Strasbourg v Nantes result

Full-time · Strasbourg 1–0 Nantes

Ligue 1 · · Stade de la Meinau

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Strasbourg 1–0 Nantes — Strasbourg won this Ligue 1 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Strasbourg: 1.83 to 0.43 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the 79th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Strasbourg beat Nantes 1–0 at Stade de la Meinau in Ligue 1 on Sunday 24 August.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Strasbourg: Emanuel Emegha (81’, assisted by Dilane Bakwa).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Emanuel Emegha’s goal on 81 minutes.

Discipline

B. Dechepy showed four yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Strasbourg: Ismaël Doukouré (66’) and J. Panichelli (90+5’); Nantes: C. Awaziem (22’) and F. Coquelin (54’).

What it changes

Strasbourg stay second (shared) after this result (two league matches played).

Nantes move down from 11th to 15th (two league matches played).

Strasbourg are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Strasbourg have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mamadou Sarr (Strasbourg) 5.4, J. Lepenant (Nantes) 5.2 and T. Tati (Nantes) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Strasbourg or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).

Next up

Strasbourg next travel to Rennes on 25 October 2026.

Nantes next travel to Saint Etienne on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Strasbourg: Rennes v Strasbourg, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Nantes: Saint Etienne v Nantes, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Strasbourg 1–0 Nantes · Ligue 1
  • Venue: Stade de la Meinau · Strasbourg
  • Referee: B. Dechepy
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Strasbourg 4 · draws 1 · Nantes 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Strasbourg 2W 1D 2L · Nantes 1W 2D 2L

Strasbourg 1–0 Nantes (Ligue 1): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1
Goals
against 1.13 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.38
Corners
against 4.25 / 6.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 2.63
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 3.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.63 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.11 yellows
Referee · B. Dechepy
2.56 home / 2.56 away
over 9 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameStrasbourg for / againstLineNantes for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.38 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
11.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
8.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
2.63 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.13 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: B. Dechepy — 5.11 yellow cards a game, 0.11 red cards, 24.78 fouls over 9 matches (2.56 to the home side, 2.56 to the away side).

Strasbourg
Strasbourg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Omobamidele n 852.4
2.45/5
0.93/1
—
A. Ouattara n 826.4
2.14/1
00/0
F. Coquelin
G. Doué n 880
1.75/4
0.63/1
—
Andrey Santos n 846.8
1.76/1
1.75/2
—
J. Mwanga n 890
1.68/4
0.64/1
F. Coquelin
Strasbourg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Panichelli n 874.1
2.46/4
1.55/3
E. Emegha n 889.6
1.96/5
1.16/2
F. Lemaréchal n 874.9
1.86/4
0.53/0
S. Mara n 819.3
1.82/1
1.21/1
Andrey Santos n 846.8
1.73/2
0.52/0
Strasbourg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Panichelli n 874.1
0.63/1
0.32/0
Sebastian Nanasi n 843.5
0.31/0
0.31/0
E. Emegha n 889.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
D. Bakwa n 870.1
0.32/0
0.21/0
J. Mwanga n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
Strasbourg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Paez n 336
4.22/1
Andrey Santos n 846.8
3.66/4
J. Mwanga n 890
2.48/5
G. Doué n 880
2.36/4
F. Lemaréchal n 874.9
2.35/4
Strasbourg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
3.16/5
Nantes
Nantes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Elia n 822.6
3.53/1
12/0
—
J. Lepenant n 858.8
2.56/4
1.54/3
—
F. Coquelin n 836
2.54/2
0.62/0
J. Mwanga
M. Abline n 879.1
1.67/3
15/2
—
Douglas Augusto n 884.4
1.57/3
1.76/4
—
Nantes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Elia n 822.6
24/0
0.51/0
Bahereba Guirassy n 817
22/1
0.71/0
F. Coquelin n 836
1.63/2
0.31/0
M. Abline n 879.1
1.35/3
0.63/1
S. Thomas n 878.5
1.34/3
0.73/2
Nantes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Thomas n 878.5
0.43/0
0.74/1
F. Coquelin n 836
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Elia n 822.6
0.51/0
00/0
M. Simon n 881
0.32/0
0.11/0
Louis Leroux n 868.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Nantes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bahereba Guirassy n 817
6.64/2
F. Coquelin n 836
4.15/4
M. Elia n 822.6
3.56/1
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu n 847
3.46/4
N. Cozza n 881.9
3.28/6
Nantes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Carlgren n 885.8
3.46/4
Anthony Lopes n 883
2.76/2

