Chelsea v Bournemouth result

Full-time · Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth

Premier League · Sat, 10 Oct 2026 15:00 BST · Stamford Bridge

Updated 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Bournemouth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth — Chelsea won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.7% of 5142 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,910 of 2,556 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Chelsea 1.38, Bournemouth 1.68 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5–1 at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October. It is Chelsea’s first win over Bournemouth since 14 September 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Chelsea led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Chelsea: Jordan Henderson (2’, assisted by Cole Palmer; 70’), Morgan Rogers (3’, assisted by Jordan Henderson) and João Pedro (46’, assisted by Pedro Neto; 67’, assisted by Pep Chavarría); Bournemouth: Evanilson (51’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jordan Henderson’s goal on 2 minutes.

Discipline

Samuel Barrott, England showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Bournemouth: Marcus Tavernier (10’), Adrien Truffert (42’), Tyler Adams (62’) and Ryan Christie (69’).

What it changes

Chelsea move up from seventh to fifth (six league matches played). Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Chelsea have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth move down from 16th to 17th (six league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Bournemouth have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Chelsea’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 6, across 10 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jordan Henderson (Chelsea) 12.7, João Pedro (Chelsea) 8.6 and Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) 8.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Chelsea are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Bournemouth, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Chelsea or Bournemouth (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.7% of the time in the last 90 days (3993 of 5142).

Next up

Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.

Bournemouth next travel to Ipswich on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Bournemouth: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth · Premier League
Venue: Stamford Bridge · London
Referee: Samuel Barrott, England
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 2 · draws 4 · Bournemouth 0 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Chelsea 2W 1D 2L · Bournemouth 2W 2D 1L

Chelsea 5–1 Bournemouth (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.63

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.88 / 4.63

Corners

against 5 / 4.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 5.13

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2 / 2.5

Cards

against 2.5 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Chelsea for / against	Line	Bournemouth for / against
Goals scored	2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.25 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.5 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.13 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.38 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Samuel Barrott, England.

Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Martínez	4	90360 min	184.5 /90	102.5 /90
M. Penders	2	90180 min	42 /90	00 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 4	90	4.5 4/4
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	3.1 6/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Pep Chavarría	7	55388 min	81.9 /90	71.6 /90	00 /90	143.2 /90	40.9 /90	00 /90
M. Lacroix	6	90540 min	111.8 /90	50.8 /90	50.8 /90	315.2 /90	30.5 /90	10.2 /90
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	6	67401 min	132.9 /90	30.7 /90	20.4 /90	204.5 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
M. Gusto	6	64386 min	71.6 /90	71.6 /90	00 /90	153.5 /90	30.7 /90	00 /90
Levi Colwill	5	84418 min	40.9 /90	40.9 /90	20.4 /90	163.4 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Palmer n 8	83.5	0.7 4/1	1.6 7/4	—
M. Rogers n 7	78.9	1.3 5/3	1.1 4/2	—
Pep Chavarría n 7	55.4	0.9 3/1	0.7 3/0	—
M. Lacroix n 6	90	0.5 3/0	0.5 3/0	Adrien Truffert
R. James n 8	65.6	1 4/2	0.7 4/0	—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.5	1.1 4/3
M. Rogers n 7	78.9	1 4/2
Pep Chavarría n 7	55.4	1.9 4/2
M. Lacroix n 6	90	1.8 6/2
R. James n 8	65.6	0.9 4/1
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Palmer	7	83578 min	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	233.6 /90	101.6 /90	182.8 /90	132 /90
M. Rogers	7	79552 min	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	101.6 /90	50.8 /90	172.8 /90	132.1 /90
João Pedro	5	75377 min	30.7 /90	30.7 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	71.7 /90	71.7 /90
D. Welbeck	3	78234 min	31.2 /90	00 /90	62.3 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
Estêvão	2	63125 min	00 /90	00 /90	21.4 /90	00 /90	64.3 /90	53.6 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.5	3.5 7/7	1.6 6/5
M. Rogers n 7	78.9	1.6 6/3	0.8 4/1
Pep Chavarría n 7	55.4	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
M. Lacroix n 6	90	0.5 3/0	0 0/0
R. James n 8	65.6	1.4 6/1	1 5/1
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.5	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0
M. Rogers n 7	78.9	0.5 3/0	0.7 2/1
Pep Chavarría n 7	55.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Lacroix n 6	90	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
R. James n 8	65.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Đ. Petrović	6	90540 min	152.5 /90	81.3 /90	00 /90
M. Di Gregorio	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	2.6 6/5

