BrightonNottingham Forest

Brighton v Nottingham Forest result

Full-time · Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest

Premier League · · American Express Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brighton · Nottingham Forest · Head-to-head

Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest — Brighton won this Premier League match.

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Brighton: 1.20 to 0.84 in expected goals, from 14 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Brighton beat Nottingham Forest 2–1 at American Express Stadium in the Premier League on Sunday 1 March.

The goals

Brighton led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: D. Gómez (6’, assisted by Pascal Groß) and Daniel Welbeck (15’, assisted by Jack Hinshelwood); Nottingham Forest: Morgan Gibbs-White (13’, assisted by Igor Jesus).

Discipline

A. Madley showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Brighton: Mats Wieffer (55’), K. Mitoma (84’) and Lewis Dunk (90+3’); Nottingham Forest: Elliot Anderson (30’).

What it changes

Brighton move up from 12th to 10th (28 league matches played). Brighton have scored 49 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Brighton have conceded 42 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest stay 17th after this result (28 league matches played). Nottingham Forest have scored 44 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Nottingham Forest have conceded 46 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nottingham Forest have lost their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Gómez (Brighton) 8.1, Daniel Welbeck (Brighton) 7.1 and Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) 7.0 led the match.

Next up

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Nottingham Forest next host Manchester City on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest · Premier League
  • Venue: American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex
  • Referee: A. Madley
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 3 · draws 2 · Nottingham Forest 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brighton 1W 1D 3L · Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L

Brighton 2–1 Nottingham Forest (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 0.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 7
Corners
against 5.25 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 5.25
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 3.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 0.88
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.53 yellows
Referee · A. Madley
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 19 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 February 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 February 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBrighton for / againstLineNottingham Forest for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
12.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
17.63 for · 10.13 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.25 for · 3.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 10.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: A. Madley — 3.53 yellow cards a game, 0.26 red cards, 23 fouls over 19 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen27902430 min762.8 /90341.3 /9010 /90
Jason Steele590450 min224.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.57/4
Jason Steele n 890
3.86/5

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Kadıoğlu31812526 min531.9 /90190.7 /9070.2 /901154.1 /90190.7 /9060.2 /90
J. van Hecke28862408 min341.3 /90291.1 /90220.8 /901515.6 /90210.8 /9080.3 /90
L. Dunk27882385 min291.1 /90271 /90250.9 /901023.8 /90140.5 /9090.3 /90
M. De Cuyper20601199 min171.3 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90453.4 /90171.3 /9020.2 /90
M. Wieffer17741265 min493.5 /90181.3 /9040.3 /901017.2 /90221.6 /9050.4 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kadıoğlu n 889.9
0.54/0
14/3
N. Milenković
D. Gómez n 867.4
2.78/5
0.21/0
C. Hudson-Odoi
J. van Hecke n 884.1
1.15/2
1.57/4
N. Williams
B. Verbruggen n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
L. Dunk n 890
0.65/0
00/0
N. Milenković
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 889.9
1.86/4
D. Gómez n 867.4
3.57/4
J. van Hecke n 884.1
0.75/0
L. Dunk n 890
1.36/3
D. Welbeck n 865.3
14/2
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Welbeck26651690 min100.5 /9010.1 /90331.8 /90181 /90170.9 /90100.5 /90
G. Rutter25681691 min20.1 /9020.1 /90271.4 /90140.7 /90241.3 /90271.4 /90
C. Kostoulas943385 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9030.7 /9051.2 /9071.6 /90
S. Tzimas934309 min30.9 /9020.6 /9072 /9051.5 /9061.7 /9020.6 /90
H. Howell460238 min10.4 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 889.9
0.86/0
0.54/0
D. Gómez n 867.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
J. van Hecke n 884.1
0.53/1
0.11/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Dunk n 890
0.95/2
0.32/0
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 889.9
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 867.4
0.21/0
00/0
J. van Hecke n 884.1
00/0
0.11/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
L. Dunk n 890
00/0
00/0
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Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest Goalkeeper

Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Sels24882115 min612.6 /90331.4 /9000 /90
John989798 min121.4 /90121.4 /9000 /90
S. Ortega590450 min132.6 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Nottingham Forest — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Sels n 884.4
1.94/3
John n 888.5
1.43/1

Nottingham Forest Defensive

Nottingham Forest — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. Milenković36883158 min260.7 /90270.8 /90280.8 /901343.8 /90250.7 /9050.1 /90
N. Williams35842938 min962.9 /90351.1 /90160.5 /902146.6 /90260.8 /9050.2 /90
Murillo25812037 min371.6 /90331.5 /90231 /90853.8 /90241.1 /9040.2 /90
Morato20851698 min402.1 /90150.8 /9090.5 /90894.7 /90120.6 /9050.3 /90
N. Savona19741404 min301.9 /9050.3 /9030.2 /90503.2 /90191.2 /9030.2 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Milenković n 888.5
0.84/2
00/0
L. Dunk
E. Anderson n 877.5
1.37/1
1.35/3
—
N. Williams n 872.8
0.85/0
0.95/1
J. van Hecke
Morgan Gibbs-White n 875.9
1.26/2
1.67/4
—
C. Hudson-Odoi n 860.3
0.73/1
0.94/1
D. Gómez
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Nottingham Forest — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Milenković n 888.5
0.63/2
E. Anderson n 877.5
3.27/5
N. Williams n 872.8
2.85/4
Morgan Gibbs-White n 875.9
0.43/0
C. Hudson-Odoi n 860.3
0.73/1
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Nottingham Forest Attacking

