Charlotte v New York Red Bulls result

Full-time · Charlotte 1–0 New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer · Mon, 25 Aug 2025 00:00 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Charlotte · New York Red Bulls · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Charlotte 1–0 New York Red Bulls — Charlotte won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 879 of 1,350 times (65.1%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Charlotte beat New York Red Bulls 1–0 in Major League Soccer on Monday 25 August. Charlotte have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Charlotte led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Charlotte: K. A. Calderon Vargas (30’, assisted by Idan Toklomati Jorno).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with K. A. Calderon Vargas’s goal on 30 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: New York Red Bulls out-shot Charlotte 15 to 4 and created the better chances, 1.69 xG to 0.50 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

Discipline

Armando Villarrea, USA showed four yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York Red Bulls: Dylan Nealis (22’), D. Edelman (37’), K. Duncan (52’) and Emil Forsberg (88’).

What it changes

Charlotte have scored 46 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). Charlotte have conceded 39 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs.

New York Red Bulls have scored 42 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 38 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Charlotte are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Charlotte have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Raheem Edwards (New York Red Bulls) 7.3, Wilfried Zaha (Charlotte) 6.2 and Idan Toklomati Jorno (Charlotte) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

New York Red Bulls are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Charlotte, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or New York Red Bulls, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1009 of 1471).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: Charlotte 1–0 New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
Referee: Armando Villarrea, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Charlotte 0 · draws 3 · New York Red Bulls 3 · 4.17 goals/game
Recent form: Charlotte 3W 1D 1L · New York Red Bulls 2W 2D 1L

Charlotte 1–0 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.6 / 2.25

Corners

against 5 / 2.25 · 0 of the last 2 over 9.5

over 4 matches

4 / 3.5

Shots on target

against 4.8 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 2 over 8.5

over 4 matches

0.8 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.4 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 2 over 3.5

over 4 matches

4.36 yellows

Referee · Armando Villarrea, USA

24.64 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 14 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Charlotte for / against	Line	New York Red Bulls for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.6 for · 5 against n 5 Last 5	9.5standard	2.25 for · 2.25 against n 4 Last 5
Shots	10.8 for · 15.8 against n 5 Last 5	19.5standard	12.25 for · 11.25 against n 4 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 4.8 against n 5 Last 5	8.5standard	3.5 for · 4.75 against n 4 Last 5
Fouls committed	12 for · 9.8 against n 5 Last 5	21.5standard	13.75 for · 8 against n 4 Last 5
Cards shown	0.8 for · 2.4 against n 5 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 1.75 against n 4 Last 5

Referee: Armando Villarrea, USA — 4.36 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.64 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Charlotte

Charlotte Goalkeeper

Charlotte — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Kahlina	25	902250 min	963.8 /90	371.5 /90	00 /90
David Bingham	2	90180 min	94.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Charlotte — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Kahlina n 8	90	3.8 7/6

Charlotte Defensive

Charlotte — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Malanda	27	902430 min	210.8 /90	210.8 /90	451.7 /90	762.8 /90	180.7 /90	40.1 /90
T. Ream	19	831584 min	231.3 /90	160.9 /90	130.7 /90	543.1 /90	90.5 /90	00 /90
A. Privett	18	891604 min	231.3 /90	150.8 /90	140.8 /90	553.1 /90	120.7 /90	10.1 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	17	771314 min	221.5 /90	141 /90	20.1 /90	553.8 /90	110.8 /90	10.1 /90
N. Scardina	13	61795 min	111.2 /90	40.5 /90	60.7 /90	303.4 /90	30.3 /90	10.1 /90
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Charlotte — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
A. Malanda n 8	90	0.9 5/1	0.4 3/0	N. Eile
A. Westwood n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.9 6/1	—
K. Kahlina n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
B. Bronico n 8	78.3	1.7 7/4	0.3 2/0	Wikelman Carmona
Wilfried Zaha n 8	84	2 6/4	2.8 7/6	Emil Forsberg
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Charlotte — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
A. Malanda n 8	90	0.8 3/1
A. Westwood n 8	90	0.4 2/1
B. Bronico n 8	78.3	1.4 7/2
Wilfried Zaha n 8	84	0.7 4/1
Pep Biel n 8	88	1.3 5/3
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Charlotte Attacking

Charlotte — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
P. Agyemang	16	771238 min	60.4 /90	10.1 /90	302.2 /90	181.3 /90	191.4 /90	141 /90
Idan Toklomati Jorno	16	691106 min	60.5 /90	20.2 /90	252 /90	110.9 /90	141.1 /90	110.9 /90
Tyger Smalls	4	2286 min	00 /90	00 /90	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90	11 /90
A. Westwood	26	902340 min	10 /90	30.1 /90	110.4 /90	30.1 /90	311.2 /90	50.2 /90
B. Bronico	25	761892 min	10 /90	20.1 /90	100.5 /90	20.1 /90	90.4 /90	100.5 /90
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Charlotte — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
A. Malanda n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
A. Westwood n 8	90	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
K. Kahlina n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Bronico n 8	78.3	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
Wilfried Zaha n 8	84	1.1 5/3	0.7 3/2
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Charlotte — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Charlotte before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
A. Malanda n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Westwood n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Kahlina n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Bronico n 8	78.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Wilfried Zaha n 8	84	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Carlos Coronel	25	912265 min	873.5 /90	331.3 /90	10 /90
AJ Marcucci	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Carlos Coronel n 8	91.9	2.6 5/5

