BournemouthLeeds

Bournemouth v Leeds result

Full-time · Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds

Premier League · · Vitality Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 1.91 to 1.22 in expected goals, from 18 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the ninth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Bournemouth and Leeds drew 2–2 at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on Wednesday 22 April. Bournemouth are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Leeds are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Bournemouth: E. Kroupi (60’, assisted by M. Senesi), an own goal by James Hill (68’) and Rayan (85’, assisted by Tyler Adams); Leeds: Sean Longstaff (90’).

Discipline

M. Salisbury showed three yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bournemouth: E. Kroupi (25’), Álex Jiménez (41’) and Evanilson (90+5’).

What it changes

Bournemouth move up from eighth to seventh (34 league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bournemouth have conceded 54 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Leeds stay 15th after this result (34 league matches played). Leeds have scored 49 goals, the 10th-fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Leeds have conceded 56 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Senesi (Bournemouth) 6.4, James Hill (Bournemouth) 5.1 and Adrien Truffert (Bournemouth) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Bournemouth or Leeds (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds · Premier League
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth, Dorset
  • Referee: M. Salisbury
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Bournemouth 1 · draws 1 · Leeds 1 · 5.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bournemouth 2W 3D 0L · Leeds 2W 3D 0L

Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 5.71
Corners
against 5.88 / 4.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.75 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 3.14 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.38 / 1.86
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
4.6 yellows
Referee · M. Salisbury
22.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBournemouth for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.88 against n 8
9.5standard
5.71 for · 4.57 against n 7
Shots
14.13 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
14.71 for · 9.86 against n 7
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.43 for · 3.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.86 for · 12.71 against n 7
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.86 for · 2.29 against n 7

Referee: M. Salisbury — 4.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.8 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović34903066 min982.9 /90481.4 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
2.98/4

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Adrien Truffert33892930 min872.7 /90441.4 /9090.3 /901815.6 /90361.1 /9040.1 /90
M. Senesi33882891 min561.7 /90491.5 /90411.3 /901725.4 /90311 /9080.2 /90
Álex Jiménez28762140 min622.6 /90251.1 /90110.5 /901265.3 /90311.3 /9080.3 /90
J. Hill22791746 min311.6 /90301.5 /90130.7 /901447.4 /90110.6 /9030.2 /90
B. Diakité16821305 min201.4 /90120.8 /9050.3 /90604.1 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.46/3
0.54/0
P. Struijk
M. Senesi n 890
1.36/2
1.37/2
P. Struijk
Alex Scott n 890
1.56/4
1.85/5
G. Gudmundsson
Evanilson n 877
0.94/2
0.94/2
—
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
2.18/6
M. Senesi n 890
1.66/4
Alex Scott n 890
2.58/4
Evanilson n 877
0.41/1
M. Tavernier n 886
14/3
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson32752414 min60.2 /9010 /90532 /90240.9 /90271 /90130.5 /90
E. Kroupi23581335 min80.5 /9000 /90231.6 /90151 /90191.3 /90100.7 /90
A. Adli23481097 min30.2 /9010.1 /90131.1 /9080.7 /90151.2 /9090.7 /90
E. Ünal425101 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Doak23162 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
M. Senesi n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Alex Scott n 890
1.15/3
0.53/1
Evanilson n 877
1.86/3
0.94/2
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
M. Senesi n 890
00/0
00/0
Alex Scott n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Evanilson n 877
0.11/0
0.11/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Darlow18901620 min442.4 /90211.2 /9000 /90
Lucas Perri17901530 min412.4 /90291.7 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Darlow n 890
2.35/3
Lucas Perri n 890
2.56/4

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
G. Gudmundsson32822639 min662.3 /90260.9 /9070.2 /901776 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
J. Bogle31842603 min572 /90301 /9050.2 /901234.3 /90371.3 /9060.2 /90
P. Struijk30872623 min351.2 /90301 /90150.5 /901565.4 /90220.8 /9040.1 /90
J. Rodon29882547 min321.1 /90271 /90180.6 /901264.5 /90120.4 /9010 /90
J. Bijol21801679 min251.3 /90261.4 /9070.4 /901005.4 /90191 /9030.2 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
1.47/4
16/1
—
G. Gudmundsson n 878.1
15/2
2.78/4
Alex Scott
J. Bogle n 873.1
1.88/3
1.14/2
—
B. Aaronson n 872.3
0.84/1
26/4
—
P. Struijk n 880.4
16/1
0.84/2
M. Senesi
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
2.67/6
G. Gudmundsson n 878.1
1.46/3
J. Bogle n 873.1
1.56/3
B. Aaronson n 872.3
1.26/1
P. Struijk n 880.4
1.36/3
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
B. Aaronson31692150 min40.2 /9050.2 /90261.1 /90150.6 /90291.2 /90251 /90
Dominic Calvert-Lewin30772298 min110.4 /9010 /90602.3 /90301.2 /90170.7 /9060.2 /90
N. Okafor24631505 min70.4 /9010.1 /90251.5 /90150.9 /90201.2 /90342 /90
L. Nmecha21491031 min40.3 /9030.3 /90221.9 /90131.1 /9090.8 /9040.3 /90
W. Gnonto1342546 min10.2 /9010.2 /9081.3 /9030.5 /90101.6 /9050.8 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
G. Gudmundsson n 878.1
0.94/2
0.11/0
J. Bogle n 873.1
0.31/1
0.21/0
B. Aaronson n 872.3
0.63/1
0.21/0
P. Struijk n 880.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
G. Gudmundsson n 878.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Bogle n 873.1
00/0
00/0
B. Aaronson n 872.3
00/0
0.32/0
P. Struijk n 880.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BournemouthLeeds
60%Possession40%
1.65Expected goals (xG)0.81
17Shots10
7Shots on target3
5Shots off target5
5Blocked shots2
12Shots inside the box10
12Corners1
1Offsides1
6Fouls10
3Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
2Saves5
473Passes315
80%Pass accuracy75%

