This Matchweek

Crystal PalaceIpswich

Crystal Palace v Ipswich result

Full-time · Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich

Premier League · · Selhurst Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich — Ipswich won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Ipswich: 2.10 to 0.94 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 22nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Crystal Palace have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Ipswich won 3–2 at Selhurst Park in the Premier League on Saturday 12 September.

The goals

Ipswich led 2–1 at half-time. The goals — Crystal Palace: Anan Khalaili (14’, assisted by Daichi Kamada) and Jørgen Strand Larsen (75’, assisted by Daichi Kamada); Ipswich: Emersonn (23’, assisted by Leif Davis), Leif Davis (45’, assisted by Emersonn) and Zian Flemming (90’). A. Disasi (34’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zian Flemming’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

Chris Kavanagh, England showed four yellow cards and one red — against 5.3 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Crystal Palace: Christopher Richards (90+4’); Ipswich: Jack Clarke (43’), A. Fatawu (58’) and Saša Lukić (70’).

What it changes

Crystal Palace move down from 13th to 16th (four league matches played). Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Ipswich move up from 13th to sixth (four league matches played). Ipswich have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Ipswich have conceded 18 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Quinten Timber (Crystal Palace) 8.2, Emersonn (Ipswich) 7.5 and Leif Davis (Ipswich) 7.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Crystal Palace are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Ipswich, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.4% of the time in the last 90 days (366 of 543).

Next up

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich · Premier League
  • Venue: Selhurst Park · London
  • Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Crystal Palace 3 · draws 0 · Ipswich 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Crystal Palace 3W 0D 2L · Ipswich 3W 0D 2L

Crystal Palace 2–3 Ipswich (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 26 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
2.38 / 4.88
Corners
against 5.75 / 3.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 5.75
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.33 yellows
Referee · Chris Kavanagh, England
26.83 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCrystal Palace for / againstLineIpswich for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.75our book
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
2.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
9.88 for · 16.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 15.63 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.75 for · 6 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 9.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Chris Kavanagh, England — 5.33 yellow cards a game, 0.67 red cards, 26.83 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Henderson390270 min124 /9062 /9000 /90
W. Benítez19090 min44 /9000 /9000 /90
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 890
3.15/5
W. Benítez n 690
1.83/2

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Richards390270 min51.7 /9041.3 /9031 /9093 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Canvot390270 min72.3 /9031 /9031 /90134.3 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Tomiyasu361182 min31.5 /9052.5 /9010.5 /9073.5 /9021 /9000 /90
A. Disasi360179 min52.5 /9052.5 /9042 /90105 /9010.5 /9000 /90
B. Chilwell253106 min65.1 /9010.8 /9000 /9075.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Wharton n 866
0.32/0
1.98/3
—
D. Kamada n 867.5
0.83/1
1.56/2
—
Yeremy Pino n 861.9
1.15/1
1.54/3
—
J. Strand Larsen n 855.1
1.64/2
1.25/1
—
C. Richards n 882.4
0.54/0
0.11/0
Leif Davis
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Wharton n 866
27/3
D. Kamada n 867.5
37/4
Yeremy Pino n 861.9
27/3
J. Strand Larsen n 855.1
0.21/0
C. Richards n 882.4
1.97/5
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Strand Larsen452208 min20.9 /9010.4 /9052.2 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
E. Nketiah356168 min00 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9021.1 /9042.1 /9021.1 /90
D. McNeil334102 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
E. Guessand22754 min00 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Mateta16363 min00 /9000 /9022.9 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Wharton n 866
0.72/1
0.52/1
D. Kamada n 867.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Yeremy Pino n 861.9
1.56/2
0.41/1
J. Strand Larsen n 855.1
27/2
0.83/1
C. Richards n 882.4
0.74/1
0.43/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Wharton n 866
0.21/0
00/0
D. Kamada n 867.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
Yeremy Pino n 861.9
00/0
0.21/0
J. Strand Larsen n 855.1
0.41/1
0.21/0
D. Henderson n 890
00/0
00/0
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Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Scherpen390270 min134.3 /9082.7 /9000 /90
Christian Walton19090 min77 /9011 /9000 /90
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Scherpen n 390
4.33/2
Christian Walton n 890
3.97/5

