Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City

Los Angeles Galaxy v St. Louis City result

Full-time · Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City

Major League Soccer · · Dignity Health Sports Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City — St. Louis City won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

St. Louis City won 3–1 at Dignity Health Sports Park in Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 July. St. Louis City have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

St. Louis City led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton (42’, assisted by M. Hartel), M. Hartel (45’, assisted by T. Totland) and S. Becher (68’, assisted by M. Hartel); Los Angeles Galaxy: Troy Elgersma (86’). Carlos Garcés (49’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. MacNaughton’s goal on 42 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Los Angeles Galaxy 0.98, St. Louis City 2.04, from 11 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Malik Badawi, USA showed five yellow cards and one red — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Los Angeles Galaxy: Carlos Garcés (45+1’), Marco Reus (45+2’), Carlos Garcés (49’) and Jakob Glesnes (71’); St. Louis City: L. MacNaughton (56’).

What it changes

Los Angeles Galaxy have scored 23 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games, ranked per game). Los Angeles Galaxy have conceded 28 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs.

St. Louis City have scored 22 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). St. Louis City have conceded 23 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Los Angeles Galaxy are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. St. Louis City are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Hartel (St. Louis City) 13.3, S. Becher (St. Louis City) 7.6 and T. Totland (St. Louis City) 7.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

St. Louis City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Los Angeles Galaxy, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Los Angeles Galaxy or St. Louis City (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Dignity Health Sports Park · Carson
  • Referee: Malik Badawi, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Los Angeles Galaxy 0 · draws 4 · St. Louis City 2 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy 2W 1D 2L · St. Louis City 3W 2D 0L

Los Angeles Galaxy 1–3 St. Louis City (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5 / 4
Corners
against 3.25 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.13 / 3.67
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 3.67 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.63 / 3.43
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5.07 yellows
Referee · Malik Badawi, USA
23.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLos Angeles Galaxy for / againstLineSt. Louis City for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3our book
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 6 against n 6
Shots
11.88 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
14 for · 12.67 against n 6
Shots on target
4.13 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
3.67 for · 3.67 against n 6
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
16 for · 13.33 against n 6
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3.43 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: Malik Badawi, USA — 5.07 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 23.29 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy Goalkeeper

Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
JT Marcinkowski15911362 min453 /90211.4 /9000 /90
Novak Mićović590450 min71.4 /90102 /9000 /90
Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
JT Marcinkowski n 891
3.88/5
Novak Mićović n 890
25/2

Los Angeles Galaxy Defensive

Los Angeles Galaxy — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Justin Haak18811451 min261.6 /90261.6 /9060.4 /90664.1 /90211.3 /9030.2 /90
John Nelson15731091 min221.8 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90433.5 /9020.2 /9000 /90
Miki Yamane1564959 min312.9 /90141.3 /9010.1 /90454.2 /9080.8 /9010.1 /90
Mauricio Cuevas1465913 min131.3 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90333.3 /90131.3 /9040.4 /90
Carlos Garcés1464900 min292.9 /90202 /9040.4 /90454.5 /90141.4 /9030.3 /90
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Marco Reus n 871.4
0.52/1
1.36/2
S. Becher
Edwin Cerrillo n 871
0.84/1
0.53/0
—
Gabriel Pec n 891
0.74/2
2.26/5
—
Justin Haak n 879.8
1.66/4
0.84/2
D. Edelman
Lucas Sanabria n 868.6
15/1
1.35/3
—
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Marco Reus n 871.4
1.36/1
Edwin Cerrillo n 871
2.48/3
Gabriel Pec n 891
0.11/0
Justin Haak n 879.8
1.66/3
Lucas Sanabria n 868.6
2.86/4
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Los Angeles Galaxy Attacking

Los Angeles Galaxy — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Joao Klauss1270834 min50.5 /9010.1 /90181.9 /90121.3 /9080.9 /9030.3 /90
Matheus Nascimento631183 min00 /9000 /9073.4 /9042 /9042 /9000 /90
Ruben Ramos337111 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9010.8 /9021.6 /90
C. Ramirez15858 min00 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
Marco Reus20671338 min50.3 /9060.4 /90181.2 /9090.6 /90453 /9070.5 /90
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marco Reus n 871.4
1.65/3
0.51/1
Edwin Cerrillo n 871
0.21/0
0.21/0
Gabriel Pec n 891
2.57/5
1.67/3
Justin Haak n 879.8
0.32/0
00/0
Lucas Sanabria n 868.6
1.15/2
0.32/0
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Los Angeles Galaxy — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Los Angeles Galaxy before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Marco Reus n 871.4
0.31/1
0.32/0
Edwin Cerrillo n 871
00/0
00/0
Gabriel Pec n 891
0.64/1
0.22/0
Justin Haak n 879.8
00/0
0.11/0
Lucas Sanabria n 868.6
00/0
0.21/0
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St. Louis City

St. Louis City Goalkeeper

St. Louis City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Burki13921192 min403 /90201.5 /9000 /90
B. Lundt290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /90
St. Louis City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Burki n 891.9
3.27/5
B. Lundt n 890
3.16/4

