BrightonChelsea

Brighton v Chelsea result

Full-time · Brighton 3–0 Chelsea

Premier League · · American Express Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brighton · Chelsea · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Brighton 3–0 Chelsea — Brighton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Brighton: 2.52 to 0.30 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 6, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Brighton beat Chelsea 3–0 at American Express Stadium in the Premier League on Tuesday 21 April. Brighton are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Chelsea have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

The goals

Brighton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: Ferdi Kadıoğlu (3’), Jack Hinshelwood (56’, assisted by Georginio Rutter) and Daniel Welbeck (90’, assisted by Maxim De Cuyper).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ferdi Kadıoğlu’s goal on 3 minutes.

Discipline

C. Pawson showed two yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Brighton: Y. Minteh (58’); Chelsea: Wesley Fofana (45+1’).

What it changes

Brighton move up from ninth to sixth (34 league matches played). Brighton have scored 52 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Brighton have conceded 46 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Chelsea move down from sixth to seventh (34 league matches played). Chelsea have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Chelsea have conceded 52 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Brighton have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions. Chelsea have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ferdi Kadıoğlu (Brighton) 8.2, Jorrel Hato (Chelsea) 4.8 and Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton) 4.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Brighton are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Chelsea.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Brighton 3–0 Chelsea · Premier League
  • Venue: American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex
  • Referee: C. Pawson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 3 · draws 0 · Chelsea 3 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brighton 3W 1D 1L · Chelsea 1W 0D 4L

Brighton 3–0 Chelsea (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38
Goals
against 1 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 6.86
Corners
against 6 / 3.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.75 / 1.14
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.93 yellows
Referee · C. Pawson
21.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBrighton for / againstLineChelsea for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
6.86 for · 3.43 against n 7
Shots
13 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16.29 for · 8.57 against n 7
Shots on target
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
5.29 for · 5.14 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.38 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
9 for · 11.14 against n 7
Cards shown
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.14 for · 1.14 against n 7

Referee: C. Pawson — 2.93 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.13 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen33902970 min952.9 /90391.2 /9010 /90
Jason Steele590450 min224.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
3.17/6
Jason Steele n 890
3.86/5

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Kadıoğlu37833066 min621.8 /90240.7 /9070.2 /901414.1 /90210.6 /9070.2 /90
J. van Hecke34872948 min491.5 /90371.1 /90300.9 /901885.7 /90250.8 /9090.3 /90
L. Dunk30892655 min331.1 /90291 /90280.9 /901143.9 /90150.5 /90110.4 /90
M. Wieffer23771773 min643.2 /90251.3 /9070.4 /901366.9 /90301.5 /9080.4 /90
M. De Cuyper21581214 min171.3 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90453.3 /90181.3 /9020.1 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
0.54/0
1.56/5
M. Gusto
D. Gómez n 873.4
3.48/8
0.21/0
—
J. van Hecke n 887.8
0.53/1
0.96/1
M. Gusto
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
D. Welbeck n 875.5
0.32/0
0.32/0
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
1.45/3
D. Gómez n 873.4
3.17/6
J. van Hecke n 887.8
1.96/5
D. Welbeck n 875.5
0.93/3
L. Dunk n 890
1.47/3
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Welbeck32662123 min130.6 /9010 /90431.8 /90261.1 /90220.9 /90100.4 /90
G. Rutter29631826 min30.1 /9020.1 /90291.4 /90160.8 /90261.3 /90271.3 /90
C. Kostoulas943385 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9030.7 /9051.2 /9071.6 /90
S. Tzimas934309 min30.9 /9020.6 /9072 /9051.5 /9061.7 /9020.6 /90
H. Howell460238 min10.4 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
0.96/1
0.32/0
D. Gómez n 873.4
1.26/1
0.64/0
J. van Hecke n 887.8
0.32/0
0.11/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Welbeck n 875.5
1.87/4
1.57/2
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 873.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
J. van Hecke n 887.8
00/0
0.11/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Welbeck n 875.5
0.63/1
00/0
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Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Robert Sánchez46894095 min1272.8 /90571.3 /9000 /90
F. Jörgensen1185939 min161.5 /90161.5 /9000 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 890
2.96/5
F. Jörgensen n 884.4
25/3

