BurnleyManchester City

Burnley v Manchester City result

Full-time · Burnley 0–1 Manchester City

Premier League · · Turf Moor

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Burnley · Manchester City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Burnley 0–1 Manchester City — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 84.2% of 133 landed (95% range 77.1–89.4%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester City: 3.52 to 0.97 in expected goals, from 28 shots to 9, ahead on xG from the third minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester City won 1–0 at Turf Moor in the Premier League on Wednesday 22 April. Burnley are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions. Manchester City have won their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Manchester City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Erling Haaland (5’, assisted by Jérémy Doku).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erling Haaland’s goal on 5 minutes.

Discipline

A. Madley showed no yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 18 matches refereed (this competition).

What it changes

Burnley stay 19th after this result (34 league matches played).

Manchester City move up from second to first (33 league matches played).

Manchester City have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Quilindschy Hartman (Burnley) 9.0, Bernardo Silva (Manchester City) 7.7 and Jérémy Doku (Manchester City) 5.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Burnley, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Manchester City to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 84.2% of the time in the last 90 days (112 of 133).

Next up

Burnley next host Blackburn on 21 November 2026.

Manchester City next host Fulham on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Burnley: Burnley v Blackburn, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Manchester City: Manchester City v Fulham, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Burnley 0–1 Manchester City · Premier League
  • Venue: Turf Moor · Burnley
  • Referee: A. Madley
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Burnley 0 · draws 0 · Manchester City 6 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Burnley 0W 1D 4L · Manchester City 4W 0D 1L

Burnley 0–1 Manchester City (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2
Goals
against 2.25 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 8.75
Corners
against 5.5 / 3.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 6
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 2.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · A. Madley
22.89 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 18 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBurnley for / againstLineManchester City for / against
Goals scored
0.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
8.75 for · 3.13 against n 8
Shots
11.13 for · 14.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.13 for · 10 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.63 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: A. Madley — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.28 red cards, 22.89 fouls over 18 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Burnley

Burnley Goalkeeper

Burnley — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Dúbravka33902970 min1143.5 /90672 /9000 /90
M. Weiß490360 min92.3 /9061.5 /9000 /90
Burnley — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Dúbravka n 890
1.95/3

Burnley Defensive

Burnley — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Estève32862765 min381.2 /90371.2 /90260.8 /901304.2 /90130.4 /9010 /90
K. Walker30882639 min441.5 /90381.3 /90100.3 /901153.9 /90281 /9090.3 /90
Q. Hartman21881855 min452.2 /90311.5 /9040.2 /90623 /90110.5 /9010 /90
H. Ekdal18851538 min241.4 /90100.6 /90110.6 /90824.8 /9080.5 /9010.1 /90
B. Humphreys17861455 min271.7 /9080.5 /90171.1 /90674.1 /90130.8 /9050.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Burnley — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
M. Estève n 888
0.43/0
0.42/1
Matheus Nunes
L. Ugochukwu n 870.8
15/1
0.52/1
—
J. Anthony n 888.4
0.53/1
0.85/1
N. O'Reilly
K. Walker n 884
0.42/1
0.73/2
Matheus Nunes
See more players · Pro
Burnley — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Estève n 888
1.35/3
L. Ugochukwu n 870.8
1.46/2
J. Anthony n 888.4
1.15/4
K. Walker n 884
1.34/3
J. Laurent n 864.4
1.96/3
See more players · Pro

Burnley Attacking

Burnley — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Foster23611396 min20.1 /9030.2 /90120.8 /9060.4 /90110.7 /90100.6 /90
J. Bruun Larsen23481101 min00 /9030.2 /90121 /9050.4 /90161.3 /90131.1 /90
L. Tchaouna23471084 min20.2 /9000 /90171.4 /9080.7 /9060.5 /9060.5 /90
Z. Flemming22691522 min90.5 /9000 /90332 /90211.2 /9080.5 /9050.3 /90
Marcus Edwards18661190 min10.1 /9030.2 /90131 /9060.5 /90211.6 /90181.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Burnley — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Estève n 888
0.32/0
00/0
L. Ugochukwu n 870.8
0.53/0
0.21/0
J. Anthony n 888.4
27/5
0.96/1
K. Walker n 884
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
Burnley — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Burnley before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Dúbravka n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Estève n 888
00/0
00/0
L. Ugochukwu n 870.8
00/0
0.21/0
J. Anthony n 888.4
0.32/0
00/0
K. Walker n 884
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma38903420 min892.3 /90371 /9020.1 /90
J. Trafford13901170 min312.4 /9090.7 /9010.1 /90
A. Ramsdale19090 min55 /9033 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
2.86/4
J. Trafford n 890
2.46/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
N. O'Reilly48753608 min1012.5 /90290.7 /90120.3 /902195.5 /90581.4 /9070.2 /90
Matheus Nunes43823507 min721.8 /90421.1 /9090.2 /901894.9 /90300.8 /9060.2 /90
Rúben Dias32832646 min220.7 /90260.9 /90200.7 /901063.6 /90240.8 /9040.1 /90
A. Khusanov30772317 min522 /90512 /90100.4 /90953.7 /90230.9 /9060.2 /90
J. Gvardiol24781870 min281.3 /90251.2 /90120.6 /90864.1 /90241.2 /9020.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Haaland n 883.1
0.54/0
0.54/0
—
N. O'Reilly n 884.3
1.77/4
0.42/1
J. Anthony
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
1.57/2
0.32/0
—
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
0.96/1
1.25/4
K. Walker
T. Reijnders n 844.3
1.54/2
14/0
—
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 883.1
0.31/1
N. O'Reilly n 884.3
2.57/5
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
1.85/4
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
1.35/4
T. Reijnders n 844.3
1.34/1
See more players · Pro

Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland48803820 min360.8 /9080.2 /901393.3 /90821.9 /90350.8 /90170.4 /90
Sávio24561342 min40.3 /9030.2 /90231.5 /90151 /90241.6 /90443 /90
Omar Marmoush21541126 min40.3 /9030.2 /90272.2 /90131 /90191.5 /90131 /90
R. McAidoo279158 min10.6 /9000 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9031.7 /9052.8 /90
A. Elanga14545 min12 /9000 /9024 /9012 /9000 /9024 /90
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 883.1
2.87/5
1.55/2
N. O'Reilly n 884.3
1.16/2
1.16/2
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
16/1
0.74/1
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
0.42/1
0.32/0
T. Reijnders n 844.3
2.53/2
13/1
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 883.1
0.73/1
00/0
N. O'Reilly n 884.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
Bernardo Silva n 875.8
0.11/0
00/0
Matheus Nunes n 885.9
00/0
0.43/0
T. Reijnders n 844.3
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BurnleyManchester City
35%Possession65%
0.63Expected goals (xG)3.36
9Shots28
1Shots on target9
4Shots off target9
4Blocked shots10
6Shots inside the box19
3Corners11
4Offsides1
10Fouls12
8Saves1
356Passes689
79%Pass accuracy90%

Burnley Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Dúbravka9000000009.3
K. Walker9000001206.9
H. Ekdal9000000106.9
M. Estève9000000107.2
Q. Hartman90001001007.2
J. Ward-Prowse9000000507.3
J. Laurent8700001206.2
J. Anthony8700111206.7
B. Humphreys8200001006.6
Z. Flemming8200200006.6
L. Tchaouna7200002006.3
L. Foster sub1800100106.6
Florentino sub800000006.6
A. Broja sub800000006.6
M. Trésor sub800000006.3
Marcus Edwards sub800000006.3

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Donnarumma9000000007.2
Matheus Nunes9000001107.2
A. Khusanov9000000107.6
M. Guéhi9000001007.2
Bernardo Silva9000007307.2
N. O'Reilly9000430007
R. Cherki9000428007.6
J. Doku9001102106.6
E. Haaland9010420007.7
R. Aït-Nouri6500212106.9
A. Semenyo6500101106.5
Nico González sub2500101206.9
Sávio sub2500110106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Burnley v Manchester City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BurnleyLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Manchester CityLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Burnley 0 · 0 draws · Manchester City 6 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2025-09-27 Manchester City 5–1 Burnley
  • 2024-01-31 Manchester City 3–1 Burnley
  • 2023-08-11 Burnley 0–3 Manchester City
  • 2023-03-18 Manchester City 6–0 Burnley
  • 2022-04-02 Burnley 0–2 Manchester City
  • 2021-10-16 Manchester City 2–0 Burnley
League standing · 2025/26
Burnley#19 pos22 pts38 pl-37 GD
Manchester City#2 pos78 pts38 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Burnley scored1
Manchester City scored2.03
Burnley conceded1.97
Manchester City conceded0.92

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Burnley 0.97 xG from 9 shots, Manchester City 3.52 from 28. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Nico O'Reilly 89' · 0.60 xGMathis Cherki 3' · 0.47 xGZian Flemming 15' · 0.28 xGQuilindschy Hartman 6' · 0.24 xGErling Haaland 7' · 0.19 xGErling Haaland 54' · 0.16 xGErling Haaland 79' · 0.14 xGJaidon Anthony 2' · 0.14 xGAntoine Semenyo 48' · 0.14 xGBernardo Silva 1' · 0.14 xGErling Haaland 88' · 0.13 xGMathis Cherki 89' · 0.12 xGZian Flemming 28' · 0.11 xGMathis Cherki 91' · 0.10 xGAntoine Semenyo 46' · 0.10 xGRayan Ait Nouri 34' · 0.10 xGLyle Foster 75' · 0.10 xGMathis Cherki 18' · 0.10 xGSávio 69' · 0.09 xGNico O'Reilly 27' · 0.08 xGHjalmar Ekdal 45' · 0.08 xGMathis Cherki 83' · 0.07 xGNico O'Reilly 3' · 0.07 xGBernardo Silva 88' · 0.07 xGBernardo Silva 19' · 0.07 xGMathis Cherki 8' · 0.05 xGMathis Cherki 24' · 0.04 xGJéremy Doku 91' · 0.04 xGJéremy Doku 58' · 0.04 xGNico González 85' · 0.03 xGMathis Cherki 70' · 0.03 xGRayan Ait Nouri 42' · 0.02 xGJames Ward-Prowse 60' · 0.02 xGNico O'Reilly 24' · 0.02 xGLoum Tchaouna 50' · 0.01 xGQuilindschy Hartman 60' · 0.01 xGErling Haaland 4' · 0.33 xG · goal
Burnley (attacking right)Manchester City (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Burnley900.97
Manchester City2813.52

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Manchester City led on xG, 1.67 to 0.84. At full time, Manchester City led on xG, 3.52 to 0.97. The widest gap was 2.55 xG to Manchester City, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.51.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester City 4 min
Burnley 0.97 xGManchester City 3.52 xGdots = goals · 37 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Burnley v Manchester City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Burnley v Manchester City was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Manchester City?
In their last 6 meetings, Burnley won 0, Manchester City won 6 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Burnley and Manchester City?
Recent form — Burnley 0W 1D 4L; Manchester City 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 210 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+