This Matchweek

Manchester CityCoventry

Manchester City v Coventry result

Full-time · Manchester City 1–0 Coventry

Premier League · · Etihad Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester City 1–0 Coventry — Manchester City won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.20 at William Hill
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Manchester City: 2.20 to 1.49 in expected goals, from 15 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the 34th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Manchester City beat Coventry 1–0 at Etihad Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September.

The goals

Manchester City led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester City: Erling Haaland (26’, assisted by Antoine Semenyo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Erling Haaland’s goal on 26 minutes.

Discipline

Paul Tierney, England showed three yellow cards — against 3.8 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Manchester City: Abduqodir Khusanov (90+5’); Coventry: Milan van Ewijk (19’) and Ethan Pinnock (90+2’).

What it changes

Manchester City stay first after this result (three league matches played). Manchester City have scored 20 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Coventry stay 18th (shared) after this result (three league matches played). Coventry have scored nine goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Coventry have conceded 16 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Elliot Anderson (Manchester City) 6.3, Erling Haaland (Manchester City) 6.1 and Bobby Thomas (Coventry) 5.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Manchester City to win, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 78.5% of the time in the last 90 days (219 of 279).

Next up

Manchester City next travel to Nottingham Forest on 7 November 2026.

Coventry next travel to Everton on 6 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester City: Nottingham Forest v Manchester City, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Coventry: Everton v Coventry, Friday 6 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Manchester City 1–0 Coventry · Premier League
  • Venue: Etihad Stadium · Manchester
  • Referee: Paul Tierney, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Manchester City 2W 1D 2L · Coventry 3W 0D 2L

Manchester City 1–0 Coventry (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 19 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.13
Goals
against 1 / 1.13 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
7 / 4.25
Corners
against 3.5 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1
Cards
against 2 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameManchester City for / againstLineCoventry for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1 against n 8
3.5our book
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
7 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
Shots
15.25 for · 7.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13.38 for · 10.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 2.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 10.88 against n 8
21.5standard
9.5 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Paul Tierney, England.

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma390270 min62 /9051.7 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
26/2

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rúben Dias390270 min20.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90144.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
A. Khusanov390269 min113.7 /9051.7 /9020.7 /90196.4 /9000 /9000 /90
J. Gvardiol385255 min51.8 /9041.4 /9010.4 /90134.6 /9041.4 /9010.4 /90
M. Guéhi372217 min31.2 /9031.2 /9000 /90135.4 /9020.8 /9000 /90
R. Lewis24487 min11 /9022.1 /9000 /9066.2 /9011 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Semenyo n 881.8
1.57/3
0.83/3
J. Rudoni
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
B. Thomas
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
A. Khusanov n 889.9
0.54/0
0.32/0
B. Thomas
J. Gvardiol n 872.1
1.24/3
0.21/0
A. Amenda
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.95/1
A. Semenyo n 881.8
0.43/0
A. Khusanov n 889.9
2.17/4
J. Gvardiol n 872.1
1.76/4
E. Haaland n 876.5
0.11/0
See more players · Pro

Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland378233 min20.8 /9000 /90114.2 /9062.3 /9000 /9010.4 /90
Omar Marmoush13737 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /90
A. Semenyo390270 min00 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9031 /9051.7 /9051.7 /90
P. Foden377232 min00 /9020.8 /9041.6 /9010.4 /9051.9 /9031.2 /90
E. Anderson368205 min00 /9000 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 881.8
1.58/2
17/0
Rúben Dias n 884.4
0.43/0
0.11/0
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
A. Khusanov n 889.9
0.43/0
00/0
J. Gvardiol n 872.1
1.25/2
0.53/0
See more players · Pro
Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Semenyo n 881.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
Rúben Dias n 884.4
00/0
00/0
A. Khusanov n 889.9
00/0
00/0
J. Gvardiol n 872.1
0.21/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Coventry

Coventry Goalkeeper

Coventry — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Rushworth290180 min31.5 /9042 /9000 /90
D. Bentley19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Coventry — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Rushworth n 890
1.63/2

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Amenda375225 min00 /9010.4 /9031.2 /90114.4 /9041.6 /9010.4 /90
B. Thomas371213 min10.4 /9000 /9020.8 /90104.2 /9031.3 /9000 /90
J. Dasilva290180 min21 /9010.5 /9010.5 /9084 /9010.5 /9000 /90
M. van Ewijk290180 min21 /9010.5 /9021 /9021 /9021 /9000 /90
J. Bidwell19090 min00 /9000 /9000 /9022 /9011 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Amenda n 375
1.63/1
00/0
J. Gvardiol
B. Thomas n 881.9
0.42/1
1.16/1
A. Khusanov
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 367.7
2.23/2
1.32/1
—
T. Awoniyi n 360
12/0
12/0
—
J. Rudoni n 856.1
0.42/0
2.45/4
A. Semenyo
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Amenda n 375
00/0
B. Thomas n 881.9
1.15/2
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 367.7
00/0
T. Awoniyi n 360
00/0
J. Rudoni n 856.1
1.67/1
See more players · Pro

Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Awoniyi360180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9031.5 /9042 /9010.5 /90
B. Thomas-Asante341122 min00 /9000 /9010.7 /9000 /9000 /9010.7 /90
E. Simms17070 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
S. Cherif12020 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.5 /90
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi368203 min00 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9020.9 /9010.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Amenda n 375
0.41/0
00/0
B. Thomas n 881.9
0.75/0
0.11/0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 367.7
00/0
00/0
T. Awoniyi n 360
2.52/2
1.52/1
J. Rudoni n 856.1
2.46/4
14/1
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 29 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Amenda n 375
00/0
00/0
B. Thomas n 881.9
0.11/0
00/0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 367.7
00/0
0.41/0
T. Awoniyi n 360
0.51/0
0.51/0
J. Rudoni n 856.1
0.62/1
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester CityCoventry
78%Possession22%
2.12Expected goals (xG)1.37
15Shots12
4Shots on target3
5Shots off target6
6Blocked shots3
14Shots inside the box8
4Corners5
5Offsides2
7Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Saves2
819Passes220
92%Pass accuracy64%

Manchester City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Khusanov90000002Y7
Rúben Dias9000000007.9
J. Gvardiol9000000407.2
M. Guéhi9000000007.3
E. Anderson9000101108.3
A. Semenyo9001103106.9
E. Haaland9010431008.7
G. Donnarumma9000000008.9
I. Ndiaye8700101206.3
E. Fernández7600001107.2
R. Cherki6600103007.2
P. Foden sub2400111006.2
A. Bouaddi sub1400000006.6
R. McAidoo sub900000206.9

Coventry Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Amenda9000000106.6
M. Grimes9000100506.7
E. Pinnock90001001Y6.9
B. Thomas9000302108.5
M. van Ewijk90000003Y6.9
C. Rushworth9000000007.2
J. Dasilva8500001206.9
E. Mason-Clark7100000006.2
T. Awoniyi7100101006.2
J. Rudoni6300112106.3
F. Onyeka6300000106.5
L. Tchaouna sub2700112006.6
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi sub2700000006.2
B. Thomas-Asante sub1900000006.3
E. Simms sub1900111006.3
G. Hamer sub1100000106.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Coventry — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester CityDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
CoventryWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Manchester City#2 pos21 pts9 pl+10 GD
Coventry#16 pos9 pts9 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Manchester City scored2.22
Coventry scored1
Manchester City conceded1.11
Coventry conceded1.78

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Manchester City 2.20 xG from 15 shots, Coventry 1.49 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Phil Foden 77' · 0.63 xGEllis Simms 79' · 0.49 xGJack Rudoni 23' · 0.44 xGErling Haaland 43' · 0.42 xGTaiwo Awoniyi 7' · 0.29 xGErling Haaland 72' · 0.12 xGErling Haaland 15' · 0.10 xGMathis Cherki 22' · 0.10 xGEnzo Fernández 34' · 0.10 xGMathis Cherki 55' · 0.08 xGEnzo Fernández 34' · 0.08 xGBobby Thomas 10' · 0.07 xGMathis Cherki 30' · 0.06 xGEthan Pinnock 63' · 0.06 xGAntoine Semenyo 77' · 0.06 xGLoum Tchaouna 69' · 0.04 xGIliman Ndiaye 47' · 0.03 xGBobby Thomas 81' · 0.03 xGAntoine Semenyo 15' · 0.03 xGBobby Thomas 63' · 0.02 xGElliot Anderson 51' · 0.02 xGBobby Thomas 23' · 0.02 xGMatt Grimes 69' · 0.02 xGLoum Tchaouna 88' · 0.01 xGBobby Thomas 92' · 0.01 xGJosko Gvardiol 20' · 0.01 xGErling Haaland 25' · 0.37 xG · goal
Manchester City (attacking right)Coventry (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Manchester City1512.20
Coventry1201.49

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Manchester City led on xG, 1.26 to 0.82. At full time, Manchester City led on xG, 2.20 to 1.49. The widest gap was 1.24 xG to Manchester City, in the 77th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.21.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester City 25 min
Manchester City 2.20 xGCoventry 1.49 xGdots = goals · 27 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester City v Coventry?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Coventry was Home win (best price 1.20 at William Hill).
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Coventry?
Recent form — Manchester City 2W 1D 2L; Coventry 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+