9 matches (2.56 to the home side, 2.56 to the away side).
Strasbourg
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Omobamidele n 8 | 52.4 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| A. Ouattara n 8 | 26.4 | 2.1 | 0 | F. Coquelin |
| G. Doué n 8 | 80 | 1.7 | 0.6 | — |
| Andrey Santos n 8 | 46.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | — |
| J. Mwanga n 8 | 90 | 1.6 | 0.6 | F. Coquelin |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Panichelli n 8 | 74.1 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| E. Emegha n 8 | 89.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| F. Lemaréchal n 8 | 74.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| S. Mara n 8 | 19.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Andrey Santos n 8 | 46.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Panichelli n 8 | 74.1 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| Sebastian Nanasi n 8 | 43.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| E. Emegha n 8 | 89.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| D. Bakwa n 8 | 70.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| J. Mwanga n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Paez n 3 | 36 | 4.2 |
| Andrey Santos n 8 | 46.8 | 3.6 |
| J. Mwanga n 8 | 90 | 2.4 |
| G. Doué n 8 | 80 | 2.3 |
| F. Lemaréchal n 8 | 74.9 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Đ. Petrović n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Nantes
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Elia n 8 | 22.6 | 3.5 | 1 | — |
| J. Lepenant n 8 | 58.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | — |
| F. Coquelin n 8 | 36 | 2.5 | 0.6 | J. Mwanga |
| M. Abline n 8 | 79.1 | 1.6 | 1 | — |
| Douglas Augusto n 8 | 84.4 | 1.5 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Elia n 8 | 22.6 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Bahereba Guirassy n 8 | 17 | 2 | 0.7 |
| F. Coquelin n 8 | 36 | 1.6 | 0.3 |
| M. Abline n 8 | 79.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| S. Thomas n 8 | 78.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas n 8 | 78.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| F. Coquelin n 8 | 36 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| M. Elia n 8 | 22.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| M. Simon n 8 | 81 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Louis Leroux n 8 | 68.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Bahereba Guirassy n 8 | 17 | 6.6 |
| F. Coquelin n 8 | 36 | 4.1 |
| M. Elia n 8 | 22.6 | 3.5 |
| Kwon Hyeok-Kyu n 8 | 47 | 3.4 |
| N. Cozza n 8 | 81.9 | 3.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| P. Carlgren n 8 | 85.8 | 3.4 |
| Anthony Lopes n 8 | 83 | 2.7 |
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match statistics & details
| Strasbourg | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| 49% | Possession | 51% |
| 1.78 | Expected goals (xG) | 0.44 |
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 9 | Shots inside the box | 7 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Offsides | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 448 | Passes | 474 |
| 88% | Pass accuracy | 83% |
Strasbourg player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnsson | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| M. Sarr | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7.3 |
| I. Doukouré | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | Y | 7.3 |
| J. Mwanga | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Ouattara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Panichelli | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| F. Lemaréchal | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| S. El Mourabet | 65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| K. Paez | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Sebastian Nanasi | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| A. Omobamidele | 41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| V. Barco sub | 49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Emegha sub | 45 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Diego Moreira sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| D. Bakwa sub | 25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Rafael LuÃs sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
Nantes player stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Lopes | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| K. Amian | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.3 |
| C. Awaziem | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Y | 7.2 |
| T. Tati | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| N. Cozza | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Mostafa Mohamed | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Y. Benhattab | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Lepenant | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| Louis Leroux | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| F. Coquelin | 56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Y | 6.2 |
| Bahereba Guirassy | 56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Kwon Hyeok-Kyu sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| M. Abline sub | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Hong Hyun-Seok sub | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| D. Assoumani sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Y. El-Arabi sub | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Strasbourg v Nantes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-03-09 Nantes 0–1 Strasbourg
- 2024-10-27 Strasbourg 3–1 Nantes
- 2024-03-16 Nantes 1–3 Strasbourg
- 2023-10-06 Strasbourg 1–2 Nantes
- 2023-05-07 Nantes 0–2 Strasbourg
- 2022-08-31 Strasbourg 1–1 Nantes
Shot map and expected goals
Strasbourg 1.83 xG from 15 shots, Nantes 0.43 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 15 | 1 | 1.83 |
| Nantes | 9 | 0 | 0.43 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.
Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Strasbourg v Nantes?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg v Nantes was Home or Draw.
- What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Nantes?
- In their last 6 meetings, Strasbourg won 4, Nantes won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Nantes?
- Recent form — Strasbourg 2W 1D 2L; Nantes 1W 2D 2L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.