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Hill	7	90630 min	111.6 /90	91.3 /90	50.7 /90	375.3 /90	71 /90	10.1 /90
António Silva	7	89622 min	111.6 /90	91.3 /90	60.9 /90	375.4 /90	50.7 /90	30.4 /90
Adrien Truffert	6	90540 min	223.7 /90	81.3 /90	30.5 /90	345.7 /90	122 /90	20.3 /90
A. Smith	6	83498 min	61.1 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90	224 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90
B. Diakité	2	59117 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	32.3 /90	21.5 /90	10.8 /90
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Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Hill n 8	90	1.3 7/2	0.5 3/1	—
António Silva n 7	88.9	0.7 5/0	0.1 1/0	—
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	1.8 7/3	0.5 3/1	M. Lacroix
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Alex Scott n 8	89.4	1.1 4/2	3.3 7/6	—
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Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Hill n 8	90	1.4 6/2
António Silva n 7	88.9	1.6 5/4
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	4.1 8/8
Alex Scott n 8	89.4	2 6/6
M. Tavernier n 8	87.1	1.9 8/4
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Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Evanilson	6	83496 min	00 /90	30.5 /90	71.3 /90	30.5 /90	61.1 /90	20.4 /90
Á. Rodríguez	2	4997 min	00 /90	00 /90	65.6 /90	00 /90	32.8 /90	21.9 /90
B. Doak	2	4997 min	00 /90	10.9 /90	54.6 /90	00 /90	43.7 /90	32.8 /90
D. Jebbison	2	1530 min	00 /90	00 /90	13 /90	13 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Alex Scott	6	89536 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90	132.2 /90	50.8 /90
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Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Hill n 8	90	0.5 1/1	0 0/0
António Silva n 7	88.9	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alex Scott n 8	89.4	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
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Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Hill n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
António Silva n 7	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Adrien Truffert n 8	90	0 0/0	0.4 3/0
Đ. Petrović n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alex Scott n 8	89.4	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Chelsea		Bournemouth
50%	Possession	50%
1.10	Expected goals (xG)	1.38
10	Shots	9
6	Shots on target	4
2	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	6
1	Corners	7
1	Offsides	0
7	Fouls	15
0	Yellow cards	4
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	1
488	Passes	472
84%	Pass accuracy	84%

Chelsea Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
E. Martínez	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	6.7
M. Lacroix	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
Levi Colwill	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	7.2
J. Henderson	90	2	1	3	2	2	0	9.5
Pep Chavarría	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	7.3
C. Palmer	88	0	1	0	0	2	2	6.7
M. Rogers	84	1	0	1	1	0	3	8.2
Pedro Neto	83	0	1	1	1	1	2	6.9
M. Caicedo	72	0	0	1	0	0	4	8
João Pedro	72	2	0	2	2	0	0	8.3
M. Palestra sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
R. Lavia sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	1	6.9
D. Welbeck sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Estêvão sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
M. Gusto sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Bournemouth Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Đ. Petrović	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	4.7
J. Hill	90	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.3
António Silva	90	0	1	1	0	2	0	5.3
T. Adams	90	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.9
Rayan	90	0	2	1	0	1	0	6.7
Evanilson	90	1	3	1	0	1	0	7.6
Adrien Truffert	84	0	0	0	2	4	Y	6.2
R. Christie	73	0	1	1	1	1	Y	7.2
A. Smith	72	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.3
M. Tavernier	72	0	0	0	1	1	Y	5.7
D. Brooks	45	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
B. Doak sub	45	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.6
Á. Rodríguez sub	18	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Juanlu Sánchez sub	18	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
L. Cook sub	17	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Soler sub	12	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ChelseaWLWDL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.6 scored / 2.6 conceded per game

BournemouthDWDWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chelsea 2 · 4 draws · Bournemouth 0 · 2 goals/game

2025-12-30 Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth
2025-12-06 Bournemouth 0–0 Chelsea
2025-01-14 Chelsea 2–2 Bournemouth
2024-09-14 Bournemouth 0–1 Chelsea
2024-05-19 Chelsea 2–1 Bournemouth
2023-09-17 Bournemouth 0–0 Chelsea

League standing · 2026/27

Chelsea#4 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD

Bournemouth#8 pos12 pts9 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Chelsea scored2.11

Bournemouth scored1.56

Chelsea conceded1.67

Bournemouth conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Chelsea 1.38 xG from 10 shots, Bournemouth 1.68 from 9. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Chelsea (attacking right)Bournemouth (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Chelsea	10	5	1.38
Bournemouth	9	1	1.68

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Chelsea led on xG, 0.81 to 0.35. At full time, xG was level: Chelsea 1.38, Bournemouth 1.68. The widest gap was 0.80 xG to Bournemouth, in the 60th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Chelsea 1.38 xGBournemouth 1.68 xGdots = goals · 19 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Chelsea v Bournemouth?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Bournemouth was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Bournemouth?: In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 2, Bournemouth won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Bournemouth?: Recent form — Chelsea 2W 1D 2L; Bournemouth 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 24 Oct 2026, 04:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.