Manchester City v Brentford result

Full-time · Manchester City 3–0 Brentford

Premier League · Sat, 09 May 2026 17:30 BST · Etihad Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester City · Brentford · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester City 3–0 Brentford — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 543 of 844 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester City: 4.44 to 0.67 in expected goals, from 25 shots to 4, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester City beat Brentford 3–0 at Etihad Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May. Manchester City have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Jérémy Doku (60’), Erling Haaland (75’) and Omar Marmoush (90’, assisted by Erling Haaland).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jérémy Doku’s goal on 60 minutes.

Discipline

M. Salisbury showed six yellow cards — against 4.6 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Manchester City: Bernardo Silva (36’), N. O'Reilly (74’), Matheus Nunes (88’) and Omar Marmoush (90+5’); Brentford: Kristoffer Ajer (80’) and Jordan Henderson (88’).

What it changes

Manchester City stay second after this result (35 league matches played). Manchester City have scored 77 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Manchester City have conceded 35 goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Brentford move down from sixth to eighth (36 league matches played). Brentford have scored 55 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Brentford have conceded 52 goals, the 10th-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Jérémy Doku (Manchester City) 12.3, Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 8.3 and Mikkel Damsgaard (Brentford) 5.9 led the match.

Head-to-head

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Brentford, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Brentford next travel to Brighton on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Brentford: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Manchester City 3–0 Brentford · Premier League
Venue: Etihad Stadium · Manchester
Referee: M. Salisbury
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 5 · draws 1 · Brentford 0 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Manchester City 4W 1D 0L · Brentford 1W 3D 1L

Manchester City 3–0 Brentford (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.25

Goals

against 0.88 / 1 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

8.25 / 3.86

Corners

against 3.88 / 4.86 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6.13 / 3.57

Shots on target

against 4 / 3.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.25 / 1.14

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.6 yellows

Referee · M. Salisbury

22.8 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Manchester City for / against	Line	Brentford for / against
Goals scored	2.25 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	8.25 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.86 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	18.88 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	6.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.57 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.86 for · 9 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.25 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.14 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: M. Salisbury — 4.6 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 22.8 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	40	903600 min	932.3 /90	401 /90	20.1 /90
J. Trafford	14	901260 min	332.4 /90	100.7 /90	10.1 /90
A. Ramsdale	1	9090 min	55 /90	33 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	2.3 5/4
J. Trafford n 8	90	2.6 7/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. O'Reilly	51	753807 min	1022.4 /90	300.7 /90	140.3 /90	2305.4 /90	641.5 /90	70.2 /90
Matheus Nunes	46	823777 min	781.9 /90	441 /90	100.2 /90	2024.8 /90	310.7 /90	60.1 /90
Rúben Dias	32	832646 min	220.7 /90	260.9 /90	200.7 /90	1063.6 /90	240.8 /90	40.1 /90
A. Khusanov	32	782497 min	562 /90	541.9 /90	140.5 /90	1083.9 /90	240.9 /90	60.2 /90
J. Gvardiol	24	781870 min	281.3 /90	251.2 /90	120.6 /90	864.1 /90	241.2 /90	20.1 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
E. Haaland n 8	75.3	0.7 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
N. O'Reilly n 8	77.9	1.9 7/4	1 4/3	Michael Kayode
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0.7 5/0	0.7 3/2	N. Collins
Bernardo Silva n 8	77.9	1.3 6/2	0.4 3/0	Y. Yarmolyuk
P. Foden n 8	46.9	1 2/1	1.4 5/1	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	75.3	0.3 1/1
N. O'Reilly n 8	77.9	2.2 5/3
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	1.7 5/4
Bernardo Silva n 8	77.9	1.9 5/4
P. Foden n 8	46.9	1.2 4/1
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	51	794019 min	380.9 /90	80.2 /90	1443.2 /90	851.9 /90	350.8 /90	190.4 /90
Sávio	26	541399 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	271.7 /90	181.2 /90	241.5 /90	473 /90
Omar Marmoush	22	541197 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	302.3 /90	141.1 /90	191.4 /90	131 /90
R. McAidoo	2	79158 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	42.3 /90	31.7 /90	31.7 /90	52.8 /90
A. Elanga	1	4545 min	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90	12 /90	00 /90	24 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	75.3	3.3 7/5	1.9 6/3
N. O'Reilly n 8	77.9	1.2 4/2	1 4/2
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Bernardo Silva n 8	77.9	0.6 4/0	0.4 3/0
P. Foden n 8	46.9	1.9 6/2	0.7 2/1
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
E. Haaland n 8	75.3	1 5/1	0 0/0
N. O'Reilly n 8	77.9	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Matheus Nunes n 8	85.9	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Bernardo Silva n 8	77.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
P. Foden n 8	46.9	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Brentford

Brentford Goalkeeper

Brentford — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Kelleher	34	903060 min	922.7 /90	431.3 /90	30.1 /90
H. Valdimarsson	6	91546 min	162.6 /90	50.8 /90	00 /90

Brentford — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Kelleher n 8	90	3 7/5
H. Valdimarsson n 8	90.8	2.2 4/3

