This Matchweek

Hull CityAston Villa

Hull City v Aston Villa result

Full-time · Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa

Premier League · · MKM Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
Best price: 1.95 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Aston Villa: 1.65 to 0.81 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Hull City and Aston Villa drew 0–0 at MKM Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September. Hull City are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Aston Villa are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

Michael Oliver, England showed two yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Hull City: S. Ajayi (39’) and Lucas Gourna-Douath (67’).

What it changes

Hull City stay second after this result (three league matches played). Hull City have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Hull City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Aston Villa move up from 19th to 17th (shared) (three league matches played). Aston Villa have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Aston Villa have conceded 13 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Aston Villa have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Mohamed Belloumi (Hull City) 7.7, Zion Suzuki (Aston Villa) 4.9 and Oliver McBurnie (Hull City) 4.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

Aston Villa are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Hull City, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Hull City or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Hull City next travel to Arsenal on 7 November 2026.

Aston Villa next travel to Manchester United on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Hull City: Arsenal v Hull City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Aston Villa: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa · Premier League
  • Venue: MKM Stadium · Hull
  • Referee: Michael Oliver, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Hull City 0 · draws 3 · Aston Villa 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hull City 4W 1D 0L · Aston Villa 2W 0D 3L

Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2
Goals
against 0.5 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.43 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.43 / 4.13 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.71 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 3.43 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.14 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.8 yellows
Referee · Michael Oliver, England
21.2 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 31 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 31 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHull City for / againstLineAston Villa for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.5 against n 8
2.5our book
2 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
3.43 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.5 for · 4.13 against n 8
Shots
9.29 for · 13.43 against n 7
19.5standard
13.38 for · 12.25 against n 8
Shots on target
3.71 for · 3.43 against n 7
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
8.43 for · 9.71 against n 7
21.5standard
11.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 1.14 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8

Referee: Michael Oliver, England — 2.8 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 21.2 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Hull City

Hull City Goalkeeper

Hull City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Tzolakis290180 min84 /9000 /9000 /90

Hull City Defensive

Hull City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Egan290180 min21 /9021 /9031.5 /9084 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Giles288175 min21 /9010.5 /9000 /9052.6 /9000 /9000 /90
S. Ajayi277154 min21.2 /9021.2 /9000 /9084.7 /9000 /9000 /90
N. Mendy262123 min21.5 /9000 /9032.2 /9042.9 /9010.7 /9000 /90
L. Coyle258115 min10.8 /9010.8 /9000 /9075.5 /9021.6 /9010.8 /90
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Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Slater n 871.3
1.14/2
0.93/1
—
Oliver McBurnie n 889.3
16/2
1.56/4
George Hemmings
J. Egan n 884.4
0.43/0
0.94/2
I. Maatsen
R. Giles n 885.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
M. Cash
M. Belloumi n 864.3
1.87/3
0.53/0
—
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Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Slater n 871.3
2.57/4
J. Egan n 884.4
1.36/3
Oliver McBurnie n 889.3
0.11/0
R. Giles n 885.4
1.25/2
M. Belloumi n 864.3
1.96/3
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Hull City Attacking

Hull City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie290180 min00 /9000 /9021 /9021 /9031.5 /9021 /90
L. Millar22550 min11.8 /9000 /9035.4 /9011.8 /9000 /9000 /90
R. Slater290180 min00 /9010.5 /9000 /9000 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. Belloumi287173 min00 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9000 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
E. Stroud265130 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
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Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Oliver McBurnie n 889.3
1.97/4
1.56/3
J. Egan n 884.4
0.83/1
0.32/0
R. Slater n 871.3
00/0
00/0
R. Giles n 885.4
0.11/0
00/0
M. Belloumi n 864.3
1.96/4
0.74/0
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Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Oliver McBurnie n 889.3
0.53/1
00/0
R. Slater n 871.3
00/0
0.21/0
J. Egan n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
R. Giles n 885.4
00/0
00/0
M. Belloumi n 864.3
0.21/0
0.42/0
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Aston Villa

Aston Villa Goalkeeper

Aston Villa — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
M. Bizot293186 min73.4 /9062.9 /9000 /90
Z. Suzuki19090 min11 /9000 /9000 /90
Aston Villa — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Bizot n 879.6
4.17/6

Aston Villa Defensive

Aston Villa — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Lindelöf392276 min10.3 /9010.3 /9000 /9020.7 /9000 /9000 /90
I. Maatsen389268 min93 /9041.3 /9000 /90155 /9051.7 /9010.3 /90
M. Cash388264 min82.7 /9010.3 /9020.7 /90124.1 /9041.4 /9010.3 /90
Pau Torres381243 min31.1 /9010.4 /9000 /9051.9 /9031.1 /9010.4 /90
T. Mings21733 min12.7 /9000 /9000 /9012.7 /9000 /9000 /90
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Aston Villa — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Lindelöf n 876
0.42/1
0.32/0
—
E. Buendía n 878.8
1.76/3
2.98/6
—
I. Maatsen n 885.3
1.35/2
0.74/1
J. Egan
M. Cash n 882.4
1.16/2
0.84/2
R. Giles
George Hemmings n 563.8
24/3
0.82/1
Oliver McBurnie
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Aston Villa — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 876
0.43/0
E. Buendía n 878.8
2.37/3
I. Maatsen n 885.3
2.15/5
M. Cash n 882.4
1.55/4
George Hemmings n 563.8
2.34/3
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Aston Villa Attacking

