This Matchweek

LeedsCrystal Palace

Leeds v Crystal Palace result

Full-time · Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace

Premier League · · Elland Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.75 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.2% of 549 landed (95% range 63.2–71%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Leeds 1.09, Crystal Palace 1.13 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Crystal Palace have conceded 21 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Leeds and Crystal Palace drew 0–0 at Elland Road in the Premier League on Sunday 20 September.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time.

Discipline

Adam Herczeg, England showed five yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Leeds: Jayden Bogle (38’) and Ao Tanaka (62’); Crystal Palace: Adam Wharton (64’), Yeremy Pino (81’) and J. Lerma (90+3’).

What it changes

Leeds move down from third to fifth (five league matches played). Leeds have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Leeds have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Crystal Palace move up from 16th to 15th (five league matches played). Crystal Palace have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

It was the only goalless draw of round 5, across 10 matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Trafford (Leeds) 5.1, James Justin (Leeds) 5.0 and Noah Okafor (Leeds) 4.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Leeds next host Tottenham on 7 November 2026.

Crystal Palace next host Liverpool on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Leeds: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Crystal Palace: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace · Premier League
  • Venue: Elland Road · Leeds, West Yorkshire
  • Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Leeds 2 · draws 2 · Crystal Palace 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Leeds 2W 2D 1L · Crystal Palace 3W 0D 2L

Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 4 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4.5 / 2.88
Corners
against 5.13 / 4.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5.63 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 0.88
Cards
against 2 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLeeds for / againstLineCrystal Palace for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.75our book
1.88 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.5 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
2.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 15 against n 8
19.5standard
10.5 for · 16.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 5.63 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.25 for · 10.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
0.88 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Adam Herczeg, England.

Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Trafford590450 min173.4 /9030.6 /9000 /90
M. Zetterer19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Trafford n 590
3.45/4

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Justin690540 min213.5 /9071.2 /9040.7 /90477.8 /9061 /9000 /90
T. Muharemović690540 min71.2 /9091.5 /9071.2 /90315.2 /9030.5 /9000 /90
N. Elvedi482326 min61.7 /9051.4 /9030.8 /90143.9 /9010.3 /9000 /90
J. Bijol464254 min41.4 /9051.8 /9000 /90196.7 /9010.4 /9000 /90
J. Rodon371214 min10.4 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9093.8 /9041.7 /9000 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
1.47/3
15/2
A. Wharton
J. Justin n 890
15/3
1.57/3
C. Richards
T. Muharemović n 690
0.52/1
0.83/2
C. Richards
A. Stach n 871
1.75/4
1.45/2
A. Wharton
N. Okafor n 857
0.42/0
1.65/3
Yeremy Pino
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Justin n 890
3.28/7
E. Ampadu n 890
2.38/6
T. Muharemović n 690
1.24/2
A. Stach n 871
37/7
N. Okafor n 857
1.24/2
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
N. Okafor653317 min10.3 /9010.3 /9020.6 /9010.3 /9051.4 /9092.6 /90
H. Wilson643259 min00 /9010.3 /9000 /9000 /9072.4 /9020.7 /90
Dominic Calvert-Lewin571355 min30.8 /9010.3 /9082 /9061.5 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
L. Nmecha447187 min00 /9021 /9041.9 /9000 /9041.9 /9031.4 /90
E. Ampadu690540 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9000 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Justin n 890
0.85/1
0.43/0
T. Muharemović n 690
0.72/1
0.52/1
E. Ampadu n 890
0.32/0
00/0
A. Stach n 871
1.47/2
0.32/0
N. Okafor n 857
0.84/0
0.42/0
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 690
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Justin n 890
0.11/0
00/0
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Stach n 871
0.21/0
00/0
N. Okafor n 857
0.42/0
0.21/0
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Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace Goalkeeper

Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Henderson390270 min124 /9062 /9000 /90
W. Benítez390270 min134.3 /9031 /9000 /90
Crystal Palace — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Henderson n 890
3.15/5
W. Benítez n 890
2.55/4

Crystal Palace Defensive

Crystal Palace — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
C. Richards587434 min102.1 /9081.7 /9030.6 /90163.3 /9030.6 /9010.2 /90
A. Disasi561303 min61.8 /9072.1 /9041.2 /90113.3 /9041.2 /9000 /90
J. Canvot472286 min92.8 /9041.3 /9030.9 /90175.3 /9000 /9000 /90
T. Tomiyasu459235 min41.5 /9062.3 /9010.4 /90114.2 /9020.8 /9000 /90
H. Ahanor390270 min41.3 /9031 /9000 /90155 /9031 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Wharton n 871.9
0.52/1
1.77/4
A. Stach
D. Kamada n 874.1
0.62/1
1.77/3
—
Yeremy Pino n 864.6
15/1
1.96/4
N. Okafor
J. Strand Larsen n 863
1.65/2
1.15/1
—
C. Richards n 880.4
0.75/0
0.11/0
T. Muharemović
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Crystal Palace — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Wharton n 871.9
27/3
D. Kamada n 874.1
2.37/3
Yeremy Pino n 864.6
1.65/3
J. Strand Larsen n 863
0.42/0
C. Richards n 880.4
27/4
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Crystal Palace Attacking