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Eile	25	872175 min	361.5 /90	261.1 /90	130.5 /90	974 /90	291.2 /90	70.3 /90
S. Nealis	18	891608 min	221.2 /90	301.7 /90	110.6 /90	734.1 /90	160.9 /90	50.3 /90
Omar Valencia	18	741334 min	281.9 /90	181.2 /90	10.1 /90	745 /90	181.2 /90	60.4 /90
A. Hack	18	701260 min	322.3 /90	261.9 /90	80.6 /90	866.1 /90	181.3 /90	50.4 /90
K. Duncan	15	861287 min	332.3 /90	161.1 /90	70.5 /90	805.6 /90	151 /90	20.1 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Emil Forsberg n 8	89.6	1.3 6/3	0.9 5/1	Wilfried Zaha
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 8	83.5	0.5 3/1	1.2 6/3	—
Carlos Coronel n 8	91.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0	—
N. Eile n 8	86.3	1.3 6/2	0.1 1/0	A. Malanda
Wikelman Carmona n 8	61.4	2 6/4	1.3 4/2	B. Bronico
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Emil Forsberg n 8	89.6	0.9 4/2
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 8	83.5	0.4 3/0
N. Eile n 8	86.3	1.2 5/3
Wikelman Carmona n 8	61.4	2.9 7/4
P. Stroud n 8	64.8	3 7/5
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	26	832152 min	150.6 /90	20.1 /90	411.7 /90	301.3 /90	331.4 /90	341.4 /90
D. Gjengaar	14	42584 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	91.4 /90	71.1 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90
Julian Hall	12	29347 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	61.6 /90
S. Ngoma	10	48481 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	61.1 /90	30.6 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90
W. Bogacz	6	36213 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	20.8 /90	31.3 /90	20.8 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Emil Forsberg n 8	89.6	2.1 7/4	0.9 4/3
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 8	83.5	2.7 6/6	1.9 6/5
Carlos Coronel n 8	91.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
N. Eile n 8	86.3	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
Wikelman Carmona n 8	61.4	0.7 2/2	0.2 1/0
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 17 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Emil Forsberg n 8	89.6	0.5 3/1	0.4 3/0
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 8	83.5	0.7 3/2	0.3 2/0
Carlos Coronel n 8	91.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Eile n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wikelman Carmona n 8	61.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Charlotte		New York Red Bulls
40%	Possession	60%
0.50	Expected goals (xG)	1.69
4	Shots	15
2	Shots on target	3
2	Shots off target	9
0	Blocked shots	3
3	Shots inside the box	10
2	Corners	8
2	Offsides	0
7	Fouls	13
0	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	1
388	Passes	577
82%	Pass accuracy	88%

Charlotte Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
K. Kahlina	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
N. Byrne	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
A. Malanda	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.3
T. Ream	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.5
D. Diani	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	7.3
A. Westwood	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	6.9
Wilfried Zaha	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	7.2
Idan Toklomati Jorno	89	0	1	1	1	1	2	6.9
K. A. Calderon Vargas	73	1	0	2	1	0	0	7.3
B. Bronico	73	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
H. Toffolo	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	6.9
L. Abada sub	17	0	0	1	0	0	0	6.3
Eryk Williamson sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.7
A. Goodwin sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Carlos Coronel	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
N. Eile	90	1	0	0	0	0	7
Tim Parker	90	1	0	1	2	0	7
Raheem Edwards	90	2	1	1	4	0	7.2
Emil Forsberg	90	2	1	0	2	Y	6.9
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	90	0	0	2	0	0	7
P. Stroud	77	0	0	2	1	0	6.6
Wikelman Carmona	76	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. Edelman	60	2	1	0	1	Y	7
Mohammed Sofo	60	2	0	0	3	0	6.2
Dylan Nealis	45	0	0	0	3	Y	6.6
K. Duncan sub	45	0	0	1	1	Y	6.5
Ronald Donkor sub	30	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
S. Ngoma sub	30	1	0	2	0	0	7
W. Bogacz sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Julian Hall sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Charlotte v New York Red Bulls — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

CharlotteLDWWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

New York Red BullsDDWLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Charlotte 0 · 3 draws · New York Red Bulls 3 · 4.17 goals/game

2025-05-28 New York Red Bulls 4–2 Charlotte
2024-08-24 Charlotte 1–1 New York Red Bulls
2024-05-29 New York Red Bulls 3–1 Charlotte
2023-10-25 New York Red Bulls 5–2 Charlotte
2023-06-21 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Charlotte
2023-03-25 Charlotte 1–1 New York Red Bulls

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Charlotte#4 pos59 pts34 pl+9 GD

New York Red Bulls#10 pos43 pts34 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Charlotte scored1.62

New York Red Bulls scored1.41

Charlotte conceded1.35

New York Red Bulls conceded1.38

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Charlotte v New York Red Bulls?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Charlotte v New York Red Bulls was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Charlotte and New York Red Bulls?: In their last 6 meetings, Charlotte won 0, New York Red Bulls won 3 and there were 3 draws, averaging 4.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Charlotte and New York Red Bulls?: Recent form — Charlotte 3W 1D 1L; New York Red Bulls 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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