This Matchweek

BournemouthLeeds

Bournemouth v Leeds result

Full-time · Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds

Premier League · · Vitality Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Bournemouth · Leeds

The model’s pre-match pick

Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds — Bournemouth won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.91 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 1.46 to 0.99 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 10, ahead on xG from the 90th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Bournemouth beat Leeds 2–0 at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 31 October. Bournemouth have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bournemouth led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Bournemouth: Evanilson (31’, assisted by Justin Kluivert) and A. Adli (90+4’, assisted by E. Kroupi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Evanilson’s goal on 31 minutes.

What it changes

Bournemouth move up from 13th to sixth (nine league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Leeds move down from seventh to eighth (nine league matches played). Leeds have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Leeds have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth have won their last six matches in all competitions. Leeds are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Bournemouth have kept a clean sheet in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Evanilson (Bournemouth) 6.4, A. Adli (Bournemouth) 5.0 and E. Kroupi (Bournemouth) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Bournemouth are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Leeds.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds · Premier League
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth, Dorset
  • Referee: Michael Salisbury
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Bournemouth 1 · draws 2 · Leeds 1 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bournemouth 5W 0D 0L · Leeds 1W 3D 1L

Bournemouth 2–0 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.38
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.5
Corners
against 3.88 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3.13 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 28 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBournemouth for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
16.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 14.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 3.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.38 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Michael Salisbury.

Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović1090900 min202 /90131.3 /9000 /90
M. Di Gregorio390270 min62 /9000 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
1.43/2
M. Di Gregorio n 390
21/1

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
António Silva13891162 min221.7 /90120.9 /9060.5 /90735.7 /90110.9 /9040.3 /90
J. Hill12851018 min292.6 /90171.5 /90121.1 /90776.8 /90121.1 /9010.1 /90
Adrien Truffert1089894 min303 /90121.2 /9030.3 /90515.1 /90202 /9030.3 /90
A. Smith1081809 min80.9 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90353.9 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90
B. Diakité577387 min40.9 /9020.5 /9000 /90102.3 /9061.4 /9030.7 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
António Silva n 890
16/2
0.31/1
T. Muharemović
J. Hill n 882.3
16/1
14/3
T. Muharemović
M. Tavernier n 872.5
0.84/1
0.84/1
—
Rayan n 865.1
0.92/2
1.65/3
—
T. Adams n 872.3
26/3
0.95/1
E. Ampadu
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
António Silva n 890
2.18/6
J. Hill n 882.3
3.38/5
M. Tavernier n 872.5
1.15/1
Rayan n 865.1
1.67/2
T. Adams n 872.3
1.15/2
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson1181887 min40.4 /9040.4 /90242.4 /90101 /90131.3 /9070.7 /90
Á. Rodríguez652310 min20.6 /9000 /90123.5 /9030.9 /9041.2 /9020.6 /90
D. Jebbison21530 min00 /9000 /9013 /9013 /9000 /9000 /90
M. Tavernier1278932 min60.6 /9000 /90242.3 /90121.2 /90242.3 /9080.8 /90
Rayan1273871 min30.3 /9000 /90252.6 /90131.3 /9070.7 /9070.7 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
António Silva n 890
0.54/0
0.11/0
J. Hill n 882.3
0.83/2
0.11/0
M. Tavernier n 872.5
1.95/4
0.63/1
Rayan n 865.1
2.86/5
1.66/2
T. Adams n 872.3
0.21/0
00/0
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
António Silva n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Hill n 882.3
00/0
00/0
M. Tavernier n 872.5
0.53/0
00/0
Rayan n 865.1
0.53/0
00/0
T. Adams n 872.3
00/0
0.21/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Trafford990810 min323.6 /9050.6 /9000 /90
M. Zetterer19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Trafford n 890
3.68/6

