This Matchweek

Nashville SCToronto FC

Nashville SC v Toronto FC result

Full-time · Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC

Major League Soccer · · GEODIS Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nashville SC · Toronto FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.40 at William Hill
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 274 landed (95% range 73.2–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC beat Toronto FC 2–0 at GEODIS Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 27 September.

Nashville SC have conceded 25 goals, the fewest of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games).

The goals

Nashville SC led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: H. Mukhtar (16’, assisted by C. Espinoza; 43’, assisted by S. Surridge).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with H. Mukhtar’s goal on 16 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Nashville SC: S. Surridge (81’).

What it changes

Nashville SC have scored 69 goals, the third-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games).

Toronto FC have scored 51 goals, the 14th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Toronto FC have conceded 63 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Toronto FC have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) 10.7, Luka Gavran (Toronto FC) 6.6 and C. Espinoza (Nashville SC) 5.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nashville SC to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Nashville SC next travel to FC Cincinnati on 7 November 2026.

Toronto FC next travel to Philadelphia Union on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Nashville SC: FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Toronto FC: Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: GEODIS Park · Nashville, Tennessee
  • Referee: Ramy Touchan
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 4 · draws 1 · Toronto FC 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nashville SC 2W 2D 1L · Toronto FC 1W 2D 2L

Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.63 / 3.88
Corners
against 3.5 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.63 / 6.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNashville SC for / againstLineToronto FC for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.63 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.25 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Ramy Touchan.

Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Schwake35903153 min972.8 /90220.6 /9010 /90
X. Valdez294188 min31.4 /9031.4 /9000 /90
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 890.8
2.44/4

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Woledzi32902883 min471.5 /90361.1 /90180.6 /901263.9 /90210.7 /9010 /90
A. Najar31692151 min261.1 /90261.1 /9060.3 /90974.1 /90241 /9050.2 /90
J. Palacios27872346 min481.8 /90311.2 /90190.7 /901495.7 /90210.8 /9050.2 /90
D. Lovitz27691866 min401.9 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90803.9 /90301.4 /9070.3 /90
R. Baker-Whiting24701690 min351.9 /90150.8 /9060.3 /90834.4 /90191 /9020.1 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
H. Mukhtar n 890
0.85/1
1.57/3
—
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.63/2
0.65/0
—
M. Corcoran n 870.9
1.35/3
00/0
Dániel Sallói
A. Najar n 871
14/2
12/2
—
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 890
0.11/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
17/1
M. Corcoran n 870.9
48/6
A. Najar n 871
1.35/3
C. Espinoza n 876.9
0.75/0
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Surridge25781943 min170.8 /9000 /90512.4 /90311.4 /9090.4 /90110.5 /90
A. Qasem23581331 min30.2 /9010.1 /90161.1 /90100.7 /9060.4 /90151 /90
W. Madrigal22631378 min50.3 /9020.1 /90241.6 /90100.7 /90151 /90110.7 /90
Woobens Pacius860478 min20.4 /9000 /9071.3 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9040.8 /90
H. Mukhtar35802793 min120.4 /9060.2 /90632 /90311 /90441.4 /90260.8 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
00/0
H. Mukhtar n 890
2.68/7
1.16/2
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.42/1
0.22/0
M. Corcoran n 870.9
15/1
0.32/0
A. Najar n 871
0.84/1
0.32/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
H. Mukhtar n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.11/0
00/0
M. Corcoran n 870.9
00/0
00/0
A. Najar n 871
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Toronto FC

Toronto FC Goalkeeper

Toronto FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Luka Gavran26912353 min843.2 /90481.8 /9000 /90
Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luka Gavran n 890
4.17/6

