Estac Troyes v Montpellier result

Full-time · Estac Troyes 1–0 Montpellier

Ligue 2 · · Stade de l'Aube

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Estac Troyes · Montpellier · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Estac Troyes 1–0 Montpellier — Estac Troyes won this Ligue 2 match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.4% of 170 landed (95% range 44.9–59.7%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Estac Troyes beat Montpellier 1–0 at Stade de l'Aube in Ligue 2 on Saturday 23 August. Estac Troyes are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Estac Troyes led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Estac Troyes: Martin Adeline (31’). T. Sainte-Luce (19’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Martin Adeline’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Estac Troyes 0.00, Montpellier 0.00, from 14 shots to 7 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Petit showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Estac Troyes: M. El Idrissy (12’), K. Assoumou (51’) and A. Diakité (90+3’); Montpellier: Everson (57’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Martin Adeline (Estac Troyes) 6.6, Naoufel El Hannach (Montpellier) 5.1 and Adrien-Mehdi Monfray (Estac Troyes) 3.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Estac Troyes next travel to Toulouse on 24 October 2026.

Montpellier next host RED Star FC 93 on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Estac Troyes: Toulouse v Estac Troyes, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Montpellier: Montpellier v RED Star FC 93, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Estac Troyes 1–0 Montpellier · Ligue 2
  • Venue: Stade de l'Aube · Troyes
  • Referee: A. Petit
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Estac Troyes 1 · draws 2 · Montpellier 3 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: Estac Troyes 3W 1D 1L · Montpellier 1W 1D 3L

Estac Troyes 1–0 Montpellier (Ligue 2): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.63
Goals
against 0.75 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.17 / 3.88
Corners
against 4 / 5 · 0 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.17 / 1.88
Shots on target
against 3.33 / 5 · 1 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.82 yellows
Referee · A. Petit
1.82 home / 2 away
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameEstac Troyes for / againstLineMontpellier for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
3.17 for · 4 against n 6
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
12 for · 9 against n 6
19.5standard
8.13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.17 for · 3.33 against n 6
8.5standard
1.88 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.17 for · 12.17 against n 6
21.5standard
14 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 1.5 against n 6
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: A. Petit — 3.82 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 28.91 fouls over 11 matches (1.82 to the home side, 2 to the away side).

Estac Troyes
Estac Troyes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 888.3
2.48/5
1.57/3
—
M. El Idrissy n 851.3
2.47/3
3.16/5
—
N. de Préville n 854.8
2.35/4
1.46/1
—
A. Mille n 887.4
2.16/5
2.27/6
—
A. Kanté n 861.1
1.87/2
1.14/1
—
Estac Troyes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Assoumou n 832.4
3.54/2
1.43/1
M. Detourbet n 826
2.63/1
1.31/1
Rafiki Saïd n 876.5
1.67/2
0.95/1
N. de Préville n 854.8
1.66/1
14/1
A. Mille n 887.4
1.57/3
15/2
Estac Troyes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Assoumou n 832.4
0.72/0
00/0
M. Ifnaoui n 868.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
N. de Préville n 854.8
0.42/0
00/0
A. Mille n 887.4
0.32/0
00/0
M. Adeline n 838
0.31/0
00/0
Estac Troyes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Kanté n 861.1
3.17/5
A. Monfray n 890
2.97/5
M. Adeline n 838
2.47/1
K. Assoumou n 832.4
2.44/2
A. Mille n 887.4
2.17/5
Estac Troyes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Lemaitre n 890
2.45/4
Montpellier
Montpellier — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Coulibaly n 883.5
2.88/4
1.26/3
—
J. Ferri n 877.9
27/5
2.27/5
—
R. Nzingoula n 863.4
26/3
2.16/3
—
J. Laporte n 890
1.87/5
0.85/1
—
K. Fayad n 849.1
1.85/2
1.64/3
—
Montpellier — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Alexandre Mendy n 883.1
1.85/5
0.74/1
N. Pays n 859.1
1.55/2
0.21/0
N. Mbuku n 843.1
1.34/1
0.82/1
K. Fayad n 849.1
0.93/1
0.21/0
L. Mincarelli Davin n 869.8
0.83/1
0.21/0
Montpellier — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Mbuku n 843.1
00/0
0.52/0
T. Coulibaly n 883.5
0.32/0
00/0
Alexandre Mendy n 883.1
00/0
0.32/0
J. Ndiaye n 844.4
0.31/0
00/0
E. Tchato n 873.4
00/0
0.21/0
Montpellier — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Nzingoula n 863.4
4.17/5
T. Chennahi n 539.4
3.23/2
T. Coulibaly n 883.5
2.77/6
N. Pays n 859.1
2.56/4
L. Mincarelli Davin n 869.8
2.47/5
Montpellier — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Lecomte n 886.3
3.58/6

The next free picks, by email

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Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Estac TroyesMontpellier
60%Possession40%
14Shots7
4Shots on target0
8Shots off target6
2Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box5
6Corners4
2Offsides0
14Fouls11
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
0Saves3
572Passes380
91%Pass accuracy79%

Estac Troyes player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Lemaitre9000000006.7
L. Maronnier9000000107.3
A. Monfray9000000108.2
P. Gozzi9000100006.9
I. Boura9000201007.2
M. Diop9000101106.9
A. Mille9000111006.2
M. El Idrissy90001041Y6.3
K. Assoumou89002101Y6.6
M. Adeline8910421108.7
M. Detourbet6100000106.6
M. Ifnaoui sub3000000006.3
A. Diakité sub2000000Y–
A. Ouzenadji sub10000000–

Montpellier player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Ngapandouetnbu9000000006.6
E. Tchato9000000106.6
J. Laporte9000300206.9
B. Omeragić9000000006.6
Naoufel El Hannach9000000506.6
Alexandre Mendy9000000006.2
N. Mbuku8600002106.3
Y. Mouanga8600001306.9
Everson63001021Y6.3
T. Coulibaly5500100106.5
T. Sainte-Luce19000002R4
L. Mincarelli Davin sub3600100106.7
T. Chennahi sub2800001006.6
C. Jullien sub800000006.6
Fayssal El Mahboub sub800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Estac Troyes v Montpellier — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Estac TroyesWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
MontpellierLLLDW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Estac Troyes 1 · 2 draws · Montpellier 3 · 2 goals/game
  • 2023-02-19 Estac Troyes 0–1 Montpellier
  • 2022-08-07 Montpellier 3–2 Estac Troyes
  • 2022-01-19 Montpellier 0–1 Estac Troyes
  • 2021-09-19 Estac Troyes 1–1 Montpellier
  • 2018-05-12 Montpellier 1–1 Estac Troyes
  • 2017-09-16 Estac Troyes 0–1 Montpellier
League standing · 2025/26
Estac Troyes#1 pos67 pts34 pl+27 GD
Montpellier#8 pos51 pts34 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Estac Troyes scored1.76
Montpellier scored1.21
Estac Troyes conceded0.97
Montpellier conceded0.91

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Estac Troyes v Montpellier?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Estac Troyes v Montpellier was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Estac Troyes and Montpellier?
In their last 6 meetings, Estac Troyes won 1, Montpellier won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Estac Troyes and Montpellier?
Recent form — Estac Troyes 3W 1D 1L; Montpellier 1W 1D 3L.

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