Aston VillaTottenham

Aston Villa v Tottenham result

Full-time · Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham

Premier League · · Villa Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Aston Villa · Tottenham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham — Tottenham won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,939 of 2,592 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Tottenham: 1.12 to 0.61 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Tottenham won 2–1 at Villa Park in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May. It is Tottenham’s first win over Aston Villa since 3 November 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Tottenham led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Tottenham: Conor Gallagher (12’) and Richarlison (25’, assisted by Mathys Tel); Aston Villa: E. Buendía (90’, assisted by Matthew Cash).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Conor Gallagher’s goal on 12 minutes.

Discipline

S. Barrott showed seven yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 21 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Aston Villa: Ross Barkley (51’) and Morgan Rogers (77’); Tottenham: Randal Kolo Muani (27’), R. Bentancur (45’), Mathys Tel (73’), Kevin Danso (81’) and Conor Gallagher (90+6’).

What it changes

Aston Villa move down from fourth to fifth (35 league matches played).

Tottenham move up from 18th to 17th (35 league matches played).

Aston Villa have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Tottenham are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matthew Cash (Aston Villa) 8.8, Conor Gallagher (Tottenham) 6.2 and Richarlison (Tottenham) 5.7 led the match.

Head-to-head

Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Tottenham.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Aston Villa or Tottenham (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Aston Villa next travel to Manchester United on 8 November 2026.

Tottenham next host Ipswich on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Aston Villa: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Tottenham: Tottenham v Ipswich, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham · Premier League
  • Venue: Villa Park · Birmingham
  • Referee: S. Barrott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Aston Villa 4 · draws 0 · Tottenham 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Aston Villa 2W 1D 2L · Tottenham 2W 1D 2L

Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.63 / 6.25
Corners
against 4.5 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 3
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.29 yellows
Referee · S. Barrott
18.43 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 21 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameAston Villa for / againstLineTottenham for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 12 against n 8
19.5standard
12.88 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.25 for · 12.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.88 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: S. Barrott — 3.29 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18.43 fouls over 21 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
E. Martínez39883421 min1112.9 /90431.1 /9010 /90
M. Bizot1283991 min474.3 /90111 /9000 /90
Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 890
3.27/7
M. Bizot n 878.9
46/6

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
E. Konsa43873720 min280.7 /90280.7 /90360.9 /901243 /90180.4 /9010 /90
M. Cash42823445 min741.9 /90300.8 /90140.4 /901604.2 /90481.3 /90100.3 /90
L. Digne37672470 min451.6 /90170.6 /9050.2 /901063.9 /90281 /9060.2 /90
Pau Torres31842593 min281 /90160.6 /90291 /90853 /90160.6 /9010 /90
I. Maatsen28681899 min472.2 /90150.7 /9020.1 /901095.2 /90150.7 /9030.1 /90
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Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Rogers n 883.9
1.97/4
1.38/2
—
O. Watkins n 876.5
1.26/2
1.36/3
—
E. Konsa n 890
0.11/0
0.85/1
—
M. Cash n 880.6
16/1
15/2
M. van de Ven
E. Buendía n 867
1.75/3
2.26/4
—
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Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Rogers n 883.9
0.53/1
O. Watkins n 876.5
0.75/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.43/0
M. Cash n 880.6
2.26/6
E. Buendía n 867
2.47/5
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Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
O. Watkins48693334 min150.4 /9030.1 /90651.8 /90421.1 /90320.9 /90280.8 /90
D. Malen22461001 min50.4 /9020.2 /90282.5 /90141.3 /9080.7 /90161.4 /90
T. Abraham937336 min20.5 /9010.3 /9041.1 /9030.8 /9071.9 /9000 /90
Alysson Edward22243 min00 /9000 /9012.1 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Rogers49834090 min120.3 /9080.2 /90751.7 /90420.9 /90691.5 /90611.3 /90
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Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Rogers n 883.9
27/6
1.25/2
O. Watkins n 876.5
2.17/4
1.36/3
E. Konsa n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
M. Cash n 880.6
0.63/1
0.11/0
E. Buendía n 867
1.56/2
0.32/0
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Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Rogers n 883.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
O. Watkins n 876.5
0.94/2
0.32/0
E. Konsa n 890
0.32/0
00/0
M. Cash n 880.6
00/0
00/0
E. Buendía n 867
0.21/0
0.32/0
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Tottenham

Tottenham Goalkeeper

Tottenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Guglielmo Vicario42903763 min1182.8 /90631.5 /9000 /90
A. Kinský678467 min71.3 /9081.5 /9000 /90
Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Guglielmo Vicario n 887.9
2.97/5
A. Kinský n 880.9
2.84/2

Tottenham Defensive

Tottenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Pedro Porro41843461 min802.1 /90401 /90130.3 /901554 /90340.9 /90110.3 /90
M. van de Ven40873493 min501.3 /90300.8 /90300.8 /901403.6 /90381 /90110.3 /90
D. Spence34812759 min521.7 /90250.8 /9060.2 /901545 /90341.1 /9050.2 /90
Cristian Romero31832566 min692.4 /90391.4 /90190.7 /901896.6 /90421.5 /90130.5 /90
K. Danso23801840 min271.3 /90241.2 /90221.1 /901306.4 /90271.3 /9060.3 /90
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Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Guglielmo Vicario n 887.9
00/0
00/0
—
Pedro Porro n 886
0.95/1
16/2
—
M. van de Ven n 877.9
0.95/1
1.24/3
M. Cash
X. Simons n 848.9
1.24/1
2.55/4
—
João Palhinha n 851.1
1.55/1
0.72/1
—
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Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Pedro Porro n 886
1.75/4
M. van de Ven n 877.9
1.46/3
X. Simons n 848.9
1.65/2
João Palhinha n 851.1
3.56/3
Richarlison n 850.6
1.83/2
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Tottenham Attacking

Tottenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Richarlison36612211 min90.4 /9050.2 /90502 /90291.2 /90190.8 /90100.4 /90
R. Kolo Muani34571926 min50.2 /9040.2 /90211 /9090.4 /90261.2 /90241.1 /90
W. Odobert27581554 min20.1 /9040.2 /90251.4 /90130.8 /90291.7 /90412.4 /90
M. Tel20611223 min20.1 /9010.1 /90272 /90141 /90272 /90402.9 /90
D. Solanke17661120 min60.5 /9000 /90181.4 /90141.1 /9080.6 /90121 /90
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Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Guglielmo Vicario n 887.9
00/0
00/0
Pedro Porro n 886
1.46/4
14/3
M. van de Ven n 877.9
0.11/0
00/0
X. Simons n 848.9
1.84/4
0.93/1
João Palhinha n 851.1
0.73/0
0.42/0
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Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 30 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Guglielmo Vicario n 887.9
00/0
00/0
Pedro Porro n 886
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. van de Ven n 877.9
00/0
00/0
X. Simons n 848.9
0.72/1
0.21/0
João Palhinha n 851.1
0.21/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Aston VillaTottenham
45%Possession55%
0.32Expected goals (xG)0.99
5Shots10
1Shots on target5
1Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
2Shots inside the box6
5Corners5
2Offsides4
12Fouls12
2Yellow cards5
0Red cards0
3Saves0
374Passes466
83%Pass accuracy86%

Aston Villa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
E. Martínez9000000007.3
M. Cash9001001707
V. Lindelöf9000000106.9
T. Mings9000100006.2
I. Maatsen9000001005.6
L. Bogarde9000000406.9
Y. Tielemans9000000206.6
M. Rogers90000003Y6.5
J. Sancho8500000106.6
R. Barkley85000010Y5.6
T. Abraham6000000006.5
O. Watkins sub3000001006.3
E. Buendía sub1210110107.7
L. Bailey sub1200001006.9

Tottenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Kinský9000000005.6
Pedro Porro9000101607.2
K. Danso90001103Y6.6
M. van de Ven9000000106.6
D. Udogie9000002106.5
João Palhinha9000110207.2
C. Gallagher90101103Y7.7
M. Tel89011020Y6.7
Richarlison8910110207
R. Bentancur67000002Y6.9
R. Kolo Muani67002103Y7.2
D. Spence sub2300000006.3
Y. Bissouma sub2300000006.5
L. Bergvall sub10000000–
P. Sarr sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Aston Villa v Tottenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Aston VillaDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
TottenhamWLLDW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Aston Villa 4 · 0 draws · Tottenham 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-01-10 Tottenham 1–2 Aston Villa
  • 2025-10-19 Tottenham 1–2 Aston Villa
  • 2025-05-16 Aston Villa 2–0 Tottenham
  • 2025-02-09 Aston Villa 2–1 Tottenham
  • 2024-11-03 Tottenham 4–1 Aston Villa
  • 2024-03-10 Aston Villa 0–4 Tottenham
League standing · 2025/26
Aston Villa#4 pos65 pts38 pl+7 GD
Tottenham#17 pos41 pts38 pl-9 GD
Goals per game
Aston Villa scored1.47
Tottenham scored1.26
Aston Villa conceded1.29
Tottenham conceded1.5

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Aston Villa 0.61 xG from 5 shots, Tottenham 1.12 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Tyrone Mings 88' · 0.48 xGRandal Kolo Muani 23' · 0.33 xGRicharlison 1' · 0.12 xGMathys Tel 41' · 0.06 xGKevin Danso 24' · 0.06 xGJoão Palhinha 16' · 0.03 xGRandal Kolo Muani 35' · 0.02 xGPedro Porro 54' · 0.02 xGKevin Danso 83' · 0.02 xGMorgan Rogers 60' · 0.01 xGMorgan Rogers 63' · 0.01 xGOllie Watkins 70' · 0.01 xGRicharlison 24' · 0.46 xG · goalEmiliano Buendía 95' · 0.10 xG · goalConor Gallagher 11' · 0.01 xG · goal
Aston Villa (attacking right)Tottenham (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Aston Villa510.61
Tottenham1021.12

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Tottenham led on xG, 1.08 to 0.00. At full time, Tottenham led on xG, 1.12 to 0.61. The widest gap was 1.11 xG to Tottenham, in the 54th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Tottenham 11 minGoal - Tottenham 24 minGoal - Aston Villa 95 min
Aston Villa 0.61 xGTottenham 1.12 xGdots = goals · 15 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Aston Villa v Tottenham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Aston Villa v Tottenham was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Tottenham?
In their last 6 meetings, Aston Villa won 4, Tottenham won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Aston Villa and Tottenham?
Recent form — Aston Villa 2W 1D 2L; Tottenham 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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