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Muharemović1090900 min80.8 /90141.4 /9080.8 /90545.4 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
J. Justin1089889 min292.9 /90131.3 /9050.5 /90656.6 /9090.9 /9010.1 /90
N. Elvedi785592 min71.1 /9081.2 /9050.8 /90264 /9020.3 /9000 /90
J. Bijol569344 min61.6 /9071.8 /9030.8 /90246.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
J. Rodon371214 min10.4 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9093.8 /9041.7 /9000 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
1.86/4
0.85/1
T. Adams
T. Muharemović n 890
0.53/1
0.94/3
J. Hill
J. Justin n 888.6
0.84/2
1.17/2
—
A. Stach n 873.3
1.85/4
1.14/3
—
N. Okafor n 859
0.42/0
1.15/1
—
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
2.38/6
T. Muharemović n 890
0.64/1
J. Justin n 888.6
2.88/7
A. Stach n 873.3
2.36/6
N. Okafor n 859
13/2
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Okafor1056563 min10.2 /9010.2 /9050.8 /9010.2 /9061 /90172.7 /90
Dominic Calvert-Lewin979710 min40.5 /9010.1 /90121.5 /9081 /9040.5 /9050.6 /90
H. Wilson843344 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9092.4 /9020.5 /90
L. Nmecha541203 min00 /9020.9 /9052.2 /9000 /9041.8 /9031.3 /90
D. James446182 min10.5 /9000 /9052.5 /9021 /9042 /9010.5 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 890
0.94/2
0.42/1
E. Ampadu n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
J. Justin n 888.6
0.95/2
0.43/0
A. Stach n 873.3
1.15/2
0.32/0
N. Okafor n 859
0.84/0
0.21/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 28 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Justin n 888.6
0.11/0
00/0
A. Stach n 873.3
00/0
00/0
N. Okafor n 859
0.21/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BournemouthLeeds
44%Possession56%
1.33Expected goals (xG)0.73
11Shots10
5Shots on target1
3Shots off target7
3Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box3
4Corners4
0Offsides1
12Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
420Passes520

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Adams90001000Y6.2
Đ. Petrović9000000006.5
M. Tavernier9000220006.8
António Silva9000000107.2
J. Hill9000101106.6
Adrien Truffert9000100206.3
A. Smith8800001006.2
Rayan8800101106.4
Evanilson7610111007.9
J. Kluivert6801102007.1
R. Christie68001011Y7
E. Kroupi2201002007.3
L. Cook2200000106.9
Á. Rodríguez1400110006.8
B. Diakité200000006.5
A. Adli210110107.5

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Muharemović9000000106.5
N. Elvedi90000001Y6.2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin9000210005.6
J. Bogle9000001006.7
E. Ampadu90000002Y6.2
J. Trafford9000000006.6
H. Wilson8400203106.4
J. Justin8400101306.6
A. Tanaka6500000306.1
D. James6500000106.3
G. Gudmundsson6500000105.5
S. Longstaff2500100006
L. Nmecha2500100006.8
A. Stach2500200006.2
B. Aaronson600000006
J. Bahoya600101006.4

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bournemouth v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BournemouthWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 2.8 scored / 0 conceded per game
LeedsWDLDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Bournemouth 1 · 2 draws · Leeds 1 · 5 goals/game
  • 2026-04-22 Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds
  • 2025-09-27 Leeds 2–2 Bournemouth
  • 2023-04-30 Bournemouth 4–1 Leeds
  • 2022-11-05 Leeds 4–3 Bournemouth
League standing · 2026/27
Bournemouth#8 pos12 pts9 pl+1 GD
Leeds#12 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Bournemouth scored1.56
Leeds scored1
Bournemouth conceded1.44
Leeds conceded0.89

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bournemouth 1.46 xG from 11 shots, Leeds 0.99 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin 10' · 0.64 xGAlvaro Rodríguez 90' · 0.15 xGJames Justin 66' · 0.07 xGJustin Kluivert 65' · 0.07 xGHarry Wilson 48' · 0.07 xGMarcus Tavernier 42' · 0.06 xGRayan 65' · 0.06 xGAnton Stach 87' · 0.05 xGRyan Christie 16' · 0.05 xGMarcus Tavernier 63' · 0.05 xGAnton Stach 90' · 0.04 xGLukas Nmecha 72' · 0.03 xGDominic Calvert-Lewin 82' · 0.03 xGHarry Wilson 14' · 0.02 xGJean Négoce 84' · 0.02 xGTyler Adams 70' · 0.02 xGAdrien Truffert 30' · 0.02 xGSean Longstaff 73' · 0.02 xGJames Hill 39' · 0.01 xGEvanilson 30' · 0.52 xG · goalAmine Adli 93' · 0.47 xG · goal
Bournemouth (attacking right)Leeds (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bournemouth1121.46
Leeds1000.99

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Bournemouth 0.65, Leeds 0.67. At full time, Bournemouth led on xG, 1.46 to 0.99. The widest gap was 0.67 xG to Leeds, in the 14th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.50.700′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bournemouth 30 minGoal - Bournemouth 93 min
Bournemouth 1.46 xGLeeds 0.99 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Leeds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Leeds was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.91 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Leeds?
In their last 4 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Leeds won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Leeds?
Recent form — Bournemouth 5W 0D 0L; Leeds 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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