This Matchweek

BrightonLeeds

Brighton v Leeds result

Full-time · Brighton 1–1 Leeds

Premier League · · American Express Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brighton · Leeds · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Brighton 1–1 Leeds — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.92 at Unibet
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Leeds: 3.04 to 2.27 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 20, ahead on xG from the 14th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Brighton and Leeds drew 1–1 at American Express Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September.

The goals

Leeds led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Leeds: Jayden Bogle (15’, assisted by Ao Tanaka); Brighton: Luka Vušković (71’, assisted by Maxim De Cuyper).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Luka Vušković’s goal on 71 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Brighton: Pascal Groß (38’), Maxim De Cuyper (49’) and P. David (88’); Leeds: Jayden Bogle (6’), Dominic Calvert-Lewin (64’) and Harry Wilson (85’).

What it changes

Brighton move down from sixth to ninth (three league matches played). Brighton have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Brighton have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Leeds move down from seventh to eighth (three league matches played). Leeds have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Leeds have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Leeds are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Luka Vušković (Brighton) 7.7, Ao Tanaka (Leeds) 4.9 and Ethan Ampadu (Leeds) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Brighton 1–1 Leeds · Premier League
  • Venue: American Express Stadium · Falmer
  • Referee: Stuart Attwell, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 2 · draws 3 · Leeds 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brighton 2W 1D 2L · Leeds 3W 1D 1L

Brighton 1–1 Leeds (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 0.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 3.88
Corners
against 3 / 5.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 3.63
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.38 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.63 / 2.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 30 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBrighton for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5our book
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
3.88 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
17.63 for · 8.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 13.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
3.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.88 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
10.75 for · 12.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.38 against n 8

Referee: Stuart Attwell, England.

Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen490360 min20.5 /9041 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
1.62/2

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Vušković490360 min41 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90297.3 /9041 /9010.3 /90
O. Boscagli490360 min20.5 /9051.3 /9010.3 /90102.5 /9071.8 /9010.3 /90
M. Wieffer473293 min92.8 /90103.1 /9041.2 /90247.4 /9030.9 /9000 /90
L. Dunk375225 min20.8 /9020.8 /9031.2 /9083.2 /9031.2 /9010.4 /90
F. Kadıoğlu289177 min10.5 /9000 /9000 /9031.5 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Vušković n 490
14/0
12/2
T. Muharemović
O. Boscagli n 890
0.93/2
1.36/4
J. Justin
P. Groß n 890
0.85/1
00/0
E. Ampadu
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
—
D. Gómez n 862.8
1.45/3
0.53/0
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
1.14/2
O. Boscagli n 890
15/3
L. Vušković n 490
13/1
D. Gómez n 862.8
2.26/4
M. Wieffer n 867
1.84/4
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Kostoulas455218 min10.4 /9010.4 /90135.4 /9031.2 /9041.7 /9031.2 /90
I. Osman339117 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9043.1 /9032.3 /90
G. Rutter284168 min00 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9031.6 /90
Z. Yohanna12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /90
P. Groß490360 min10.3 /9000 /9041 /9030.8 /90143.5 /9000 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Vušković n 490
1.54/2
0.52/0
P. Groß n 890
16/2
0.96/1
O. Boscagli n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 862.8
2.56/3
0.52/1
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
0.11/0
00/0
O. Boscagli n 890
0.11/0
00/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Vušković n 490
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 862.8
00/0
0.21/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Trafford390270 min93 /9010.3 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Trafford n 390
33/2

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Muharemović390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9051.7 /90165.3 /9031 /9000 /90
J. Rodon371214 min10.4 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9093.8 /9041.7 /9000 /90
N. Elvedi273146 min53.1 /9042.5 /9010.6 /9095.5 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Bijol268135 min10.7 /9032 /9000 /90106.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
E. Ampadu390270 min72.3 /9062 /9010.3 /90165.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
28/4
1.46/4
P. Groß
T. Muharemović n 390
12/1
0.31/0
L. Vušković
J. Justin n 884.4
0.73/2
1.35/3
O. Boscagli
J. Trafford n 390
00/0
0.31/0
—
J. Rodon n 877.4
1.37/2
0.64/0
—
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Justin n 884.4
3.27/6
E. Ampadu n 890
2.37/6
T. Muharemović n 390
1.72/2
J. Rodon n 877.4
0.73/2
A. Stach n 871.6
2.87/6
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Okafor353160 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9021.1 /9052.8 /90
B. Aaronson350150 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /9031.8 /90
H. Wilson345134 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9032 /9021.3 /90
Dominic Calvert-Lewin290180 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /90
L. Nmecha252104 min00 /9010.9 /9032.6 /9000 /9032.6 /9021.7 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Justin n 884.4
0.54/0
0.43/0
E. Ampadu n 890
0.32/0
00/0
T. Muharemović n 390
0.31/0
0.31/0
J. Trafford n 390
00/0
00/0
J. Rodon n 877.4
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Justin n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Trafford n 390
00/0
00/0
T. Muharemović n 390
00/0
00/0
J. Rodon n 877.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrightonLeeds
67%Possession33%
2.19Expected goals (xG)2.49
20Shots10
5Shots on target5
8Shots off target4
7Blocked shots1
11Shots inside the box10
7Corners6
4Offsides2
13Fouls16
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves4
522Passes252
84%Pass accuracy68%