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
StrasbourgNantes
49%Possession51%
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.44
15Shots9
4Shots on target2
6Shots off target2
5Blocked shots5
9Shots inside the box7
7Corners6
4Offsides2
11Fouls9
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves3
448Passes474
88%Pass accuracy83%

Strasbourg player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Johnsson9000000007.2
M. Sarr9000000707.3
I. Doukouré90000012Y7.3
J. Mwanga9000101407.3
A. Ouattara9000211007.3
J. Panichelli90002010Y6.2
F. Lemaréchal7500003106.9
S. El Mourabet6500001006.6
K. Paez6400100006.7
Sebastian Nanasi4500001006.2
A. Omobamidele4100000006.9
V. Barco sub4900000006.9
E. Emegha sub4510320006.9
Diego Moreira sub2600001307
D. Bakwa sub2501002007.2
Rafael Luís sub1500110206.9

Nantes player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Anthony Lopes9000000007.3
K. Amian9000100206.3
C. Awaziem90000001Y7.2
T. Tati9000000307.2
N. Cozza9000000006.9
Mostafa Mohamed9000101307.2
Y. Benhattab8500004106.7
J. Lepenant8500001407
Louis Leroux7100000306.9
F. Coquelin56000000Y6.2
Bahereba Guirassy5600220206.7
Kwon Hyeok-Kyu sub3400000006.5
M. Abline sub3400000006.5
Hong Hyun-Seok sub1900000206.6
D. Assoumani sub1200000006.3
Y. El-Arabi sub1200000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Strasbourg v Nantes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
StrasbourgWLLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
NantesDLDWL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.8 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Strasbourg 4 · 1 draw · Nantes 1 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2025-03-09 Nantes 0–1 Strasbourg
  • 2024-10-27 Strasbourg 3–1 Nantes
  • 2024-03-16 Nantes 1–3 Strasbourg
  • 2023-10-06 Strasbourg 1–2 Nantes
  • 2023-05-07 Nantes 0–2 Strasbourg
  • 2022-08-31 Strasbourg 1–1 Nantes
League standing · 2025/26
Strasbourg#8 pos53 pts34 pl+11 GD
Nantes#17 pos23 pts33 pl-23 GD
Goals per game
Strasbourg scored1.71
Nantes scored0.88
Strasbourg conceded1.38
Nantes conceded1.58

Shot map and expected goals

Strasbourg 1.83 xG from 15 shots, Nantes 0.43 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Emanuel Emegha 79' · 0.97 xGBahereba Guirassy 35' · 0.09 xGFelix Lemarechal 62' · 0.09 xGJoaquín Panichelli 62' · 0.09 xGJohann Lepenant 46' · 0.08 xGBahereba Guirassy 44' · 0.07 xGEmanuel Emegha 83' · 0.06 xGKendry Páez 62' · 0.06 xGJoaquín Panichelli 18' · 0.05 xGYassine Benhattab 7' · 0.05 xGBahereba Guirassy 51' · 0.05 xGRafael Luís 87' · 0.05 xGJunior Mwanga 85' · 0.04 xGGuemissongui Ouattara 6' · 0.04 xGMostafa Mohamed 69' · 0.03 xGNicolas Cozza 46' · 0.03 xGKendry Páez 31' · 0.02 xGKendry Páez 59' · 0.02 xGSamir El Mourabet 20' · 0.02 xGGuemissongui Ouattara 72' · 0.02 xGFrancis Coquelin 8' · 0.02 xGGuemissongui Ouattara 86' · 0.02 xGKelvin Adou 9' · 0.02 xGEmanuel Emegha 80' · 0.29 xG · goal
Strasbourg (attacking right)Nantes (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Strasbourg1511.83
Nantes900.43

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Strasbourg v Nantes?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Strasbourg v Nantes was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Strasbourg and Nantes?
In their last 6 meetings, Strasbourg won 4, Nantes won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Strasbourg and Nantes?
Recent form — Strasbourg 2W 1D 2L; Nantes 1W 2D 2L.

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