BournemouthManchester City

Bournemouth v Manchester City result

Full-time · Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City

Premier League · · Vitality Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Bournemouth: 1.73 to 1.28 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the 59th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Bournemouth and Manchester City drew 1–1 at Vitality Stadium in the Premier League on Tuesday 19 May. Bournemouth are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. Manchester City are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Bournemouth led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Bournemouth: E. Kroupi (39’, assisted by Adrien Truffert); Manchester City: Erling Haaland (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erling Haaland’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

A. Taylor showed six yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Bournemouth: Tyler Adams (37’), James Hill (59’), Justin Kluivert (90+3’) and Adrien Truffert (90+6’); Manchester City: Rodri (90+3’) and Gianluigi Donnarumma (90+7’).

What it changes

Bournemouth stay sixth after this result (37 league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Bournemouth have conceded 54 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City stay second after this result (37 league matches played). Manchester City have scored 77 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Manchester City have conceded 35 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Manchester City have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Adrien Truffert (Bournemouth) 5.5, Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 5.4 and Rodri (Manchester City) 4.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Bournemouth.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City · Premier League
  • Venue: Vitality Stadium · Bournemouth, Dorset
  • Referee: A. Taylor
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bournemouth 1 · draws 0 · Manchester City 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bournemouth 4W 1D 0L · Manchester City 4W 1D 0L

Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.25
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.38 / 9.13
Corners
against 5.13 / 3.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 2.63 / 2.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.13
Cards
against 1.88 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.36 yellows
Referee · A. Taylor
21.32 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBournemouth for / againstLineManchester City for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 0.75 against n 8
3.25our book
2.25 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
9.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
Shots
14.25 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
19.63 for · 8.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 2.63 against n 8
8.5standard
6.25 for · 2.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: A. Taylor — 4.36 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 21.32 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović37903336 min1032.8 /90501.3 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
2.17/1

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Adrien Truffert36893200 min922.6 /90471.3 /90100.3 /901975.5 /90371 /9040.1 /90
M. Senesi36883161 min591.7 /90541.5 /90451.3 /901915.4 /90341 /9080.2 /90
Álex Jiménez30772320 min682.6 /90271 /90110.4 /901405.4 /90351.4 /9090.3 /90
J. Hill25812016 min381.7 /90351.6 /90140.6 /901707.6 /90130.6 /9030.1 /90
B. Diakité16821305 min201.4 /90120.8 /9050.3 /90604.1 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
—
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.94/1
1.16/1
Matheus Nunes
M. Senesi n 890
14/2
1.68/4
N. O'Reilly
Alex Scott n 889.9
1.86/5
1.55/4
—
Evanilson n 881.4
1.16/2
1.25/3
E. Haaland
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.87/6
M. Senesi n 890
1.55/4
Alex Scott n 889.9
2.18/4
Evanilson n 881.4
0.62/1
M. Tavernier n 887.8
0.94/2
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson35752627 min60.2 /9010 /90561.9 /90240.8 /90301 /90140.5 /90
A. Adli24461114 min30.2 /9010.1 /90131.1 /9080.6 /90161.3 /9090.7 /90
E. Ünal425101 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Doak23162 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
Alex Scott36802864 min30.1 /9010 /90311 /90130.4 /90300.9 /90280.9 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.64/1
0.64/1
M. Senesi n 890
0.43/0
00/0
Alex Scott n 889.9
0.95/2
0.43/0
Evanilson n 881.4
1.76/3
0.42/1
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Senesi n 890
00/0
0.11/0
Alex Scott n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
Evanilson n 881.4
00/0
0.11/0
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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma42903780 min972.3 /90401 /9020 /90
J. Trafford15901350 min332.2 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90
A. Ramsdale19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
25/3
J. Trafford n 890
2.36/2

