This Matchweek

Manchester UnitedTottenham

Manchester United v Tottenham result

Full-time · Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham

Premier League · · Old Trafford

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Manchester United · Tottenham · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham — this Premier League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.82 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Tottenham: 2.03 to 0.87 in expected goals, from 12 shots to 12, ahead on xG from the second minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The points were shared.

The result

Manchester United and Tottenham drew 1–1 at Old Trafford in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Manchester United: Bryan Mbeumo (73’, assisted by Matheus Cunha); Tottenham: D. Solanke (90’, assisted by Sandro Tonali). R. Bentancur (78’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with D. Solanke’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Manchester United: Luke Shaw (78’), Bruno Fernandes (84’), Lisandro Martínez (87’) and Diogo Dalot (90+6’); Tottenham: Conor Gallagher (4’), Jan van Hecke (78’) and Archie Gray (90+8’).

What it changes

Manchester United stay 12th after this result (six league matches played). Manchester United have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Manchester United have conceded 15 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Tottenham stay 18th after this result (six league matches played). Tottenham have scored 10 goals, the 10th-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Tottenham have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Manchester United are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Tottenham are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Matheus Cunha (Manchester United) 7.0, Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United) 6.7 and Kobbie Mainoo (Manchester United) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Manchester United to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Manchester United next host Aston Villa on 8 November 2026.

Tottenham next travel to Leeds on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Manchester United: Manchester United v Aston Villa, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Tottenham: Leeds v Tottenham, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham · Premier League
  • Venue: Old Trafford · Manchester
  • Referee: Stuart Attwell, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Manchester United 1 · draws 1 · Tottenham 4 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Manchester United 1W 2D 2L · Tottenham 0W 2D 3L

Manchester United 1–1 Tottenham (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 24 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6.25 / 8.13
Corners
against 3 / 5.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.75
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 1.38
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 20 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameManchester United for / againstLineTottenham for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.25our book
1.13 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3 against n 8
9.5standard
8.13 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
19.63 for · 11.88 against n 8
19.5standard
16 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.13 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.75 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 10.75 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 14.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8

Referee: Stuart Attwell, England.

Manchester United

Manchester United Goalkeeper

Manchester United — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
S. Lammens690540 min162.7 /9081.3 /9000 /90
K. Darlow19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Manchester United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Lammens n 890
2.56/3

Manchester United Defensive

Manchester United — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
H. Maguire590450 min30.6 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90275.4 /9071.4 /9020.4 /90
Lisandro Martínez590450 min51 /9020.4 /9020.4 /90163.2 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Diogo Dalot586428 min61.3 /9061.3 /9010.2 /90153.2 /9061.3 /9010.2 /90
L. Shaw484336 min61.6 /9061.6 /9030.8 /90123.2 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
N. Mazraoui469277 min82.6 /9010.3 /9031 /90165.2 /9031 /9000 /90
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Manchester United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Bruno Fernandes n 880.9
0.64/0
0.42/1
—
B. Mbeumo n 877.5
0.63/1
0.74/1
—
Y. Tielemans n 777
0.32/0
1.75/3
—
K. Mainoo n 866.9
13/2
1.55/3
—
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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Manchester United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 880.9
15/2
B. Mbeumo n 877.5
0.73/1
Y. Tielemans n 777
1.84/4
K. Mainoo n 866.9
1.75/4
Matheus Cunha n 883.8
0.95/2
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Manchester United Attacking

Manchester United — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Matheus Cunha683500 min20.4 /9010.2 /90132.3 /9071.3 /9091.6 /9030.5 /90
Benjamin Šeško539196 min20.9 /9000 /9041.8 /9020.9 /9000 /9020.9 /90
J. Zirkzee22550 min00 /9000 /9047.2 /9023.6 /9000 /9035.4 /90
Bruno Fernandes780557 min40.6 /9010.2 /90132.1 /9071.1 /90193.1 /9030.5 /90
B. Mbeumo778546 min20.3 /9010.2 /90132.1 /9071.2 /90142.3 /9050.8 /90
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Manchester United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 880.9
1.98/3
1.15/2
B. Mbeumo n 877.5
27/4
1.27/1
Y. Tielemans n 777
1.34/2
0.52/1
K. Mainoo n 866.9
0.32/0
00/0
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
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Manchester United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Manchester United before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Bruno Fernandes n 880.9
0.73/1
0.32/0
B. Mbeumo n 877.5
0.43/0
0.11/0
Y. Tielemans n 777
00/0
0.32/0
K. Mainoo n 866.9
00/0
0.21/0
S. Lammens n 890
00/0
00/0
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Tottenham

Tottenham Goalkeeper

Tottenham — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
A. Kinský690540 min152.5 /9091.5 /9000 /90
M. Dúbravka19090 min22 /9000 /9000 /90
Tottenham — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
A. Kinský n 890
2.35/4

Tottenham Defensive

Tottenham — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. van Hecke686514 min111.9 /9030.5 /9061.1 /90305.3 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
A. Gray682490 min91.7 /9050.9 /9000 /90234.2 /9050.9 /9000 /90
A. Robertson667400 min51.1 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90112.5 /9010.2 /9000 /90
M. van de Ven577386 min61.4 /9030.7 /9020.5 /90235.4 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
Pedro Porro456224 min31.2 /9010.4 /9000 /9093.6 /9010.4 /9000 /90
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Tottenham — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Bentancur n 872
2.27/5
0.63/1
—
A. Kinský n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
J. van Hecke n 685.7
1.25/2
0.93/1
—
A. Gray n 873
0.95/1
0.94/2
—
M. Tel n 873.1
1.14/3
1.14/2
—
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Tottenham — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Bentancur n 872
3.48/6
J. van Hecke n 685.7
1.96/4
A. Gray n 873
1.45/3
M. Tel n 873.1
0.32/0
A. Robertson n 666.7
1.13/2
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Tottenham Attacking