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Dara O'Shea490360 min51.3 /9030.8 /9051.3 /90194.8 /9030.8 /9000 /90
Leif Davis474297 min20.6 /9020.6 /9030.9 /9051.5 /9010.3 /9000 /90
I. Diop390270 min31 /9041.3 /9051.7 /9062 /9031 /9000 /90
Jacob Greaves390270 min51.7 /9000 /9041.3 /90155 /9020.7 /9010.3 /90
Darnell Furlong254107 min00 /9010.8 /9021.7 /9021.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.84/1
1.16/3
—
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.83/2
0.85/1
C. Richards
I. Diop n 390
12/1
00/0
—
Jacob Greaves n 890
16/2
15/3
—
K. Scherpen n 390
00/0
0.31/0
—
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
14/3
Leif Davis n 881.5
13/3
Jacob Greaves n 890
2.38/5
I. Diop n 390
12/1
S. Lukić n 384.3
1.83/1
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Emersonn359177 min10.5 /9000 /9031.5 /9021 /9031.5 /9021 /90
Chuba Akpom353159 min10.6 /9010.6 /9042.3 /9031.7 /9010.6 /9010.6 /90
Jack Clarke341124 min10.7 /9010.7 /9032.2 /9021.5 /9042.9 /9021.5 /90
Z. Flemming12424 min00 /9000 /9013.8 /9013.8 /9000 /9013.8 /90
S. Lukić384253 min00 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9031.1 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.64/1
0.32/0
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.63/1
0.42/1
I. Diop n 390
00/0
00/0
K. Scherpen n 390
00/0
00/0
Jacob Greaves n 890
00/0
00/0
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 8 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dara O'Shea n 890
00/0
00/0
Leif Davis n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
I. Diop n 390
00/0
00/0
K. Scherpen n 390
00/0
00/0
Jacob Greaves n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Crystal PalaceIpswich
47%Possession53%
0.62Expected goals (xG)1.67
11Shots12
4Shots on target6
6Shots off target5
1Blocked shots1
9Shots inside the box8
6Corners3
0Offsides1
6Fouls16
1Yellow cards3
1Red cards0
3Saves2
388Passes445
81%Pass accuracy82%

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Richards90000001Y6.2
H. Ahanor9000001206.6
A. Khalaili9010411207.3
Q. Timber9000210807.9
W. Benítez9000000007.7
J. Strand Larsen8410221107.6
D. Kamada8402002107.5
A. Wharton7700101106.6
T. Mitchell7700001006.3
Yeremy Pino3700000006.3
A. Disasi34000000R5.3
T. Tomiyasu sub5300000106.6
B. Chilwell sub1300100006.5
W. Hughes sub1300001106.3
Z. Gozo sub1200000006.2
J. Lerma sub1200000006.3

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Dara O'Shea9000003206.5
J. Enciso9000101006.7
E. Palacios9000000307
Leif Davis9011211007.2
I. Diop9000000106.9
K. Scherpen9000000005.6
Jacob Greaves8800000006.3
S. Lukić77000021Y6.5
Emersonn6311311007.6
Jack Clarke63001111Y6.7
A. Fatawu62000002Y6.3
Jaden Philogene-Bidace sub2800110006.2
D. Maeda sub2700000006.2
Z. Flemming sub2710320007
Florentino sub1300002106.7
A. Ouattara sub800000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Crystal Palace v Ipswich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Crystal PalaceWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
IpswichWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Crystal Palace 3 · 0 draws · Ipswich 0 · 1.67 goals/game
  • 2025-03-08 Crystal Palace 1–0 Ipswich
  • 2024-12-03 Ipswich 0–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2017-08-22 Crystal Palace 2–1 Ipswich
League standing · 2026/27
Crystal Palace#18 pos7 pts9 pl-12 GD
Ipswich#14 pos11 pts9 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Crystal Palace scored1
Ipswich scored1.56
Crystal Palace conceded2.33
Ipswich conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Crystal Palace 0.94 xG from 11 shots, Ipswich 2.10 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Anan Khalaili 78' · 0.40 xGJack Clarke 54' · 0.15 xGQuinten Timber 73' · 0.12 xGZian Flemming 82' · 0.10 xGEmersonn 44' · 0.09 xGBen Chilwell 86' · 0.07 xGJulio Enciso 65' · 0.06 xGEmersonn 50' · 0.06 xGZian Flemming 91' · 0.05 xGQuinten Timber 67' · 0.05 xGAnan Khalaili 70' · 0.05 xGJørgen Strand Larsen 17' · 0.04 xGJørgen Strand Larsen 17' · 0.04 xGAnan Khalaili 11' · 0.04 xGLeif Davis 89' · 0.03 xGJulio Enciso 32' · 0.03 xGAdam Wharton 10' · 0.01 xGJaden Philogene-Bidace 81' · 0.01 xGZian Flemming 89' · 0.64 xG · goalLeif Davis 44' · 0.47 xG · goalEmersonn 22' · 0.39 xG · goalJørgen Strand Larsen 74' · 0.07 xG · goalAnan Khalaili 13' · 0.04 xG · goal
Crystal Palace (attacking right)Ipswich (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Crystal Palace1120.94
Ipswich1232.10

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Ipswich led on xG, 0.98 to 0.17. At full time, Ipswich led on xG, 2.10 to 0.94. The widest gap was 1.16 xG to Ipswich, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.11.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Crystal Palace 13 minGoal - Ipswich 22 minGoal - Ipswich 44 minGoal - Crystal Palace 74 minGoal - Ipswich 89 min
Crystal Palace 0.94 xGIpswich 2.10 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Crystal Palace v Ipswich?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Crystal Palace v Ipswich was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Ipswich?
In their last 3 meetings, Crystal Palace won 3, Ipswich won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Crystal Palace and Ipswich?
Recent form — Crystal Palace 3W 0D 2L; Ipswich 3W 0D 2L.

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