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Gusto46673102 min822.4 /90481.4 /9040.1 /901474.3 /90260.8 /9070.2 /90
Marc Cucurella45793551 min802 /90461.2 /90160.4 /901684.3 /90651.6 /90100.3 /90
T. Chalobah43853659 min360.9 /90461.1 /90190.5 /901603.9 /90240.6 /9040.1 /90
R. James36752688 min622.1 /90461.5 /9090.3 /901384.6 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
W. Fofana30752250 min241 /90431.7 /90230.9 /901325.3 /90271.1 /9070.3 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Fernández n 884.1
1.14/2
1.36/3
—
Pedro Neto n 881.1
1.25/3
0.42/1
—
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
0.54/0
—
João Pedro n 878.4
1.46/4
27/5
—
M. Gusto n 865.3
0.21/0
15/1
J. van Hecke
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 884.1
1.36/3
Pedro Neto n 881.1
0.11/0
João Pedro n 878.4
14/2
M. Gusto n 865.3
2.14/3
M. Caicedo n 883.9
2.87/6
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
João Pedro46723292 min210.6 /9060.2 /90681.9 /90391.1 /90371 /90441.2 /90
L. Delap30471401 min30.2 /9040.3 /90342.2 /90201.3 /90120.8 /90130.8 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens23461066 min10.1 /9050.4 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90171.4 /90353 /90
Tyrique George1148528 min40.7 /9010.2 /9091.5 /9081.4 /9081.4 /9030.5 /90
Marc Guiu949438 min20.4 /9010.2 /90132.7 /9081.6 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Fernández n 884.1
1.36/3
0.95/1
Pedro Neto n 881.1
0.32/0
0.32/0
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
00/0
João Pedro n 878.4
2.68/4
1.46/2
M. Gusto n 865.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 18 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Fernández n 884.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
Pedro Neto n 881.1
00/0
0.43/0
Robert Sánchez n 890
00/0
00/0
João Pedro n 878.4
0.62/1
0.11/0
M. Gusto n 865.3
0.21/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrightonChelsea
53%Possession47%
2.14Expected goals (xG)0.37
15Shots6
9Shots on target0
4Shots off target2
2Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box3
6Corners5
0Offsides4
15Fouls6
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
0Saves4
532Passes475
86%Pass accuracy84%

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000000007
J. van Hecke9000210107.6
O. Boscagli9000000207.3
F. Kadıoğlu9010330109
P. Groß9000115107.3
C. Baleba9000001107.3
J. Hinshelwood8910220107.2
G. Rutter8301102106.7
K. Mitoma8200313107.7
Y. Minteh77000004Y6.9
M. Wieffer4500000006.7
J. Veltman sub4500000007.5
M. De Cuyper sub1301001107.3
D. Welbeck sub1210110007.5
Y. Ayari sub800000006.5
M. O'Riley sub10000000–

Chelsea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Robert Sánchez9000000007.2
T. Chalobah9000001006.3
J. Hato9000000406.7
Marc Cucurella9000000006.2
Pedro Neto9000000005.9
M. Caicedo9000000106.7
E. Fernández9000001106.2
M. Gusto8900001006.6
R. Lavia7300100006.9
L. Delap7200000006.5
W. Fofana45000000Y6.3
A. Garnacho sub4500101006.3
Marc Guiu sub1800000006.3
Dário Essugo sub1700000106.6
Joshua Kofi Acheampong sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brighton v Chelsea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrightonLWWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
ChelseaLLWLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brighton 3 · 0 draws · Chelsea 3 · 4 goals/game
  • 2025-09-27 Chelsea 1–3 Brighton
  • 2025-02-14 Brighton 3–0 Chelsea
  • 2025-02-08 Brighton 2–1 Chelsea
  • 2024-09-28 Chelsea 4–2 Brighton
  • 2024-05-15 Brighton 1–2 Chelsea
  • 2023-12-03 Chelsea 3–2 Brighton
League standing · 2025/26
Brighton#8 pos53 pts38 pl+6 GD
Chelsea#10 pos52 pts38 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Brighton scored1.37
Chelsea scored1.53
Brighton conceded1.21
Chelsea conceded1.37

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brighton 2.52 xG from 15 shots, Chelsea 0.30 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jack Hinshelwood 17' · 0.54 xGKaoru Mitoma 2' · 0.27 xGAlejandro Garnacho 69' · 0.12 xGFerdi Kadioglu 64' · 0.12 xGKaoru Mitoma 53' · 0.10 xGPascal Groß 70' · 0.09 xGGeorginio Rutter 15' · 0.09 xGJan Paul van Hecke 14' · 0.07 xGAlejandro Garnacho 75' · 0.06 xGKaoru Mitoma 61' · 0.06 xGYankuba Minteh 21' · 0.06 xGMarc Guiu 79' · 0.05 xGGeorginio Rutter 10' · 0.05 xGJan Paul van Hecke 66' · 0.03 xGRomeo Lavia 46' · 0.03 xGFerdi Kadioglu 65' · 0.02 xGMoisés Caicedo 88' · 0.02 xGTrevoh Chalobah 40' · 0.02 xGDanny Welbeck 90' · 0.47 xG · goalJack Hinshelwood 55' · 0.46 xG · goalFerdi Kadioglu 2' · 0.09 xG · goal
Brighton (attacking right)Chelsea (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brighton1532.52
Chelsea600.30

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Brighton led on xG, 1.16 to 0.02. At full time, Brighton led on xG, 2.52 to 0.30. The widest gap was 2.22 xG to Brighton, in the 90th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.51.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brighton 2 minGoal - Brighton 55 minGoal - Brighton 90 min
Brighton 2.52 xGChelsea 0.30 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brighton v Chelsea?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton v Chelsea was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Chelsea?
In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 3, Chelsea won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton and Chelsea?
Recent form — Brighton 3W 1D 1L; Chelsea 1W 0D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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