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000000008.2
L. Vušković9010110208
L. Dunk9000000007.9
P. Groß90004010Y5.9
C. Kostoulas9000110106.9
M. Yalcouyé9000102007.2
Y. Ayari9000211006.9
D. Gómez9000212306.3
O. Boscagli8900005007.3
F. Kadıoğlu7800111106.5
M. De Cuyper77010011Y6.6
P. David sub13001000Y6
Costinha sub1200001007.2
P. Struijk sub10000000–

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Gudmundsson9000000306.9
A. Stach9000111206.7
E. Ampadu9000000406.7
J. Justin9000210306.7
T. Muharemović9000000106.9
N. Elvedi9000002007
J. Trafford9000000006.6
Dominic Calvert-Lewin73002210Y7.3
A. Tanaka7301201207
N. Okafor6200000006.6
J. Bogle61101100Y6.9
J. Bijol sub2900000206.7
B. Aaronson sub2800000006.2
L. Nmecha sub1700100006.3
H. Wilson sub17000020Y6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brighton v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrightonLDWWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
LeedsWLWWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brighton 2 · 3 draws · Leeds 1 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-05-17 Leeds 1–0 Brighton
  • 2025-11-01 Brighton 3–0 Leeds
  • 2023-03-11 Leeds 2–2 Brighton
  • 2022-08-27 Brighton 1–0 Leeds
  • 2022-05-15 Leeds 1–1 Brighton
  • 2021-11-27 Brighton 0–0 Leeds
League standing · 2026/27
Brighton#3 pos19 pts9 pl+17 GD
Leeds#12 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Brighton scored2.67
Leeds scored1
Brighton conceded0.78
Leeds conceded0.89

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brighton 2.27 xG from 20 shots, Leeds 3.04 from 10. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Pascal Groß 88' · 0.65 xGAo Tanaka 14' · 0.55 xGPromise David 84' · 0.52 xGAnton Stach 47' · 0.50 xGDominic Calvert-Lewin 22' · 0.42 xGDominic Calvert-Lewin 14' · 0.28 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 67' · 0.10 xGYasin Ayari 81' · 0.09 xGLukas Nmecha 75' · 0.09 xGJames Justin 62' · 0.08 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 56' · 0.08 xGLukas Nmecha 89' · 0.08 xGPascal Groß 88' · 0.07 xGAo Tanaka 23' · 0.06 xGFerdi Kadioglu 64' · 0.06 xGDiego Gómez 28' · 0.04 xGPascal Groß 54' · 0.04 xGYasin Ayari 82' · 0.04 xGMalick Yalcouyé 68' · 0.03 xGPascal Groß 64' · 0.03 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 53' · 0.02 xGLuka Vuskovic 86' · 0.02 xGDiego Gómez 69' · 0.02 xGDiego Gómez 62' · 0.02 xGJames Justin 21' · 0.02 xGDiego Gómez 82' · 0.02 xGFerdi Kadioglu 45' · 0.02 xGPascal Groß 26' · 0.02 xGJayden Bogle 14' · 0.97 xG · goalLuka Vuskovic 70' · 0.37 xG · goal
Brighton (attacking right)Leeds (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brighton2012.27
Leeds1013.04

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Leeds led on xG, 2.29 to 0.08. At full time, Leeds led on xG, 3.04 to 2.27. The widest gap was 2.71 xG to Leeds, in the 47th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.01.500′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Leeds 14 minGoal - Brighton 70 min
Brighton 2.27 xGLeeds 3.04 xGdots = goals · 30 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brighton v Leeds?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton v Leeds was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.92 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Leeds?
In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 2, Leeds won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton and Leeds?
Recent form — Brighton 2W 1D 2L; Leeds 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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