LiverpoolChelsea

Liverpool v Chelsea result

Full-time · Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea

Premier League · · Anfield

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Liverpool · Chelsea · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said little between the sides: Liverpool 0.62, Chelsea 0.60 in expected goals (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Liverpool and Chelsea drew 1–1 at Anfield in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Liverpool: Ryan Gravenberch (6’, assisted by Rio Ngumoha); Chelsea: Enzo Fernández (35’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Enzo Fernández’s goal on 35 minutes.

Discipline

C. Pawson showed six yellow cards — against 2.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Liverpool: Joseph Gomez (88’) and Alexis Mac Allister (90+4’); Chelsea: Jorrel Hato (67’), Enzo Fernández (73’), Marc Cucurella (83’) and M. Caicedo (89’).

What it changes

Liverpool stay fourth after this result (36 league matches played). Liverpool have scored 63 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Liverpool have conceded 53 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs.

Chelsea stay ninth after this result (36 league matches played). Chelsea have scored 58 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Chelsea have conceded 52 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ryan Gravenberch (Liverpool) 7.8, Rio Ngumoha (Liverpool) 6.0 and M. Caicedo (Chelsea) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Liverpool next travel to Crystal Palace on 8 November 2026.

Chelsea next travel to Sunderland on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Liverpool: Crystal Palace v Liverpool, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Chelsea: Sunderland v Chelsea, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea · Premier League
  • Venue: Anfield · Liverpool
  • Referee: C. Pawson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Liverpool 3 · draws 1 · Chelsea 2 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Liverpool 3W 0D 2L · Chelsea 1W 0D 4L

Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.75 / 7.25
Corners
against 4.25 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 4.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.88 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.88 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
2.93 yellows
Referee · C. Pawson
21.13 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameLiverpool for / againstLineChelsea for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 4.25 against n 8
9.5standard
7.25 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 14.75 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 9.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 9.75 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 11.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: C. Pawson — 2.93 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 21.13 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Alisson Becker33892936 min742.3 /90321 /9000 /90
G. Mamardashvili18851532 min482.8 /90291.7 /9010.1 /90
F. Woodman476302 min154.5 /9072.1 /9000 /90
Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 890
2.56/3
G. Mamardashvili n 886
3.38/6
F. Woodman n 475.5
4.53/3

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. van Dijk51904581 min290.6 /90330.6 /90340.7 /902575 /90340.7 /9060.1 /90
I. Konaté46853925 min661.5 /90421 /90340.8 /902595.9 /90521.2 /9080.2 /90
M. Kerkez39752937 min642 /90260.8 /90120.4 /901534.7 /90290.9 /9050.2 /90
A. Robertson28671866 min190.9 /90160.8 /9050.2 /90432.1 /90130.6 /9010 /90
Jeremie Frimpong27581570 min191.1 /90100.6 /9000 /90704 /90221.3 /9010.1 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. van Dijk n 890
0.96/1
00/0
M. Gusto
A. Mac Allister n 862.3
1.86/3
1.66/2
M. Caicedo
D. Szoboszlai n 888.5
1.15/3
1.45/4
E. Fernández
I. Konaté n 888
1.45/3
1.27/2
M. Gusto
R. Gravenberch n 881.4
0.73/1
1.15/3
M. Caicedo
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 890
0.84/2
A. Mac Allister n 862.3
1.34/3
D. Szoboszlai n 888.5
1.97/5
I. Konaté n 888
1.76/4
R. Gravenberch n 881.4
1.56/4
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Ekitike42662779 min160.5 /9060.2 /90812.6 /90331.1 /90331.1 /90682.2 /90
A. Isak1952997 min40.4 /9010.1 /90252.3 /90141.3 /9050.5 /9040.4 /90
Rio Ngumoha1739657 min10.1 /9000 /90121.6 /9071 /90141.9 /90304.1 /90
F. Chiesa1441575 min20.3 /9030.5 /90132 /9050.8 /9091.4 /9040.6 /90
A. Mac Allister50723596 min50.1 /9070.2 /90431.1 /90200.5 /90471.2 /90190.5 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 890
0.43/0
0.32/0
A. Mac Allister n 862.3
1.15/1
0.42/0
D. Szoboszlai n 888.5
0.52/1
0.11/0
I. Konaté n 888
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. Gravenberch n 881.4
14/1
0.43/0
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. van Dijk n 890
0.11/0
00/0
A. Mac Allister n 862.3
00/0
0.41/1
D. Szoboszlai n 888.5
0.11/0
0.32/0
I. Konaté n 888
00/0
00/0
R. Gravenberch n 881.4
0.11/0
00/0
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Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Robert Sánchez49894341 min1352.8 /90631.3 /9000 /90
F. Jörgensen1280963 min161.5 /90161.5 /9000 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Robert Sánchez n 887
2.75/4
F. Jörgensen n 876.1
2.25/3