St. Louis City Defensive

St. Louis City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Baumgartl15911372 min201.3 /90211.4 /9080.5 /90412.7 /9090.6 /9020.1 /90
D. Polvara15871298 min231.6 /90292 /90110.8 /90604.2 /90161.1 /9030.2 /90
Jaziel Orozco889711 min151.9 /90202.5 /9030.4 /90313.9 /90131.6 /9030.4 /90
L. MacNaughton866531 min101.7 /9091.5 /9030.5 /90305.1 /9081.4 /9000 /90
F. Fall457227 min93.6 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90228.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
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St. Louis City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Baumgartl n 891.9
0.54/0
0.53/1
—
D. Polvara n 883.5
1.67/3
1.14/3
—
S. Becher n 875.4
2.58/6
1.85/4
Marco Reus
D. Edelman n 881.4
0.85/1
1.26/2
Justin Haak
R. Burki n 891.9
00/0
0.42/1
—
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St. Louis City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 891.9
1.56/4
D. Polvara n 883.5
1.66/4
S. Becher n 875.4
0.43/0
D. Edelman n 881.4
1.46/3
M. Hartel n 891.8
0.76/0
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St. Louis City Attacking

St. Louis City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Becher15781170 min10.1 /9040.3 /90251.9 /9070.5 /90181.4 /90100.8 /90
M. Hartel13921191 min40.3 /9010.1 /90372.8 /90201.5 /90372.8 /9080.6 /90
S. Cordova1051506 min10.2 /9000 /9040.7 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9040.7 /90
Jeong Sang-Bin752362 min20.5 /9010.2 /9041 /9020.5 /9051.2 /9051.2 /90
C. Teuchert741290 min00 /9000 /9072.2 /9041.2 /9072.2 /9061.9 /90
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St. Louis City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 891.9
00/0
00/0
D. Polvara n 883.5
0.11/0
00/0
S. Becher n 875.4
2.47/5
0.73/2
D. Edelman n 881.4
0.42/1
0.11/0
R. Burki n 891.9
00/0
00/0
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St. Louis City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 18 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 891.9
00/0
00/0
D. Polvara n 883.5
00/0
00/0
S. Becher n 875.4
00/0
0.43/0
D. Edelman n 881.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
R. Burki n 891.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Los Angeles GalaxySt. Louis City
47%Possession53%
0.98Expected goals (xG)2.04
11Shots15
3Shots on target9
3Shots off target3
5Blocked shots3
6Shots inside the box11
4Corners7
3Offsides2
11Fouls16
4Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
6Saves2
432Passes488
82%Pass accuracy86%

Los Angeles Galaxy Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
JT Marcinkowski9000000008.5
Miki Yamane9000102006.3
Jakob Glesnes90000001Y6.6
Justin Haak9000000006.2
Harbor Miller9000001206.7
Elijah Wynder7400000106.5
Joseph Paintsil7400202106.9
Lucas Sanabria6500001307.3
John Nelson6400000006.5
Marco Reus59001100Y6.3
Carlos Garcés49000002RY5.5
R. Taylor sub3100001006.9
J. Aude sub2600000106.5
Isaiah Parente sub2500000006.3
Maya Yoshida sub1600000006.7
Troy Elgersma sub1610220007.7

St. Louis City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Burki9000000007
D. Polvara9000000206.6
T. Baumgartl9000000107.3
C. Durkin9000001106.9
T. Totland9001002306.9
M. Hartel9012424309.7
D. Edelman8600001206.9
S. Becher8610541007.9
L. MacNaughton62101101Y7.9
M. Joyner6200000006.3
E. Lowen6200001106.5
Jaziel Orozco sub2800000006.3
Rafael Santos sub2800000006.2
Jeong Sang-Bin sub2800112006.9
M. Perez sub1000000106.7
P. Ault sub1000110106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Los Angeles Galaxy v St. Louis City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Los Angeles GalaxyWLWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
St. Louis CityWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Los Angeles Galaxy 0 · 4 draws · St. Louis City 2 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-06-14 St. Louis City 3–3 Los Angeles Galaxy
  • 2025-03-09 Los Angeles Galaxy 0–3 St. Louis City
  • 2024-09-01 St. Louis City 2–1 Los Angeles Galaxy
  • 2024-03-17 Los Angeles Galaxy 3–3 St. Louis City
  • 2023-09-11 Los Angeles Galaxy 2–2 St. Louis City
  • 2023-06-11 St. Louis City 1–1 Los Angeles Galaxy
League standing · 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy#11 pos44 pts34 pl-7 GD
St. Louis City#3 pos54 pts34 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Los Angeles Galaxy scored1.47
St. Louis City scored1.74
Los Angeles Galaxy conceded1.68
St. Louis City conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Los Angeles Galaxy v St. Louis City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Los Angeles Galaxy v St. Louis City was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City?
In their last 6 meetings, Los Angeles Galaxy won 0, St. Louis City won 2 and there were 4 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Los Angeles Galaxy and St. Louis City?
Recent form — Los Angeles Galaxy 2W 1D 2L; St. Louis City 3W 2D 0L.

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