Toronto FC Defensive

Toronto FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
R. Laryea21911903 min351.7 /90190.9 /9060.3 /901296.1 /90271.3 /9030.1 /90
Walker Zimmerman21831751 min321.6 /90371.9 /90150.8 /901045.3 /90201 /9050.3 /90
Zane Monlouis17641093 min181.5 /9090.7 /9050.4 /90352.9 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
Benjamin Kuscevic14821150 min171.3 /90171.3 /9050.4 /90473.7 /90161.3 /9040.3 /90
Kobe Franklin14811138 min252 /90191.5 /9090.7 /90514 /90141.1 /9000 /90
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Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luka Gavran n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Dániel Sallói n 878.9
0.62/1
0.93/2
M. Corcoran
Alonso Coello n 871.8
1.76/3
0.85/0
—
R. Laryea n 890
0.63/2
27/3
—
Walker Zimmerman n 881.5
0.63/1
15/2
—
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Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dániel Sallói n 878.9
00/0
Alonso Coello n 871.8
2.76/4
R. Laryea n 890
1.55/4
Walker Zimmerman n 881.5
1.96/5
Josh Sargent n 884.4
0.32/0
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Toronto FC Attacking

Toronto FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Josh Sargent19761443 min70.4 /9020.1 /90311.9 /90171.1 /90140.9 /90191.2 /90
Derrick Etienne19611160 min30.2 /9000 /90171.3 /90100.8 /90131 /9060.5 /90
Theo Corbeanu1259709 min20.3 /9030.4 /9081 /9030.4 /90151.9 /90192.4 /90
Emilio Aristizábal1246550 min40.7 /9000 /90122 /9071.1 /9071.1 /9071.1 /90
Deandre Kerr1046457 min00 /9000 /9091.8 /9020.4 /9040.8 /9020.4 /90
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Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Luka Gavran n 890
00/0
00/0
Dániel Sallói n 878.9
1.15/2
0.43/0
Alonso Coello n 871.8
0.95/1
0.52/1
R. Laryea n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Walker Zimmerman n 881.5
0.73/2
0.32/0
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Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Luka Gavran n 890
00/0
00/0
Dániel Sallói n 878.9
0.43/0
0.43/0
Alonso Coello n 871.8
00/0
0.21/0
R. Laryea n 890
00/0
00/0
Walker Zimmerman n 881.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nashville SCToronto FC
62%Possession38%
23Shots11
11Shots on target3
7Shots off target3
5Blocked shots5
17Shots inside the box5
9Corners3
5Offsides0
12Fouls9
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
3Saves9
516Passes327

Nashville SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
H. Mukhtar9020522009.9
M. Woledzi9000000007.2
J. Palacios9000111107.9
R. Baker-Whiting9000220307.9
M. Corcoran9000111407.5
S. Surridge90015320Y6.9
J. Willis9000000007
A. Najar8600203107.9
E. Tagseth8600104107.6
C. Espinoza7801315107.7
E. Saad7100211107.2
S. Mohammed1900101006.9
A. Muyl1200000006.9
B. Acosta400000006.8
J. Bauer400000007.1

Toronto FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jackson Gilman9000100206
Zane Monlouis9000000005.6
Matheus Pereira9000101205.8
N. Dorsch9000002106.3
Josh Sargent9000113106.6
Luka Gavran9000000007.6
Theo Corbeanu8700310105.9
Jonathan Osorio7300210206.3
Dániel Sallói7300300006.1
Nickseon Gomis6300000005.5
L. Morgan4500001006.5
Alonso Coello4500001006.1
Kobe Franklin2700000206.4
Emilio Aristizábal1700000006.2
A. Piedrahita1700000006.7
Derrick Etienne300000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nashville SC v Toronto FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nashville SCWDLDW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Toronto FCDDWLL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nashville SC 4 · 1 draw · Toronto FC 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2026-09-09 Toronto FC 2–1 Nashville SC
  • 2025-07-20 Nashville SC 1–0 Toronto FC
  • 2025-05-24 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC
  • 2024-06-19 Toronto FC 1–2 Nashville SC
  • 2024-05-16 Nashville SC 2–0 Toronto FC
  • 2023-06-10 Toronto FC 1–1 Nashville SC
League standing · 2026
Nashville SC#1 pos74 pts33 pl+44 GD
Toronto FC#12 pos39 pts33 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Nashville SC scored2.09
Toronto FC scored1.55
Nashville SC conceded0.76
Toronto FC conceded1.91

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nashville SC v Toronto FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v Toronto FC was Home win (best price 1.40 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and Toronto FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 4, Toronto FC won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nashville SC and Toronto FC?
Recent form — Nashville SC 2W 2D 1L; Toronto FC 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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