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Gusto49693371 min862.3 /90551.5 /9050.1 /901594.2 /90280.7 /9080.2 /90
Marc Cucurella48803821 min832 /90481.1 /90160.4 /901764.1 /90681.6 /90100.2 /90
T. Chalobah46853929 min370.8 /90481.1 /90200.5 /901734 /90250.6 /9040.1 /90
R. James36752688 min622.1 /90461.5 /9090.3 /901384.6 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
W. Fofana31742295 min240.9 /90451.8 /90240.9 /901335.2 /90281.1 /9080.3 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Fernández n 886
0.93/2
1.25/2
D. Szoboszlai
Pedro Neto n 883.9
1.24/3
0.53/1
—
Robert Sánchez n 887
00/0
0.43/0
—
M. Gusto n 876.6
0.32/0
1.25/2
I. Konaté
M. Caicedo n 883.9
1.67/3
1.67/3
R. Gravenberch
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Fernández n 886
1.67/3
Pedro Neto n 883.9
0.42/1
M. Gusto n 876.6
1.53/2
M. Caicedo n 883.9
2.18/5
Marc Cucurella n 887.6
0.95/2
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
João Pedro48723471 min220.6 /9060.2 /90721.9 /90401 /90401 /90501.3 /90
L. Delap32471519 min30.2 /9040.2 /90352.1 /90201.2 /90120.7 /90160.9 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens23461066 min10.1 /9050.4 /90141.2 /9070.6 /90171.4 /90353 /90
Tyrique George1148528 min40.7 /9010.2 /9091.5 /9081.4 /9081.4 /9030.5 /90
Marc Guiu1046456 min20.4 /9010.2 /90132.6 /9081.6 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
E. Fernández n 886
1.45/5
0.94/2
Pedro Neto n 883.9
0.32/0
0.32/0
Robert Sánchez n 887
00/0
00/0
M. Gusto n 876.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
M. Caicedo n 883.9
0.43/0
00/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
E. Fernández n 886
0.32/0
0.11/0
Pedro Neto n 883.9
00/0
0.43/0
Robert Sánchez n 887
00/0
00/0
M. Gusto n 876.6
00/0
0.11/0
M. Caicedo n 883.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
LiverpoolChelsea
48%Possession52%
0.56Expected goals (xG)0.50
8Shots6
3Shots on target3
4Shots off target2
1Blocked shots1
5Shots inside the box4
5Corners2
2Offsides2
17Fouls17
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
2Saves2
473Passes515
84%Pass accuracy87%

Liverpool Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
G. Mamardashvili9000000106.9
C. Jones9000000107.3
V. van Dijk9000200006.6
M. Kerkez9000000006.5
R. Gravenberch9010112207.9
A. Mac Allister90001001Y6.2
Jeremie Frimpong9000110106.5
D. Szoboszlai9000213006.2
I. Konaté7700000106.6
C. Gakpo7700001106.3
Rio Ngumoha6701001007.2
A. Isak sub2300000106.7
J. Gomez sub13000001Y6.7
F. Chiesa sub1300000006.5

Chelsea Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
F. Jörgensen9000000006.3
Levi Colwill9000000106.9
W. Fofana9000000006.7
J. Hato90000005Y6.9
M. Gusto9000000206
M. Caicedo90000034Y7.2
Marc Cucurella90001111Y6.3
C. Palmer9000000307
E. Fernández90102200Y7.2
João Pedro9000200106.6
Andrey Santos6300000206.5
R. James sub2700000107

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Liverpool v Chelsea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LiverpoolWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ChelseaLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Liverpool 3 · 1 draw · Chelsea 2 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-10-04 Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool
  • 2025-05-04 Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool
  • 2024-10-20 Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea
  • 2024-02-25 Chelsea 0–1 Liverpool
  • 2024-01-31 Liverpool 4–1 Chelsea
  • 2023-08-13 Chelsea 1–1 Liverpool
League standing · 2025/26
Liverpool#5 pos60 pts38 pl+10 GD
Chelsea#10 pos52 pts38 pl+6 GD
Goals per game
Liverpool scored1.66
Chelsea scored1.53
Liverpool conceded1.39
Chelsea conceded1.37

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Liverpool 0.62 xG from 8 shots, Chelsea 0.60 from 6. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Virgil van Dijk 10' · 0.31 xGEnzo Fernández 38' · 0.31 xGJoão Pedro 75' · 0.11 xGJeremie Frimpong 52' · 0.09 xGDominik Szoboszlai 58' · 0.07 xGJoão Pedro 36' · 0.06 xGAlexis Mac Allister 47' · 0.05 xGDominik Szoboszlai 4' · 0.04 xGJoão Pedro 1' · 0.04 xGMarc Cucurella 27' · 0.04 xGDominik Szoboszlai 70' · 0.02 xGVirgil van Dijk 78' · 0.01 xGEnzo Fernández 34' · 0.03 xG · goalRyan Gravenberch 5' · 0.03 xG · goal
Liverpool (attacking right)Chelsea (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Liverpool810.62
Chelsea610.60

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, xG was level: Liverpool 0.38, Chelsea 0.48. At full time, xG was level: Liverpool 0.62, Chelsea 0.60.

xG timeline (cumulative)
0.60.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Liverpool 5 minGoal - Chelsea 34 min
Liverpool 0.62 xGChelsea 0.60 xGdots = goals · 14 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Liverpool v Chelsea?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Liverpool v Chelsea was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Chelsea?
In their last 6 meetings, Liverpool won 3, Chelsea won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Liverpool and Chelsea?
Recent form — Liverpool 3W 0D 2L; Chelsea 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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