Manchester City v Chelsea prediction

Premier League · Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Etihad Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester City · Chelsea · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Chelsea, Premier League on Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Manchester City host Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 12 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Chelsea, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

11 of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Manchester City have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 1.63. Manchester City have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Manchester City have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Chelsea have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.57. Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Chelsea have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City (third) and Chelsea (fifth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Manchester City the stronger side, 124 rating points above Chelsea (Manchester City 1728, Chelsea 1604, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City.

Team news

Predicted Manchester City XI (4-2-3-1): G. Donnarumma, A. Khusanov, R. Dias, M. Guéhi, N. O'Reilly, E. Anderson, R. Cherki, E. Fernández, I. Ndiaye, P. Foden, E. Haaland — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Erling Haaland (5.5 per match over 14 appearances, 14 goals) and Elliot Anderson (5.0 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Manchester City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Erling Haaland averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 2150 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Elliot Anderson averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 2281 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Chelsea XI (3-4-2-1): M. Penders, L. Colwill, W. Fofana, J. Acheampong, M. Caicedo, J. Henderson, M. Rogers, C. Palmer, R. Lavia, P. Neto, D. Welbeck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro (5.9 per match over seven appearances, five goals and three assists) and Morgan Rogers (5.6 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and four assists) have been Chelsea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 638 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Morgan Rogers averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1817 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 12 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Etihad Stadium
Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 5 · draws 1 · Chelsea 0 · 2.17 goals/game
Recent form: Manchester City 1W 1D 3L · Chelsea 2W 1D 2L

Manchester City v Chelsea (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.5

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.57 / 6.29

Corners

against 3.14 / 5 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

6.29 / 5.71

Shots on target

against 4.57 / 4.43 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.29 / 2.14

Cards

against 2.57 / 3.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Manchester City for / against	Line	Chelsea for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.57 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	6.29 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	17.57 for · 10.57 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.57 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	6.29 for · 4.57 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.71 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.14 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.43 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.29 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.14 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
G. Donnarumma	15	901350 min	392.6 /90	140.9 /90	00 /90

Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	2.9 6/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Rúben Dias	14	861208 min	100.7 /90	80.6 /90	30.2 /90	463.4 /90	191.4 /90	00 /90
J. Gvardiol	14	721002 min	302.7 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90	766.8 /90	141.3 /90	50.4 /90
M. Guéhi	13	791027 min	70.6 /90	100.9 /90	50.4 /90	474.1 /90	111 /90	10.1 /90
A. Khusanov	12	861031 min	332.9 /90	221.9 /90	40.3 /90	585.1 /90	90.8 /90	20.2 /90
Matheus Nunes	10	73728 min	131.6 /90	40.5 /90	40.5 /90	313.8 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
R. Cherki n 8	71.3	0.5 2/1	1.1 5/1	—
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	0.6 2/2	0.4 3/0	—
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	2 6/5	0.1 1/0	—
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	1.5 7/3	3 8/7	—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
R. Cherki n 8	71.3	0.8 3/1
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	0.3 2/0
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0.9 4/2
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	2.9 8/6
J. Gvardiol n 8	64.9	2.8 5/4
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
E. Haaland	14	871213 min	141 /90	00 /90	513.8 /90	292.2 /90	80.6 /90	70.5 /90
R. McAidoo	3	3194 min	11 /90	11 /90	32.9 /90	21.9 /90	21.9 /90	43.8 /90
F. Samba	2	76152 min	21.2 /90	00 /90	42.4 /90	21.2 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90
Omar Marmoush	1	3737 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	12.4 /90	00 /90
R. Cherki	15	62927 min	70.7 /90	20.2 /90	232.2 /90	131.3 /90	292.8 /90	161.6 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Cherki n 8	71.3	2.5 7/5	1.1 6/1
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	3.5 8/8	1.9 8/5
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0.7 3/1	0.3 1/1
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	1.3 6/3	0.3 2/0
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Cherki n 8	71.3	0.6 4/0	0 0/0
E. Haaland n 8	88.8	1 6/2	0 0/0
Rúben Dias n 8	83.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
E. Anderson n 8	89.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Martínez	6	88525 min	254.3 /90	111.9 /90
M. Penders	6	78465 min	122.3 /90	20.4 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 6	87.5	4.3 6/6
M. Penders n 6	77.5	2.3 3/3
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	3.1 6/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Levi Colwill	10	82823 min	101.1 /90	60.7 /90	40.4 /90	434.7 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	10	76761 min	273.2 /90	50.6 /90	30.4 /90	455.3 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
Pep Chavarría	10	57573 min	101.6 /90	91.4 /90	00 /90	193 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
M. Lacroix	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	384.2 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
J. Hato	7	62437 min	122.5 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	234.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.1 5/3	1.9 6/4	—
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.1 6/2	2 7/5	—
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	1.3 5/3	0.6 4/0	—
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	1.1 5/2	0.5 3/1	—
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.3 6/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.7 7/4
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	2 7/4
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	1 5/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	2.9 7/5
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
João Pedro	7	77538 min	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	142.3 /90	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90
Estêvão	5	55275 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.9 /90	31 /90	103.3 /90	103.3 /90
D. Welbeck	4	66262 min	31 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	41.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	12 /90
C. Palmer	12	851023 min	50.4 /90	30.3 /90	332.9 /90	151.3 /90	292.6 /90	181.6 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	2.4 6/4	0.9 5/2
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.2 6/3	0.8 5/1
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	1.9 8/3	1.7 8/3
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	0.4 3/0	0.4 1/1
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Chelsea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Manchester CityLDLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

ChelseaWLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Manchester City 5 · 1 draw · Chelsea 0 · 2.17 goals/game

2026-05-16 Chelsea 0–1 Manchester City
2026-04-12 Chelsea 0–3 Manchester City
2026-01-04 Manchester City 1–1 Chelsea
2025-01-25 Manchester City 3–1 Chelsea
2024-08-18 Chelsea 0–2 Manchester City
2024-04-20 Manchester City 1–0 Chelsea

League standing · 2026/27

Manchester City#3 pos21 pts10 pl+8 GD

Chelsea#5 pos16 pts10 pl+3 GD

Goals per game

Manchester City scored2.1

Chelsea scored1.9

Manchester City conceded1.3

Chelsea conceded1.6

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Chelsea?: In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 5, Chelsea won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Chelsea?: Recent form — Manchester City 1W 1D 3L; Chelsea 2W 1D 2L.

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