Manchester CityLeeds

Manchester City v Leeds prediction

Premier League · · Etihad Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester City v Leeds, Premier League on Wed, 02 Dec 2026 20:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Manchester City host Leeds in the Premier League on Wednesday 2 December (kick-off 20:00 UK).

The key numbers

Manchester City are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Leeds, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

11 of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Manchester City’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Manchester City have five wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 1.63. Manchester City have scored 21 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Manchester City have conceded 13 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Four of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (27%). Both teams scored in seven of Leeds’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Leeds have two wins, three draws and four defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.67. Leeds have scored 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Leeds have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Manchester City (third) and Leeds (ninth) are seven points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Manchester City the stronger side, 70 rating points above Leeds (Manchester City 1728, Leeds 1658, after at least 162 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished Leeds 0–1 Manchester City.

Team news

Predicted Manchester City XI (4-2-3-1): G. Donnarumma, A. Khusanov, R. Dias, M. Guéhi, N. O'Reilly, E. Anderson, R. Cherki, E. Fernández, I. Ndiaye, P. Foden, E. Haaland — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Erling Haaland (5.5 per match over 14 appearances, 14 goals) and Elliot Anderson (5.0 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Manchester City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Erling Haaland averages 3.5 shots per 90 over 2150 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Elliot Anderson averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 2281 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Leeds XI (3-4-2-1): J. Trafford, T. Muharemović, J. Justin, N. Elvedi, E. Ampadu, J. Bogle, A. Tanaka, G. Gudmundsson, A. Stach, S. Longstaff, D. Calvert-Lewin — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, James Justin (4.4 per match over 12 appearances, two goals) and Tarik Muharemović (3.9 per match over 12 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Leeds’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Leeds (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), James Justin averages 2.8 tackles per 90 over 1063 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Tarik Muharemović averages 0.8 tackles per 90 over 1700 minutes, with a tackle in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier League · Etihad Stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester City 6 · draws 0 · Leeds 0 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester City 1W 1D 3L · Leeds 1W 2D 2L

Manchester City v Leeds (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.57 / 4.38
Corners
against 3.14 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.29 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 4.57 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.29 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.57 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameManchester City for / againstLineLeeds for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.57 for · 3.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4.38 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
17.57 for · 10.57 against n 7
19.5standard
13.25 for · 11.75 against n 8
Shots on target
6.29 for · 4.57 against n 7
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.14 for · 14.86 against n 7
21.5standard
13 for · 10.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.29 for · 2.57 against n 7
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8

Manchester City

Manchester City Goalkeeper

Manchester City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
G. Donnarumma15901350 min392.6 /90140.9 /9000 /90
Manchester City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Donnarumma n 890
2.96/3

Manchester City Defensive

Manchester City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Rúben Dias14861208 min100.7 /9080.6 /9030.2 /90463.4 /90191.4 /9000 /90
J. Gvardiol14721002 min302.7 /90151.3 /9030.3 /90766.8 /90141.3 /9050.4 /90
M. Guéhi13791027 min70.6 /90100.9 /9050.4 /90474.1 /90111 /9010.1 /90
A. Khusanov12861031 min332.9 /90221.9 /9040.3 /90585.1 /9090.8 /9020.2 /90
Matheus Nunes1073728 min131.6 /9040.5 /9040.5 /90313.8 /9040.5 /9000 /90
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Manchester City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
—
R. Cherki n 871.3
0.52/1
1.15/1
—
E. Haaland n 888.8
0.62/2
0.43/0
—
Rúben Dias n 883.5
26/5
0.11/0
—
E. Anderson n 889.1
1.57/3
38/7
—
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Manchester City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Cherki n 871.3
0.83/1
E. Haaland n 888.8
0.32/0
Rúben Dias n 883.5
0.94/2
E. Anderson n 889.1
2.98/6
J. Gvardiol n 864.9
2.85/4
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Manchester City Attacking