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Đ. Petrović9000000006.5
Álex Jiménez90000003Y7
J. Hill9000101206.2
M. Senesi9001101007.3
Adrien Truffert9000110307.5
Alex Scott9000212107.5
Evanilson90001020Y5.9
M. Tavernier8900002106.5
R. Christie7300221007
E. Kroupi73101120Y8.2
D. Brooks6700101006.3
Rayan sub2310220007
T. Adams sub1701001006.9
A. Adli sub1700001006.9
A. Tóth sub800000006.5

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Darlow9000000106.9
J. Justin9000000306.9
P. Struijk9000000307.3
E. Ampadu9000001407.3
G. Gudmundsson9000001207.6
Dominic Calvert-Lewin9000000006.3
A. Tanaka8900001106.7
B. Aaronson8400112007
J. Bijol6400000007.2
N. Okafor6400200106.5
J. Bogle4500000406.7
J. Rodon sub4500110106.2
W. Gnonto sub2600101206.6
L. Nmecha sub2600201006.7
S. Longstaff sub1510110007.5
J. Piroe sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bournemouth v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BournemouthDDDWW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
LeedsDDDWW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Bournemouth 1 · 1 draw · Leeds 1 · 5.33 goals/game
  • 2025-09-27 Leeds 2–2 Bournemouth
  • 2023-04-30 Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds
  • 2022-11-05 Leeds 4–3 Bournemouth
League standing · 2025/26
Bournemouth#6 pos57 pts38 pl+4 GD
Leeds#14 pos47 pts38 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Bournemouth scored1.53
Leeds scored1.29
Bournemouth conceded1.42
Leeds conceded1.47

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bournemouth 1.91 xG from 18 shots, Leeds 1.22 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Lukas Nmecha 92' · 0.46 xGDavid Brooks 50' · 0.31 xGNoah Okafor 61' · 0.23 xGNoah Okafor 45' · 0.11 xGRyan Christie 42' · 0.08 xGAmine Adli 84' · 0.08 xGWilfried Gnonto 67' · 0.08 xGMarcus Tavernier 42' · 0.08 xGLukas Nmecha 66' · 0.08 xGLukas Nmecha 67' · 0.08 xGEvanilson 9' · 0.08 xGLukas Nmecha 65' · 0.07 xGMarcos Senesi 87' · 0.06 xGJames Hill 75' · 0.06 xGRyan Christie 53' · 0.05 xGRyan Christie 56' · 0.05 xGEvanilson 15' · 0.04 xGAdrien Truffert 31' · 0.04 xGAlex Scott 76' · 0.04 xGRayan 74' · 0.03 xGBrenden Aaronson 36' · 0.03 xGAlex Scott 48' · 0.02 xGJoe Rodon 84' · 0.02 xGDavid Brooks 33' · 0.02 xGJames Hill 67' · 0.00 xGEli Junior Kroupi 59' · 0.52 xG · goalRayan 85' · 0.35 xG · goalSean Longstaff 96' · 0.06 xG · goal
Bournemouth (attacking right)Leeds (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bournemouth1821.91
Leeds1011.22

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Bournemouth 0.33, Leeds 0.15. At full time, Bournemouth led on xG, 1.91 to 1.22. The widest gap was 1.21 xG to Bournemouth, in the 87th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.91.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bournemouth 59 minGoal - Bournemouth 85 minGoal - Leeds 96 min
Bournemouth 1.91 xGLeeds 1.22 xGdots = goals · 28 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Leeds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Leeds was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Leeds?
In their last 3 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Leeds won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 5.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Leeds?
Recent form — Bournemouth 2W 3D 0L; Leeds 2W 3D 0L.

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