This Matchweek

IpswichSunderland

Ipswich v Sunderland result

Full-time · Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland

Premier League · · Portman Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland — Ipswich won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 76.4% of 1739 landed (95% range 74.3–78.3%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,041 of 1,389 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 70.3%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Ipswich: 1.58 to 1.18 in expected goals, from 10 shots to 11, ahead on xG from the 49th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Ipswich beat Sunderland 2–1 at Portman Road in the Premier League on Saturday 22 August. Ipswich are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Ipswich: Emersonn (24’, assisted by J. Enciso) and Jack Clarke (90’, assisted by Saša Lukić); Sunderland: N. Angulo (39’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jack Clarke’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

F. Hallam showed three yellow cards — against 2.7 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Sunderland: Dan Ballard (36’), N. Angulo (55’) and L. O'Nien (63’).

What it changes

Ipswich are fourth after this result (one league match played). Ipswich have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Ipswich have conceded 18 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Sunderland are 17th after this result (one league match played). Sunderland have scored seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Sunderland have conceded 17 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Emersonn (Ipswich) 7.6, J. Enciso (Ipswich) 6.5 and A. Fatawu (Ipswich) 6.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

Ipswich are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Sunderland.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Ipswich or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 76.4% of the time in the last 90 days (1328 of 1739).

Next up

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Sunderland next host Chelsea on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Sunderland: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland · Premier League
  • Venue: Portman Road · Ipswich
  • Referee: F. Hallam
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ipswich 2 · draws 1 · Sunderland 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ipswich 2W 3D 0L · Sunderland 2W 2D 1L

Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 5 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.25
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 4.63 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 3
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.67 yellows
Referee · F. Hallam
22.5 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 6 matches
19
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameIpswich for / againstLineSunderland for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
2.25our book
1.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4 for · 5.38 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 12.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 14.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3 for · 2.75 against n 8

Referee: F. Hallam — 2.67 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.5 fouls over 6 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
IpswichSunderland
38%Possession62%
1.80Expected goals (xG)0.66
10Shots11
3Shots on target4
6Shots off target3
1Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box5
3Corners5
1Offsides4
12Fouls14
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves1
333Passes557
79%Pass accuracy88%

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Scherpen9000000006.7
Dara O'Shea9000002207.3
I. Diop9000000105.9
Jacob Greaves9000000306.9
Leif Davis9000000006.9
S. Lukić9001001106.7
Marcelino Núñez8000100207.9
D. Maeda8000100406.2
J. Enciso7101201107.6
A. Fatawu6600002407.7
Emersonn6610322107.9
Kasey McAteer sub2400000106.7
Chuba Akpom sub2400000106.3
Jack Clarke sub1910210107.6
A. Ouattara sub1000001006.9
S. Egeli sub1000000006.3

Sunderland Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Roefs9000000006.5
T. Meunier9000110206.7
Dan Ballard90000002Y6.2
Reinildo9000002306.7
N. Sadiki9000112006.9
G. Xhaka9000002307.7
T. Hume8000203306.3
E. Le Fée8000000106.2
L. O'Nien67000001Y6.3
B. Brobbey6700110006.2
N. Angulo59102101Y7.2
C. Talbi sub3100000006.2
O. Alderete sub2300000006.2
W. Isidor sub2300000006.3
C. Rigg sub1000000006.5
H. Diarra sub1000000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Ipswich v Sunderland — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
IpswichDWDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.8 scored / 1 conceded per game
SunderlandLDDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ipswich 2 · 1 draw · Sunderland 3 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2024-01-13 Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland
  • 2023-08-06 Sunderland 1–2 Ipswich
  • 2021-12-18 Ipswich 1–1 Sunderland
  • 2021-11-20 Sunderland 2–0 Ipswich
  • 2021-01-26 Ipswich 0–1 Sunderland
  • 2020-11-03 Sunderland 2–1 Ipswich
League standing · 2026/27
Ipswich#14 pos11 pts9 pl-4 GD
Sunderland#20 pos5 pts9 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
Ipswich scored1.56
Sunderland scored0.78
Ipswich conceded2
Sunderland conceded1.89

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Ipswich 1.58 xG from 10 shots, Sunderland 1.18 from 11. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Daizen Maeda 49' · 0.62 xGBrian Brobbey 3' · 0.50 xGNoah Sadiki 28' · 0.29 xGBrian Brobbey 52' · 0.14 xGJulio Enciso 30' · 0.11 xGJulio Enciso 50' · 0.07 xGMarcelino Núñez 64' · 0.06 xGNilson Angulo 29' · 0.04 xGEmersonn 26' · 0.04 xGThomas Meunier 37' · 0.04 xGTrai Hume 46' · 0.03 xGJack Clarke 91' · 0.03 xGJulio Enciso 6' · 0.02 xGLuke O'Nien 28' · 0.02 xGTrai Hume 3' · 0.02 xGHabib Diarra 93' · 0.02 xGEmersonn 6' · 0.01 xGThomas Meunier 81' · 0.01 xGEmersonn 23' · 0.57 xG · goalNilson Angulo 38' · 0.08 xG · goalJack Clarke 89' · 0.06 xG · goal
Ipswich (attacking right)Sunderland (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Ipswich1021.58
Sunderland1111.18

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Ipswich 0.74, Sunderland 0.98. At full time, Ipswich led on xG, 1.58 to 1.18. The widest gap was 0.52 xG to Sunderland, in the third minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.60.800′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Ipswich 23 minGoal - Sunderland 38 minGoal - Ipswich 89 min
Ipswich 1.58 xGSunderland 1.18 xGdots = goals · 21 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Ipswich v Sunderland?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ipswich v Sunderland was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Ipswich and Sunderland?
In their last 6 meetings, Ipswich won 2, Sunderland won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ipswich and Sunderland?
Recent form — Ipswich 2W 3D 0L; Sunderland 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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