Manchester City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Haaland14871213 min141 /9000 /90513.8 /90292.2 /9080.6 /9070.5 /90
R. McAidoo33194 min11 /9011 /9032.9 /9021.9 /9021.9 /9043.8 /90
F. Samba276152 min21.2 /9000 /9042.4 /9021.2 /9021.2 /9000 /90
Omar Marmoush13737 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9012.4 /9000 /90
R. Cherki1562927 min70.7 /9020.2 /90232.2 /90131.3 /90292.8 /90161.6 /90
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Manchester City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Cherki n 871.3
2.57/5
1.16/1
E. Haaland n 888.8
3.58/8
1.98/5
Rúben Dias n 883.5
0.73/1
0.31/1
E. Anderson n 889.1
1.36/3
0.32/0
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Manchester City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester City before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Donnarumma n 890
00/0
00/0
R. Cherki n 871.3
0.64/0
00/0
E. Haaland n 888.8
16/2
00/0
Rúben Dias n 883.5
00/0
00/0
E. Anderson n 889.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
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Leeds

Leeds Goalkeeper

Leeds — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Trafford1190990 min393.5 /9050.5 /9000 /90
M. Zetterer19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Leeds — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Trafford n 890
3.88/7

Leeds Defensive

Leeds — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Muharemović12901080 min100.8 /90151.3 /9080.7 /90715.9 /9070.6 /9010.1 /90
J. Justin12891063 min332.8 /90171.4 /9050.4 /90756.3 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90
N. Elvedi986772 min101.2 /9091 /9050.6 /90374.3 /9060.7 /9010.1 /90
J. Bijol569344 min61.6 /9071.8 /9030.8 /90246.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
J. Rodon371214 min10.4 /9031.3 /9010.4 /9093.8 /9041.7 /9000 /90
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Leeds — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
E. Ampadu n 890
25/5
17/1
—
T. Muharemović n 890
0.53/1
0.84/2
—
J. Justin n 887.9
0.64/1
1.37/3
—
J. Trafford n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 879.6
1.66/3
14/2
—
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Leeds — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Ampadu n 890
2.18/6
T. Muharemović n 890
0.54/0
J. Justin n 887.9
2.78/6
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 879.6
0.11/0
J. Bogle n 882
14/3
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Leeds Attacking

Leeds — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Dominic Calvert-Lewin1181890 min40.4 /9010.1 /90171.7 /90101 /9060.6 /9070.7 /90
N. Okafor1056563 min10.2 /9010.2 /9050.8 /9010.2 /9061 /90172.7 /90
H. Wilson948428 min00 /9010.2 /9020.4 /9000 /90122.5 /9020.4 /90
L. Nmecha744305 min00 /9020.6 /9082.4 /9010.3 /9051.5 /9051.5 /90
E. Ampadu12901080 min00 /9000 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
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Leeds — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 890
0.94/2
0.42/1
E. Ampadu n 890
0.52/1
0.11/0
J. Justin n 887.9
0.64/1
0.11/0
J. Trafford n 890
00/0
00/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 879.6
1.86/4
16/1
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Leeds — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Leeds before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Muharemović n 890
0.11/0
0.32/0
E. Ampadu n 890
00/0
00/0
J. Justin n 887.9
0.11/0
00/0
J. Trafford n 890
00/0
00/0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin n 879.6
0.43/0
0.11/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester City v Leeds — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester CityLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
LeedsLDDLW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Manchester City 6 · 0 draws · Leeds 0 · 4 goals/game
  • 2026-02-28 Leeds 0–1 Manchester City
  • 2025-11-29 Manchester City 3–2 Leeds
  • 2023-05-06 Manchester City 2–1 Leeds
  • 2022-12-28 Leeds 1–3 Manchester City
  • 2022-04-30 Leeds 0–4 Manchester City
  • 2021-12-14 Manchester City 7–0 Leeds
League standing · 2026/27
Manchester City#3 pos21 pts10 pl+8 GD
Leeds#9 pos14 pts10 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Manchester City scored2.1
Leeds scored1
Manchester City conceded1.3
Leeds conceded0.8

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester City and Leeds?
In their last 6 meetings, Manchester City won 6, Leeds won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester City and Leeds?
Recent form — Manchester City 1W 1D 3L; Leeds 1W 2D 2L.

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