Manchester United v Chelsea prediction

Premier League · Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT · Old Trafford

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester United · Chelsea · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United v Chelsea, Premier League on Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Manchester United host Chelsea in the Premier League on Saturday 6 February (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Manchester United’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Manchester United have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 1.71. Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Manchester United have conceded 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Chelsea have two wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 1.17 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.67. Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games, ranked per game). Chelsea have conceded 15 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester United (18th) and Chelsea (fourth) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Chelsea the stronger side, 160 rating points above Manchester United (Chelsea 1671, Manchester United 1511, after at least 351 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 31 October 2026, finished Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United.

Team news

Predicted Manchester United XI (4-2-3-1): S. Lammens, D. Dalot, H. Maguire, L. Yoro, L. Martínez, B. Fernandes, A. Diallo, C. Baleba, Y. Tielemans, A. Santos, B. Mbeumo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bruno Fernandes (4.1 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and one assist) and Matheus Cunha (3.7 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Manchester United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Manchester United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bruno Fernandes averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 2011 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matheus Cunha averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1246 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Chelsea XI (3-4-2-1): M. Penders, L. Colwill, J. Acheampong, M. Lacroix, M. Caicedo, P. Neto, M. Rogers, J. Henderson, C. Palmer, R. Lavia, D. Welbeck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro (5.9 per match over seven appearances, five goals and three assists) and Morgan Rogers (5.8 per match over 12 appearances, six goals and four assists) have been Chelsea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 638 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Morgan Rogers averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1727 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 06 Feb 2027 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Old Trafford
Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester United 2 · draws 1 · Chelsea 3 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: Manchester United 1W 1D 3L · Chelsea 3W 1D 1L

Manchester United v Chelsea (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.88 / 2.25

Goals

against 2 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 6.43

Corners

against 3.13 / 5.43 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.63 / 6.29

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

3.25 / 1.71

Cards

against 2 / 3.14 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 3 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 3 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Manchester United for / against	Line	Chelsea for / against
Goals scored	0.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.25 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.43 for · 5.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	15 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	13.43 for · 12.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.29 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.38 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.14 for · 12.71 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	3.25 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5

Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
S. Lammens	13	901170 min	393 /90	161.2 /90	00 /90
K. Darlow	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 8	90	3.6 7/5

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Diogo Dalot	12	83999 min	252.3 /90	201.8 /90	20.2 /90	665.9 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
H. Maguire	11	90988 min	141.3 /90	191.7 /90	40.4 /90	625.6 /90	100.9 /90	50.5 /90
Lisandro Martínez	11	71778 min	91 /90	80.9 /90	60.7 /90	252.9 /90	111.3 /90	10.1 /90
Leny Yoro	9	77689 min	172.2 /90	202.6 /90	10.1 /90	293.8 /90	70.9 /90	00 /90
A. Heaven	6	71424 min	91.9 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90	285.9 /90	81.7 /90	20.4 /90
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Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Mbeumo n 8	89.5	1 5/2	1.1 7/2	—
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.5	0.6 2/2	1.2 4/3	—
Y. Tielemans n 8	70.4	1.1 6/1	2.4 7/5	—
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	0.7 4/1	0.3 2/0	—
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Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	89.5	1 6/2
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.5	1.2 6/1
Y. Tielemans n 8	70.4	2.4 6/3
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	2.7 8/5
H. Maguire n 8	89.8	1.6 7/3
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Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
B. Mbeumo	14	841172 min	40.3 /90	10.1 /90	241.8 /90	141.1 /90	201.5 /90	110.8 /90
Matheus Cunha	11	76835 min	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	202.2 /90	121.3 /90	141.5 /90	91 /90
J. Zirkzee	6	24146 min	10.6 /90	00 /90	53.1 /90	31.8 /90	31.8 /90	63.7 /90
Benjamin Šeško	5	39196 min	20.9 /90	00 /90	41.8 /90	20.9 /90	00 /90	20.9 /90
S. Lacey	3	3399 min	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	21.8 /90	54.5 /90
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Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	89.5	1.8 8/4	1 6/2
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.5	2.2 8/4	0.4 3/0
Y. Tielemans n 8	70.4	1.1 4/1	0.2 1/0
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	1 4/3	0.1 1/0
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Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Mbeumo n 8	89.5	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
S. Lammens n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Bruno Fernandes n 8	76.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Y. Tielemans n 8	70.4	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Diogo Dalot n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Martínez	6	88525 min	254.3 /90	111.9 /90
M. Penders	5	75375 min	112.6 /90	20.5 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 6	87.5	4.3 6/6
M. Penders n 5	75	2.6 3/3
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	3.1 6/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	10	76761 min	273.2 /90	50.6 /90	30.4 /90	455.3 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
M. Lacroix	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	384.2 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
Levi Colwill	9	86778 min	91 /90	50.6 /90	40.5 /90	384.4 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
Pep Chavarría	9	55494 min	81.5 /90	81.5 /90	00 /90	173.1 /90	50.9 /90	00 /90
J. Hato	7	62437 min	122.5 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	234.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.3 6/4	2 7/4	—
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.2 6/3	1.6 6/4	—
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	1.3 5/3	0.6 4/0	—
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 3/0	—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.2 5/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.6 6/4
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	2.9 7/5
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	2.1 8/4
M. Lacroix n 8	90	1.3 8/2
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
M. Rogers	11	82906 min	50.5 /90	40.4 /90	131.3 /90	70.7 /90	232.3 /90	191.9 /90
João Pedro	7	77538 min	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	142.3 /90	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90
D. Welbeck	3	78234 min	31.2 /90	00 /90	62.3 /90	41.5 /90	20.8 /90	10.4 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	12 /90
C. Palmer	11	85933 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	323.1 /90	141.4 /90	272.6 /90	181.7 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	2.7 6/5	1.1 5/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	1.4 6/3	0.8 5/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	1.8 8/3	1.5 7/3
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 3 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Rogers n 8	83.3	0.5 4/0	0.4 1/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pedro Neto n 8	80.8	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
M. Lacroix n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester United v Chelsea — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Manchester UnitedDLLLW

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

ChelseaWWLDW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Manchester United 2 · 1 draw · Chelsea 3 · 2.67 goals/game

2026-10-31 Chelsea 2–0 Manchester United
2026-04-18 Chelsea 0–1 Manchester United
2025-09-20 Manchester United 2–1 Chelsea
2025-05-16 Chelsea 1–0 Manchester United
2024-11-03 Manchester United 1–1 Chelsea
2024-04-04 Chelsea 4–3 Manchester United

League standing · 2026/27

Manchester United#18 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD

Chelsea#4 pos16 pts9 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Manchester United scored1.11

Chelsea scored2.11

Manchester United conceded1.67

Chelsea conceded1.67

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Chelsea?: In their last 6 meetings, Manchester United won 2, Chelsea won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester United and Chelsea?: Recent form — Manchester United 1W 1D 3L; Chelsea 3W 1D 1L.

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