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. O'Reilly53753987 min1052.4 /90310.7 /90150.3 /902345.3 /90661.5 /9080.2 /90
Matheus Nunes49824015 min801.8 /90451 /90100.2 /902164.8 /90360.8 /9070.2 /90
A. Khusanov34792677 min571.9 /90571.9 /90140.5 /901103.7 /90260.9 /9070.2 /90
Rúben Dias32832646 min220.7 /90260.9 /90200.7 /901063.6 /90240.8 /9040.1 /90
J. Gvardiol25771928 min281.3 /90271.3 /90130.6 /90884.1 /90241.1 /9020.1 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Haaland n 879.5
0.74/1
0.64/0
Evanilson
N. O'Reilly n 877.9
1.76/4
14/3
M. Senesi
Matheus Nunes n 886
0.94/2
0.73/2
Adrien Truffert
Bernardo Silva n 887.1
0.84/2
0.95/1
—
J. Doku n 873.4
1.55/3
3.77/6
—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 879.5
0.42/1
N. O'Reilly n 877.9
26/3
Matheus Nunes n 886
1.34/3
Bernardo Silva n 887.1
2.36/4
J. Doku n 873.4
1.15/2
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland53794199 min390.8 /90100.2 /901503.2 /90901.9 /90380.8 /90190.4 /90
Sávio27551489 min50.3 /9030.2 /90291.8 /90191.1 /90241.5 /90523.1 /90
Omar Marmoush25541351 min60.4 /9030.2 /90342.3 /90171.1 /90201.3 /90151 /90
R. McAidoo279158 min10.6 /9000 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9052.8 /90
A. Elanga14545 min12 /9000 /9024 /9012 /9000 /9024 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 879.5
37/5
1.87/3
N. O'Reilly n 877.9
0.72/1
0.62/1
Matheus Nunes n 886
00/0
00/0
Bernardo Silva n 887.1
0.85/1
0.32/0
J. Doku n 873.4
1.46/3
1.15/2
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 16 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 879.5
15/1
0.32/0
N. O'Reilly n 877.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Matheus Nunes n 886
00/0
0.11/0
Bernardo Silva n 887.1
00/0
00/0
J. Doku n 873.4
0.84/1
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BournemouthManchester City
46%Possession54%
2.25Expected goals (xG)1.48
10Shots14
2Shots on target5
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots6
6Shots inside the box10
7Corners6
2Offsides2
16Fouls7
4Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
446Passes536
81%Pass accuracy87%

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Đ. Petrović9000000007.2
J. Hill90000011Y6.7
M. Senesi9000000107.2
Adrien Truffert90010024Y7.5
T. Adams90000004Y6.9
Alex Scott9000001207
M. Tavernier9000003207.9
A. Smith8900000106.9
Evanilson8900201107.3
Rayan8400100106.6
E. Kroupi7610210007.6
J. Kluivert sub14000000Y6.3
D. Brooks sub1300211106.5
E. Ünal sub800001006.9
L. Cook sub10000000–

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Donnarumma90000000Y6.9
Matheus Nunes9000000106.9
A. Khusanov9000100106.6
M. Guéhi9000000106.7
N. O'Reilly9000110006.5
Rodri90003122Y7.7
E. Haaland9010111007
J. Doku7600112006.9
A. Semenyo5600111006.5
M. Kovačić5600000006.6
Bernardo Silva5600001006.7
R. Cherki sub3400000006.6
Sávio sub3400001007.2
P. Foden sub3400000006.9
Omar Marmoush sub1400000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Bournemouth v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BournemouthWWDWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Manchester CityWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bournemouth 1 · 0 draws · Manchester City 5 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-11-02 Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth
  • 2025-05-20 Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth
  • 2025-03-30 Bournemouth 1–2 Manchester City
  • 2024-11-02 Bournemouth 2–1 Manchester City
  • 2024-02-24 Bournemouth 0–1 Manchester City
  • 2023-11-04 Manchester City 6–1 Bournemouth
League standing · 2025/26
Bournemouth#6 pos57 pts38 pl+4 GD
Manchester City#2 pos78 pts38 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Bournemouth scored1.53
Manchester City scored2.03
Bournemouth conceded1.42
Manchester City conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Bournemouth 1.73 xG from 10 shots, Manchester City 1.28 from 14. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Evanilson 14' · 0.48 xGNico O'Reilly 45' · 0.45 xGDavid Brooks 88' · 0.34 xGDavid Brooks 89' · 0.28 xGRayan 61' · 0.14 xGEvanilson 51' · 0.14 xGOmar Marmoush 93' · 0.12 xGJames Hill 61' · 0.11 xGEli Junior Kroupi 59' · 0.10 xGJéremy Doku 4' · 0.10 xGErling Haaland 27' · 0.09 xGRodri 96' · 0.08 xGBernardo Silva 52' · 0.08 xGRodri 94' · 0.08 xGNico O'Reilly 77' · 0.06 xGMathis Cherki 73' · 0.06 xGEvanilson 88' · 0.04 xGRayan 48' · 0.03 xGRodri 27' · 0.03 xGRodri 62' · 0.03 xGAntoine Semenyo 31' · 0.02 xGAbduqodir Khusanov 13' · 0.02 xGErling Haaland 94' · 0.06 xG · goalEli Junior Kroupi 38' · 0.06 xG · goal
Bournemouth (attacking right)Manchester City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Bournemouth1011.73
Manchester City1411.28

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Bournemouth 0.54, Manchester City 0.71. At full time, Bournemouth led on xG, 1.73 to 1.28. The widest gap was 0.79 xG to Bournemouth, in the 89th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.70.900′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bournemouth 38 minGoal - Manchester City 94 min
Bournemouth 1.73 xGManchester City 1.28 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Bournemouth v Manchester City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bournemouth v Manchester City was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Manchester City?
In their last 6 meetings, Bournemouth won 1, Manchester City won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bournemouth and Manchester City?
Recent form — Bournemouth 4W 1D 0L; Manchester City 4W 1D 0L.

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