Tottenham — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Omar Marmoush586431 min00 /9000 /9071.5 /9020.4 /9071.5 /90142.9 /90
D. Solanke547237 min10.4 /9000 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9010.4 /9000 /90
M. Moore360180 min10.5 /9010.5 /9052.5 /9042 /9010.5 /9052.5 /90
Richarlison16868 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /90
R. Bentancur771494 min00 /9010.2 /9010.2 /9000 /9050.9 /9010.2 /90
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Tottenham — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Bentancur n 872
0.21/0
00/0
A. Kinský n 890
00/0
00/0
J. van Hecke n 685.7
0.94/1
0.42/0
A. Gray n 873
0.84/1
0.63/1
M. Tel n 873.1
1.44/3
0.62/1
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Tottenham — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Tottenham before kick-off, to 20 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
R. Bentancur n 872
00/0
0.21/0
A. Kinský n 890
00/0
00/0
J. van Hecke n 685.7
0.21/0
00/0
A. Gray n 873
00/0
0.21/0
M. Tel n 873.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Manchester UnitedTottenham
50%Possession50%
0.80Expected goals (xG)1.62
12Shots12
4Shots on target3
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots6
8Shots inside the box8
4Corners4
2Offsides2
13Fouls16
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
2Saves3
467Passes464
83%Pass accuracy84%

Manchester United Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Mbeumo9010221008.3
Lisandro Martínez90000002Y7.5
K. Mainoo9000000507.2
H. Maguire9000210106.9
Bruno Fernandes90001021Y7.2
S. Lammens9000000006.9
Matheus Cunha8901001406.9
L. Shaw89000003Y6.3
Leny Yoro5900000307.2
Y. Tielemans5900000507.3
A. Diallo5900210106.3
J. Zirkzee sub3100001007
Diogo Dalot sub31000031Y6.6
C. Baleba sub3100202206.9
M. Rashford sub10000000–
A. Heaven sub10000010–

Tottenham Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Kinský9000000006.2
A. Gray90000003Y6.9
J. van Hecke90000001Y6.7
S. Tonali9001001107.7
D. Solanke9010321007.3
Sávio9000002007
M. Senesi8900002106.9
C. Gallagher74001112Y6.2
D. Udogie7400000107.2
L. Bergvall6600100206.6
M. Kudus6600100106.3
Omar Marmoush sub2400000206.6
J. Maddison sub1600000307
M. van de Ven sub1600000006.7
R. Bentancur sub12000000R4.7
Mateus Fernandes sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Manchester United v Tottenham — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Manchester UnitedDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
TottenhamLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Manchester United 1 · 1 draw · Tottenham 4 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-02-07 Manchester United 2–0 Tottenham
  • 2025-11-08 Tottenham 2–2 Manchester United
  • 2025-05-21 Tottenham 1–0 Manchester United
  • 2025-02-16 Tottenham 1–0 Manchester United
  • 2024-12-19 Tottenham 4–3 Manchester United
  • 2024-09-29 Manchester United 0–3 Tottenham
League standing · 2026/27
Manchester United#17 pos7 pts9 pl-5 GD
Tottenham#9 pos12 pts9 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Manchester United scored1.11
Tottenham scored1.11
Manchester United conceded1.67
Tottenham conceded1.11

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Manchester United 0.87 xG from 12 shots, Tottenham 2.03 from 12. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Conor Gallagher 41' · 0.52 xGDominic Solanke 2' · 0.35 xGDominic Solanke 50' · 0.35 xGBryan Mbeumo 85' · 0.33 xGMatheus Cunha 89' · 0.11 xGMohammed Kudus 20' · 0.10 xGSávio 68' · 0.10 xGJoshua Zirkzee 61' · 0.08 xGDominic Solanke 5' · 0.07 xGAmad Diallo Traore 33' · 0.06 xGConor Gallagher 18' · 0.05 xGCarlos Baleba 61' · 0.04 xGHarry Maguire 85' · 0.04 xGLucas Bergvall 16' · 0.04 xGSávio 56' · 0.04 xGMohammed Kudus 58' · 0.04 xGCarlos Baleba 98' · 0.03 xGBruno Fernandes 62' · 0.03 xGAmad Diallo Traore 48' · 0.02 xGSandro Tonali 33' · 0.02 xGHarry Maguire 93' · 0.02 xGHarry Maguire 71' · 0.01 xGDominic Solanke 91' · 0.36 xG · goalBryan Mbeumo 72' · 0.09 xG · goal
Manchester United (attacking right)Tottenham (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Manchester United1210.87
Tottenham1212.03

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Tottenham led on xG, 1.16 to 0.06. At full time, Tottenham led on xG, 2.03 to 0.87. The widest gap was 1.51 xG to Tottenham, in the 58th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.01.000′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Manchester United 72 minGoal - Tottenham 91 min
Manchester United 0.87 xGTottenham 2.03 xGdots = goals · 24 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Manchester United v Tottenham?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Manchester United v Tottenham was Home win (best price 1.82 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Manchester United and Tottenham?
In their last 6 meetings, Manchester United won 1, Tottenham won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Manchester United and Tottenham?
Recent form — Manchester United 1W 2D 2L; Tottenham 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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