BrightonManchester United

Brighton v Manchester United result

Full-time · Brighton 0–3 Manchester United

Premier League · · American Express Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Brighton 0–3 Manchester United — Manchester United won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 2 of 4 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester United: 2.33 to 0.70 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the 32nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester United won 3–0 at American Express Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 24 May. Manchester United are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Manchester United led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester United: Patrick Dorgu (33’, assisted by Bruno Fernandes), Bryan Mbeumo (44’, assisted by A. Diallo) and Bruno Fernandes (48’, assisted by Patrick Dorgu).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Patrick Dorgu’s goal on 33 minutes.

Discipline

S. Barrott showed one yellow card — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Manchester United: Kobbie Mainoo (45+3’).

What it changes

Brighton stay seventh after this result (38 league matches played). Brighton have scored 52 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Brighton have conceded 46 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Manchester United stay third after this result (38 league matches played). Manchester United have scored 69 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Manchester United have conceded 50 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) 10.0, Patrick Dorgu (Manchester United) 9.4 and A. Diallo (Manchester United) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Manchester United next host Aston Villa on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Manchester United: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Brighton 0–3 Manchester United · Premier League
  • Venue: American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex
  • Referee: S. Barrott
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 4 · draws 0 · Manchester United 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brighton 2W 1D 2L · Manchester United 4W 1D 0L

Brighton 0–3 Manchester United (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.63 / 6.25
Corners
against 5.63 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.88 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.32 yellows
Referee · S. Barrott
18.21 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 19 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBrighton for / againstLineManchester United for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
14 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 14 against n 8
Shots on target
5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.38 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 9.88 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: S. Barrott — 3.32 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 18.21 fouls over 19 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen37903330 min1012.7 /90431.2 /9010 /90
Jason Steele590450 min224.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.65/5
Jason Steele n 890
3.86/5

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Kadıoğlu41843426 min641.7 /90280.7 /9070.2 /901514 /90270.7 /9070.2 /90
J. van Hecke38873308 min531.4 /90451.2 /90310.8 /902155.8 /90270.7 /90100.3 /90
L. Dunk32892835 min331 /90301 /90290.9 /901243.9 /90150.5 /90110.3 /90
M. Wieffer25731836 min643.1 /90251.2 /9070.3 /901366.7 /90301.5 /9080.4 /90
M. De Cuyper23611392 min181.2 /90120.8 /9010.1 /90533.4 /90191.2 /9020.1 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
15/2
0.84/2
L. Shaw
J. van Hecke n 890
0.63/2
1.36/3
L. Shaw
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
D. Gómez n 868.8
3.17/7
0.21/0
Bruno Fernandes
D. Welbeck n 870.5
14/1
0.53/0
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
1.14/2
J. van Hecke n 890
1.67/4
D. Gómez n 868.8
3.16/6
D. Welbeck n 870.5
14/2
Y. Minteh n 883.5
2.46/5
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Welbeck35672344 min130.5 /9020.1 /90481.8 /90291.1 /90230.9 /90130.5 /90
G. Rutter31621934 min30.1 /9030.1 /90321.5 /90170.8 /90291.3 /90281.3 /90
C. Kostoulas943385 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9030.7 /9051.2 /9071.6 /90
S. Tzimas934309 min30.9 /9020.6 /9072 /9051.5 /9061.7 /9020.6 /90
H. Howell460238 min10.4 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
0.95/1
0.63/1
J. van Hecke n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 868.8
1.36/1
0.53/0
D. Welbeck n 870.5
2.17/5
1.66/3
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. van Hecke n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 868.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
D. Welbeck n 870.5
0.31/1
0.21/0
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Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Lammens32902880 min782.4 /90411.3 /9000 /90
A. Bayındır690540 min132.2 /90111.8 /9000 /90
Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 890
37/6
A. Bayındır n 890
25/2