Crystal Palace — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Kamada676458 min10.2 /9030.6 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9030.6 /90
Yeremy Pino665392 min10.2 /9000 /90102.3 /9030.7 /9081.8 /9061.4 /90
J. Strand Larsen661366 min41 /9010.2 /90123 /9071.7 /9020.5 /9020.5 /90
E. Nketiah446184 min10.5 /9010.5 /9062.9 /9031.5 /9042 /9021 /90
D. McNeil433130 min00 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /9032.1 /9000 /90
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Crystal Palace — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Wharton n 871.9
0.53/0
0.21/0
D. Kamada n 874.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
Yeremy Pino n 864.6
2.17/3
0.52/1
J. Strand Larsen n 863
2.77/4
1.45/3
C. Richards n 880.4
0.85/1
0.64/0
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Crystal Palace — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Crystal Palace before kick-off, to 17 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Wharton n 871.9
00/0
0.21/0
D. Kamada n 874.1
0.21/0
0.52/1
Yeremy Pino n 864.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Strand Larsen n 863
0.73/1
0.21/0
C. Richards n 880.4
0.11/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LeedsCrystal Palace
51%Possession49%
1.31Expected goals (xG)1.06
13Shots12
2Shots on target4
5Shots off target5
6Blocked shots3
9Shots inside the box4
4Corners3
2Offsides2
10Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
5Saves2
424Passes424
80%Pass accuracy80%

Leeds Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Trafford9000000008.2
J. Justin9000001307.2
Dominic Calvert-Lewin9000110006.6
E. Ampadu9000002307.5
A. Stach9000001207.2
T. Muharemović9000200107.5
N. Elvedi9000110007.7
G. Gudmundsson8900001307.3
N. Okafor7600100207.2
A. Tanaka68002001Y6.7
J. Bogle67000000Y6.5
D. James sub2300000006.2
B. Aaronson sub2200000106.6
L. Nmecha sub1400000106.7
J. Bahoya sub10000000–

Crystal Palace Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Kamada9000310106.2
T. Mitchell9000000506.9
A. Wharton90001122Y7
Q. Timber9000102206.6
A. Khalaili9000000206.7
J. Canvot9000001106.9
C. Richards9000000207.5
W. Benítez9000000007.9
J. Strand Larsen8200111006.2
Yeremy Pino82002100Y7.2
T. Tomiyasu4500001006.6
J. Lerma sub45001002Y7.2
I. Sarr sub800000006.3
E. Nketiah sub800000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Leeds v Crystal Palace — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LeedsWDDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Crystal PalaceLWWLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Leeds 2 · 2 draws · Crystal Palace 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-03-15 Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds
  • 2025-12-20 Leeds 4–1 Crystal Palace
  • 2023-04-09 Leeds 1–5 Crystal Palace
  • 2022-10-09 Crystal Palace 2–1 Leeds
  • 2022-04-25 Crystal Palace 0–0 Leeds
  • 2021-11-30 Leeds 1–0 Crystal Palace
League standing · 2026/27
Leeds#12 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD
Crystal Palace#18 pos7 pts9 pl-12 GD
Goals per game
Leeds scored1
Crystal Palace scored1
Leeds conceded0.89
Crystal Palace conceded2.33

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Leeds 1.09 xG from 13 shots, Crystal Palace 1.13 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin 55' · 0.39 xGJefferson Lerma 48' · 0.36 xGDaichi Kamada 84' · 0.32 xGAo Tanaka 21' · 0.12 xGYeremi Pino 48' · 0.11 xGTarik Muharemovic 7' · 0.11 xGQuinten Timber 31' · 0.09 xGNico Elvedi 41' · 0.09 xGTarik Muharemovic 86' · 0.08 xGTarik Muharemovic 56' · 0.07 xGDaichi Kamada 23' · 0.06 xGTarik Muharemovic 21' · 0.06 xGJayden Bogle 28' · 0.04 xGJames Justin 5' · 0.04 xGNoah Okafor 74' · 0.03 xGAdam Wharton 79' · 0.03 xGAdam Wharton 26' · 0.03 xGDaichi Kamada 49' · 0.03 xGAnton Stach 3' · 0.03 xGJørgen Strand Larsen 54' · 0.03 xGYeremi Pino 70' · 0.02 xGQuinten Timber 5' · 0.02 xGAdam Wharton 20' · 0.02 xGJayden Bogle 32' · 0.02 xGAo Tanaka 33' · 0.01 xG
Leeds (attacking right)Crystal Palace (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Leeds1301.09
Crystal Palace1201.13

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Leeds 0.51, Crystal Palace 0.22. At full time, xG was level: Leeds 1.09, Crystal Palace 1.13.

xG timeline (cumulative)
1.10.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xG
Leeds 1.09 xGCrystal Palace 1.13 xGdots = goals · 25 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Leeds v Crystal Palace?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Leeds v Crystal Palace was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.75 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Leeds and Crystal Palace?
In their last 6 meetings, Leeds won 2, Crystal Palace won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Leeds and Crystal Palace?
Recent form — Leeds 2W 2D 1L; Crystal Palace 3W 0D 2L.

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