Brentford Defensive

Brentford — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Michael Kayode	38	853215 min	661.8 /90	381.1 /90	140.4 /90	2105.9 /90	240.7 /90	80.2 /90
N. Collins	36	822949 min	280.9 /90	341 /90	381.2 /90	1424.3 /90	200.6 /90	60.2 /90
S. van den Berg	34	882998 min	220.7 /90	300.9 /90	250.8 /90	1815.4 /90	150.5 /90	20.1 /90
R. Henry	26	631649 min	191 /90	90.5 /90	60.3 /90	844.6 /90	170.9 /90	20.1 /90
K. Ajer	23	781790 min	381.9 /90	150.8 /90	160.8 /90	1025.1 /90	221.1 /90	30.2 /90
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Brentford — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Michael Kayode n 8	90	0.8 3/2	1.6 7/4	N. O'Reilly
Thiago n 8	90	2 7/4	0.5 4/0	—
N. Collins n 8	84.5	0.8 4/2	0.3 2/0	Matheus Nunes
Y. Yarmolyuk n 8	71.5	0.6 3/1	0.6 3/1	Bernardo Silva
K. Schade n 8	80	1 5/2	1.3 6/1	—
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Brentford — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	90	1.4 6/3
Thiago n 8	90	1.6 7/4
N. Collins n 8	84.5	0.7 5/0
Y. Yarmolyuk n 8	71.5	2.2 6/5
K. Schade n 8	80	1 4/2
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Brentford Attacking

Brentford — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Thiago	36	853050 min	230.7 /90	10 /90	641.9 /90	421.2 /90	220.6 /90	300.9 /90
K. Lewis-Potter	28	661846 min	50.2 /90	30.1 /90	251.2 /90	140.7 /90	201 /90	180.9 /90
R. Nelson	7	42291 min	10.3 /90	20.6 /90	72.2 /90	61.9 /90	51.5 /90	92.8 /90
Kaye Iyowuna Furo	1	7171 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Gustavo Gomes	1	2020 min	00 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90	14.5 /90	00 /90	14.5 /90
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Brentford — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Thiago n 8	90	1.4 6/4	0.9 4/3
N. Collins n 8	84.5	0.8 4/2	0.1 1/0
Y. Yarmolyuk n 8	71.5	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
K. Schade n 8	80	1.1 5/2	0.3 2/0
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Brentford — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brentford before kick-off, to 4 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Michael Kayode n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Thiago n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0 0/0
N. Collins n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Yarmolyuk n 8	71.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Schade n 8	80	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester City		Brentford
59%	Possession	41%
2.98	Expected goals (xG)	0.24
25	Shots	4
10	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	1
8	Blocked shots	1
15	Shots inside the box	2
10	Corners	2
0	Offsides	2
8	Fouls	14
4	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	7
463	Passes	320
86%	Pass accuracy	76%

Manchester City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
G. Donnarumma	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Matheus Nunes	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	Y	7.2
M. Guéhi	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.6
N. Aké	90	0	0	2	1	1	0	0	6.9
N. O'Reilly	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.3
Bernardo Silva	90	0	0	2	0	1	6	Y	7.2
A. Semenyo	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	8.3
E. Haaland	90	1	1	5	4	2	0	0	6.9
J. Doku	89	1	0	2	2	6	2	0	10
T. Reijnders	60	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
R. Cherki	60	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.3
P. Foden sub	30	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.6
Omar Marmoush sub	30	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	7.6
Sávio sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Brentford Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Kelleher	90	0	0	0	0	0	9.2
Michael Kayode	90	0	0	1	2	0	6.2
K. Ajer	90	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
N. Collins	90	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
M. Jensen	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
K. Lewis-Potter	90	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
K. Schade	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Thiago	90	2	2	1	2	0	6.3
Y. Yarmolyuk	79	0	0	0	4	0	7
M. Damsgaard	68	0	0	0	6	0	6.6
A. Hickey	61	1	0	0	1	0	7
V. Janelt sub	29	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
D. Ouattara sub	22	0	0	1	0	0	7.5
J. Henderson sub	11	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Brentford — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Manchester CityWWWWD

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

BrentfordDDDLW

Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Manchester City 5 · 1 draw · Brentford 0 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-12-17 Manchester City 2–0 Brentford
2025-10-05 Brentford 0–1 Manchester City
2025-01-14 Brentford 2–2 Manchester City
2024-09-14 Manchester City 2–1 Brentford
2024-02-20 Manchester City 1–0 Brentford
2024-02-05 Brentford 1–3 Manchester City

League standing · 2025/26

Manchester City#2 pos78 pts38 pl+42 GD

Brentford#9 pos53 pts38 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Manchester City scored2.03

Brentford scored1.45

Manchester City conceded0.92

Brentford conceded1.37

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Manchester City 4.44 xG from 25 shots, Brentford 0.67 from 4. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Manchester City (attacking right)Brentford (attacking left)mark size = expected goals

Team	Shots	Goals	xG
Manchester City	25	3	4.44
Brentford	4	0	0.67

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Manchester City led on xG, 2.01 to 0.02. At full time, Manchester City led on xG, 4.44 to 0.67. The widest gap was 4.34 xG to Manchester City, in the 91st minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)

Manchester City 4.44 xGBrentford 0.67 xGdots = goals · 29 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester City v Brentford?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Brentford was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Brentford?: In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 5, Brentford won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Brentford?: Recent form — Manchester City 4W 1D 0L; Brentford 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.