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Shaw37853149 min722.1 /90431.2 /9090.3 /901634.7 /90491.4 /9090.3 /90
Diogo Dalot34792697 min531.8 /90280.9 /9090.3 /901364.5 /90260.9 /9050.2 /90
Leny Yoro29621806 min331.6 /90311.5 /90110.5 /90854.2 /90170.8 /9010 /90
H. Maguire19811547 min211.2 /90120.7 /90100.6 /90935.4 /90130.8 /9030.2 /90
Lisandro Martínez16761210 min191.4 /90120.9 /90131 /90483.6 /90100.7 /9000 /90
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Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Shaw n 887.9
1.77/4
1.48/2
J. van Hecke
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.84/2
0.43/0
D. Gómez
Diogo Dalot n 873.6
0.94/2
0.52/1
—
Matheus Cunha n 886.3
1.67/4
1.65/3
—
Casemiro n 884.1
1.67/3
1.56/3
—
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Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Shaw n 887.9
2.47/5
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
1.16/3
Diogo Dalot n 873.6
2.36/5
Matheus Cunha n 886.3
1.27/2
Casemiro n 884.1
3.37/5
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Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Matheus Cunha34762593 min100.3 /9020.1 /90612.1 /90351.2 /90371.3 /90471.6 /90
B. Mbeumo32802547 min100.4 /9030.1 /90582 /90311.1 /90461.6 /90170.6 /90
Benjamin Šeško30571717 min120.6 /9010.1 /90552.9 /90371.9 /9090.5 /90100.5 /90
M. Mount1757965 min30.3 /9000 /90131.2 /9050.5 /90131.2 /9050.5 /90
J. Zirkzee1247560 min20.3 /9010.2 /90142.3 /9061 /9091.4 /9020.3 /90
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Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Shaw n 887.9
0.42/1
0.11/0
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
1.46/3
0.63/1
Diogo Dalot n 873.6
0.95/1
0.21/0
Matheus Cunha n 886.3
1.78/4
1.28/1
Casemiro n 884.1
1.26/2
0.85/1
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Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 17 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Shaw n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
Bruno Fernandes n 889.9
0.11/0
0.85/1
Diogo Dalot n 873.6
00/0
00/0
Matheus Cunha n 886.3
0.54/0
00/0
Casemiro n 884.1
0.54/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrightonManchester United
52%Possession48%
0.79Expected goals (xG)1.66
13Shots11
2Shots on target7
6Shots off target3
5Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box7
0Corners3
1Offsides0
11Fouls8
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
484Passes450
86%Pass accuracy83%

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000000006.2
M. Wieffer9000000206.5
J. van Hecke9000000107
L. Dunk9000000206.9
F. Kadıoğlu9000100106
P. Groß9000110006.2
J. Hinshelwood7400001106.2
J. Milner5900000106.2
D. Gómez5900300106.5
D. Welbeck5900000006
M. De Cuyper4500103106.6
Y. Minteh sub4500001306.3
S. March sub3100110206.9
C. Baleba sub3100002207.2
C. Kostoulas sub3100102007.2
G. Rutter sub1600000006.5

Manchester United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Lammens9000000006.9
H. Maguire9000001107.2
Lisandro Martínez9000000107.2
K. Mainoo90001012Y7.2
A. Diallo9001221107.5
Bruno Fernandes9011114208.3
L. Shaw8200100206.9
N. Mazraoui7400001107
M. Mount7400001407.5
B. Mbeumo7410111006.6
P. Dorgu6211332108.3
S. Lacey sub2800100006.6
Leny Yoro sub1600000106.9
T. Fletcher sub1600000006.7
J. Zirkzee sub1600000006.5
T. Malacia sub800000206.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brighton v Manchester United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrightonDWLWL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Manchester UnitedWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brighton 4 · 0 draws · Manchester United 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-11 Manchester United 1–2 Brighton
  • 2025-10-25 Manchester United 4–2 Brighton
  • 2025-01-19 Manchester United 1–3 Brighton
  • 2024-08-24 Brighton 2–1 Manchester United
  • 2024-05-19 Brighton 0–2 Manchester United
  • 2023-09-16 Manchester United 1–3 Brighton
League standing · 2025/26
Brighton#8 pos53 pts38 pl+6 GD
Manchester United#3 pos71 pts38 pl+19 GD
Goals per game
Brighton scored1.37
Manchester United scored1.82
Brighton conceded1.21
Manchester United conceded1.32

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brighton 0.70 xG from 13 shots, Manchester United 2.33 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Patrick Dorgu 51' · 0.33 xGKobbie Mainoo 53' · 0.12 xGDiego Gómez 39' · 0.09 xGAmad Diallo Traore 59' · 0.09 xGPascal Groß 86' · 0.09 xGGeorginio Rutter 94' · 0.09 xGPatrick Dorgu 55' · 0.08 xGPascal Groß 63' · 0.07 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 78' · 0.06 xGDiego Gómez 57' · 0.06 xGSolly March 86' · 0.06 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 95' · 0.05 xGAmad Diallo Traore 52' · 0.05 xGLuke Shaw 34' · 0.03 xGDiego Gómez 8' · 0.03 xGCarlos Baleba 59' · 0.03 xGFerdi Kadioglu 12' · 0.03 xGMaxim De Cuyper 19' · 0.02 xGShea Lacey 77' · 0.02 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 69' · 0.02 xGKobbie Mainoo 91' · 0.02 xGBryan Mbeumo 43' · 0.92 xG · goalPatrick Dorgu 32' · 0.39 xG · goalBruno Fernandes 47' · 0.28 xG · goal
Brighton (attacking right)Manchester United (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brighton1300.70
Manchester United1132.33

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Manchester United led on xG, 1.35 to 0.17. At full time, Manchester United led on xG, 2.33 to 0.70. The widest gap was 2.02 xG to Manchester United, in the 55th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.31.200′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester United 32 minGoal - Manchester United 43 minGoal - Manchester United 47 min
Brighton 0.70 xGManchester United 2.33 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brighton v Manchester United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton v Manchester United was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Manchester United?
In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 4, Manchester United won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton and Manchester United?
Recent form — Brighton 2W 1D 2L; Manchester United 4W 1D 0L.

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