This Matchweek

EvertonCrystal Palace

Everton v Crystal Palace result

Full-time · Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace

Premier League · · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace — Everton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 2.00 at Bet365
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Crystal Palace: 2.23 to 1.45 in expected goals, from 11 shots to 16, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Everton beat Crystal Palace 2–0 at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 22 August.

The goals

Everton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Everton: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (42’, assisted by Harrison Armstrong) and Thierno Barry (53’, assisted by Iliman Ndiaye).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall’s goal on 42 minutes.

Discipline

P. Tierney showed one yellow card — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Crystal Palace: Daichi Kamada (30’).

What it changes

Everton are second (shared) after this result (one league match played). Everton have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Everton have conceded nine goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Crystal Palace are 18th (shared) after this result (one league match played). Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Crystal Palace have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Iliman Ndiaye (Everton) 8.1, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton) 7.6 and Thierno Barry (Everton) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Everton are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Crystal Palace, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Everton next host Coventry on 6 November 2026.

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Everton: Everton v Coventry, Friday 6 November — the preview. Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace · Premier League
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool
  • Referee: P. Tierney
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Everton 4 · draws 2 · Crystal Palace 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Everton 0W 2D 3L · Crystal Palace 1W 2D 2L

Everton 2–0 Crystal Palace (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 2.88
Corners
against 5.38 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.13 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.15 yellows
Referee · P. Tierney
20.15 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEverton for / againstLineCrystal Palace for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5our book
1.38 for · 1.75 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 15.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 8.5 against n 8
21.5standard
9.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: P. Tierney — 3.15 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 20.15 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EvertonCrystal Palace
42%Possession58%
1.12Expected goals (xG)1.96
16Shots11
5Shots on target4
4Shots off target4
7Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box8
4Corners0
2Offsides0
5Fouls15
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
4Saves3
417Passes581
82%Pass accuracy87%

Everton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pickford9000000007.4
M. Röhl9000001207
J. Tarkowski9000100107.4
Jarrad Branthwaite9000000207.8
V. Mykolenko9000001007
H. Armstrong9001001207.6
I. Ndiaye9001223407.7
K. Dewsbury-Hall8910312208.2
Tyrique George8400502006.9
H. Hackney7900101206.8
T. Barry7910211107.7
James Garner1100001106.9
Beto1100100006.6
B. Johnson600000006.5
C. Alcaraz100110106.7

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Henderson9000000006.9
J. Canvot9000100406.6
C. Richards9000000206.6
A. Wharton9000002206.3
D. Kamada90000023Y6.8
T. Mitchell9000001206.2
C. Riad7200000106.6
D. McNeil6300100005.9
J. Mateta6300201206.1
D. Muñoz5500210106
E. Nketiah5500112106.5
A. Khalaili3500002407
Yeremy Pino3500200206.1
J. Strand Larsen2700110006.4
E. Guessand2700110106.4
T. Tomiyasu1800000006.1

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Everton v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EvertonLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Crystal PalaceDLDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Everton 4 · 2 draws · Crystal Palace 0 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-05-10 Crystal Palace 2–2 Everton
  • 2025-10-05 Everton 2–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2025-02-15 Crystal Palace 1–2 Everton
  • 2024-09-28 Everton 2–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-02-19 Everton 1–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2024-01-17 Everton 1–0 Crystal Palace
League standing · 2026/27
Everton#7 pos13 pts9 pl0 GD
Crystal Palace#18 pos7 pts9 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Everton scored1
Crystal Palace scored1
Everton conceded1
Crystal Palace conceded2.33

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Everton 1.45 xG from 16 shots, Crystal Palace 2.23 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jean-Philippe Mateta 2' · 0.79 xGJean-Philippe Mateta 37' · 0.52 xGEddie Nketiah 16' · 0.31 xGDaniel Muñoz 48' · 0.26 xGJørgen Strand Larsen 92' · 0.14 xGIliman Ndiaye 55' · 0.13 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 41' · 0.10 xGTyrique George 72' · 0.10 xGIliman Ndiaye 11' · 0.09 xGDaniel Muñoz 11' · 0.07 xGTyrique George 72' · 0.07 xGBeto 92' · 0.07 xGCarlos Alcaraz 95' · 0.06 xGJames Tarkowski 30' · 0.05 xGEvann Guessand 65' · 0.04 xGHayden Hackney 48' · 0.04 xGThierno Barry 46' · 0.03 xGYeremi Pino 95' · 0.03 xGTyrique George 17' · 0.03 xGTyrique George 33' · 0.03 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 50' · 0.03 xGDwight McNeil 9' · 0.02 xGJaydee Canvot 82' · 0.02 xGYeremi Pino 61' · 0.02 xGTyrique George 47' · 0.02 xGThierno Barry 52' · 0.56 xG · goalKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 41' · 0.07 xG · goal
Everton (attacking right)Crystal Palace (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Everton1621.45
Crystal Palace1102.23

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Crystal Palace led on xG, 1.72 to 0.35. At full time, Crystal Palace led on xG, 2.23 to 1.45. The widest gap was 1.54 xG to Crystal Palace, in the 48th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.21.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Everton 41 minGoal - Everton 52 min
Everton 1.45 xGCrystal Palace 2.23 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Everton v Crystal Palace?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Crystal Palace was Over 2.5 goals (best price 2.00 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Crystal Palace?
In their last 6 meetings, Everton won 4, Crystal Palace won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Everton and Crystal Palace?
Recent form — Everton 0W 2D 3L; Crystal Palace 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 19 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+