Nottingham Forest — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Igor Jesus32621972 min100.5 /9020.1 /90391.8 /90211 /9080.4 /9080.4 /90
D. Bakwa1050495 min00 /9010.2 /9081.5 /9030.5 /9091.6 /9050.9 /90
C. Wood962559 min30.5 /9000 /90172.7 /9071.1 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
A. Kalimuendo846369 min20.5 /9000 /9061.5 /9030.7 /9020.5 /9030.7 /90
T. Awoniyi632189 min10.5 /9000 /9062.9 /9041.9 /9021 /9021 /90
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Nottingham Forest — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Milenković n 888.5
0.53/1
00/0
E. Anderson n 877.5
1.55/3
0.31/1
N. Williams n 872.8
0.94/1
0.52/1
Morgan Gibbs-White n 875.9
2.56/5
1.56/2
C. Hudson-Odoi n 860.3
2.15/3
1.15/1
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Nottingham Forest — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nottingham Forest before kick-off, to 26 February 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Milenković n 888.5
00/0
00/0
E. Anderson n 877.5
00/0
0.11/0
N. Williams n 872.8
00/0
00/0
Morgan Gibbs-White n 875.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
C. Hudson-Odoi n 860.3
0.21/0
00/0
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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrightonNottingham Forest
54%Possession46%
1.32Expected goals (xG)0.79
14Shots13
7Shots on target4
5Shots off target3
2Blocked shots6
7Shots inside the box7
4Corners4
0Offsides4
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves5
522Passes444
87%Pass accuracy86%

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000000006.6
J. van Hecke9000001207.6
L. Dunk90000001Y7.2
F. Kadıoğlu9000200207.3
P. Groß9001113207.9
J. Hinshelwood9001211206.3
D. Welbeck9010211207.2
K. Mitoma89003230Y6.9
J. Milner8600001106.7
D. Gómez8610112307.9
M. Wieffer71001112Y6.3
J. Veltman sub1900000007
S. March sub1100000006.6
C. Baleba sub1100000006.6
M. De Cuyper sub10000000–

Nottingham Forest Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Sels9000000006.9
N. Milenković9000000206.7
Murillo9000000206.5
I. Sangaré9000110106.6
E. Anderson90001011Y6.9
Morgan Gibbs-White9010323008
Igor Jesus8301002006.3
O. Aina8200001006.2
C. Hudson-Odoi7400002006.9
N. Williams5600000205.9
O. Hutchinson5600110006.2
Jair sub3400000106.9
L. Netz sub3400000006.9
D. Bakwa sub1600000006.3
T. Awoniyi sub1400100006.5
D. Ndoye sub800001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brighton v Nottingham Forest — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrightonDLLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Nottingham ForestLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brighton 3 · 2 draws · Nottingham Forest 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-11-30 Nottingham Forest 0–2 Brighton
  • 2025-03-29 Brighton 0–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2025-02-01 Nottingham Forest 7–0 Brighton
  • 2024-09-22 Brighton 2–2 Nottingham Forest
  • 2024-03-10 Brighton 1–0 Nottingham Forest
  • 2023-11-25 Nottingham Forest 2–3 Brighton
League standing · 2025/26
Brighton#8 pos53 pts38 pl+6 GD
Nottingham Forest#16 pos44 pts38 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Brighton scored1.37
Nottingham Forest scored1.26
Brighton conceded1.21
Nottingham Forest conceded1.34

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brighton 1.20 xG from 14 shots, Nottingham Forest 0.84 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kaoru Mitoma 17' · 0.41 xGTaiwo Awoniyi 84' · 0.34 xGJack Hinshelwood 36' · 0.23 xGDanny Welbeck 47' · 0.12 xGJack Hinshelwood 34' · 0.10 xGJair 93' · 0.08 xGIgor Jesus 59' · 0.06 xGJair 93' · 0.06 xGMats Wieffer 24' · 0.05 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 72' · 0.05 xGIgor Jesus 45' · 0.04 xGIbrahim Sangare 59' · 0.04 xGElliot Anderson 64' · 0.04 xGKaoru Mitoma 2' · 0.04 xGDilane Bakwa 93' · 0.03 xGMorgan Gibbs-White 93' · 0.03 xGKaoru Mitoma 48' · 0.03 xGCallum Hudson-Odoi 41' · 0.03 xGDiego Gómez 64' · 0.02 xGFerdi Kadioglu 80' · 0.02 xGOmari Hutchinson 1' · 0.02 xGPascal Groß 52' · 0.02 xGDanny Welbeck 25' · 0.02 xGFerdi Kadioglu 54' · 0.02 xGDanny Welbeck 14' · 0.10 xG · goalDiego Gómez 5' · 0.03 xG · goalMorgan Gibbs-White 12' · 0.02 xG · goal
Brighton (attacking right)Nottingham Forest (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brighton1421.20
Nottingham Forest1310.84

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Brighton led on xG, 0.97 to 0.11. At full time, Brighton led on xG, 1.20 to 0.84. The widest gap was 1.04 xG to Brighton, in the 54th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.20.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brighton 5 minGoal - Nottingham Forest 12 minGoal - Brighton 14 min
Brighton 1.20 xGNottingham Forest 0.84 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Nottingham Forest?
In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 3, Nottingham Forest won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton and Nottingham Forest?
Recent form — Brighton 1W 1D 3L; Nottingham Forest 1W 1D 3L.

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