Aston Villa — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Alysson Edward22142 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.1 /90
Brian Madjo17272 min11.3 /9000 /9056.3 /9011.3 /9022.5 /9000 /90
N. Jackson17171 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033.8 /90
E. Buendía391272 min00 /9000 /9062 /9000 /9031 /9010.3 /90
George Hemmings386257 min00 /9000 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
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Aston Villa — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 876
0.11/0
00/0
E. Buendía n 878.8
2.38/5
0.94/2
I. Maatsen n 885.3
0.53/1
00/0
M. Cash n 882.4
0.32/0
00/0
George Hemmings n 563.8
0.31/0
0.31/0
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Aston Villa — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Aston Villa before kick-off, to 31 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Lindelöf n 876
00/0
00/0
E. Buendía n 878.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
I. Maatsen n 885.3
00/0
0.11/0
M. Cash n 882.4
00/0
00/0
George Hemmings n 563.8
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Hull CityAston Villa
26%Possession74%
0.57Expected goals (xG)1.93
11Shots13
4Shots on target1
7Shots off target7
0Blocked shots5
4Shots inside the box10
3Corners4
2Offsides2
10Fouls5
2Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Saves4
229Passes694
73%Pass accuracy90%

Hull City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
S. Ajayi90000001Y6.9
J. Egan9000000307.2
R. Giles9000002107.2
R. Slater9000211106.9
Oliver McBurnie9000301207.2
K. Tzolakis9000000007.2
M. Belloumi8200211307
L. Gourna-Douath82000021Y6.9
N. Mendy7100210307
L. Coyle6400000006.6
E. Stroud6300101006.5
S. Thomas sub2700001006.6
B. Norton-Cuffy sub2600000006.6
L. Herrington sub1900000106.6
M. Cho sub800110006.5
Jens Hjertø-Dahl sub800000006.7

Aston Villa Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. McGinn9000100206.3
R. Barkley9000202006.9
B. Kamara9000001107
T. Mings9000100107.5
V. Lindelöf9000002007.9
Z. Suzuki9000000007.9
N. Jackson8500101006.7
M. Cash8500001006.3
George Hemmings7500111106.3
E. Buendía7500200006
I. Maatsen7500001107.2
A. Garnacho sub1500000006.5
Alysson Edward sub1500000006.5
Matteo Ruggeri sub1500000006.9
T. Abraham sub900000106.3
A. Wan-Bissaka sub900000006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hull City v Aston Villa — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hull CityWWWDW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Aston VillaWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Hull City 0 · 3 draws · Aston Villa 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2019-01-19 Aston Villa 2–2 Hull City
  • 2018-08-06 Hull City 1–3 Aston Villa
  • 2018-03-31 Hull City 0–0 Aston Villa
  • 2017-08-05 Aston Villa 1–1 Hull City
League standing · 2026/27
Hull City#11 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD
Aston Villa#10 pos12 pts9 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Hull City scored1.22
Aston Villa scored1.11
Hull City conceded1.11
Aston Villa conceded1.44

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Hull City 0.81 xG from 11 shots, Aston Villa 1.65 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

John McGinn 49' · 0.46 xGEmiliano Buendía 52' · 0.40 xGMohamed Ali-Cho 88' · 0.32 xGOliver McBurnie 89' · 0.28 xGGeorge Hemmings 12' · 0.26 xGNicolas Jackson 1' · 0.11 xGTyrone Mings 80' · 0.08 xGRoss Barkley 24' · 0.07 xGTyrone Mings 75' · 0.06 xGEmiliano Buendía 39' · 0.06 xGRoss Barkley 12' · 0.05 xGNicolas Jackson 13' · 0.04 xGOliver McBurnie 71' · 0.04 xGElliot Stroud 50' · 0.04 xGOliver McBurnie 48' · 0.03 xGMohamed Belloumi 64' · 0.02 xGRoss Barkley 80' · 0.02 xGMohamed Belloumi 36' · 0.02 xGRegan Slater 37' · 0.02 xGTyrone Mings 26' · 0.02 xGRoss Barkley 46' · 0.02 xGNobel Mendy 18' · 0.01 xGRegan Slater 33' · 0.01 xGNobel Mendy 6' · 0.01 xG
Hull City (attacking right)Aston Villa (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Hull City1100.81
Aston Villa1301.65

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Aston Villa led on xG, 0.61 to 0.07. At full time, Aston Villa led on xG, 1.65 to 0.81. The widest gap was 1.44 xG to Aston Villa, in the 80th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xG
Hull City 0.81 xGAston Villa 1.65 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Hull City v Aston Villa?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hull City v Aston Villa was Home or Draw (best price 1.95 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Hull City and Aston Villa?
In their last 4 meetings, Hull City won 0, Aston Villa won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hull City and Aston Villa?
Recent form — Hull City 4W 1D 0L; Aston Villa 2W 0D 3L.

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